Wednesday Forecast

108 Comments

7:23AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 14-18)…
A brief shot of September heat and humidity today will be cut off at the pass by a cold front, which during its afternoon passage will produce some showers and thunderstorms, a few of which may be strong. Keep a close eye on the weather today. Not expecting widespread severe storms but any storm may produce strong and possibly damaging wind. After this gets out of here by evening, it’s back to cooler and dry weather for Thursday and Friday followed by a slight warm-up Saturday. This will lead to the next shower threat on Sunday as the next cold front arrives.
TODAY: Sunshine into afternoon, then variably cloudy with scattered showers/thunderstorms. Any storms may produce strong wind gusts. More humid. Highs 78-85 South Coast, 85-91 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to NW late in the day.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 50-55 northwest suburbs to 55-60 Boston to Cape Cod. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-55. Highs 68-75.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 40-50. Highs 70-78.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 58-64. Highs 68-75.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 19-23)…
Mainly dry weather during the period. Temperatures somewhat variable but averaging above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 24-28)…
Overall pattern remains dry and warm.

108 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

    1. Thank you, Philip. And that is just for this year.

      I received my water bill yesterday. It is a good thing Coastal had posted early in the summer that it is high when you have an irrigation system or I would have passed out. So far I am not impressed with central air or irrigation systems. Both end up costing far more than window ACs and sprinklers.

          1. What does the outside meter do? You’d think with two plumbers in the family they’d tell me. I seem to be designated control person for the programming and can’t figure that out either.

            We do not pay for sewer since we are on septic and that may be what the outside meter is for???

  7. Not that the HRRR always performs well, but it isn’t show much action for us
    this afternoon at all. So we shall see. I’m NOT holding my breath. 😀

  8. Thanks so much . The forecasting on this blog has been incredible. Hoping and praying for a beauty day Oct. 1 for a family wedding!

      1. Our daughter was married on October 4th, 1997.
        It was almost hot as it was humid and close to 80 Degrees.
        Some cloudiness, but no rain or thunder. It was actually a beautiful day. One of the bridesmaids passed out because it
        was so hot in the church.

        But, I agree, it is a CRAP SHOOT at best.

  10. The parameters other than the bulk shear at 500mb are not impressive for storms today in looking at the 6z runs of American models.

  11. The 12Z HRRR has completed its run and it STILL shows virtually ZILCH for all
    over Southern NE for today’s Cold Front.

    12Z 4KM NAM will be out shortly and we shall see what it has to say. 😀

  13. 12z NAM Cape less than 1,000 with the exception of small area in southeastern MA where its just over 1,000. Lift index values -2 to -3. This at 5pm today. Those values not all impressive but enough for rumbles of thunder maybe a locally strong storm.

    1. 12Z 4KM NAM shows more convective precip than other models.
      1/2 inch in places. 😀

      I’ll believe that when I see it.

  15. WOW! The radar is lighting up like a Christmas tree!!!

    NOT!

    Not much out there at the moment. A few isolated cells N & W of Albany NY.
    So IF we are to see action between 3 and 6, then something best get firing. 😀

    1. I don’t think during the concert, however, depending upon what time you
      plan on arriving it is possible you will get wet, of course “assuming” a cell
      passes over Foxborough.

      Latest 17Z HRRR indicates some convection in the area of Foxborough
      around 22Z or 6PM. Again, that is one model. The NAMs also had about
      the same. It really depends upon exactly where the cells set up.

      As TK keeps reiterating, activity will be isolated.

      You “could” just as easily stay dry.

      To play it safe, I’d plan on it raining sometime during your arrival or tailgating if you are into that, but should be dry for the concert. Bring umbrellas just
      in case and you’ll be fine. ENJOY the show!!

      PS, Bring a towel and keep it dry so that you can wipe down the seats
      just in case they do get wet.

  18. OK, we are getting some action now all across Central and Western MA.
    True, still isolated, but it is out there.

    Keeping an eye on it for now. 😀

  22. I think our best shot at some widespread beneficial rain around here comes at the end of the month. The GFS for a few runs now has been advertising a strong cold front with a wave of low pressure ahead of it coming either out of the Gulf or up the East Coast. This is certainly something that we see often in the fall, and these type of storms usually bring us a decent amount of rain, since they tend to have a longer duration around here.

    Just something to keep an eye on over the next week or two. Until, enjoy the scattered convection this afternoon and showers on Sunday.

  23. Just got some “rainshine” here. We got a brief and moderate shower here with the sun coming out brightly.

  24. Getting Dark here, A nice blob on radar is approaching rapidly.
    How much rain will we get. I can monitor my rain gauge from the office.
    Will report.

  25. Looks like Except for Thursday and Friday of this week, that the rest of the month looks to be above to well above normal temperatures. Except for possible the time period around the 26.

      1. More thunder.

        My raingauge is on a bit of a delay as the Internet Bridge is only polled every minute or 2.

        Oh, Nice clap of Thunder.

  32. Sun’s out now. Received 0.06 inches at my house, unless there is a longer delay
    than I thought. Will check again in a bit.

    A real drought buster for sure. 😀

  34. The Boston storm produced only 2 cloud-to-ground strikes, and one was near you Dave. 😛 As expected these are mainly isolated and low lightning producers.

    1. I heard 4 claps of thunder, but apparently, only 2 were cloud to ground.
      One was definitely very near as it shook the building. 😀

  35. Taking bets. I finally figured out irrigation system….I think. I have it set to go at 5:30. Rain sensor is on as I’d feel really guilty watering it raining. Anyone want to place a bet it rains in Sutton at 5:30

    Disclaimer….it is a 24 Hr clock. Last time I intended for it to start at 2:30 am. It went off at 2:30 pm because I set it for 14:30. Sometimes I amaze myself.

  39. Surely looks like Foxborough is going to get Wet really soon.

    Too bad.

    At least it will be Dry for the Show.

    Go Get em Boss!

  40. Had a couple showers here in Plymouth, NH. It’s all moved through now though, and the front is definitely through; the dew point is crashing, down about 10 degrees in an hour!

    1. It cant get here soon enough !!

      Open house 6 to 8 pm tonight in our school and the upstairs floor is now rather toasty because of today.

  41. Interesting ….

    We all remember how much further Hermine ended up off the coastline ….

    and now Julia suddenly has gone from a projection this morning of meandering NNW into east-central Georgia, to an afternoon projected track of ENE out into the ocean.

  44. Dark clouds outside, and I heard thunder for the first time in more than a month. But there’s nothing on radar near me!

  45. Logan hit 90 again today. If my count is correct, day #22 of 90 degrees or higher.

    The record is 30 set in summer 1983. Do we get close??

  46. Ok Tom. It is 6:30ish. I’m ready to bet whether sprinklers went on. I’ll say they did. What will you say 🙂

  47. Were up to 31 days at 90 or higher at Bradley where inland record are kept. The record is 38 in 1983 second 35 in 2002.

        1. The President’s Day Storm snowfall total (27.5″) will never be legit at least in my mind regarding measurement techniques used whatever they were, but why are you so certain about the temps at Logan? It certainly felt like HHH today. Of course, even on those days that were nowhere near 90, it still felt hot sometimes, even with a stiff seabreeze.

          TK – Are you considering challenging those temps and reporting your thoughts to the NWS?

    1. That what’s the GFS has. One of these days, Eric will realize that the GFS has done this 5 days before a system about 8 or 9 times this summer and it’s verified maybe once. If I had a nickel for every time one of the TV guys said “it looks like this is the one that will finally give us some good rain” a few days in advance this summer, I’d be a rich man.

      1. I really wish all model forecast would stop being posted on TV weathercasts.

        The meteorologist should be giving their own forecast based on their own analysis.

        I don’t mind futurecast with clouds/precip, but specific #’s for temps, rain and snow, another story.

Comments are closed.