Friday Forecast

33 Comments

7:23AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
High pressure brings nice weather today into Saturday, but clouds arrive both via the ocean and west later Saturday from systems approaching from each direction. The pattern then changes as low pressure from the west is the dominant of the 2 in terms of impact here, bringing some rain showers then a switch to windy and colder weather Sunday through Tuesday, with maybe even a few snow showers Sunday night into Monday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-60. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-40. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Sunshine into afternoon then increasing clouds. Highs 52-60.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Windy. Lows 40-48. Highs 48-55.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated snow showers. Windy. Lows 25-33. Highs 38-45.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Lows 23-30. Highs 40-48.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 23-27)
Still working out the details of a potential low pressure system and unsettled weather right about Thanksgiving. Another system or 2 may impact the region shortly thereafter but there is some uncertainty on just how the pattern sets up during Thanksgiving weekend. Leaning is chilly and somewhat unsettled.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 28-DECEMBER 2)
Watch for another possible storm system early to mid period as the pattern is more active.

33 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  1. Thanks, TK, hope your feeling better.
    I am thinking despite it being active its going to be wet rather than a mix or white

  4. Good morning TK and thank you.

    0Z Euro had something else in mind for us rather than what it had on the 12Z run. NOT even close. Tells me the models are having some trouble deciphering the volatile
    atmospheric conditions.

    GFS show storminess down the road, BUT wet and not white.

    I am wondering if this is the usual crap where models see cold down the road,
    only as we approach the cold NEVER arrives.

    Even this “cold” for Sunday-Tuesday, is a joke. Cooler than it has been? Yes, to be sure. Cold? Not a chance. Let’s see by Monday it will be 11/21 with a projected high of around 40ish. Yup, below average, but NOT a big deal by any stretch of the imagination AND I’ll wager the high predicted temp OVER achieves by a couple of degrees.

    We shall see.

  6. The new morning met on Ch. 7 never shows a 7-day forecast. Not just in between Today Show segments but even during the regular morning newscast.

        1. I hope they didn’t can him too. I thought he had been working nicely into the role of morning weather person. 7 seems to have a track record of just dumping people.

  8. The cold air in the Northern Hemisphere is firmly locked in place over north/central Asia, and has been for awhile. We’ll get some storm-driven cooling by early next week, but as Dave said nothing impressive. Pinning down where the large scale cold will be is tricky, because there’s almost always more warm than cold on synoptic and global scales. Still, it’s not necessarily bad news for winter weather lovers. It’s still very early in the season, and cold air and favorable storm tracks often end up wasted this time of year anyways. Probably best off if we wait another month for things to kick into gear. Have to work on building a snowpack to our north and west though. Need that source region to cool down.

    1. In spite of the snowstorm in the Great Plains into Minnesota and Great Lakes a warmup is expected again as early as Sunday so winter is by no means firmly established just yet.

    3. Great comment, WxWatcher. As I recall in winter 2014-2015 some had winter written off by mid-December and certainly into the start of January. I think you are wise to wait another month.

  9. An illustration of the lack of cold air ….

    We have a northerly surface flow today and inland areas are headed for 60F. The 60F isn’t unusual, but to have it on a northerly wind is. I’d expect a W or SW wind.

    1. Good point Tom. It seems that only the late evenings through early mornings have any real “chill” per se. Most daylight hours have been quite pleasant feeling temp wise, in spite of this month coming to a close fairly soon.

    2. As I recall, we had a comfortably warm November last year and perhaps into December. Wasn’t Christmas in the 60s or was that the year before?

      1. Last year. It was pretty close to 70F and the dewpoints were in the high 40s to mid 50s. It didn’t cool off much Christmas Eve night because I distinctly remember being out on the desk, shaking my head in disbelief at how warm it was. Then, on Christmas Day itself, it was in the high 50s to 60F.

        1. On Christmas Eve day I had on a very, very light summer jacket, but I might as well have been wearing a parka I was sweating that much.

          1. It was pretty much As it is now through December. One of those memories FB likes to remind you of popped up for me just now. It was of a fire in fire pit 3 years ago today. That would mean it was relatively warm or I would not have been sitting on deck to build it

      2. It’s 1 in Fairbanks, Ak with forecast lows in the -20s and highs in
        the -teens starting tonight. That’s a little better. It’s building and oozing in from Siberia as outlined in Dr. Cohen’s Blog. 😀

  12. I am very curious as to what the WBZ mets have to say tonight at 11 about the upcoming winter. I believe that they all combine their thoughts and put them together into one long range forecast. We will see.

  13. Channel 4 Winter forecast out.
    IF I got it correct, for the Boston Area the Winter would feature about Normal cold with above normal snow (55 inches for Boston, with 70 to 80 inches North and West
    of the City)

    This would appear to be quite different than TK’s take and quite possibly SAK’s take
    as well.

    Their assessment is in the vicinity of what I was thinking. I may end up going a bit lower or perhaps a bit higher. Have not yet decided completely, but that is in my
    ballpark.

    1. As a layman and a huge fan of Seinfeld I thought the segment was great and fun to watch. I also appreciated the respect they gave to BB by having him speak last – as opposed to the Chief Meteorologist Eric Fisher. Don’t get me wrong – I am a huge fan of Eric’s but all too often nowadays we seem to underappreciate and even disrespect our more learned, more senior pros.

      TK – missed that you are still on the rebound. Feel better soon!!

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