7:30AM
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)…
High pressure hangs on today with nice weather, a cold start and a pleasant afternoon. A warm front crosses the region slowly tonight and Wednesday with lots of clouds. A cold front approaches Thursday bringing a good chance of some wet weather. Dry and much cooler weather follows this for the end of the week.
TODAY: Sunshine most of the day, may fade late. Highs 50-58. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 38-46. Wind light SE to S.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 55-63 southern NH and northeastern MA, 60-68 elsewhere. Wind light SE to SW.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and possible thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and evening. Lows 52-60. Highs 62-70.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Windy. Lows 35-42. Highs 45-52.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 25-34. Highs 45-52.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)…
Mainly dry weather with moderating temperatures.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)…
Limited rain risk, temperatures mostly above normal.
Thank you TK
as I recall, it was warm at the start of November last year.
yep i remember because my last competition was abnormally warm. It was in the 60s.
🙂
That it was
Thank you TK!
Thanks TK
I hope this window pans out and we get some wintry precipitation.
Tweet from meteorologist Ben Noll
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/793235123076419584?lang=en
Another tweet from him.
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/793389938091790336?lang=en
We shall see. 😀
Good morning and thank you TK.
Another in a long line of beautiful days.
I am skeptical about the pattern change once we get past mid November. This feels like winter of 11-12 when pattern change is coming and as we know it never happened. Disappointing winter for snow lovers.
better not be a repeat of the crappy winter of 2012, Im racing for the first time since then.
Dr. Cohen’s AO Blog should come out tomorrow.
Let’s see if he has any updates for the upcoming Winter.
I am hoping here in CT we break this curse when there is accumulating snow in October the winter snowfall is below normal. Officially at Bradley last Thursday 1.5 inches fell.
Couple tweets from Judah Cohen
Clearly I set a challenge too high but here is a teaser – Eurasian #snowcover has achieved statistics not accomplished in at least 40 years
https://twitter.com/judah47/status/793186680970895360?lang=en
He did post this:
Judah Cohen @judah47 18h18 hours ago
@bullish_trader Read my blog tomorrow.
So, I guess it is coming out sometime today and not tomorrow. 😀
I wonder if some of this higher snow might have to do with a warmer Arctic Ocean that is taking in more and more heat with less and less ice cover.
Perhaps ocean effect snow or synoptic snow is increased at higher latitudes due to more moisture being available from the arctic.ocean.
higher water temps= more storms= more snow
Tom, Absolutely.
It is clearly stated in his blog that it is a contributing factor.
Fascinating read if you have not already read it. I read it
each week during the Winter season. It gets pretty damn technical, but it is awesome. He isn’t always correct, but he is very good at what he does.
Link:
https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation
Thanks.
I will give that a read later today !!
Thanks TK !
For you ski enthusiasts out there. Mt. Rose, Taho, NV web cams
http://skirose.com/the-mountain/web-cams/
I’m not convinced that Thursday is as warm as everyone is expecting, at least for part of the area. All of the models bring that warm front back through here as a backdoor Wednesday night. They lift it northward again as a warm front ahead of the low on Thursday, but differ on how far north it gets. The GFS/ECMWF both bring it up to about the MA/NH border and that’s it, the Canadian brings it up into south-central NH, and the NAM/WRF/SREF don’t bring it much past the Mass Pike.
Right now, I’d lean towards areas from the Merrimack Valley northward staying in the 50s for much of the day Thursday possibly popping into the 60s quickly just before the cold front comes through.
Thank you, TK!
Absolutely stunning November day. A 10 in my book. Autumn in New England never ceases to amaze me, as it does many people, including tourists from outside our region.
Matt, I just read your response to my post. It’s fantastic that you’re working on environmental and biodiversity measures. So crucial that we as stewards of our planet’s resources continue to monitor our environment.
Vicki, I just read your reply to my post on BB. I couldn’t agree more. Great coaches – especially in the ultimate team game of football – are goal-focused in the extreme, and demand loyalty and discipline. I admire Belichick for this. His personality rubs me the wrong way, however. This extends to his treatment of certain players (Welker comes to mind) and the media.
Joshua – true words.
And it certainly is a stunning Autumn day. I like your wording!!!
So my town posted a suvey on the town website asking what people thought on having trick or treating the last Saturday of October vs the actual day it fall on . I am beside myself . I’m so sick and tired of people messing with holidays . Let’s celebrate Xmas that way as well so we get the next day off . I’m so mad that such a question would even come up .
AGREE!
I hate Halloween so I would be happy if they did away with it all together. However, I do agree that they should just leave things well enough alone as far as the date of the celebration. Now, if asked if the Super Bowl should be moved to a Saturday I would be all in. 🙂
I really enjoyed handing out the candy last night. The joy on
those kids faces was priceless! My wife was with me for as long
as her back held out, but then she had to retire to the living room so I held the fort for the rest of the evening.
I like it EXCEPT when it falls on Saturday night and ruins
my weekend. That is the ONLY night I do not like it as much.
Agree also
I dunno. I think this area may be one of a handful that does trick or treat on actual Halloween. A lot of states/towns pick a day to do it. Usually on a Friday or Saturday.
I don’t see what the big deal is. Having smaller kids myself, I would prefer it on the weekend.
Not I. See above. I’d never want it on the weekend. 😀
It was always on the date in the meteowest area. I was surprised on the Sutton site how many asked when it would be. I’ve never known it not to be on oct 31
I enjoy Halloween along with handing out candy and seeing all the different costumes.
I go to my mom’s house and the both of us hand out candy since there is not many kids in the condo complex I live in. There were about 25 kids that came. We had more in 2014 and 2015 when Halloween was not on a school night.
Am enjoying the early evening on the deck. The most beautiful swan just flew literally only feet over my head. I do not recall ever seeing one in flight
Blue birds are playing everywhere. A dragonfly….carrying an angel on its wings…just landed and sat on my arm for a quick visit.
On the first day of a month that is horribly difficult for me for a couple of reasons, it is amazing to be reminded of beauty. What a night!!!
This is the best winter forecast I have seen yet. And there is a 100% chance that what it predicts for our area will actually verify 🙂
https://twitter.com/atmolife/status/791675045303226368/photo/1
Hahahaha. I needed a laugh. Thanks Matt
Whatever I can do to cheer you up Vicki! I know it must not be an easy time of year for you.
Sorry. That was supposed to say Mark. My eyes were a bit clouded with both happy and sad tears. And that sure made me laugh
Here’s another 2016-2017 winter forecast worth honorable mention…
https://twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/791773964624211968/photo/1
And then of course this one which is always a safe bet…
https://twitter.com/TerpWeather/status/783393213428146176/photo/1
Video of the “medicane” taking shape in the Mediterranean Sea and also some of the huge waves it produced in Malta.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/11/01/watch-this-rare-medicane-tropical-storm-take-shape-in-the-mediterranean/
This and other posts above all courtesy of the Capital Weather Gang.
Thank you for these
Mac and family spent summers sailing the Mediterranean and to Malta.
And you are on a roll giving me warm memories. Thank you again
Pretty neat storm !!
Vicki, we’ll try to keep you smiling all month !!
Thank you, Tom!! You all make me smile just knowing you!!
Had to post just a quick forecast today. Will try to expand on this later.