Tuesday Forecast

116 Comments

7:41AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 4-8)
Stormy pattern this period as described in yesterday’s blog. Trough hangs on with unsettled weather through Saturday.
TODAY: Overcast. Rain likely, possibly heavy at times through midday then lighter with more drizzle and showers this afternoon. Highs 41-48. Wind SE to E 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Patchy fog. Rain showers early. Areas of drizzle. Lows 35-42. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog and drizzle. Highs 46-53. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely, especially afternoon and evening. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 35-42. Highs 44-51.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 37-44. Highs 45-52.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix showers. Lows 34-40. Highs 40-47.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 9-13)
A warmer period of weather with more limited rain shower activity. Details to come as we get closer.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 14-18)
Temps go down and up with passing systems but no major storms expected.

116 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  3. Thank you, TK. I know this isn’t weather that is popular with many and sure understand that. But I love a rainy day.

  5. So what’s the chances of Sunday turning out sunny and in the mid 50’s as advertised on around the dial graphs posted here yesterday . Thinking about starting the side work.

    1. My rain gauge is currently reading .78 inches at my house in Lakeville. That’s quite a bit of rain since it was barely raining when I left my house at 6:30 this morning.

      1. I’m up to 0.52 in JP

        Last night, Harvey indicated that farther South the rain amounts would be higher. 😀

      3. Up to .84″

        Unfortunately my yard and basement would rather not have the heavier rain. It was starting to get squishy out there before this storm. Who knows what it’s like now.

  12. The Taunton River (at Bridgewater) continues to be and is forecast to stay in Minor Flood stage until at least Friday.

    1. You think you are old??? I’m old enough that it was after the time I was watching cartoon type shows. Yikes

    2. I’m so Old I don’t remember it.
      Seriously, I have NEVER heard of Lancelot Link Secret Chimp.
      Never in my life.

  16. Heavy snow up in Maine, well, way up in Maine: https://weather.com/weather/alerts/localalerts/l/USME0194:1:US?phenomena=WS&significance=W&areaid=MEZ009&office=KGYX&etn=0011

    It basically snows there through the middle of May and then starts up again by the end of October.

    And now onto a place where Spring is a real phenomenon: http://knmi.nl/nederland-nu/weer/verwachtingen – Essentially no rain all week, not much wind, partly cloudy skies and temps in the 50s and 60s.

    1. I’m actually surprised 4-7″ of snow qualifies as winter storm warning criteria up there

  18. WBZ is reporting that the access road to Woloski Park in Middleborough is under 2.5′ of water. The only way to get down there is by boat. That’s the area that’s in Minor Flood stage from the Taunton River.

  19. We’ve had some flakes and sleet pellets mixed in with the rain all day here in Plymouth, NH. No accumulation with temperatures around 35F, it’s been more rain than snow anyways.

    A possible discussion topic for the blog, since I know we have this debate often… JJ posted the SPC outlook for tomorrow. A major severe thunderstorm/tornado outbreak is looking increasingly likely. Because of the threat, some schools in the Southeast have already cancelled classes for tomorrow, and more are sure to follow. Good idea or no? I’m a big believer in the “case-by-case” approach to school decisions, but if nothing else it should be made known that perhaps New England isn’t the only region that has “gone soft” when it comes to weather related school decisions.

    2. There is no solid evidence either way whether or not the children are safer at home or at school. The bottom line is this: Education about what to do in the event of a warning is needed in any location.

      1. If there is a storm cellar/safe storm shelter at home, then
        that is the place to be.

        Unless there is adequate safe shelter at school, keep them home.

        Again, I give you Moore, Ok.

        If it were I, I’d keep my children home anyway and I’d stay home from work and I’d have a shelter and put everyone in there
        when it is time or all day or all afternoon if necessary.

        We were traumatized watching/hearing the ordeals of the children, parents and teachers at Moore, OK. I can’t begin
        to imagine what it would be like to be in that situation. Parents showing up at school not even knowing if their child was alive or dead.

        Keep em home.

        End of rant. Sorry, but just the way I feel about it.

        1. Excellent discussion and excellent points by WeatherWx and TK.

          I’ll agree with JPD. I would keep my kids/grands home and I would stay home. I suspect many might even be safer in schools if they were to go to a home that is in a trailer park. But in that case, I’d have schools be shelters. And if something does happen, those schools may well need to be used for shelter purposes.

          Kids feel safer at home. Watching and listening to kids after earthquakes or even in Atlanta when the kids all were stuck in school, the trauma was nearly as much being separated from parents as it was the event itself.

          Everyone here knows I feel it is better to ere on the side of caution and to do what is best overall for children. I’m not particular soft since son walked the Appalachian on his own for several weeks a few summers ago and 100 lb daughter trained and jumped a several ton young horse.

          Either way – it is good to hear this happens when snow is not involved and a fun discussion!

      2. TK – I thought more about the education aspect. I wonder if they do have tornado drills at schools in tornado prone areas? Do you or your weather spotters know? That is a REALLY good point.

        We have all sorts of drills in our schools but not tornado that I am aware of. I’m not sure the kids should, but the staff sure should. Does anyone know a teacher we could ask 😉

        1. Even IF they do, how many of the schools honestly and truly have genuine SAFE shelters?

          Moore, OK is in about as Tornado prone area as you can get and those damn schools had NO shelters. Those poor kids were huddled in the hallways. That is what I call PISS_POOR PREPARATION and someone made
          a POOR decision when it came time to spend the money
          to provide safe shelter. I guarantee it was determined to be TOO expensive and some bobble head said
          there will never be a tornado that will strike the school.
          OR something along those lines.

          Sorry I ranted again, but that Moore situation really
          pissed me off.

          We were down near there a matter of hours after it occurred. When we landed in Dallas, Tx we could see
          all sorts of relief being readied for them. My son was
          in Oklahoma only hours before it struck. He drove to Fort Worth, TX from Edmond, OK a couple of hours before the tornado struck Moore and drove on one of the highways it crossed.

          When we were there we stayed in Fort Worth and were smack in the middle of a big tornado watch the very next day. Fortunately, nothing but garden variety storms rolled through.

    3. Out of curiosity: what makes you think new England has “gone soft” when it comes to weather related school decisions?

  21. It was poring buckets here a few minutes ago, so much so it was rattling the roof.

    At home in JP, up to 0.76 inch on the day.

  22. Radar looks pretty interesting right now. A large area of very light fog/drizzle with cells embedded within.

  23. To me air on the side of caution when it comes to closing schools tomorrow in the areas that COULD have destructive thunderstorms tomorrow. The atmosphere down there tomorrow is juiced up.

  24. NOT that I am complaining, but snow chances are severely limited around these
    parts when there are nothing but squadrons of cutters lined up for the foreseeable future. 😀 😀 😀

    1. Well the GFS and CMC were advertising cutters, while the Euro has something else but it comes when it is WAAAAAAAAAAAY too warm. FINE with me.

  26. It looks like two rounds of potential severe weather down in southeast with the warm front and later on with the cold front. Open up the Gulf of Mexico and get those dew points up and get hours of clearing after the warm front then look out. Hopefully the clouds and rain will hang tough throughout the day.

  27. Tornado drills are regular occurrences throughout the South and Midwest. The problem is, if they cancelled classes every time there was a risk of severe thunderstorms, it would take about 2 years to finish 1 grade. This is why a case-by-case basis works and all schools should be equipped with an adequate safe place for all students. I know they strive to do this in the severe-prone areas.

    Not every home has a storm shelter, even in tornado alley, though the majority do. They are going to be at some risk no matter where they are. Moore was a very tragic occurrence but such a case is very much an exception rather than the rule.

    1. I thought they must have to have the drills. And I agree about case by case and always have. I will, however, defer to the experts in the area. And as both JPD and I have said, everyone has the option to keep their kids at home.

      I have not had a chance to read about this instance. Wx said it is “A major severe thunderstorm/tornado outbreak is looking increasingly likely.” To me that justifies keeping kids home. But I just don’t know the demographics of the area. I guess that is why I feel it is important to let those who do make the call and definitely, as you said, case by case.

      I thought back when Moore occurred that JPD and I did some digging and were very surprised to find that not as many homes had storm shelters as we had thought. It may have been the newer type of shelter we had found. TK, by storm shelter, can that mean not much more than a hole in the ground with a door of sorts to close over it?

      1. Unfortunately, the best and safest storm shelters have a significant
        cost to them. AND homes in the area generally do NOT
        have basements, therefore there are 2 types of shelters:

        1. Is a within the home shelter, basically a big box made of steel
        that is placed inside an interior room. Something like this:

        https://shop.survive-a-storm.com/products/extreme-4×6-above-ground-tornado-safe-room?utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=googlepla&variant=26466534725&gclid=COyGpvzZi9MCFUZDhgod7g8I6A

        2. An outside below ground shelter like this:

        https://shop.survive-a-storm.com/products/extreme-4×6-above-ground-tornado-safe-room?utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=googlepla&variant=26466534725&gclid=COyGpvzZi9MCFUZDhgod7g8I6A

        These arre just 2 examples as there are all sorts of variations.

        As you can see, these are not cheap, at least for the average person.

    2. I understand.

      I would assume parents would or sure as hell should know if
      their child’s school has adequate and safe shelter. In some cases
      they would very much be safer at school. If the school does not have
      adequate shelter, then it is on the parents.

      If I were a parent in Moore and knew the school didn’t have shelter,
      my child would NOT be in school that day. (Assuming I had a storm shelter). IF I had to, I’d teach them whatever the teacher had planned for them.

      Btw, the friends my son were visiting in Edmund, OK did indeed have a storm
      shelter.

      1. I was just doing some refreshing on storm shelters. Most in the OK or tornado alley do not have storm shelters nor do they have basements. Very quickly, it is because of the makeup of the earth….clay. There are a ton of articles. This was interesting.

        But tomorrow is in SE if I understand correctly. And there are tons of mobile home parks. A school is safer. So it basically comes down to knowing the area. But also, how about transport? How far do buses travel? Is there a chance of a bus full of kids being caught in a tornado?

        https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/05/why-arent-there-more-storm-cellars-in-oklahoma/276073/

  28. Comcast has become Comcrap the last several days here. Connection has been terrible. Lost it for a while. Back up now.

    1. Seriously, you just finding out about COMCRAP*(!@&*#&*!&#*!&

      They such as badly as Eversource does!!!

      I HATE THEM!!

        1. I’ve had numerous problems with them the past few months. Many days where all I could get was the major network channels. I spent hours on the phone with them and had several techs out. Still didn’t fix the problem.I finally spoke to a regional supervisor as I was fed up and they’ve been making numerous repairs to nodes and wires as a result. They also want to replace the wire that runs underground to my house…One of the problems is they are spending money on all this upgraded equipment, but the infrastructure can’t handle it. So my advice is escalate it to the highest level possible if they don’t resolve your issue. The services certainly aren’t cheap and we deserve better.

  29. Vicki,

    You do understand that Atlanta and the surrounding area is well within
    the bulls-eye area for tomorrow.

    Is it your Sister or Sister-In-Law that lives just South of Atlanta.

    I presume you have made here aware?

    1. No – I only came into this discussion as it was underway. I didn’t understand that. THANK YOU VERY MUCH for pointing it out. I will give her a call. They already have a mess with traffic due to the road collapse. I wonder if some schools were cancelled in Atlanta because of that.

  30. My final view….which may change multiple times….is we cannot second guess those who know their area. BUT, that said, have school. Let parents send their kids if they feel they are safer. Tell other parents to feel free to keep them home. Don’t assign homework or a test for the day. I’m not sure why that would not work.

  31. My storm chaser friend is currently enroute to the Southeast to chase tomorrow. She’ll be with others but as always I’ll be keeping an eye on things via remote. Looks pretty nasty down there tomorrow.

    1. Oh boy. I’m about to call my SIL. JPD…again, thank you.

      I can’t be separated from a debate as you can clearly see. I think this is an excellent case of why WHW is GREAT. I already changed my view thanks to some excellent points by others. I’ve seen instances where children are traumatized by not being with their family. But others are correct that it is an area where mobile home parks are numerous. School would be safer and safety always IMO should take precedence. So it has to be case by case.

      TK, is there a way to find out if schools in the south have storm cellars or at least basements? For no other reason than I’m just curious now. I know many, many homes do not have basements because of the clay. Charlotte, for instance, has very few homes with basements.

      1. Other than contacting them directly, or possibly the district offices, I’m not sure.

          1. I would sure hope so also. But in many cases the earth cannot support them. But at least a secure place within the school. Much of the area is not wealthy so I wonder how long ago schools were built.

            Would sure be an interesting study

      1. Thanks Dr. S! It appears we are turning the corner right into spring, but I am not putting away my winter clothing just yet.

        I did put away my shovel today, however. 😉

  33. My suggestion regarding severe storms and schools is for EARLY DISMISSAL like was done for the snow event here last Friday. I assume most storms don’t arrive until after 2-3 pm in most cases like around here in NE…problem solved. 🙂

    Of course make a public announcement the night before if at all possible.

    1. I sure don’t think you can shorten the day on either end. It has to be all day if anything. Interesting thought. We have a general timeframe for snow. I didn’t think we did for tornadoes acrivity. Do we?

    2. The problem there is that severe weather can happen any time. There is no 2-3PM solid rule like you read in text books. Yes, statistically the probability of a stronger storm is higher in the 3PM to 7PM time frame, but since most severe outbreaks are not driven solely by daytime heating, this rule probably works only 25% of the time, as a ballpark figure.

      1. I certainly understand that any situation is on a case-by-case basis, but I assume that mets today can focus on a timeframe (am commute/midday/afternoon/pm commute so decisions can be made. I would certainly say that any storms that are forecasted to arrive during morning hours, all schools should be closed for an entire day.

  34. To me spring has always been a mixture of cold, raw, wet, rain-snow-wind, plus mud and squishy ground, with the rare 70+ day before reversing itself. Then one day, for no reason, the trees explode with green snot pollen and it’s 80.

  36. Clearly, ch 7’s news director wanted to win the race to be the first station to put an “80” on a day-7 forecast. 😉

    1. Exactly what I was thinking! And you know what, I think it’s working – one of my friends on Facebook posted that it will be 80 degrees next week because they saw it on channel 7. (I don’t post my forecast collection there.)

      1. I left that part out, but it was already proven. People will focus on the day 7 number right away…

  37. WxWeather above said:

    perhaps New England isn’t the only region that has “gone soft” when it comes to weather related school decisions.

    I was curious who else feels new England had “gone soft” with weather related school decisions and why?

  38. I talked to my sister in law who lives in a county just south of Atlanta. She was aware of the possibility which doesn’t surprise me as she follows every news source in and out of this country.

    It is school break in at least Atlanta and she believes GA. She had planned to do so,e errands tomorrow and talked to her Uber driver. He is not going out tomorrow nor are any of the drivers he knows. Stress on words he knows so doesn’t apply to all but may

    New houses in the area may have basements. Older ones do not. Most do not have storm shelters. She does not know about schools

    My daughter who has a friend in the area says they do cancel school as a standard if there is a strong potential.

    Right or wrong…my theory is still that we here do not know the situation so hard to critique one way or the other. I simply pray they know it well enough to keep the children safe

  39. 18z GFS wants to put a giant high pressure area in central Canada by mid April…

      1. I’m not really looking at it in terms of frozen stuff. Just noting it in reference to that’s not generally what you want to see too much of in the spring because the weather usually ends up pretty crappy around here, especially if that high ends up a bit east.

  41. B’s 1-0.

    Marchand committed a ridiculous penalty and got what he deserved … a major and ejected.

    1. they played a great game last night and this 18-7 run under Cassidy has been impressive. Glad playoff hockey with the Bruins in it is back !

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