Sunday Forecast

49 Comments

10:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 30-AUGUST 3)
No big changes as far as what was discussed on the last post. High pressure dominates the last 2 days of July and into the early part of August as the pattern transitions toward one with high pressure more in control. You’ll start to notice a more classic summer feel as August gets underway.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 72-77 coast, 77-82 interior. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-57 interior, 57-62 coast/urban areas. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-82 coast, 82-87 interior. Wind light S with sea breezes.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs in the 80s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Humid. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Humid. Lows from the upper 60s to lower 70s. Highs from the middle 80s to lower 90s, cooler South Coast.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 4-8)
A pattern of high pressure off the East Coast and a trough of low pressure centered around the Great Lakes will result in humid weather with occasional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms during this period. The greatest shower/storm threat appears to be centered around August 6, but will depend on position of trough and other factors, so much fine tuning will take place in the days ahead.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 9-13)
Similar pattern but stronger high pressure and weaker trough means warmer to hotter and more isolated shower/thunderstorm activity during this period.

49 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK. Beautiful day! Flying to the DC area today; the upcoming week is the final stage in my summer internship, a presentation week at NOAA headquarters in Silver Spring, MD. I’ll be presenting my summer research on improving the detection of tornadoes in our region, with over 100 other students from the program I’m in presenting their work as well. I’ve had a great summer with our local NWS, conducting some very consequential research and getting some experience in the operations aspect of the NWS as well. Should be a great week!

    Looking forward to a little time off in August too, though… hoping that warmer/drier pattern plays out for mid-month. Right now, I like what I see 🙂

    1. Impressive! You are an example of someone that holds the future of the profession in good hands.

        1. Many thanks to both of you and all our bloggers here! This is a great little community here.

    2. As mac would have said….I’m bursting my buttons, WxWatcher. Congratulation and so well deserved.

    4. Good luck presenting this week. You sound like you will have a very bright future ahead of you!

  2. Good morning from Sarasota. Popcorn showers racing in from the Gulf gona get crushed with rain and thunderstorms tomorrow.

  3. Thank you, TK

    I know it is out there but I have been asked to check with you re next weekend. Rilyn Mac turns one. I cannot believe it was a year ago we were waiting for her arrival.

    Do you see Saturday or Sunday as the better of the two days for an outdoor party?

  4. Thanks, TK. One of the top days of the summer.

    I have a question that I have wanted to ask the WHW family for a while:

    Many of you on this blog have brilliant insight to the weather, atmosphere and environment, and I usually am in awe. I have learned a lot by following your comments, especially before and during severe events.

    I am a relatively new blogger to this site and I do not use social media so I don’t know you personally.

    I’d like to know here who has a formal background in Meteorology and Environmental Sciences. Based on what I have read, I suspect this group includes TK, SAK, JPDave and, perhaps, Tom and others. Does anyone work as a professional meteorologist?

    Who here is currently studying Meteorology and Environmental Sciences? I think Matt and WxWatcher are two. What colleges are you studying at? Speaking of WxWatcher, congratulations on your achievements listed above…very prestigious! And, Matt, you mentioned you were at a field station last night. Where are you?

    I would have liked to have both of you in class! I have taught a number of students who are currently meteorologists.

    This is now my “number one” place to go for weather. I appreciate everyone’s contributions. I am curious to know your background in weather! Thanks!

    1. SAK and I went to the same college (I was just a few years ahead, I’m the old guy lol). We also worked in the same private company for a long time and learned from the same incredible meteorologists even more than we learned in our years of schooling. We’ve both moved on to different places since that particular company.

      JMA has a degree as well and we have a few bloggers who are currently in school for it.

      1. Thank you, TK. And thanks for all of your daily efforts with this blog. I/we sincerely appreciate all that you do.

    2. No Met Degree here. Math and Physics.

      However, I did wor with seasoned mets and Atmospheric Physicists for a couple of years. 😀

    3. I second your great comments. I’ve learned a lot and love this family. We had another younger blogger here,….Scott….who attended Lydon sp? I miss his posts

  5. Back from a beautiful morning of fishing. Glorious weather and good fishing as well. 😀

  6. Thank you.
    Not really answering the question of the day, but tangential: I had an aunt who in the 1940s- 1960s studied at MIT and had her own meteorological business (?) in Cambridge serving local businesses whose production and delivery schedules were weather dependent. Always been amazed that she did that – first generation Irish immigrant from a family with limited means.

      1. I took an Intro To Meteorology course back in the 80s at Framingham State College (now University) for an earth science requirement and I struggled to get a B. I suspect that a met major wouldn’t dare get any grade lower than an A- or B+. 😉

        1. Other than math and physics, the closest I came
          was a Physical Geography course with several
          chapters devoted to meteorology. Then I took
          a climatology course, which I found fascinating.
          I had to do a paper and I chose the theory of
          climate change.

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles

          The only course I took that was even remotely related
          was Thermodynamics and then Astronomy. 😀

  7. Vicki, regarding next weekend…

    It’s really up in the air, literally and figuratively, but my gut feeling tells me to plan for Saturday versus Sunday.

    1. Thank you, TK. We typically have a plan B but it is good to have one day that is relatively firm.

  8. Rare occurrence of late…
    12z GFS may have a better handle on the overall pattern than the 12z ECMWF does.

  10. Congrats WXwatcher.
    Captain Fantastic,.
    I am on the Nantucket Field station, which is owned by Umass Boston and NBI. Umass Boston also has an association with the center of coastal studies based out of province town.
    I am currently doing my Honors independent research project on Crab Species Diversity in Nantucket Harbor Seagrass Beds
    I go to Umass Boston and the Fall will be my last semester of Undergraduate studies. I am an Environmental and marine science major. I am also going for a minor in Environmental Anthropology. I went to Middlesex community college for my associates in Environmental and life sciences.
    I have taken several classes that were in Biology, Ecology, Climate, weather, Geography, marine Geology, coral Reef sciences, Diesease and Anthropology.

    My focus area of interest is in Marine Ecology. How the Animals interact with the environment and how they are changing due to the changing climate and Anthropological stresses.

    I am currently looking at Umass Boston, University of Maine, Univeristy of Georgia,Nova southeastern University, Florida State, University of south florida, and a school that I am really thinking about is USVI University of the Virgin island still thinking a lot about it. Will probably know sometime in the spring 🙂

      1. Alot of people are scared out of science in high school and middle school due to bad teachers and curriculum. So many schools just have Freshmen bio which has to follow a darn curriculum for the darn mcas. (Massachusetts child abuse system ), Softmore chemistry, and physics. I found all of these classes incredibly boring but I had outside sources keeping me interested in science. alot of these sciences are the basic boring stuff which makes people think the wrong way.

        1. Matt – Wow! That is an awesome resume! Congratulations on your excellent work and best of luck on your summer work and your future graduate studies! It is a very ambitious program. I appreciate your passion!
          Thanks for sharing!

          1. Matt also has my buttons bursting. I’m so humbled to be part of the future generation through this blog and its family

    1. I’m in Orlando and the weather has been less than ideal. We are making the best of it though.

  13. SAK I remember that snowstorm quite well you mentioned in your blog. I was impressed with the amount of snow it dumped in a short period of time. If there was blocking in the North Atlantic this could have been a 24-36 inch snowstorm I feel.

  16. Matt, congratulations on the work you’re doing. Science is where it’s at in terms of jobs, manufacturing, biotechnology, environment, etc … I wish I had a truly scientific mind. I do not. I’m much more a literary type. My frequent forays into highly technical quantitative analysis – even in my field of economics – always left me feeling I didn’t fully grasp the advanced mathematics or statistics. Good lord, I tried and still do. I envy those who have scientific minds.

  17. Up in Maine and went to Damescotta Lake today and boy was it perfect. Starting a new job on the 7th with Hubspot so very excited for that.

    Hope everyone is having a great summer so far!!

  19. FWIW quick updated posted. More comprehensive one written tonight posted early morning.

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