Thursday Forecast

3:29PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Discussion…
No major changes today with a system currently moving through that consists of a cold front parented by low pressure passing north of New England and a newly developing low passing across far southeastern New England into the waters east of the region by this evening. Showers will wrap up and just a few more additional ones may slide through from west to east as this system departs and then dry air takes over and fair weather arrives, albeit with a gusty wind and chilly air through Friday and Friday night. The next in the train of systems arrives later Saturday but we may get through most of the day rain-free. By the time it gets here any chill that was around early in the day will be long gone and we’re just looking at a rain event Saturday night and Sunday morning. Behind this system comes another bout of wind and the return of colder air during Sunday, which will see falling temperatures as it dries out. When we get to Monday, it will be dry but very chilly and made to feel even more so by a gusty wind which will continue.
Detailed forecast…
REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON: Widespread showers end west to east. Temperatures 40s NW, lower 50s SE. Wind variable 5-15 MPH shifting to W but stronger at times over southeastern MA with gusts up to and over 30 MPH at times.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with isolated showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 33-38. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-47. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain by late day. Highs 42-47 by late day but rising to 48-55 at night. Wind light W morning, light SE afternoon, S 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Cloudy start with a chance of rain early, then partly cloudy. Temperatures falling into the 40s morning then to the 30s by late afternoon.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the upper 30s to middle 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Pre-Thanksgiving travel weather will be favorable Tuesday/Wednesday November 21-22 with a cold front crossing the region producing only a few rain and/or snow showers most likely early Wednesday. Current timing suggest dry on the holiday November 23 with chilly air in place, then maybe brief light rain/mix possibly November 24 otherwise mainly fair and moderating temperatures at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)
The final days of November are still expected to see a bit of a blocking pattern develop with an increased risk for stormy weather, watching around the November 27-28 time frame but odds favor rain over snow for southern New England based on current pattern expectations. As always will monitor as this forecast is low confidence.

26 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK

    Some crystal blue sky showing between clouds along with very low lying fog. It is a spectacular sight.

  2. Captain F … I’m not sure if you replied to my question about the game. If so I missed it. I could go back and look I suppose. πŸ˜›

    1. Hi TK…No, I haven’t had time to post or read anything.
      I really tried to rearrange things for tomorrow night and Saturday morning, but I just can’t get up there for the game. My heart is a bit broken that I can’t be with my students and the Sachems. It’s the “north’s” turn to host this game this year, plus it starts at 7:30. There’s a 5 pm game up there, too. Just too far to get to from here with things that I have to do. If the game was at Taunton or Brockton High School, I may have been able to get there. The game is on the local radio and I think it’s being live-streamed on the computer.
      If you go, bring the Sachems luck for me.
      Thanks for thinking of me.

      1. Thanks all. He was as strong willed as they come and at the same time took amazing care of his little girl.

  3. Around 4:30 here in Coventry, we had a quick hit of very strong winds, heavy rain, pea size hail, and a few cloud to ground lightning bolts that were very close by.Pretty impressive!

  4. It appears a coastal storm will be off our coastal in 10 days. On the 12z gfs it looks like rapid intensification from hour 240 to 264.

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