Friday Forecast

45 Comments

9:19AM

Veterans Day 2016 – thank you to all who have served this great country!

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)
Strong cold front passes today and brings a significant but brief shot of windy/colder weather tonight into Saturday, followed by a rapid moderation in temperature by Sunday and early next week. Some unsettled weather may arrive by next Tuesday depending on the development of low pressure over the eastern US. Details on this are fuzzy at the moment.
TODAY – VETERANS DAY: Partly cloudy morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 50-58 by midday but cooling into the 40s during the afternoon. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts morning, shifting to NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts midday and afternoon.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-50. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 24-35, coldest interior. Highs 50-58.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 32-40. Highs 52-60.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42-50. Highs 50-58.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Risk of unsettled weather at times during this period, favoring the first couple days. Unclear on the details of how this evolves yet, but will have to watch for coastal flooding either way very early in the period due to King Tides.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
A potentially stormy start to Thanksgiving week should give way to more tranquil conditions.

45 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  3. Dave,

    I was just going to ask the same question! Let’s hope for a little white nothing crazy but some that will put us in the holiday spirit!!

  6. We don’t usually start talking about snowstorm threats in mid November. They are still fairly rare for a while, though we were in the midst of one on this date back in 1987, and a rather powdery one northwest of Boston where I had about 5 1/2 inches here.

  8. The front appear to be very close to the Boston area.

    I see mostly NW winds to the North and West of Boston.

    Still 60 here, but the wind is picking up. Looks like front is through. Wind mostly
    from the North at the moment.

  9. Not for nothing, but the next rain threat appears to be diminishing with each model
    run. It’s still there, but not as strong and not as much rain. We shall see.

    Wouldn’t surprise me if we got nothing.

  11. Thank you, TK.

    Thank you to all of our veterans, past, present and future. Thank you to their families. We owe you a gratitude that can never be expressed in simple words.

  15. The storm prior to Thanksgiving on the 12z GFS starts as rain then goes over to snow wintry mix for parts of SNE. Long way off.

  16. Busy wind out there! Taking advantage of my day off and relative warmth to dig up the plants in the whisky barrels. I don’t think we’ve had a real frost here in Quincy. I noticed a touch of it on the garage roof earlier this week, but not on the grass. One of these days we’ll have that frost…

  19. Ok that was quick…

    I’ll announce the snowfall contest on tomorrow’s blog. We will have about 1 week or so to get the guesses in. I’d like it to be in place by the end of November 20, which is probably the date I’m issuing my long range forecast for the winter.

  20. Will it be the same places as last year. Worcester, Boston, Providence, and BDL in Windsor Locks, CT which already has 1.5 inches of snow that fell back on 10/27

      1. I also thought of tossing in a bonus city in NNE, like Burlington VT, to see if anyone likes the idea of below normal snow south, above normal north (hint hint).

        1. Yup 🙂 🙂 I snuck my outlook back in late October. I’ll just add a few more guesses depending on what locations are picked.

          I guess 56.3 inches of snow at Logan.

          Unlike recent winters, the most snow will fall to the north and west and in the mountains, where over 100 inches will fall in Concord, NH. Conversely, Plymouth, MA will see 37 inches and Hyannis on the Cape will see 21.5 inches.

        2. I don’t like the idea of below normal snow south and above north. I like to share the wealth. Boo

          Given that, We could use Burlington, VT, but what about
          Concord, NH? OR Portland, Me? What about Montpelier Vt?
          😀

          Even though I listed those, I really don’t care. Whatever you choose.

          1. Weak La Nina Winter…
            During the last few of them Boston has seen as many as 83 inches and as few as 9 inches for the season. Gives you an idea of the variability that can take place and how many other factors come into play.

            I’m imaging a # in my head that starts with 3 for Boston… 😉

            2. I denounce that forecast. I reject it soundly. I don’t like it at all.

              Another season with a “3”! Boo.

              3 what? 9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2,1,0?

              Middle of the road, another 35er???

  21. You guys make me laugh

    TK would you like me to keep totals again this year? I’d be happy to do so if I’m not stepping on anyone’s toes

  22. im on board with more North, but not so sure about below normal to the south I am thinking more towards average south, average to above northern areas. ( good if your a skier :D)

  24. Let us hope that this Tuesday coastal low stays weak.

    With the closest full moon since 1948, it simply won’t take much onshore flow to start causing coastal flooding.

    1. Models vary, but winds could be 15- 20 or perhaps higher along the coast and
      just off shore. I guess we’ll narrow that down with subsequent runs.

      1. With the expected king tides, this amount of wind on top
        of it would certainly contribute to “some” flooding. Difficult to
        say how much and how bad it would be.

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