Sunday Forecast

23 Comments

12:17PM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 4-8)
I was hoping to have a little better idea by today of when the upcoming cool/wet stretch (starting tonight and lasting through at least Tuesday) will break, but I don’t have a great feel for it yet, unfortunately. Based on that, I’m not making any significant changes to this forecast other than updating the time periods and tweaking a few small things. Starting at the end of this period (Thursday), confidence drops significantly so there will be plenty of updating and fine-tuning to come, if necessary.
TODAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Rain arriving west to east late in the day. Highs 61-66 coast, 67-72 interior. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50-55. Wind SE to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Highs 55-60. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Overcast with rain/drizzle likely. Lows 50-55. Highs 55-60.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers/drizzle. Lows from the lower to middle 50s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s coast to the middle and upper 60s interior.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the lower 60s coast to lower 70s interior.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 9-13)
Optimistically forecasting improving and warmer weather during this period but this is with low confidence at this time. Not expecting a big pattern change in this time frame even if we do see some warmer and dry weather.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 14-18)
Should trend cooler including some additional showery weather during this period, which does not mean wet all of the days. This is a low confidence forecast at this time.

23 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  3. Thanks TK. Saw comments by you and SAK on the last blog, I definitely get the skepticism over whether this pattern will break around next weekend or not. I think at the very least, this coming few days will be the last time we get several nasty days in a row. Temperatures on Tuesday may barely hold at 50 during the daytime.

    The 12z guidance is bringing the heat, big time heat, by the end of next weekend and into next week. 80s and 90s. Does it materialize? We’ll see, but I think a few warm to hot days just after 6/10 are a good bet right now.

  6. NOTE for medium range…
    Upper levels may say “hot spell” but don’t forget to check the surface………

  7. Answers to yesterday’s AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) The lightning capital of the nation is …

    A. Tampa FL
    B. New Orleans, LA
    C. Dallas, TX
    D. Wichita, KS

    The correct answer is A.

    2. The lightning capital of the world is …

    A. Tampa, FL
    B. Rwanda, Africa
    C. San Juan, Puerto Rico
    D. Calcutta, India

    The correct answer is B. Congrats to some guy named Topkatt.

      1. Except I’m not sure it hasn’t been replaced with a lake in Venezuela. Grand did a report in Venezuela. I’ll see if I can find it as I can’t recall name. Maybe it is not accurate but we found It for report

          1. I’d been part of a debate about this recently. I think a case can be made for either, and in all honesty it probably shifts back and forth.

      1. Tampa and the area just to the east are often hammered by storms that form on sea breeze boundaries from both the Atlantic side and the Gulf of Mexico side and sometimes aided by outflow boundaries from other storms.

  8. I swear there is a location in Brazil that is by far the most in the world. Let me do some digging 🙂

  10. Apparently NASA puts out a story once a year the last few years declaring a new lightning capital of the world. In that case, trash it.

    It’s Rwanda.

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