Friday Forecast

76 Comments

7:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 28-MAY 2)
Many changes, typical of spring, as we get a warm front through today, follow it with a cold front Saturday, and likely repeat the process Monday and Tuesday. The details as always become a little harder to pin down with time so it will be important to follow updates.
TODAY: Cloudy morning with a showers and a few downpours around including the risk of thunder. Sun appears this afternoon. Highs 58-65 South Coast, 66-77 elsewhere. Wind light S this morning, SW to W 10-20 MPH this afternoon.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 53-61. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy through midday with risk of a shower and possibly a thunderstorm, then partly cloudy. Highs 63-71 South Coast, 72-82 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 55-62 coast, 62-68 interior. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows 48-55. Highs 58-65.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers early. Lows 50-58. Highs 65-75.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 3-7)
A significant rain event is possible around the middle of the period. Temperatures variable.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 8-12)
Still looking at a somewhat active pattern with up and down temps and a couple wet weather threats.

76 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  1. Thanks, TK…

    Socked in with fog and drizzle in Middleborough right now.
    A shower just passed to our east…

      1. Can certainly tell the school year is winding down when the updated calendar comes home and it consists mainly of field trips, field days, and other fun events. 🙂

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Awoke to dreary weather with some sprinkles of rain, but mild at 60.
    IF we can get any sun, the temperature will sky rocket.

    Looking at radar, apparently a line of showers went through earlier. What I saw must
    have been remnants. 😀

    Red Sox looked like a bunch of little leaguers! Last night I don’t think they could have hit a beach ball. PATHETIC!!! Poor Chris Sale. I’d walk away from that team!

    Yes, it’s still early, but c’mon, 5 starts and NO RUN SUPPORT at all! DISGUSTING!
    37 2/3 innings pitched with an era of 1.19 and 52 strikeouts is deserving of a much better fate than the 1-2 record he sports. The Sox had BETTER start scoring some runs
    when he pitches! I’ll say it again: PATHETIC!

      1. Sure they miss Papi. No doubt about it, but
        because he’s not there, means NONE of the rest of them
        can manage a hit? What did they get last night? 3 or 4 hits.

          1. I heard Jim Rice and Steve Lyons after the game and Lyons said that Tanaka was good, but not that good. He was dismayed at the inability of the sox hitters to do anything. To put it mildly, he said the sox offense was “Struggling”.

    1. Does it have anything to do with the “s” word?
      Because, honestly, my mind is shot to hell and I haven’t a clue. 😀

  8. Tom and Captain and anyone else here who teaches. I don’t know how you do it.
    You are to be commended! Your commitment to the students is phenomenal!

    I was actually going to teach at one point and I interviewed at a school to teach Math and when the principal brought me into a class of 8th graders, it scared the crap out of me. After that, I decided NOPE, it wasn’t for me and I ended up doing IT work instead.
    Best for the students as I would have been a terrible teacher. Not for lack of knowledge, but lack of the patience and diligence to even attempt to communicate that knowledge.

    You should have seen me trying to help my daughter with her high school Math. I’d end up yelling at her because she just couldn’t get a concept. Same deal with me trying to teach my wife how to use the computer. I can’t do it.

    So I admire those than can do it. I truly do. Congratulations on being fine teachers!!

    Oh, btw even though I can’t teach, Our daughter can and is in fact a High School Spanish teacher at Medfield. Our son doesn’t have a teaching position, but does Tutor at Boston Latin School.

      1. Thanks, JPD. Finishing up my 34th year in the classroom in a couple of weeks. I wouldn’t want to do anything else.

      1. Wow – that is late. I think you had more snow days than we did. And we didn’t have February vacation but then Uxbridge did and I think they still get out the same time. I’ve yet to figure that out.

        1. My SIL says sudbury behind his office is full but just to normal for the first time in a while. It isn’t overfull for sure. I get a bit squirmy when people say droughts are over so quickly. It takes very little to be kicked right back into one.

          Ace, I wonder what your town is basing the ban on. Do they tell you or is there a way to find out?

          1. I do not know about his town but in Billerica its based on the concord and shawsheen rivers. They always become rather low but it depends on how the winter and spring acts. How much new water is in the system and how much above normal there is and how they think the summer will be like.

  14. Thanks TK. Happy Friday all! A couple nice spring days on tap.

    My eyes are still on that 5/5-5/7 window for a potential significant storm. I think the GFS is handling that period better than the ECMWF, which has been less consistent and is not in good agreement with most of its ensembles on the 0z run. Still plenty of time to watch that though. We’ll have to see how the first storm in the central US evolves early next week, as that will impact the pattern going into the end of next week and next weekend.

    1. I saw that. YUCK, but I guess it comes with the territory and we’ll just have
      to deal with it. It will certainly help the drought situation which is “almost”
      under control.

  15. Thanks TK.
    The sun is trying to come out here. SPC has all of SNE in general thunderstorm risk for tomorrow although chance for thunderstorms tomorrow is not high but rather very low.

  18. Long Island far southwestern CT. I wonder if that the weakening MCS NWS out of Upton, NY was talking about in that model image Ryan posted from NCAR model.

  19. Sun coming out. Sky has hazy, warm, humid appearance to it.

    Our custodial staff put the A/C window units back in during vacation and thank goodness. I put mine on at 7 this morning and I’m glad I got ahead of it !!

    1. Sun is out FULL here. I’m headed out in about 20 minutes, so I shall see for
      myself.

      My Acurite at home is reading 70, but it is influenced by the sun, so perhaps
      it’s only 67 or so. I can’t monitor my other thermometer remotely.

  22. Its somewhat encouraging to look at the surface obs in eastern Canada and around Hudson Bay today.

    The general area of low pressure that gave us rain Tuesday through Thursday has helped to deliver the first widespread push of mild air into east central Canada, with temps in the 40s. This should assist in beginning snow melt to our north and ice melt on the southeastern portion of Hudson Bay.

    On the western shores of Hudson Bay, it is currently 27F with sunshine in Churchill, destined for the mid-upper 30s later this afternoon.

    Getting rid of snow cover and ice cover to our north, really only leaves the Atlantic ocean to chill us off, producing those miserable, raw, cold spring days.

    Its nice to see the first signs of muting those cold sources to our north.

  25. 78 here in Plymouth, NH, but the dew point has crashed into the 40s, so it’s just beautiful outside with a mix of sun and clouds.

    12z Euro illustrates my concern scenario for next weekend with 3-4″+ of rain across the region. I’m surprised no one else is picking up on this. NAO and AO both going way negative, MJO into phase 8 (though I’m less familiar with what that means during springtime, in winter it favors storminess), trough swinging through the central and eastern US. Low comes up from the Southeast, plenty of tropical moisture with it. Potential for it to be slow moving as well. It’s been awhile since we’ve had a real classic springtime heavy rain event. Much too early to say this will be the one, but it’s got my attention.

    1. It has my attention too. See the one-liner from my 6-10 day. It’s a subtle mention, but yes. There is some pretty solid potential during that time period.

  28. Thanks, TK.

    April’s been a yo-yo, but that’s no surprise. I’m glad we’re getting some decent amounts of rain. It looks like we might get another deluge next week at some point.

    There are places in the northern hemisphere where it’s still snowing and quite cold (below average temps). Yes, I track these things. I’m nuts. And that includes Kimmirut in Nunavut where it’s pretty much always cold, but even parts of the Hudson Bay area and Northern Quebec.

    As for the Red Sox, their offense gelled last year. Everything came together, including career years for practically the entire line-up. If we take a good hard look at the line-up as constituted it’s not just missing Ortiz, it isn’t particularly good or powerful. I don’t see Bogaerts ever getting more than 15 homers or being a .300 hitter. He’s good, but not a special player in my opinion. Pedroia is aging and may have seen his last good year at the plate. Bradley will likely never hit more than 20 homeruns again, or hit better than .260. Ramirez has never impressed me, except during a brief stint as
    a Dodger. Good for 20-25 homeruns, perhaps. But not in any way a replacement for Ortiz. I’m even a little skeptical about Betts. I like him, yes. But, I doubt he’ll replicate his stats from last year. Flaws in his batting (slider down and away), though it is the quickest swing in their line-up. Sandoval is pathetic, quite frankly. So, we’re left with the question of how good their pitching staff is. And, the answer is not that good. Sale is excellent, but after that it’s a crap shoot. I hate to say it, but the team that impresses me the most thus far is the Yankees. A good pitching staff from top to bottom, and an improving line-up with some rising stars like Judge and Sanchez. They also have a superior manager. If I were a betting man I’d pick them to win the AL East and the pennant.

  29. Hi all!

    Red Sox… It’s just a slump that happens to be timed early in the season. They’ll be fine.

    WxWatcher… In case you didn’t see my reply above, you’re not the only one concerned about later next week. Will be keeping an eye on this potential.

    1. Thanks TK, I figured that’s what you were alluding to in your forecast. Should be interesting to watch.

    2. My theory…..which should sound familiar since I have shared it multiple times…is they are better off losing at the start. Seems to give them incentive. If they win, they seem to run our of gas

    2. It came from the fact that the atmosphere was going to do it either way, but the models don’t do well with timing of these things. Most forecasters, including myself, initially leaned toward later in the day with the front. But there will be a trough ahead of everything where most of the instability is and the front itself will have much less to work with with only a risk of a PM shower along the South Coast from that.

  34. Hit 85 today at BDL…warmer than I expected. Actually felt borderline hot this PM.

    Looking at the forecast for DC tomorrow…heat indices projected to top 100. Too early for this!

  36. Hi all! I have to make a quick drive to Somerville and back and will update shortly after 9AM!

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