Wednesday Forecast

60 Comments

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 1-5)
Low pressure trough weakens over the region today with lingering clouds and possibly a snow shower. Cold front arrives Thursday with a few snow showers/squalls possible. Dry and colder for Friday and Saturday as high pressure builds in. A broad split low pressure system approaches later Sunday likely bringing a few snow showers at night.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A passing snow shower possible. Highs 32-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH early, then W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-28. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered snow showers/squalls in the afternoon. Highs 30-38. Wind W 10-20 MPH shifting to NW late.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 15-23. Highs 28-35.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 12-20. Highs 28-35.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow showers at night. Lows 10-18. Highs 32-40.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 6-10)
Next storm threat comes about the middle of the period, but too far away to be sure of track of system. All solutions are on the table.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 11-15)
Weather looks fairly quiet and seasonably chilly during this period.

60 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  3. Seems like its been wet at some form 2-3 days a week for a long time. Then summer rolls around and it won’t rain significantly for months.

  4. We got 1.5 inches of snow here in Sudbury. This little snowstorm (if you want to call it a storm) at least makes it look like winter outside! Very pretty outside – a snowy scene with a sky with patches of blue and clouds.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Received a Whopping 1.5 inches. WOW! Call out the National Guard!

    So, what happened to SNOW SQUALLS for today?

    I’m not liking the weather coming up. Not one bit.

    BRING ON SPRING, I’m ready.

      1. Tk, did indicate that the 2nd half of February could get interesting.
        Hope so. today in the 40s again. Tomorrow will top out close
        to 40 as well.

        Cooler this weekend, then milder yet again.

        To me, if it’s not going to snow, then let it be Spring.

        After many many years, I have been back into the fishing the last few years and I haven’t been since last September, so I am
        kind of looking forward to that. Trout usually get stocked in March, so I’ll be ready anytime after mid-march or so.

        Because I want to fish, we’ll probably have a snow blitz followed
        by a monsoon.

        1. My older son is finally able to fish on his own. We have a pond across the street that you can only access via the private property of the home owners on the pond. My son is a bit of a social butterfly and has managed to make friends with the neighbors. On nice days he comes home from school and grabs his tackle box and heads to the dock. He has even caught some bass with hot dogs if he has no other bait. 🙂 I hope you catch some big ones this season JPD!

    1. No, only in shitty snow years where not much happens by 2/1. 😀

      I want to hold you too an interesting 2nd 1/2 of February, but I know you
      have no control over the weather. I just hope your are correct. You’re insight
      is usually spot on, so here’s hoping. 😀

      Seriously, I’m ready for SPRING.

  10. Thank you, TK.

    It’s a very pretty snow cover. Clearly not much of a storm (it was indeed never forecast to become one), but I’ll take any scraps of winter I can this year.

    Yesterday’s drive to Vermont was uneventful in terms of traffic. Yay! Once I got on 89N just beyond Concord, NH, there was a consistent snowpack everywhere. I’d say around 6 inches of a crusty snowpack in Hanover, NH. Mountains and hills had plenty more than they did last year. That’s for sure. I believe that they will be getting more snow today. At least that’s what they were telling me in Vermont yesterday.

  11. Well it was a nice day.

    There was a shooting in the building across the street from my office. The building
    is locked down. We were to have an all staff meeting in that building at 10AM.

    Swarms of police and detectives around.

  12. Could be a front end thump of snow late Tuesday before it goes to rain according to Taunton. Yesterday looked like a complete rainorama for that system. Lets see how this trends.

  13. First part of February look pretty quiet to me.
    I think the second half of the month activity TK alluded to is partly due to an MJO that’s projected to be in phase 7, 8, and 1 during the back half of the month. He can correct me if I’m wrong. That’s usually an indicator of some snow chances. It’s been in those phases before and nothing happened. But, the wave strength was weak sauce. This time its a little stronger, but we’ll see. I expect the other teles to continue to bounce around without much “locking” to any consistent pattern.
    Bout another 6 weeks realistically to get some deep winter. After the ides of March, it gets tougher and tougher

  14. If Ms. G sees her shadow tomorrow it’s six more weeks of winter, even according to the calendar. 😉

  15. Well will be nice to turn off the oil for a few more days and cut over to the heat pump. My old ranch heated much better with the oil but going to a larger house has had the opposite effect. The house never gets really warm on the oil. Oh well in a few months I won’t need it.

  18. 12Z GFS wants to give us a thump of SNOW next Tues night into Wednesday AM
    before going over to RAIN while cutting through the Lakes. This cutter bumps
    into a pretty solid dome of COLD air, but eventually wins out.

    Given that this is 6-7 days out, is there room for a coastal redevelopment of
    some kind here? Some cold air damming with perhaps a transition to sleet
    and then ice inland? Sounds like a mess no matter what.

    I want to see what the Euro has to say about this.

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2017020112&time=72&var=ASNOWI&hour=165

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2017020112&var=PCPPRSTMP_2m&hour=165

    1. Looks like a kitchen sink storm to me, at least at the coast. Mountains could do well with plenty of heavy, wet snow.

      1. I bet it scared her a ton. I had seen it in the news but had no idea it was close to you or I would have been even more worried than I was.

    1. Want it to come a little further east to scour out any low level cold that might hang tough and give us ice.

  24. Anywhere south of about 35 degrees latitude, its sunny and in the low – mid 70s. I’m envious to say the least. Wilmington, NC …. Atlanta, GA …. and all points southward.

      1. My bet is that April features plenty of days with low clouds, fog, drizzle, and temps in the 40s within 50 miles of the coast – as it always does.

  25. Actually, the 12Z Run of the Euro has “some” snow and Ice up front with that
    system. Not as much as the GFS, but still some. Like 4 or 5 inches for Boston and
    up to 7 or 8 inches inland. More up North.

  26. The way this winter is going I will take a front end thump.
    As of February 1st BDL has 20.1 inches of snow so far. I am not sure how the rest of the cities we made predictions are at snowfall wise for the season.

  28. JP Dave, I’m sorry you had to deal with the gun situation close to your work (and in a public school district headquarter).

    In the 1980s I lived in Britain for a year. One of the first things I noticed was that the police didn’t carry guns. Most police in Britain still don’t. I never felt as safe in a place as I did in Britain. This is not to say things didn’t happen. They most certainly did. On occasion, you’d read about a gruesome murder – usually a stabbing or strangulation – and it would be a huge news item. And then there were the pub fights that broke out frequently, as well as hooliganism during certain soccer matches. The bobbies (British police) would assert their authority using billy clubs. But, in terms of violent crime it was tame compared to what we experience in the U.S. and also what I had experienced in Holland (where gun crime and violence is a problem, though not as bad as here). The most frightening aspect of living in Britain at the time was the IRA. The IRA terrorist threat impacted daily life. It wasn’t scary per se (chances of being killed in a a terrorist attack are extremely low), but there were backpack checks in department stores, train stations, and even university exam halls.

    1. Mac’s sister lived in London around that time also. When they lived in Rome, they had the red brigade. Mac was there for high school years and then returned to the states for college. His parents were there 25 years. Mac’s dad had regular seminars in what to do if kidnapped. Mac’s moms car was bombed because she was an Ameeican. Even when Mac and I were there, the tension was palpable. Mac’s dad…who was a staunch republican….repeatedly said that when terror reaches our shore we will not know what to do with it. I’m sometimes glad he he not here to see the country he loved. He was naturalized. And then sometimes I wish he were so I could just talk with him.

    1. I agree with you Vicki. Whatever snow we have had so far this winter, it doesn’t stay on the ground more than a full day or two…maybe 3 or 4 at the most in certain sheltered locations? And I thought last winter 2015-16 was strange…

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