Thursday Forecast

35 Comments

7:45AM

6:25PM edit for the addition of a discussion for days 1-5.

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 8-12)
Low pressure moves off the Mid Atlantic Coast tonight and passes southeast of New England Friday. Some rain gets into RI and southeastern MA and perhaps into the I-95 corridor but areas to the west will not likely see much if any rain from the low pressure system. However, a disturbance approaching from the west will trigger some showers and possible thunderstorms to the west and north of Boston during the afternoon and these will track east southeastward while fading away late in the day. There is only the slight risk of a pop up shower or storm Saturday as a little chilly air lingers above while the surface warms. Then we’re into the heat for Sunday-Monday. At this time it looks like any boundary of cooler air, which often lurks to the north this time of year when it heats up, will stay there.
TODAY: Sunshine, then increasing clouds from the southwest late. Highs 62-67 coast, 68-73 interior. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Thickening overcast. Chance of rain RI and southeastern MA overnight. Lows 52-57. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Overcast morning with periods of rain/drizzle RI and eastern MA, possibly NH Seacoast. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny afternoon with a possible late-day or early evening shower or thunderstorm favoring southwestern NH, central MA, and northeastern CT. Highs 60-65 coast, 66-71 interior. Wind E 5-15 MPH morning, S 5-15 MPH afternoon.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers or thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s South Coast, 80s to lower 90s elsewhere.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 80s to middle 90s, cooler some coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 13-17)
Staying with the heat for June 13 for now but will watch a boundary to the north. This should make it through by June 14 which will be dry but cooler. A few showers at times but largely rain-free and fairly warm June 15-17.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 18-22)
Shower threat early and again late period. Temperatures near to above normal.

35 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  2. Thank you TK!

    Vicki – thanks for the toast last night. If I wasn’t running around like a lunatic I would have toasted right back. 🙂

    1. It is a glorious day! I hope you can enjoy a bit of time to just sit; but if not, I hope you can take some Sue time this weekend!!

  5. Thanks TK! 33 on the Vineyard this morning!

    Beautiful day on tap. I’m sticking to Saturday as the official “pattern change day” though. Need to swing that one last upper level cool pool through here tonight/tomorrow, not to mention the unseasonably strong coastal low offshore, which looks like it’ll just graze us. But beyond that… summer.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I like your upper 70s coast on Monday, although it probably means low to mid
    80s at my house depending. I was hoping we would be in the neighborhood of
    a BD front. 😀 Please let’s make it happen.

  9. Thanks, TK. What do you think the chances are North Reading will be able to have its graduation exercises outside Friday evening?

      1. Thanks. If those are the odds, too close for comfort, so my guess is we will be indoors. Should be fine, as we have a large gymnasium in our new school.

  10. 12Z NAMS has tonight/tomorrow system just passing to our East and clipping the
    Cape and Islands and perhaps far SE MA. Hope that holds. 😀

    1. Of course if it were winter, it would be a fish storm with not even that much of a chance. 😀

  11. Thank you, TK.

    This is my idea of a heavenly June day. Low 70s, no humidity, sunny. Truly gorgeous.

  12. wonderful day today, finally got out on the water, was doing what I should of been doing on Tuesday only halfway done today. So behind. 🙁 Here it is, Stupid weather. 🙁

  13. Lovely day today, unlike 9 years ago this week (June 7-10, 2008) we were in the midst of a blistering heat wave.
    June 7 93
    June 8 96
    June 9 99
    June 10 101
    Temps taken at NWS-BOX Taunton

    It was an oven in my classroom.

    Funny thing, it was 57 as a high temp on June 5 less than a week before the heat wave!

    1. We will probably be in a heat wave early next week, maybe starting on Sunday. Hard to believe after what we have been through recently.

  16. Interesting afternoon discussion on Sunday thru Tuesday high temp potential on taunton’s afternoon discussion

  17. So, as cool and cloudy as it’s been, Boston could conceivably have 2 official heat waves and already have (6) 90F + days prior to the summer solstice.

  18. PAAAAALEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEZE NO!@!!!!*(@#&#*&!@*(#&*(!@&#*(!&@*(#&!*(@&#*(!&@(*#&!*(@#&*(!&@#(*&!@*(#&

    Subtropical ridge builds into the Mid Atlc this period resulting in
    the likelihood of a 3 day heat wave with highs well into the 90s
    away from the south coast. Sunday will be breezy as gradient
    tightens. This will help take some of the edge off the hot
    temperatures. Given temp anomalies at 925 mb and 850 mb are
    projected to run +2 standard deviations warmer (+24C to +26C at 925
    mb and +18C to +20C at 850 mb) than climo highs may climb into the
    mid and upper 90s each day! Thus added 2-4 degs to guidance each day
    and that may still be too cool. Later shifts may need to go even
    warmer than guidance.

  19. I did make an edit to the latest blog to add a discussion and tweak a few things as I basically rushed through editing a version of yesterday’s forecast this morning…

    1. We’re probably happy about this, but were it the winter there would be some very disappointed people!

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