6:40AM
DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 7-11)
Drying north to south today as high pressure in eastern Canada pushes the wet weather out of southern New England, but there will be an attempted comeback as a new low pressure area moves off the Mid Atlantic Coast and passes southeast of New England Thursday night and Friday. The highest chance of wet weather is in RI and eastern MA from this system. A cold front from the west helps to push everything out of here Friday night and sets up a weekend that looks dry and displays a complete reversal of what we have been experiencing.
TODAY: Overcast start with areas of drizzle and one final area of rain in southern NH and northeastern MA drying up as it pushes south. Clearing north to south later morning through afternoon with increasing sun. Highs 57-62 coast, 63-68 interior. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-50 interior valleys, 51-56 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Sunshine, then increasing clouds from the southwest late. Highs 62-67 coast, 68-73 interior. Wind light SE.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Chance of rain RI and southeastern MA overnight. Lows 52-57. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Overcast morning with periods of rain/drizzle RI and eastern MA, possibly NH Seacoast. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny afternoon with a possible late-day or evening shower or thunderstorm favoring southwestern NH, central MA, and northeastern CT. Highs 60-65 coast, 66-71 interior. Wind E 5-15 MPH morning, S 5-15 MPH afternoon.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 70s South Coast to 80s elsewhere.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 12-16)
Mainly dry and warm to hot weather overall June 12-14 but watch for a back-door cold front to possibly cool at least southeastern NH and eastern MA for part of this time. Possible showers June 15 then fair June 16 with a cooling trend.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 17-21)
Cool start, warmer finish, with a period of showers possible during the transition.
Good morning and thank you TK.
A few re-posts from earlier this morning:
Latest 6Z 3km NAM says not so fast with the Friday system.ā
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017060706/nam3km_ref_frzn_us_54.png
Reply
JpDave says:
June 7, 2017 at 6:20 AM
likewise 6Z GFS
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060706/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_9.png
Reply
Woods Hill Weather says:
June 7, 2017 at 6:41 AM
Iām staying with the wet forecast for early Friday for southeastern areas (RI, eastern MA).
Reply
The last of the rain is trying to rotate into Boston. Does it dry up before making it?
Does it arrive as just drizzle? We shall see.
https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=50&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24947207&lat=0&lon=0&label=you
the way the cloud deck looks, Id say it dries up.
CORRECT!
Thanks TK !
Thank you, TK
Thanks, TK.
The sun is poking through the clouds! YEAH!!!
Thank you!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDKotlu_CQE
Fab Four
My favorite so far, MassBay!! Loved the Italian tossed in. Mondo brought back special memories as Il Mondo was probably Mac’s most favorite songs. It doesn’t have much to do with rain and sun but just the images here are uplifting….along with the music of course š
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgbdTeIYV5Y
This is perfect!
Although it is hard to have it end right before it kicks it into the drums – I’ve always felt that hearing part of Abbey Road is sweet torture!
Rain again in Hingham
Thanks TK.
Finally seeing some sunshine. GFS for a few days in the Mon – Wed time frame showing plenty of instability for storms. Will there be a trigger or will be to warm aloft a cap in the atmosphere that will prevent storms.
Thanks TK!
12Z 3KM NAM still advertising RAIN for Friday.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017060712/nam3km_ref_frzn_us_46.png
AS does the RGEM
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2017060712/rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_16.png
And now the 12Z GFS is on board for Friday RAIN. š
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017060712/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8.png
Staying with the original idea from yesterday…
Would this be the upper level feature to the west-southwest helping to draw that moisture further westward than might ordinarily happen ?
Partially, yes.
Beuatiful day north of Boston. Not a cloud in the sky! Great break from the clouds the last few days. Not sure how it is farther sputh, hopefully it can clear up there too.
Come on, Mr. Blue Sky!!!!
It’s right there in the distant sky!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aQUlA8Hcv4s
I was thinking BLUE SKY by the Allman Brothers. š
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wwyXQn9g40I
Sun’s finally out in Middleborough!
Quick, hit pause!!!!
Beautiful blue sky in Sutton. Has been for a 2-3 hours. Nice temps as well!
Here is the latest HRRR 500 and 250mb charts. This baby is coming.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/17/hrrr_east-us_01800_500_vort_ht.gif
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/17/hrrr_east-us_01800_250_wnd.gif
I’d love to see this set up in the Winter. š
Just thought I would throw in that my son skied in Mammoth CA yesterday. In his T shirt– said it was fabulous. They have 8 ‘ of base remaining and plan to be open til August.
Nice
18Z 3km NAM is farther East.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017060718/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_39.png
Regular NAM even farther East
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam/2017060718/nam_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_14.png
Remember this is the 18Z run. š
Model flip/flop time
12Z Euro also off shore.
I truly hope everyone is sitting on his or her deck or lawn or just outside and enjoying this exceptional night. I’m toasting Mother Nature, my Friends here and my family and Sue, there was a very special toast for you, my friend. What a glorious world it is.
Jim Cantore in Naples FL. 10 inches of rain in two days.
In the will see what happens category. Tweet from Meteorologist Ryan Hanrahan
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/872564851591307265
New post!
Not much new there though…
Will add more later today.