Monday Forecast

91 Comments

7:35PM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 5-9)
The latest bout of cool/damp spring weather is underway and as previously mentioned will be slow to end, though improvement should arrive by midweek at least slowly. It remains to be seen when we fully break out and change the pattern. There are signs via medium range guidance it happens as early as next weekend or just beyond, but model inconsistencies and past experience shows not to jump on this idea too quickly. With this in mind, there are no major changes to the forecast at this time.
TODAY: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Highs 55-60. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Lows 46-51. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Overcast with rain/drizzle likely. Highs 48-55. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers/drizzle. Lows from the lower to middle 50s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s coast to the middle and upper 60s interior.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the lower 60s coast to lower 70s interior.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 60s coast to middle 70s interior.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 10-14)
Optimistically forecasting improving and warmer weather during this period but this is with low confidence at this time.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 15-19)
Turning somewhat cooler early in the period and warmer again later in the period with some possible showery weather at times.

91 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  7. Good morning and thank you TK.

    MISERABLE MONDAY Morning in more ways than one.

    Last night Barry said Boston could challenge the Low MAXIMUM high temperature
    of 52 for tomorrow, 6/6. We shall see. I have a sense we may eclipse 52 by
    a few degrees, even if shortly after midnight.

    Didn’t get to fish this weekend. Perhaps next and most certainly the weekend after.

    I do NOT NOT NOT want to see ANY 90 degree weather. Dry 80s please and thank you.

    😀

    1. I think it will one of those cheap midnight high temps.
      Wouldn’t be surprised if it never made it out of the 40’s in the higher elevations in Worcester county. Cold for this time of year.
      Disgusting!

  8. From a selfish perspective, this weather Monday thru Wednesday is perfect for school.

    We are in our final day of review for the year end math benchmark assessment, which then takes 2 math classes (Tuesday and Wednesday) to complete. Much easier to get the students focus today and best effort Tuesday and Wednesday with these conditions. And the building continues to be unbelievably comfortable.

  9. Thank you, TK.

    It’s depressing outside, plain and simple. But, Tom is right that a cool June keeps things comfortable in non-air-conditioned spaces (like my apartment). I constantly have my windows open to keep things fresh. When it’s hot and humid having the windows open seems to make things worse.

    If we `transition’ to 90F early next week, that won’t be pleasant.

    I’m looking forward to fall, perhaps our most predictable season. It’s less than 90 days away.

    1. Its not even summer yet Joshua 🙁 Lets have some summer first. I know you dont like it, but with the exception of the 90’s we had mid May, we have had little warm and sunny weather.
      So far the “warm” season has been a big fat bust.
      Fall starts September 21st I think.

  13. Follow up low on 6/8 and 6/9. Just misses on GFS, but fairly close. Can see it at hour 72 on the EURO. This may delay late week improvement, especially in eastern New England.

    1. Good! I hope it pans out. I’m to the end of my rope. Two-three days of decent weather followed by 10 days of shyte doesn’t cut it for me.
      And school should be out by June 10th. Snow days or no snow days. Going beyond the middle of June is ridiculous.

      1. If you wanted school to be out by June 10th, then the school year would have to start between the second and third week of August.

        1. No, they get rid of that silly February vacation and cut out the number of professional days and holidays they get.
          And 180 days is stupid too. Most of the time by the last week to week and a half of school they’re done with the curriculum anyway.

          1. Sutton didn’t have February vacation either

            As far as professional,days, the best systems empower their teachers far more than we do.

            Interestingly framingham replaced feb and April with a March vacation years ago. Teachers said there was enough illness in February that the break helped. No one believed them until they did and February and April were reinstated

            Sutton has one of the best systems I’ve seen for empowering teachers…especially when it comes to working with kids of all abilities. It easily mirrors the best systems worldwide.

  15. What is the minimum amount of schools days for a school year in MA and are there school systems with a certain number of built in snow days? Here in CT its 180 and I know one school system where they don’t start making up snow days until after the 5th one.

    2. 180 and every snow day is made up. Those 5 days built in, I believe, confuses people. Up here, it’s meant to imply that there’s room in the June calendar to fit in 5 additional days from what was originally scheduled to be the 180th day. This is because nearly all contracts have in them that the last school day possible is June 30th. I hope it never comes to it, but we usually have room for 12-14 missed days before we’d have to give up vacation days. Someday due to a long recovery from a hurricane perhaps.

      1. I remember in sixth grade we went to June 30th but still had two days taken away from our April vacation since school can’t go past June 30th. This was that very snowy winter of 95-96. In the town I live in after 9 snow days they start taking days away from April vacation.

    3. In Mass its 180 days ON THE CALENDAR. Its the HOURS in class that really matter. For 1-8, its 900 hours. That’s instruction time, not lunch, recess, assemblies, etc. Actual instruction.
      For high school it’s 990 hours.
      You actually each 900/990 before 180 days in a lot of cases. My kids start at
      8:30 am and run till 3:00 pm. For actual instruction hours, we hit 900 somewhere around day 168.

      1. My kids last day is the 14th. We had 7 snow days, didn’t make a one up. Private school. 🙂

        1. I assume they also started after Labor Day. My grandson would not like the school year to be shorter. He absolutely loves school. Sutton gets out on June 16.

      2. This is correct, but that’s simply the minimum number of hours required. The state just wants to make sure you get that many hours in during the 180 days.

        1. We have among the highest in the country for class hours and far higher than one of the top school systems in the world.

  16. So last week’s 10-day from NBC Boston had upper 70s for today thru Wed.

    SAK and I say it over and over…….

    The model output is not “the forecast” unless you like having large errors.

  18. With that precip in NY State ….. If the wind comes around to north and precip intensity is heavy enough, maybe it will turn to snow ??? 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

  19. I have to say that as a child in the early 1970’s it always seemed like by the time school year ended it had been warm for awhile? I don’t ever remember weeks at a time of drizzle and high forties – fifty for temperatures in June. Maybe it’s just childhood memories? Is there anyway to look up what the greater Boston weather was for this week in 1973 or 1974?

    1. June 3-9, 1973:
      Mean temp 68
      Mean high 80
      Mean low 57
      0.32″ rain

      June 3-9 1974:
      Mean temp 61
      Mean high 70
      mean low 52
      1.2″ rain

        1. From Tom last week

          For monthly data ….
          Go to Taunton NWS website ….
          About a 1/3rd of the way down, click Climate and Past Weather
          Then click NOWData (the 7th tab)
          Next to #2 is product … click daily data for a month
          Next to #3 options … type in year and month, for example 1982-06
          Next to #4 view, hit go

            1. You are welcome. But it was tom who helped me when I asked the same question. The amazing part is that I not only saves it but remembered where I put it

  20. According to Eric, it has rained 6 straight Mondays going back to May…and 93 for next Monday.

  21. And I was wrong. Sutton started on August 31 and gets out on June 16

    Blackstone, do you have a bunch of vacations/days off?

  22. Freezing rain tonight and tomorrow on Mt. Washington and nearby summits, with temps near 30F. But, no snow. Their wind direction is southeast, which explains freezing rain instead of snow. A northeasterly would probably result in a fair amount of snow in those parts, but it won’t happen this time. I was kind of hoping for a June record, after what the record 30 plus inches they got in mid May.

  23. If you’re sick of this weather, tomorrow’s the worst of it. Just have to get through that. Wednesday-Friday maybe not great, but better. Nobody better be complaining when we challenge heat records by early next week 😉

    I do believe a full fledged pattern change is almost upon us. I think 6/10 will be the magic date for that. Doesn’t mean there can’t be any cooler than normal days beyond then, but they will become the outliers after a month plus of being the majority.

    2. You’ll never ever hear me complain about heat, ever. 90 plus degrees, and 70 plus degree dew points, no problem.

        1. I used to work outside every day all summer long in 90-100 plus degree heat. I’m not a native here. Summers here are non existent compared to what I was used to.

  24. Really tonight and tomorrow, read news techniCal discussion. Yuck
    1-2 inches more rain.

  25. Next week’s brief heat up will likely be just that, brief.

    We swing a currently under-forecast trough across the Great Lakes and cool things down somewhere in the June 15-19 time frame.

    1. No Problem with cool down from 90’s to 80’s or 70’s just none of this 50’s junk.

      2. I don’t think we’ll be seeing 50s during the day for quite some time after tomorrow. Maybe a few more nights down there though. 😉

    1. I’m hoping my company offers me a promotion someday to a better climate. Life is too short for this crap.

    1. Ideal, snow and cold December through March. 40s and 50s with this rain crap for a month then sunny in the 60 through 80s through first part of june, then crank up that boiler, I want it in the 80s and 90s but a dry heat. If its not a dry heat, 70s and 80s. then 80s in September, 60-70 October 40s, 50s and 60s in November then drop it. I do not mind the hot weather if its not excessively humid.

      1. Therein lies the problem. There is no ideal. You know that box everyone puts seasons in…….never mind looking outside the box, it is time to get rid of the box. The same with that jar that is either half full or half empty. Why should there be a jar at all. Just being is enough to be grateful for.

        Not directed at you, Matt, as you know I think highly of you. Just what keeps popping into my head as I read and listen. I’d say if weather is the worst thing in a person’s life right now, that person might want to take some time to consider how lucky he or she is.

        1. I know, and I know that the weather does not work that way, I just want it to warm up and be more sunny, less clouds.

  29. June 6-7, 1816, the “Year Without a Summer” kicks into high gear when a snowstorm drops a foot of snow on Quebec City and 20 inches on Danville, VT. Flurries were observed in Albany and Boston on June 7. After reaching 92 degrees on June 6, Salem, MA had a high of 43 on June 7.

    Account from mid-July from a newspaper in Norfolk, VA:

    “It is now the middle of July, and we have not yet had what could properly be called summer. Easterly winds have prevailed for nearly three months past… the sun during that time has generally been obscured and the sky overcast with clouds; the air has been damp and uncomfortable, and frequently so chilling as to render the fireside a desirable retreat”

    Sound familiar?

        1. That is one of my favorite written accounts!

          And people think this is unusual… Hardly!

            1. Yes. My reference was to the current pattern. Wet and cool? Yes. Highly unusual? Not really. Just not all the time.

              The volcanic ash climate-altering thing? Much less common. Only a handful of times in our recorded history.

              1. Absolutely and really interesting to me. The quote SAK shared was great. And this pattern is different and perhaps somewhat unusual but surely not highly.

  30. According to Eric…heatwave next week with 3 straight days into the 90s!

    Go figure…one extreme or the other.

    1. The type of thing that’s happened for centuries…
      Even before we had the ability to forecast heatwaves 7+ days in advance. Oh wait, we don’t yet. My bad. 🙂

  31. GFSnow bringing Thursday/Friday storm closer. Euro also looks like it get close enough but moves out quickly at least.

  32. Morning.

    Best I can tell, Logan was at 52 at Midnight and for a couple of hours afterward.
    Currently 50 at the airport and here in JP as well.

    Logan cannot break the low Max temperature, but they can tie it at 52 Degrees.
    We shall see IF it goes back up or not. Forecast to be in the upper 40s most
    of the day, but could trend upward this evening and “could” possibly eclipse 52
    before midnight. We shall see.

    Freakin COLD June day regardless. PUTRID weather. Just PUTRID.
    Did I say this weather SUCKS! Oh sorry If I forgot to mention it, but this
    weather SUCKS!

    I am watching my rain gauge continue to tic upward. Seems to be backing in,
    Do we have a genuine backlash developing here?

    Have a look at the radar.

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=50&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24945761&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

  34. Next week the GFS is advertising. We shall see IF it verifies or not. 😀

    Mon 94
    Tues 96
    Wed 94
    Thu 89

    Reversal of fortune, no?

    No even keel for SNE that’s for sure. One extreme to the next.

  35. Look at the radar echoes move in different directions down by the Cape.
    Pretty cool

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=50&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.5173913043478261&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=328.48739495798316&centery=290.25210084033614&transx=-71.51260504201684&transy=50.25210084033614&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24945772&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

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