Tuesday Forecast

70 Comments

7:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 11-15)
Taste of summer today but your typical cooler areas will continue on the South Coast and a weak sea breeze is also possible along the East Coast as the gradient wind will be a little weaker than it was Monday. But areas over the interior that don’t have an impact from the ocean air will see warmer readings in most cases than what took place on Monday. When we get to Wednesday a cold front will enter the region from the northwest and eventually exit via Cape Cod, but its journey through here will be good for the threat of showers and a few thunderstorms. Cooler weather arrives behind this front for Thursday and another disturbance may bring some cloudiness Thursday night and early Friday before high pressure builds in later Friday through early Saturday with more nice weather. A warm front approaching later Saturday will increase the cloudiness again and may lead to some wet weather at night.
TODAY: Sunshine and high clouds which may thicken up more later in the day. Highs 57-72 South Coast and immediate East Coast, 73-83 elsewhere except 83-88 in a few interior locations. Wind SW 5-15 MPH but East Coast sea breeze possible.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 57-72, coolest South Coast. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny through early afternoon. Partly cloudy later in the day. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy early, then mostly sunny. Lows from the lower 40s to near 50. Highs from the middle 50s to around 60.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Chance of light rain at night. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 16-20)
Fast-moving but weak systems. Timing is a little suspect, but currently expecting a warm-up for April 16, late-day or nighttime rain showers then dry and cooler weather April 17-18, warming up April 19 with late-day wet weather then clearing and cooling April 20.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 21-25)
Fast-moving systems bring quick changes but difficult to time this far in advance. Will toss the idea out there of a cool/dry start, wetter mid period, and drier/warmer end.

70 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  5. Thanks TK.
    Top 10 weather day!
    Fantasy on 0z GFS with a rain to snow situation at the end of the run which would be around the same time 30 years ago there was accumulating snow for parts of SNE.

    2. I’ve been eyeing that time period. Even though it went poof on the 6Z run,
      there is something around there. Tons of time for that to be ironed out.

      At this point, it would not surprise me in the slightest. What with having 80 Degree beautiful Spring weather, it would be the perfect time for the Weather
      Gods to throw us a brutal curve ball and dump snow on us. 😀

      We shall see.

      I am in FULL SPRING mode and would rather we didn’t see any more
      Snow. Hopefully, if anything, it’s just a beneficial cold rain.

  6. Logan is 68 as of 10 AM with wind West at 6.9 MPH (6 KT).

    As TK indicated, the gradient is lighter today than yesterday, so
    we shall see how long Boston holds onto a West wind. IF it does,
    the record of 78 will fall. IF the sea breeze kicks in too soon, Boston may
    fall short. We shall see.

    1. Well, there’s a marginal risk today for Vermont, Central New Hampshire, and the northwest corner of MA and a general risk near your area. I guess there’s some storms to track!

  9. HMMM, at 11 AM, Logan’s wind is around to the South. ONLY 1 DEGREE temperature
    rise in the last hour.

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W

    Mostly Cloudy
    69.0 °F
    Last Updated: Apr 11 2017, 10:54 am EDT
    Tue, 11 Apr 2017 10:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Mostly Cloudy
    Temperature: 69.0 °F (20.6 °C)
    Dewpoint: 48.0 °F (8.9 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 47 %
    Wind: South at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1019.2 mb
    Altimeter: 30.10 in Hg

    1. From NWS discussion shortly after 10AM this morning:

      ***Record warmth in many locations away from the south coast, Cape
      and Islands this afternoon***

      Upper level ridging off the southeast coast will result in another
      day of anomalous warmth across most of southern New England. 850T
      around +14C along with southwest flow, plenty of sunshine and a dry
      atmosphere aloft will result in a super adiabatic atmosphere. High
      temps should soar into the middle 80s northwest of a Boston to
      Providence line and may see a few upper 80s. Record highs will be
      broken in some of these locations.

      Meanwhile…southeast of a Boston to Providence line southwest winds
      blowing off the cold ocean will result in cooler temps especially
      near the south coast. Winds should not be quite as gusty as
      yesterday, so temps will probably get warmer than they did on
      Monday. Thinking mainly 70s in the Providence to Taunton Corridor,
      but probably still only in the lower 60s along the immediate south
      coast, and not breaking 60 across the Islands.

  10. Those storms that fire up in that marginal risk don’t look to be impressive. Maybe an isolated storm gets to severe thunderstorm warning criteria.

  15. It is a beautiful day out there, this is true. However, channel 7 warned me that it was going to be quite warm and I need to stay hydrated. Channel 5 warned me that there would be solar glare and I may also want to consider sunscreen. So, even though it is nice out there, I guess the conditions are actually quite dangerous!

    1. Oh yeah, brutally dangerous. I was just out and about in the Copley Square
      area. I guess I was exposed and I am sure to die now. 😀

      Absolutely BEAUTIFUL out there!

  16. SEA BREEZE at facuckta Logan. What a S**THOLE of a place!!!!!

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W
    2 Day History

    Mostly Cloudy
    71.0 °F
    Last Updated: Apr 11 2017, 12:54 pm EDT
    Tue, 11 Apr 2017 12:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Mostly Cloudy
    Temperature: 71.0 °F (21.7 °C)
    Dewpoint: 50.0 °F (10.0 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 47 %
    Wind: Southeast at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1018.1 mb
    Altimeter: 30.07 in Hg

  17. At 2PM Logan at 73 with a SE sea breeze.

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.36056N 71.01056W

    Mostly Cloudy
    73.0 °F
    Last Updated: Apr 11 2017, 1:54 pm EDT
    Tue, 11 Apr 2017 13:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Mostly Cloudy
    Temperature: 73.0 °F (22.8 °C)
    Dewpoint: 51.1 °F (10.6 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 46 %
    Wind: Southeast at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1017.3 mb

    mostly cloudy my ass. What are they smoking over there??????

    1. It’s an automatic sensor, and it’s detecting a layer of broken clouds at 25,000 feet. BKN automatically translates to “Mostly Cloudy” in the decoding programs, whether the layer is at 250 feet or 25,000 feet.

      2. Well this simpleton simply looks out a simple window and sees plenty of blue sky with the sun blazing. That is NOT mostly
        Cloudy in my book. I don’t give 2 shits what the decoding programs say. Btw and not for nothing, I am totally opposed
        to automatic sensors, MOST especially for a densely populated city like Boston.

        1. What you are forgetting is that all these were designed for aviation, not the general public. There IS a broken layer at 25,000 feet, which does impact aviation, even if the general public can barely see that cloud layer and it has no impact on their day.

          1. That may very well be true, but I am a literal
            person and to see an observation say mostly cloudy when it is the farthest thing from the truth drives me totally and completely insane.

            I guess that is my problem and I’ll have to deal with it.

            Better still, I should learn to totally and completely IGNORE observations from Logan.
            I can stick my head out the window and see for myself. 😀 😀 😀

            Sorry, I am ranting today. BAD day at the office. Bad day in general.

          2. If there were a human observer, he or she would be required to report that BKN layer at 25000 feet and all of the wx programs would STILL decode that as “Mostly Cloudy ” anyways.

            1. Still sucks imho, but nothing I can do about except have a hearty chuckle when
              I view their stupid observation.

  19. I wouldn’t lament too much about Logan’s feeble sea breeze given…
    -It’s April, when sub-50 ocean winds often occur
    -It impacts about 0.1% of the population of the city.
    -It was in my forecast. 😀

    1. Oh, I agree. You clearly had it in there AND I referenced that earlier.

      I am just FED UP with that location as the reporting station for the City.
      Why don’t they just change it to Boston Buoy while they are at.

      Oh, did I tell you I was FED UP to here with that crap????

      Just in case, I wanted you to know I was. 😀

    1. I was thinking the same when I was out in Copley Square. The heat
      from the sidewalks and pavements was quite noticeable.

      btw, my wife just called me to say it was 91 (my Acurite sensor mounting
      on a 2nd floor deck railing post). Actual ground shade temp probably about
      86 or 87 based on last summer’s experience on warmer days.

      Still pretty toasty for this time of year. 😀

  22. I see 81 at Rutland, Vt. which is not too far from Killington.
    I realize Killington has elevation over the city of Rutland, but wow!
    There must be some kind of snow melt going on at the mountain resort.

      1. Yes I am well aware of that, however, it must be in the 50s at least at the summit and 60s to lower 70s at the base. Granular or not,
        that snow is going to melt.

        I skied one day in March at Sunapee and it was well into the 60s on the mountain. I skied with no coat and no gloves, that’s how warm it was. That snow was melting like you wouldn’t believe.

        To be sure, it won’t melt anywhere near as fast as powder would, but melt it will.

  23. SAK makes a great point. The detailed obs are for aviation. The general public has more access to data now than they probably should. Once upon a time it was limited to local news and NOAA weather radio. Don’t get me wrong. The net is great, but also opens the door for TMI and misinterpretation.

    1. Well, it was nice for this to come out. Now we know.
      And I also know to not to bother with the Logan observation other
      than to grab their silly temperature, whatever it may be at the time
      AND wind direction. Cloud cover? I don’t care what they say. I have eyes.

  24. Snow melt is somewhat of an issue up north right now. Only to a “normal” extent though, the melt for these two days has been fairly quick but as TK alluded to gradual enough to prevent major problems. Lots of rivers running high and nearing minor flood stage. We’re under a Flood Watch here in Plymouth, NH. Some minor flooding is possible tonight.

    We hit 82 here, but we had some bona fide cloud cover for most of the day. If we’d had some more direct sun, we would’ve made at least 85.

  25. I had to laugh seeing people “freak out” about why western MA was warmer than Miami FL. My goodness. I didn’t realize it’s NEVER HAPPENED before. Along with extra info comes the revelation of ignorance.

    Next, people are going to want to know how we can have a fire weather watch and a flood warning in the same state at the same time… 😛

  27. Well, it appears the full pink moon has managed to bring on a bad day syndrome. It is a rare day that can wear me out t the last two have taken every bit of resolve I have to keep smiling. Seems I am far from alone as the about dozen folks I spoke with today said the same. And yes, I know it is only a dozen so you might not want to call me on it 😉 I did note JPDs comment

    All of that said, I am sitting for the first time on my new deck listening to birds, the breeze and kids playing. All is right with the world….it always is.

    1. I might add that TK, you grumped two days in a row….. very justifies but also atypical for you.

  28. Wx observations for Boston were recorded at Boston Common up until 1936…then we went downhill from there AFAIC. 😉

    1. High? Not now? 66 here now

      And if the pink moon were going to wreak havoc, you’d think it would have the nerve to come out from behind the clouds 🙂 😉

  30. J Geils was found dead in his Groton home. Sad. THE band to watch live, especially in the 70s and early 80s. Mick Jagger brought them along on his tour of Europe in 1982, for good reason. He considered J Geils one of the best R&B bands in the late 60s and 70s. This is from 1972:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N0AyG7S_5Vs

    1. Oh.no. Loved J Geils. A truly sad day for sure that puts all else into perspective.

      So many music greats in such a short time

    3. One of my favorite 70’s band! Saw them in concert at least half dozen times.
      Very Sad news 🙁

  31. I think we made it to 80F in Marshfield today.

    That cool air from the south coast and Buzzards Bay gets here quick in the evening in early spring. It feels nice though, helping to cool off our house.

    1. 80 is pretty darn good, Tom. House stayed cool past couple of days but not today. Nice breeze going through tonight though

      1. It’s so nice to have fresh air coming into the house.

        Today was so much warmer down here than yesterday. Yesterday, I’d say we got a couple hrs of 70F or a bit higher and it cooled markedly after 4pm. Today, it was closer to 6 or 7 before it dropped off fast.

        1. Even into the high 70s here yesterday, we had a breeze that seemed to pull the cool from the earth. I still loved it but it felt spring. Today of course is spring but has that smell that promises summer is on the way

  32. A day like today and the one or two we get most April’s kind of makes me appreciate having Canadian snow cover, Hudson Bay and the cold Atlantic nearby.

    Today just proves that if our air came predominately from the west and southwest, it would be a very warm to hot New England climate April to probably October. But, with those 3 cold sources nearby, they 98% of the time hold the warmth in check to occurring consistently from mid June through late August.

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