Sunday Forecast

34 Comments

11:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 4-8)
High pressure provides a nice December day to round out the first weekend of the final month of 2016. Winds which were brisk during the morning will relax during the afternoon. Things change quick around here, and clouds will sneak in tonight ahead of a weak area of low pressure that will pass just south of the region Monday, bringing a period of generally light precipitation, falling as mostly snow north and west of Boston, snow to mix/rain Boston area south. Look for minor snow accumulation (details below). Another slightly stronger low pressure area will approach Tuesday night and move into the region Wednesday but will be weakening as it does this, and with a little milder air in place, this one will be mostly mix/rain. Another low will try to form nearby Thursday. If it does so quickly enough, a period of rain to snow cannot be ruled out, but I believe it will evolve just far enough east to really bring just rain and snow showers to the region as colder air arrives.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing gradually.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Snow arrives southwestern NH and central MA pre-dawn. Lows 22-27 except 28-33 immediate coast. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Cloudy through mid afternoon with snow north and west of Boston amounting to a coating to 2 inches, greatest in higher elevations of north central MA to southwestern NH including Worcester and Fitchburg MA and Jaffrey NH. Snow/mix likely turning to rain from Boston/Providence southeastward with little or no accumulation. Clouds break late-day especially west of Boston. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH shifting to N late.
MONDAY NIGHT: Slow clearing. Watch for icy patches on untreated surfaces. Lows 23-32. Wind light N to NW.
TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 40-48. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with light mix/rain. Lows 30-38. Highs 38-45.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain/snow showers. Lows 32-40. Highs 40-48 but may turn much colder late.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 9-13)
Cold, windy, isolated snow showers Friday December 9. Fair, cold, but diminishing wind Saturday December 10. Next storm system threatens later December 11 into December 12, but track/timing uncertain at this point. Fair by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 14-18)
Milder overall, a couple Pacific systems may threaten with rain/mix during this period.

34 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK
    The big bad storm on the 12th that the 0z GFS showed last night looks like a wimpy system now. Some snow but no where near what the 0z run showed.

  3. Thank you, TK.

    Flurries on 9th would be fine. An all out storm would be great to 😉

    As upset as I am for Gronk – and with his talent, it breaks my heart more for him than the team – he was not having a great year to date due to injuries, etc.. We will be fine.

  4. Thanks TK !

    Still may not translate to a lot of snow, but I am surprised by the patterns turn to a chillier overall pattern. I would not have expected this a week ago.

    One of the chillier December stretches coming up that we have experienced in a while.

  5. Longshot’s Quizzes

    1) The earliest sunset of the year in Boston occurs on:

    A. 11/06
    B. 12/08
    C. 12/21
    D. 1/03

    2) Bonus question … the latest sunrise occurs on what date?

    3) Boston’s average high temperature in Boston starts at46 degrees and ends at …

    A. 47
    B. 43
    C. 38
    D. 32

    4) Boston’s average snowfall in December is …

    A. 9.0″
    B. 13.8″
    C. 18.6″
    D.23.4″

    Answers later today.

    1. They still were pretty anemic. They didn’t score one touchdown in the second half. The next 2 weeks will tell me what they’ll do in the playoffs. You can’t tell much by this week. The Rams are pretty bad.

  8. I wouldn’t expect the same results around here, but tomorrow’s system was a snowy surprise today for the Chicago area. Many 5-9″ snow reports across Illinois. Hoping for a couple inches up here in central NH.

    Pats: Physically dominant today, much better than what the scoreboard shows. Best news of the game was SG3 going 4 for 4. Still, that’s obviously yet another game we should be expected to win easily. Next two weeks are the test. At home against a very good Baltimore team, then away in Denver, where we have been awful of late. 26 points may not be enough in those games. Have to finish drives, and we’re missing the big play potential that Gronk brings.

      1. It’s hard to say. Offensively, like Blackstone said, it was plenty to beat LA. But it was very conservative much of the time, as it has been much of the season. Maybe they just don’t want to give too much away against a weak team, but they will need more than what they had today to beat good teams. I think they’re lacking big play ability. We’ll get a lot of answers the next couple weeks.

        The one thing I really liked was the pressure packages on defense. More of that in the future please!

        1. I’m enjoying watching M19 develop. Well…I’m simple enjoying the fact they are my team and I get to root for them.

  9. If anything drives home my point about drawing conclusions based on model forecasts, it’s the variety in the models (all models) between last night’s 00z, today’s 18z, and everything in between.

  10. I know it was totally meaningless, but the late Rams TD left a bad taste in my mouth.

    One of these times…

  12. I can not tell if the Thursday/Friday system the Euro has for this week slides to the south/over or north of the area.

  13. Answers to Quizzes.

    1) The earliest sunset of the year in Boston occurs on:

    A. 11/06
    B. 12/08
    C. 12/21
    D. 1/03

    The answer is B.

    2) Bonus question … the latest sunrise occurs on what date?

    I think the answer is 01/08.

    3) Boston’s average high temperature in Boston starts at46 degrees and ends at …

    A. 47
    B. 43
    C. 38
    D. 32

    The answer is C.

    4) Boston’s average snowfall in December is …

    A. 9.0″
    B. 13.8″
    C. 18.6″
    D.23.4″

    The answer is A.

  14. Thanks Lomgshot. I’m so confused by my answers. Next time I’ll post question number beside letter. Looked to me as if JJ had a clean sweep

  17. I was watching those games on NFL Redzone and it was cool to see football in the snow. This snow was light compared to a couple years ago when it looked like a blizzard for the first half of the Lions Eagles game in Philly.

    1. I like it when the field whitens some like today. But, you can still see the yard markers, etc. I don’t like as much when there’s so much snow that it’s a guess where they are on the field.

      2. John, you were not riding around Marshfield as Santa in a fire truck today were you? Daughter was at playground there with kids and they were treated to a wonderful surprise

    2. There may be one burst around 7 or 8AM that may briefly coat the roads. It won’t last long if it happens.

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