Thursday Forecast

35 Comments

3:27PM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 28-OCTOBER 2)
A transition to cooler weather is underway as a cold front has moved offshore. This same front will finally boot Maria to see well to the south of New England with only some rough surf left behind for the next couple days. After high pressure brings fair weather Friday, a small but potent disturbance will bring some unsettled weather early Saturday but should keep moving enough for a recovery during the day. What will follow it is the coolest air of the early autumn so far, flowing in during the day Saturday to keep high temperatures below normal, followed by a chilly night in which some sheltered locations may see their first frost. High pressure will bring spectacular weather Sunday and Monday. This is a period of time where I once thought we may be seeing a coastal storm with significant rainfall. So here is an example of how things do not always work out how they look several days in advance, and re-evaluation must take place daily.
REMAINDER OF TODAY: Sunshine. Temperatures 66-75. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 42-47 except 47-52 urbane areas. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-67. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Showers arriving west to east pre-dawn. Lows 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mainly cloudy through midday with showers likely, ending from north to south midday. Clearing north to south later in the day. Highs 55-62. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, shifting to N, with higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s interior valleys, middle to upper 40s elsewhere. Highs in the 60s.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 3-7)
High pressure will dominate with fair weather and a significant warm-up October 3-5. A cold front should bring a switch to somewhat cooler weather but still above normal temperatures for the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 8-12)
The rain risk may increase as we go through this period with temperatures generally above to near normal.

35 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  4. The monthly outlook for October is for above normal temps. It will be interesting as to what this leads to as far as November and beyond into the upcoming winter.

    2. Starting pitching is a mess. It doesn’t help that the last 4 games of the season are agains the best team in the AL

      1. On top of it, if I am not mistaken, they will not have any home field advantage for the postseason, regardless. Same as last year.

  8. We are planing to go apple picking tomorrow in Harvard and then off to Yankee Candle. Does it look like a all day wash out between 9am and 6pm?

    1. Cool temperatures and cloud cover have higher confidence.

      Rain : lower confidence. Depends on the orientation of rain shield and track of upper feature and sfc low reflection. Sometimes, these upper level lows diving southeast out of the eastern great lakes have their rain and snow shield largely miss to our southwest.

      If the precip doesn’t miss to the south – southwest, then showers are possible through the morning into early afternoon.

      Either way, be prepared for cool weather and potentially having rain.

  11. Off to Spain and Portugal tonight. Weather looking good there!

    While I am gone, please keep all tropical storms away!!

  14. 12z GFS running but the 6z has highs back in the upper 70’s Wednesday and then low 80’s again for a 4 day stretch next Thursday through Sunday.

    1. Although the 0z Euro does not look as warm…about 10+ degrees cooler for the same time period for high temps on the eurowx.com grids

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