12:49PM
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 4-8)
A harsh reminder that just because it’s March, winter is not over. Arctic air has invaded and though it’s only here for a short visit, you’ll feel it if you’re out there through Sunday morning, with lots of wind making it feel even colder! Recovery begins Sunday midday and afternoon under strong March sunshine which we will see much more of than today which features “cold air advection” clouds traversing the region from north to south and also some ocean-effect clouds over parts of outer Cape Cod. But changes are quick-coming and Monday it moderates more and clouds start to roll in ahead of a warm front which will come through by early Tuesday, putting us back into very mild air. A cold front sweeps through by early Wednesday but that day itself will also be quite mild as the colder air behind that is likely to be locked behind a secondary front which will still be northwest of our area at that time.
TODAY: Clouds & sun. Isolated snow flurries. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 15-30 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often below zero.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 5-11 except 12-18 coast/urban areas. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often below zero.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Lows 12-20. Highs 42-50.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 40-48. Highs 50-58.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows 40-48. Highs 52-60.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 9-13)
Windy/colder/dry March 9 behind secondary cold front mentioned above. Warm air attempts to return by March 10 but may result in some light precipitation of the frozen variety. May turn quite mild for the weekend of March 11-12 and eventually wet before colder air returns at the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 14-18)
Some up and down temps here but probably averaging the colder side of normal but with mainly dry weather.
So just because you don’t see alot of “snow” mentioned above, don’t declare the threats over. The pattern in general turns interesting March 15-25. We’ll see what comes of it.
Thank you, TK
So snow it is 🙂 🙂 🙂
Well…
I didn’t say that yet. 😛
Hehe. Hence my laughing faces ….. But the potential is there 😉
We are all too familiar with that word: “potential”. 😛
I know…..but you also know I know 🙂
Oh I certainly know that you know, and I also know that you know that I know. You know? 🙂
Thanks, TK.
Exhilarating early this morning. I know, I’m addicted to cold. Well, it’s better than being addicted to heroin.
From the models and forecasts it looks like we’re in for a March roller coaster ride, as old man winter hangs on for dear life, gets beaten back by spring fever teases from time to time, only to reassert his grumpiness just when people think they’ve got it all figured out. Sounds like a typical New England March. If we could repeat March of 1956 that would be great. Probably not going to happen, but one never knows.
Exhilarating now Joshua – I’m addicted too, to sunshine and blue skies and wild icy winds and passing snowflakes, all at once a few minutes ago. It’s a beautiful day.
I like the way you both think. I am cooking out tonight. There is something about this weather that charges you
Yes!
🙂
And thank you TK, learning so much from your discussions.
A pleasure to provide those and have others here to add their thoughts as well!
Blue skies and icy temps in Kimmirut also: -23.5°C (-10.3°F) Thanks Joshua for your links to their webcam. I love checking them out because the’re almost due north of us.
Not sure how to add a link but maybe this will work?
http://www.camcentral.com/camviewer.php?script=listings&task=list&item=location&show=Canada&page=5&id=17446
Yes, it works.
March 1956!!!
WOW! that would be something!!!!
Well now. The 12Z Euro looks different than the 0Z. For starters we have this:
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2017030412®ion=USA&var=PRMSL_msl&hour=192
This would be a RAIN MAKER for SNE with perhaps a ton of Snow up North.
Need to watch next few frames. 😀
If by “up north” you mean “North of the Pike”, then yes. Of course, taking it literally 8 days out is ridiculous to begin in.
Of course.
sak we know that, just stating what the models are saying, its a weather blog.
I have a very strong feeling this panel will look nothing like this when its a current weather map. 😉
Likey so.
Are there any particular indicators that this March could be similar to 1956? A few years before my time. From what I have been told over the years, the middle of this month was not very fun around here that year.
I don’t really look much into analogs unless I really feel they apply.
I can say with confidence that the month that will most resemble March 2017 is…March 2017. 🙂
Thanks TK !
So, at 11:54 pm last night, Logan reported 21F and I don’t think it’s recovered to that today, unless it did between obs.
So, depending on what happens at 3 and 4pm, Logan may be tying the lowest high temp for today’s date, which I believe is 21F. However, in reality, it has been a few degrees colder during the daylight hours today, which I think is notable.
Thank you, Tom.
21.3 here with -10 DP
As long as we don’t have this….which I found on my March 13 hunt.
http://www.newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/great-new-england-flood-1936/
Other March madness….perhaps a different kind that we refer to now?
http://capeandislands.org/post/eight-historic-new-england-march-snowstorms#stream/0
Oh boy …. We’re never truly out of the woods until well into spring. 🙂 🙂 🙂
For sure. We have April 29 and May 9 to get past 🙂
Awesome stuff. Thanks
Neat …… Seen some additional old photos of flooding in Lowell from this event.
I was wondering if you had since you know the area well. I hadn’t known about this.
I know it’s not fun for home and business owners when it’s in flood, but the Merrimack River has some great spots to watch, when it’s in flood. Pawtucket Falls up by UMass Lowell, followed by a short stretch of white water Rapids due to a rocky surface bed, puts on a great show. And then down river, there are low lying areas on rte 110 or 113 that get flooded easily.
Thank you for sharing. The power of the Merrimack has fascinated me from the time when I was young and we used to drive along it to visit my grandparents in Manchester and also to get north before the “big highways” came to be.
Out and about. IT’S chilly out there.
Sun is warm, but air is cold.
Saw snow guns blasting at blue hill.
20 at Logan as of 3pm. No idea what high was.
The problem with the Euro was my service was slow, so I couldn’t see an in between panel. 12Z Euro still has quite a snow event for 3/12. Most snow North of Pike, but
Boston area still in line for 8 or 9 inches or so.
Again, today is 3/4, so 3/12 is 8 days out. How many times does a surface map
depicted 8 days out actually verify exactly?
Given the GFS has a cutter, I am wondering if the Euro resolves itself into a cutter
eventually? OR the GFS comes around to the Euro. No way of knowing right now.
For amusement only, here is the snow map fo 3/12.
http://imgur.com/a/ZDfiM
Almost all of this is from 3/12, however a small amount comes from some lighter
stuff on 3/10,3/11.
The answer to the question: Never.
😀
I din’t think that the answer was anything but that.
ok, so today was just plain awful. This cold has to have come from out space. I HATE winter when it’s like this.
March 29, 1984 should have been included on the list of March snowstorms in NE.
New post!