Friday Forecast

34 Comments

3:54PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
The cold has arrived, and will behave as advertised. There are no major changes to the outlook other than to inform you that the energy for the coming unsettled weather looks like it will keep its focus more to the south and therefore cloudiness will be the dominant feature as opposed to precipitation when we get to early next week. In the mean time, the wind/cold will be the story through Saturday morning, so bundle up for any football games and Veterans Day ceremonies.
THROUGH EVENING: Clear. Temperatures fall from the 30s to the upper 20s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill in the 10s.
OVERNIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-15 except 15-22 urban areas and immediate coast. Growing season ends anywhere it has not up to this point. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 10 at times.
SATURDAY – VETERANS DAY: Sunny. Highs 35-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-15 deepest valleys, 15-23 elsewhere. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of light rain and snow at night. Highs 40-47. Wind light SE.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Slight chance of light rain. Lows from the lower 30s to near 40. Highs from the middle 40s to near 50.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)
Next system approaches from the west and likely returns clouds to the region and a risk of light mix/rain late November 15 into early November 16 followed by dry weather through November 17. Watching for a possible storm system on the weekend of November 18-19 but low confidence at this time.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)
Thanksgiving week currently looks fairly dry and on the cool to cold side with a northwesterly flow but far too early for too many details.

34 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

    1. Down to 30 with DP 5.

      Imagine IF the wind were to die down…..

      Even so, I am wondering if we get to 15? Teens virtually a certainty.
      If it’s going to be cold, let’s break a record.

    1. to me looks to be the norm at this time, not sure how far east the mean through makes it this year. Great lakes look to make out good this year for snowfall

      1. Well, you could be correct, but it is early yet. It isn’t even Winter.
        Let’s give it a chance. I have seen the Euro advertise cutters that turn out to be coastals. Time will tell.

  5. The upcoming weather pattern is about what I was thinking as we head toward December. It’s a pattern of frequent low pressure areas, MOST of which track north of New England, several of which redevelop east or northeast of the region, a few of which redevelop south of the region, and a couple of which may just track to the south as a pseudo-clipper. This is going to probably go into early December and eventually one or 2 of these are going to produce measurable snow, which should open the door to the “early and often” that I was mentioning some time ago.

    As for the entire winter, forecast-wise, still have more to figure out.

    1. Thanks for the update TK! The only issue I have is that at least here in Boston and probably to the south as well, many trees are still leaf full AND green. It could likely be mid-December or even later before all trees turn completely bare. Raking is going to be a pain with measurable snow on the ground.

      1. Trees strong enough to hold leaves and snow will be a problem as well. I’m truly surprised after the winds we have had that as many trees as there are now still hold their leaves

      2. The leaves will be pretty much gone by Thanksgiving (except for the normal holders like oaks). The current and upcoming cold will rapidly accelerate leaf-drop.

    2. You are being modest. I know I have said it before; however, since you wont say it…..well, we all know it is difficult to keep me quiet

      You not only predicted the warmer October and November when we spoke mid July….BUT you also told me this is what you saw for this time period into December.

    1. Now I have a smile from ear to ear. And maybe a few tears too. I didn’t know that

      Tomorrow….11/11 is two years since Mac got his angel wings.

  10. 23 is the new record low and Logan also established a new low of 24 yesterday (11/10) breaking the old 25 set in 2004.

    Are we setting up for a well below normal Novembrrr? 😉

    2. Probably not “well below”, but “below” would not surprise me. We have too many air mass transitions upcoming unless my forecast is highly incorrect and we get into a December 1989 type pattern.

      1. Ok TK, so what was the December 1989 pattern? 😉

        Off the top of my head, 1989-90 did not feature much in terms of snowfall so that is all I can remember about that period.

    1. This is an example of the “quick-trigger” blocking I referenced the other day.

      Zonal to blocking just like that.

      1. Does this mean that storms are most likely to sneak up on us as opposed to appearing the models in the mid range?

        1. Yes it would possibly mean that. This type of pattern often prompts are medium range models to more frequently misfire on their depictions of short waves moving along the flow and the result can be vastly different (more so than typically) of what you’ll see more than a few days in advance.

  12. With love and gratitude that somehow seems never to be enough. God Bless our veterans….past, present, future.

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