7:30AM
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 14-18)
No big changes. A mild Monday, then a small low pressure area will come up the coast Tuesday with some rain for the region. This should move away by Wednesday though clearing may be slow to occur. Fair weather returns by Thursday. Watch for coastal flooding, mostly minor, with high tide cycles through Wednesday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 38-46. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 52-64, warmest southeastern areas. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible, shifting to SE and S later in the day.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-48. Highs 50-58.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 35-42. Highs 48-56.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 35-42. Highs 50-58.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 19-23)
Fair and mild November 19. Unsettled weather possible in the November 20-22 period depending on the evolution of low pressure and a frontal system near the East Coast. Fair and colder at the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 24-28)
Continued low confidence forecast. Small system may pass through early in the period and larger system may threaten later in the period.
Thank you, TK. Hope you continue to feel better.
Sak many of us on here would love to be in Dakota
for that storm
Too much too soon. The snow and wind – maybe. Subzero lows? Not ready for that yet.
That’ll be my headache for the week though. We forecast for 2 radio stations in Jamestown, ND and another in Sargent, NE.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Weather blahs continue…
Thank you.
Thanks TK !
Was there much overflow from the ocean in your area, Tom?
Vicki, not much here where I work. The marsh area overflowed up on to the street last month a few times. Today it just came out of sewer drain a tiny bit but not worse that last month. Tomorrow’s 11am tide is higher and Wednesday is almost as high as tomorrow. Tomorrow could be a little more interesting :).
Thank you, North. That is good news and I’ll keep my fingers crossed that the next two days are not bad.
Same as North, marshes underwater, high tide line to top of the beach, but no waves, so everything was good today.
More good news!!! Thank you both.
This is way out there, but this has possibilities.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016111412/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.png
A flip to cooler and potentially stormier looks likely by mid next week. I was looking for it to come a little earlier, but the present pattern has been stubborn. Hoping for some snow before the holidays this year. Late November/December have been disappointing in that regard of late. Can only take what we’re given though 🙂
Hope all who’ve been feeling poorly are on the mend; I’ve been under the weather myself and not in much of a posting mood but I’ve turned the corner on that. Didn’t miss much where the weather is concerned.
And a tough loss for the Pats last night; they were thoroughly outplayed and deserved to lose but it would’ve been great to see them pull it out at the end. They’ve got work to do.
The temp/dp differentials today and corresponding relative humidities are rather amazing today.
Surprised its not a red flag day (I guess the wind isn’t too strong)
Lot of brush fires out there today, regardless of red flag or not.
quick peak at 18z GFS total snowfall and I am in a snow hole. Areas to north of me showing snow and areas south across parts of Mid Atlantic show snow.
Coastal flood headlines are up for much of the New England coastline for tomorrow. Minor flooding for the most part. And some much needed rain.
Report saying Gronk punctured a lung last night?? I fell asleep so missed second half.
I watched the entire game and did not know about that. Are you sure Vicki?
I saw it on the news and we all know the news never lies 🙂 🙂
Seriously though, it is what is being reported.
Wouldn’t surprise me, he got popped real good on that one play. That’s what it’s like playing against a real defense.
He plays hard also and admitted in that call or non call that everyone is questioning that he go too aggressive.
It was a good clean hit by the defender. He went shoulder first. I was surprised the defender wasn’t hurt too.
I suspect we are talking about two different plays. I have no idea where his lung was punctured. I was just referring to the play that everyone thought should have been called pass interference.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=oOVNUAFLW5E
I did see that play and grimaced. I don’t think he saw it coming. My point was that even when D is hard that gronk plays harder than many too. It could be that is why he is injury prone. Certainly not in this play but in general.
0z GFS is dreaming of a White Thanksgiving for a pretty good chunk of SNE.
We shall see.
Euro?
Very short update again. Will try to expand more later. Have a very busy day and still on the ill side..
lots of time between now and then but here the differences in models for around Thanksgiving
Euro (hour 216)
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016111500/ecmwf_T850_us_10.png
EURO (Hour 240)
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016111500/ecmwf_T850_us_11.png
EURO tracks over southeast mass ( to warm of us for snow)
EPS ( EURO Ensemble)
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2016111500/ecmwf-ens_T850_mslp_us_11.png Takes it south
00z GFS (snowy)
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016111500/gfs_T850_us_40.png
the GEFS does not have it
The 06z gfs now has it as rain with the lakes system being dominate then secondary development and it just spins out in the Atlantic. Shooting periods of rain
an active pattern possibly forming yes, I just don’t think it will be in the form of snow or at least accumulating sno