Thursday Forecast

72 Comments

4:21AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 13-17)
A front drops through the region from north to south today but warm air and moisture sits over far southern New England and with some sun ahead of the front there will be the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms in areas generally south of the Mass Pike midday and afternoon, while areas to the north with more cloud cover and cooling air will see occasional showers and just a chance of thunderstorms. This front presses further south Friday which will remain generally cloudy and possibly wet at times, though much of the wet weather may stay to the south. The most notable aspect of Friday will be the cool air, making it feel more like May than July. Improvement will be slow to come on Saturday as a trough hangs around with lots of clouds, at least the first half of the day, more sun eventually, but still some risk of showers. A more summer-feeling and sunnier Sunday is expected but by Monday the next round of thunderstorms may develop as a cold front approaches from the northwest.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms, some possibly severe, favoring southern areas. Humid. Highs 75-83. Wind variable eventually becoming NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain and a chance of thunderstorms favoring southern MA, CT, and RI. Humid. Highs 67-75. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers/thunderstorms. Lows from the lower to middle 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows from the middle to upper 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated late-day showers/thunderstorms, favoring southern NH and northern MA. Lows from the middle to upper 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 18-22)
Isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms July 18 returning again late in the period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-5 (JULY 23-27)
Typical July pattern. Episodes of scattered showers/thunderstorms. Temperatures not far from normal most days.

72 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

      1. Explain Tk . What do you mean . You say isolated showers , cloudy & clearing and that’s what others have as well . To me it sounds like outdoor activities are a go .

  3. 1st slug of rain is approaching from the me.
    Looks to pass just North of Boston or perhaps catch the city with the southern edge.

    1. Yes, and a pretty decent Northeast wind blowing in and I can confirm that
      as it was blowing in my faced as I exited my vehicle on the way into the office.

      As suspected, the bulk of the rain this AM passed north of the city.
      Looks like one more smaller batch may be a direct hit, but I don’t expect
      too much. After that, Of course unless something pops, it looks like clear
      sailing until a huge batch currently in Western PA and NY moves in. That one
      looks to mean business. We shall see.

        1. Even this batch is primarily moving North of my area just clipping me with the Southern edge.

  14. It just goes to show how Logan at times doesn’t even come close to representing the Boston neighborhoods. Here at home in Dorchester, yesterday there was one big K-BOOM followed by brief gentle rain. I don’t have a rain gauge but I would be shocked if much more than a quarter to third of an inch fell. It didn’t even get all that dark, relatively speaking. And yet, Logan received 1.33″ (a record for the day).

    Just curious…how much for you JPD? 🙂

        2. 😀 😀 😀 😀

          I think I am a little more representative, however, I’d
          happily settle for the Boston Common, or Copley Square.

  15. Cool day. Not sure Logan makes 70 for an actual daytime temp when people are up. Cheap midnight high of 70 and 12:54 am. Currently 63. Cold for July. I have 67 at my house. Maybe if the sun comes out the temp might spike.
    I hate days like this in July. It’s my favorite weather month where we get the warmest weather, on average, and we get 2 days in the 60’s. No thanks. And yes, I know its something that happens often, but I still hate it.

  16. I would say with the cooler than expected temps its nice that we dont need to run the AC, but its still so humid its running just to keep the house dry 🙁

  18. Interesting:

    It is currently 61 DP 59 at Worcester with NE wind, while
    at Springfield it is 85 DP 73 with SW wind. Ya think there might just
    be a front between those 2 cities?

    1. When you say that TK that gets my attention. On Tuesday night you were concerned about the potential for severe weather on Thursday. Is this a situation where you feel all modes of severe weather are possible in the areas you mentioned?
      Continues to be hot down here in Virginia but I am enjoying my vacation and I hope the weather is good Saturday night when I see the Cubs play the Orioles in Camden Yards before heading back home Sunday.

        1. Thanks Tom. This will be my third time ever to Camden Yards. Cubs made news today by trading for Quintana.

    2. What do you make of no watch from SPC even though they had indicated
      80% chance of issuance. Yes, I know there was a 20% chance that they would not.

      Even though there is no watch, Are you still concerned?
      Do you think they may have blown it? OR think they may issue a watch later?
      There is already much activity.

      Curious as to your thoughts.

  21. “2nd push” of cool, NE airflow …… as what had been a calm wind most of the morning has suddenly picked up from the northeast at say, 10 to 15 mph.

  22. Logan’s dp now under 60F and Portland, ME’s temp is likewise under 60F.

    Cool afternoon coming for eastern mass.

    Meanwhile, heat indices of 95 to 100F in southwest parts of New England.

  23. Need HELP!

    OK, I need people to chime in. We are scheduled to have a company rooftop party tonight in downtown Boston, say 6:00-8:30 PM.

    Should we move it inside or will we escape the rain?

    1. Independent of any possible rain chances, I’d move it in doors simply
      because it will be TOO DAMN COOL to have it outside. But that may
      just be my warped thinking.

      1. Cat 2
        (moderate) 96–110 mph, 965.1–979.7 mb

        In the first frame that would be in the neighborhood of a high
        end Cat 2. Probably a lower cat 2 or high 1 hitting SNE.

        Again, this is pure speculation and fantasy at the moment as
        we all saw what happened with the last GFS hurricane.

        Just fun to play the “WHAT IF” game.

  27. Storm about to come into the SW Berkshires looks scary and “may” have a bit of rotation.

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=ENX&brand=wui&num=1&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.20217391304347826&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=199.67741935483855&centery=-9.784946236559335&transx=-200.32258064516145&transy=-249.78494623655934&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24999496&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

  28. Blackstone is correct about today’s late spring/fall weather. Atypical for July. Indeed, the considerable cloudiness we’ve been experiencing is having an impact on tourists visiting Boston. I’ve been hearing a few complaints. For example, today I was working at a local Peet’s cafe, and had a pleasant conversation with two Japanese tourists. The couple showed me their guidebook, and they pointed to the section on weather (in Japanese, so they had to translate, though I could read the numbers in celsius). “Why is it so cloudy? So cool today?” I gave them a TK-like response: “Your guidebook is correct, but it shows averages for this time of year. Any average is made up of numbers across a spectrum. Ths summer is relatively cloudy and rainy, thus far. Last summer was sunny and dry.”

    1. The warm season so far has been meh, not great, just ok. May was a disappointment, June was just ok. July has been decent so far. While the rain has been good, there have been far too many cloudy days for my liking. Not near enough sun. But that’s just me.

      Today and tomorrow, not so much to like for me. I fear Saturday is going to be a bust too. Hopefully Sunday can redeem the weekend. For people who, like yourself, enjoy winter, this is the summer equivalent of a 50 degree stretch in January or February during a thaw. Not what a summer lover is looking for in July.
      I go back to NC next week for 6 days. Looking forward to the 90 degree heat and 75 degrees DPs.

      1. I completely understand. This year’s summer has been “meh” for anyone who looks forward to a hot and sunny summer. Your analogy of a stretch of 50s in January for a winter lover like myself, is apt. For your sake, I hope that this summer does heat up and feature more sunny days.

        I mentioned this before, but the limited sun this year will have an impact on certain locally grown vegetables and fruit. Not good for apples or tomatoes. Plain bad for all squash sorts. Pumpkins, for example, will likely be smaller than usual. Their growth is almost entirely contingent on sun. A good year, on the other hand, for root vegetables.

  29. JJ… So far we have lucked out. The potential for a violent storm is there in CT and southern RI but so far it hasn’t taken place to maximum potential.

    SSK… My forecast was written rather optimistically, but we may end up more scattered to even numerous activity for a time before it dries out, and clearing may be delayed until the evening on Saturday. Still trying to figure that one out.

      1. Me as well I have two huge jobs going this weekend 1 for each day and if Saturday is a no go I’m screwed cause next weekend is vacation. I think it will be fine maybe showers in the AM

  32. Tremendous temperature drop here today as well. Hartford went from a sweltering 90 degrees with 72 dewpoint and heat index of 96 at 3PM to 64 degrees with a chilly light rain at 7PM.

    My thermometer here at the house is now reading 59.

    1. 59 here in JP as well.

      Will boston break its record low high for tomorrow, 7/14??? Time will tell.

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