Sunday Forecast

61 Comments

11:41AM

Happy New Year to all of you! Wishing you all the best for 2017!

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 1-5)
High pressure provides a bright and breezy start to 2017 for this first day of the year, though there will be some passing diurnal clouds, cumulus and fractocumulus, blotting out the sun at times. A broad and complex low pressure area will approach Monday, first with a wave of low pressure developing on a warm front south of New England, sending cloudiness into the region though rain should hold off except possibly along the South Coast later in the day. The main low pressure area will then push through from southwest to northeast on Tuesday, bringing a more widespread rain to the region as it will be warm enough both surface and aloft to support just rain. This will be beyond the region by Wednesday which will be a dry and windy day, with a mild start and colder finish. Fair and chilly weather will dominate Thursday as we continue to be in a west to northwest flow pulling in colder air from Canada and the Great Lakes.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-20 interior valleys, 20-28 elsewhere. Wind diminishing to calm.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind light variable.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain favoring the South Coast early, spreading north overnight. Lows 33-40 evening, rising slightly later. Wind SE to E 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Highs 42-54, coolest southwestern NH north central MA, mildest southeastern MA. Wind E 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny and windy. Lows 35-42. Highs 43-50.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and windy. Lows 18-25. Highs 30-38.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 6-10)
Continuing to watch the period January 6-8 for the threat of some unsettled weather, with snow/mix favored if moisture is far enough north. There is about an equal chance at this point that this activity passes south of New England. Fair weather expected January 9-10.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 11-15)
Jet stream shifts back to the north with milder but at times unsettled weather. Low confidence this far out and will fine tune.

61 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  4. Thanks TK and Happy New Year to you and everyone on the blog. I look forward to another year blogging with all of you and tracking whatever weather comes are way in 2017.
    Here are my weather predictions for 2017. I look forward to reading all of yours. I will never forget Tom’s prediction on January 1st, 2013 when he predicted Boston would see a 20 inch snowstorm and it happened in the blizzard of 2013 in February.

    One widespread double digit snowstorm before winter is over
    BOS comes in with below normal snowfall above normal in Worcester. At Bradley the streak of having snowfall in October and below normal snowfall that winter continues although it will be about 10 inches below normal
    Last widespread snowfall second week of March
    Spring starts cool then ends on a warm note with first widespread 90s just before Memorial Day weekend
    June and July will be the months if were going to have severe weather. It is in that time I think SNE will have 2-3 weak tornadoes EF0 EF 1
    Summer overall will not be as hot as last summer but will still have above normal 90 degree days
    Hurricane season slightly above normal systems with an east coast threat in September
    Fall temps will be above normal
    First widespread snowfall will be in mid December and will last so we have a White Christmas
    Overall precipitation for the year below normal but not to the degree we had in 2016.

    1. Thanks for sharing JJ. I am really not into making long range predictions and when I do, I fail so miserably, it takes the fun out of trying.

      Perhaps I’ll give it a go later….

  5. JPDave give it a try. Its just for fun and then look back on December 31st and see if anything anybody predicted happened.

    1. Despite what I predicted for snow, I am now backing off.

      Boston (logan) comes in at 25.2 inches. (IF THAT!)
      Winter will become mostly more of the same, with brief interludes of cold
      with no significant pattern shift.

      SPRING will be MISERABLE! as it rotten to the core. Wet and COLD with CONSTANT EAST WIND!

      SUMMER will be beautiful with limited HHH weather with less than average
      90 degree days.

      Hurricane season will be near normal with 1 major making us landfall.

      Fall will likewise will be beautiful with very pleasant weather and temperatures.

      The beggining of next Winter will be mild.

      How’s that for pure bullshit. 😀 😀 😀

  6. Hello WHW Family!

    Had a brief power outage here at 12:01PM lasting about 5 minutes. Hopefully we’re back up for good. I don’t want to get messed up on this post!

    First, announcement! Sometime way back in the early days of 2016 if memory serves, our great and fearless and often weather-ruffled JP Dave began work on a project, which lead to a couple projects. Well, after effort that cannot really be described properly, phase one is complete enough to release, however it will be a limited release for now, only to Android Smartphone, and that is the Woods Hill Weather App! Going forward, this will be made available to other phones, and there will also be a desktop version coming at some point! I will keep you updated on these…

    If you would like to download the current version of the app and you have Android Smartphone, please email woodshillweather@gmail.com and the file will be sent to you. If you have trouble with it, either myself or more likely Dave will be able to help you. Tech is not my strong point, so I honestly don’t know how much help I will be.

    I think you’ll find the app very well put-together, but as will always be the case, please feel free to tell us what you like or don’t like about it, or what works and does not work. Tweaks are always a part of these things and we want it to be the best it can be. 🙂

    Apologies that it is only limited to Android Smartphone at first, but that will change!

  7. FANTASYLAND!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    12Z CMC DELIVERS big on the 8th after an OTS on the 6th. After hitting it sticks around ALA a NORLUN event. WOW! PURE FANTASY!!!!

    Here is the snow map for entertainment purposes only.

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017010112/gem_asnow_neus_32.png

    A couple of surface maps

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017010112/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_26.png

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017010112/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_27.png

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017010112/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_27.png

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017010112/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_27.png

      1. I would welcome it like you wouldn’t believe.

        I Thought we were all down on the CMC?

        Let’s see IF the EURO joins forces. 😀

    2. move that heavy stuff North and west of Boston. It always seems we are either to warm or the storm is to far south to give us the heavier stuff here in southern Merrimack valley area. Its not called the snow eater for nothing ( name that is flown around even in Lowell but was used here in Billerica all the time)

  9. TK’s Half Science & Half Fun Predictions For 2017 (the question is, which ones are are scientific and which ones are just for fun?) 😉

    *Winter (January into March) will continue to be mostly as it has been but will show occasional mood swings, sometimes short-lived and rather pronounced. We may tilt to the cold side of normal through somewhere later in January of February for up to 3 weeks, and it may repeat again in March. These would be our greatest chances of getting larger snowstorms, but I feel that these will be limited and fleeting chances. Much of the rest of the time, look for the pattern of December to be somewhat the overall pattern, although one colder tilt of the see-saw is coming up in the January 5-10 period.

    *A couple of exceedingly warm to hot days will occur in April when the SE Ridge swells to dominate much of the East.

    *Drought continues well into Spring, but a shift to a wetter than normal pattern during the month of May 2017 will be the beginning of the end of the drought, although it will likely take several months to eliminate the majority of the precipitation deficit. Just before this happens, parts of New England will see a late season snowstorm in early May which will make people overreact given that we had a couple days in the 80s and 90s in April. But hey, this is New England, and it’s nothing really new at all…

    *Summer 2017 will feature 2 kinds of weather in medium to long stretches. 1) Cool and dry shots followed by rapid warm-ups which will constitute about 1/3 of the days. 2) Stretches of very warm to hot, humid weather with frequent episodes of showers and thunderstorms, which will make up about 2/3 of the days but feel like more as they will be quite oppressive. However, during the course of the summer, much of the region will have received beneficial rainfall going a long way to reducing the drought.

    *2017 is going to be the year we finally get a landfalling hurricane in New England, the first in a long time. It will occur between August 27 and September 20.

    *After a warm to hot but wet September, October will shift to very cool and continued wet. This will continue in November where excessive rainfall may occur in the early part of the month. By mid November, the drought will be gone in parts of the region and greatly reduced eleswhere.

    *The second half of November will be dry and cold.

    *December will start out cold and snowy and an early snowcover will reduce what would have been a milder month. Much of southern New England will have a landscape of white for the holiday season even though after the very snowy start it may end up dry with minor snow events for the rest of the month. Warm-ups will be brief, and cold will be dominant as we count down the final days of 2017.

    1. Awesome! Feel free to tell anyone about it that has Android Smartphone, give them the email and we’ll hook them up!

  11. Thanks TK. That is awesome news about the app! Looking forward to when it’s released for the IPhone!

  13. Wow. TK and JPDave I am in awe. How special. And amazingly exciting

    Sadly, I don’t have an android. But will enjoy the anticipation of the apps release for the iPhone.

    I’m so proud to be part of this blog and this family

    2. This is brilliant! Looking forward to using it on my iPad.

      Will there be a version for a Verizon LG flip phone? :):):)

  15. Euro isn’t buying what the CMC is selling. A little light snow on the 5th, 7th and then a CUTTER on the 11th.

  16. A couple of more screen shots for app.

    Just a sample of the weather options from the menu.

    http://imgur.com/a/v6apm

    Developing the app for Apple is a different animal. I am currently working on that
    and hope to have it down the road a bit. The desk top version for windows is virtually complete. That will be available soon. 😀

    Desktop screen shot:

    http://imgur.com/a/uplGk

    2. This is phenomenal. I was hoping you would post some screen shots. I cannot wait to get my hands on it. My buttons are bursting

        1. Well, yes, that is impressive, but since it is rain, I really
          didn’t look at that feature. 😀

  19. Happy 2017, everyone!

    It’s WAY too early to write off the winter even though we’re stuck in a holding pattern of brief shots of `cold’ air followed by mostly mild storms for SNE and some snow up north. The weather over the continental 48 is VERY different from last year, and also different from 2011-2012. In other words, it’s not the mild regime we had in those two winters. There’s plenty of cold air in the northern tier. It’s just the jet stream that’s working against us at this point in time. That can easily change.

  21. Thanks TK, and congratulations on the app launch! I’ll await the iPhone version 🙂

    Road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxboro! Should be a fun couple weeks.

  22. TK, can’t thank you enough for providing such an informative and fun place for us weather nuts to gather. And thank you JPD for taking on the app project. Very much looking forward to the iPhone launch. I am honored to be a part of the WHW family. Happy New Year to all.

  23. Happy New Year to you all!

    I’d like to echo and add to everyone’s comments about this blog. You’re right, Sue (and others), this is a fun and “exciting” place to be, especially when big weather starts moving in.

    Thank you, TK, for all of your time, efforts and expertise.

    My mom, who told me about this site, is all y’all’s biggest fan. Although she does not post here, she checks in frequently and feels like knows all of you!!!!

    Hi mom!

    Patriots got us all in a great mood to start the new year with a big win in Miami.

    Health and happiness to all in WHW Nation in 2017!!!

    Cheers!

  24. The app sounds and looks great! I will look forward to the iPhone version. Perhaps that will include ” Charlie Hole” predictive functionality!?? Happy New Year!

  25. Great app, both in appearance and functionality.

    Just throwing out an idea and I am willing to be voted down…….How about a function on the app where we can post pictures of ourselves. Wouldn’t you like to see what we all look like?

  26. Re: Android app:

    Thanks to you, TK and JPD, for developing this! Deeply appreciated.

    Bugs on my end: It did download properly and it’s on the phone.

    This afternoon, it gave me the weather conditions and the forecast for Espoo, Finland. I keep checking the phone’s download file for my round trip tickets to visit Espoo, courtesy of WHW.

    Now, I have two nice photos of the Boston skyline, but nothing else. The Weather Options Menu doesn’t open, nor can I change the city. I have a sample, summer 5-Day Outlook on the lower half.

    I uninstalled and reinstalled the app and nothing changed. Is there a setting or something that I am not doing?

    Technology is not always my strong suit.

    Thanks kindly for any help. Catch you later when I return from Espoo!!!!

    2. Capt.

      Nothing sounds right. When you can’t enter a city and the options menu
      doesn’t work, it usually means that you have no internet connection.

      I’m not sure we should clog up the blog with troubles, so please feel free to email me specifics at: dhinchli@comcast.net

      If you have not done so already, uninstall the app.

      Before you download the file again, make sure that you have
      USB Debugging set under “Developer Options” under your phone’s
      main settings.

      Make sure internet is functioning. Try the blog or google or whatever.

      Download and install again.

      If it doesn’t work, please email me at the above address. Please include
      the model phone you have.

      Many thanks and good luck.

      Regards,

      JPdave

    1. Saw that this am Philip. Very sad. Mac and I were huge MASH fans

      Short story. When mom and I visited Rudy Vallee (who you say) he took us to 20th century fox. I wanted to meet cast of Mod Squad (what is that you say). We walked through the indoor MASH set as it was their first year. The cast was milling around. Didn’t interest me as I just wanted to meet Michael cole (who you say again). In my early 20s I had one thing on my mind…sort of 🙂

  30. Looking at the GEFS and EPS doesn’t give much encouragement for the snow and cold enthusiasts. After next weekend, the ensembles show a little torchiness (as much as u can torch January I guess). Looks ugly in the 10-15 range. EPO look to relax back toward neutral. IMO, that EPO look will tell you when a cold shot is coming. At this point to me, it’s all about the Pacific. I think the pattern we see is what we get for the winter. Cold shots with over running events to bring us any snow. That SE ridge keeps popping up along with a zonal flow. I think that feature keeps the coastal chances below normal. Maybe we get lucky and get a look for a couple weeks more favorable for a Miller B, but it would have to come together.
    I can’t remember what my snowfall number was, but I guess I’ll stick by it. I think it was 28″? Lots of winter left, it just started. But it appears it’s a northern New England winter. Just as well for me since I see not much use for a ton of snow outside ski areas.
    I’ll go for an early spring. And ill be honest, one reason is simply because I want it. The more rational reason is I think that SE ridge is going to be a semi permanent feature for awhile. By the time climo catches up in late march into early April, that feature should warm us up earlier and maybe bring us a little warmer and wetter weather by mid April into May than we saw last year. Summer should be pretty close to last year. Maybe a touch more humid.

    1. Cool. Whatever we get works for me. I had window open about 2 feet beside me for most of the evening. My mind must somehow have been thinking spring.

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