Tuesday Forecast

21 Comments

2:52PM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 3-7)
The feel of summer comes back briefly for midweek as high pressure sinks to the south of New England and a southwesterly flow develops. But a cold front will come through a little more quickly than originally expected – early Thursday – cutting back on the warmth slightly. This front will be moisture starved so very little if any rainfall is expected with it. However, it will sit just to the south of the area Friday which will start fair but may end a little unsettled, at least cloud-wise, depending on the speed of a disturbance coming along it. This disturbance will pull the front through as a warm front by early Saturday as it tracks to the north of the region, so Saturday may exhibit the feel of summer again.
REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON: Sunny. Temperatures 55-62 then sliding back slightly. Wind variable to E 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-45 interior, 45-52 coast. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Slight chance of showers overnight. Lows 58-64. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 70-78, coolest Cape Cod. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Risk of showers or light rain at night. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.
SATURDAY: Clouds followed by sun. Lows from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the lower 70s to around 80.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 8-12)
A cold front is expected to come through early Sunday October 8 with perhaps a period of showers and then a brief dry interlude. But once again the front will not get that far a way and a couple days of high pressure to the southeast and a trough to the west with the front caught in the middle with set the region up for some humid and wet weather Monday October 9, when as it looks now the threat of widespread rain is highest. Tuesday October 10 may be a bit of a summery-feeling day yet again until a cold front brings a risk of showers and thunderstorms followed by dry and cooler weather Wednesday October 11, then as systems move right along a warm-up will ensue Thursday October 12. Timing during this period, as always, is subject to change so check updates.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 13-17)
Expect a dry and cool start to this period followed by a warming trend, and a threat of wet weather again by late in the period.

21 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  4. Thanks TK
    This day in the weather history F4 Tornado hits Windsor Locks, CT. A week later the same area had measurable snow.

  6. Thanks TK. Tom posted the link to Invest 90L above. That’s one to keep a close eye on. Remember the “potential early October tropical system” that was being talked about some 10-14 days ago? This is it. Increasingly likely we see a tropical storm or perhaps low end hurricane in the Gulf this weekend, with remnant moisture possibly impacting New England early next week.

    1. Yes, we have been eyeing this potential for quite some time now. The signals were there and consistently so.

      I’ll go out on a limb and say this will become “Nate” and we’ll hear from some of its moisture early next week.

  7. Fall colors in central New Hampshire this year are a total dud so far. That seems to be the prevailing sentiment from most takes I’ve seen from others on it throughout New England. Easily the worst I’ve seen in my four years going to school up here. We’re getting considerable leaf drop, yet they’re not really even changing colors. Just drying up a little and falling off. This coming few days of weather will not help with that. Kind of a perfect storm I think to limit the foliage. Delayed impacts from last year’s drought combined with very warm weather the past few weeks.

  8. played golf today for the first time in 3 years. you know what kind of golfer you are when 3 years have passed and your game hasn’t changed a bit. and by that i mean i suck just as badly as ever. shot 58 – 49 for a 107. just about same score as 3 years ago. lol norton country club. what a beautiful day.

  11. I think the next 24 – 48 hrs will be interesting to see if there is a continued projected intensity ramp up or a plateauing of the intensity for the next tropical system.

  14. 00z EURO weaker in comparison to yesterday’s 12z EURO with Gulf system …..

    day 10 on 00z EURO interesting because I think the early long term idea on the models in the previous few days has been that when the system in days 6-8 move away, it would be replaced by a trof and cooler weather. Not so on the day 10 (00z) projection. Still a flat ridge and 850mb temps around +10C.

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