2:25AM
DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 4-8)
Storm day. Deepening low pressure wobbles its way north and northeast off the US East Coast today and passes New England by tonight, resulting in a major winter storm for the region. It is time to make a list of the expectations of this unfolding weather event…
Start time of precipitation: 3AM to 7AM south to north as patchy areas of snow except rain Cape Cod.
Increase in coverage of precipitation: 7AM-9AM entire region under light to moderate snow except rain Cape Cod as far west as a line from near Plymouth MA to near Newport RI.
Peak of precipitation: 9AM-5PM generally moderate widespread snow except rain changing to snow Cape Cod with banding of heavier snow where snowfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour may take place, and some in-between bands of lighter snowfall or even breaks in snow entirely.
Wind-down of precipitation: Area of snow erodes from west to east 5PM-8PM with a few lingering final bands of moderate snow possible.
End of precipitation: Final patches of snow exit by or before 10PM in eastern areas.
Snowfall accumulation: Generally 8-14 inches much of the region with medium to fluffy consistency of snow, except areas of under 8 inches possible far to the west, a 4-8 inch area of wetter snow from near Plymouth MA to Newport RI eastward to the western part of Cape Cod, and 2-4 inches of wet snow eastern part of Cape Cod through Martha’s Vineyard, and 1-3 inches of wet snow late in the storm on Nantucket. The most likely areas near the top of the snowfall range will be the North Shore of MA, South Shore of MA, and Boston’s immediate southern suburbs, as well as an area in north central MA in the higher elevations.
Maximum wind gusts: Northeast to north winds early in the storm becoming more north to northwest mid to late storm when maximum gusts of 30-45 MPH interior and 45-60 MPH coastal areas, with some gusts in excess of 60 MPH possible immediate coastal locations.
Coastal impact: Minor flooding likely along the entire coast with areas of moderate to significant flooding closer to high tide times favoring north-facing shores. Ice shoves are also possible (areas of recently-formed ice being pushed ashore by tide and wind).
Power outages: Isolated to scattered outages possible anywhere, but most likely location is southeastern MA where rain changes to wetter snow and wind gusts are strongest.
Thundersnow: Low risk but possible in heaviest bands of snow during the height of the storm midday to mid afternoon.
Visibility: Blizzard conditions with drastically reduced visibility to white-out conditions from sustained winds or frequent wind gusts of 35 MPH or greater for at least 3 consecutive hours will be likely along the NH Seacoast and eastern MA coastline to the Cape Cod Canal and the South Coast of MA. While Cape Cod itself may see these conditions develop late in the storm it will probably not occur for long enough to be classified as an official blizzard. Some interior locations may approach these conditions but not for long enough periods of time for official blizzard status.
Post-storm: Blowing and drifting snow will continue through Friday long after the storm has ended, and in some cases this can result in reduced visibility in a small area making travel briefly dangerous, or cover the ground with snow making for an area of slippery conditions. Keep an eye out for this if traveling on Friday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Overcast. Snow except rain changing to snow far southeastern areas. Snow will be heavy at times in bands. See above for details of snow accumulation and other storm impacts. Highs 22-29 interior, 30-37 coast, mildest Cape Cod, in the morning, with slowly falling temperatures during the afternoon. Wind N increasing to 15-30 MPH interior and 25-40 MPH coast with higher gusts (see above for peak expected gusts).
TONIGHT: Snow ending evening. Clearing overnight. Temperatures fall to 15-22. Wind N to NW 25-35 MPH, higher gusts. Blowing and drifting snow where dry snow fell and a flash freeze where wetter snow fell.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Temperatures fall to 5-12. Wind NW 25-35 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill falling well below 0 at times. Blowing and drifting snow where dry snow fell.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows -5 to +5. Wind NW 20-30 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill -10 to -20 at times.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers. Highs 5-13. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill as low as -10 at times.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows -15 to 0. Highs 10-20.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/mix/rain late. Temperatures rise into the 20s morning, 30s afternoon.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 9-13)
Rain/snow/mix followed by clearing January 9. Fair January 10-11. Unsettled weather returns later in the period. Temperatures below to near normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 14-18)
Unsettled weather favoring snow/mix early in the period, then generally dry and colder.
Thanks TK
TK thanks again. Want your opinion on ice shove.
Meaning intense? huge? most likely place? my curiosity getting the best of me.
Thanks
Thanks for all your work on this TK. Storm day! Been up for a while already checking out latest info. And don’t really have any changes, everything looks on track. 10-15″ for many. Localized higher/lower by a few inches. More confident this morning that range will extend as far back as Worcester or even a little beyond with a more westerly track. No concern for mixing northwest of Taunton/Providence, and you’ll really have to get to the Cape to have much of an issue with that. Winds a big concern. We’ll see a couple hurricane force gusts Cape/Islands. Coastal flooding also a major concern for the midday high tide. In short, this storm has everything. It’s absolutely spectacular on satellite this morning with a large eye feature. Be safe, and enjoy! We won’t see another storm of this intensity for awhile.
Good morning and thank you TK.
First few flakes just starting here in JP.
Temp 26, dp 17
Thanks TK and Good Morning Everyone!
Been snowing a couple hours and wind is gusting too bad. Looking like a widespread double digit snowfall for many in SNE. Of course the cold air to follow this storm will be the next story after this storm system.
7am snow started coming down pretty good
I find it to be pretty amazingly WINDY already. I can’t imagine what it will be
later. Visibility slowing coming down in light snow.
With that wind this snow being powdery is going to blow around.
Mark with this particular model looks like you are in the bulleseye here in CT. Tweet from Ryan Hanrahan.
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/948879778026803200
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/948878988906237952
Oooooo, I like that map JJ. Temp is 18 at my house right now too.
Looks like us in central mass will get in on that action aswell
Yeah, that 1.2 qpf dot looks like it’s either right over my house or my neighbors at worst lol. We’ll see.
Haha! Looks just west of me.
Are you in sterling or Worcester?
of course, I knew this was going to happen, π I want the jackpot lol
Snow really meaning business already.
Wind due North at Logan with temp 26 and wind NE at Marshfield (poor Tom)
with temp 41.
π π π
Oh you’re here. I was wondering.
I hope school is canceled.
It is. π
Quite breezy here already as well. Very impressive SW to NE synoptic band has developed from Cape Ann all the way into central CT. Subsidence shadow southeast of there (“Charlie hole”), with more heavier precip, some of which is rain, over southeast MA. This is how we get our localized high/low amounts.
IS the blue line a drew in here an approximate position of a coastal front?
Perhaps a bit more East of where I drew it.
https://imgur.com/a/5Jbos
Think so. This from NWS
Coastal Front is beginning to set-up across the eastern MA coastline
with GHG warming to 36F and PYM near 32F. The Cape is currently above
32F so they will start out as rain once the precip moves onshore.
Will have to continue to watch and see how far westward this front
pushes inland but current thinking is GHG to east of EWB.
i was wondering the same thing. I’m on that blue line.
temp is 33 and snowing pretty intensely.
Will the coastal front move during the storm?
Latest NWS snow map. 14 inches for Boston
http://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png
Thanks TK !
Super discussion with every facet of the storm well explained and easy to understand.
Beginning to get enough fresh snow on the ground for it to start really blowing around.
And temp has dropped to 25
Retrac, on radar looks like you are getting it pretty good. π
it just came in like a wave at the beach. I want to just sit now. π
Are you stuck working today? OR at home?
Home working. Took an act of congress to get corporate to allow me to keep people home and close the business. They’re on the west coast…..
Looks like I’m about fifteen minutes from that sweet band hitting. Bet it’s snowing like a mother around northboro. 30 dbz echos starting to blossom near there.
Temp is 35.8 in Hanover.
I think on the coastal front : watch the Boston harbor buoy wind direction. It’s only 030. If that veers, then the coastal front is moving west, if it stays at 030 or backs, then the coastal front will be collapsing SE.
http://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrBT8BFIU5aE0sAqC1x.9w4;_ylu=X3oDMTByOHZyb21tBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg–/RV=2/RE=1515098565/RO=10/RU=http%3a%2f%2fwww.ndbc.noaa.gov%2fstation_page.php%3fstation%3d44013/RK=2/RS=XvgO8fn8RMs108lcOf6wL2TSvQU-
The air temp at the buoy is 39.7F and that’s why SE Mass is above freezing
Tom,
I have re-drawn the coastal front. Do you think this captures it?
https://imgur.com/a/3xUD9
You bet !
Not going to snow down here at 39 degrees
It will. π
Mix or wet snow for a while this morning. Late morning thru afternoon, I believe will plenty make up for it.
Unfortunately, this just puts a layer of waterlogged snow at the bottom and on the roads, it will create water and slush that will freeze, then to be topped by snow.
Intense stuff is rapidly approaching as it covers all of South Coast, Cape and Islands
and part of the far South Shore
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
Something to keep an eye on for later. Tweet from meteorologist Ed Vallee
https://twitter.com/EdValleeWx/status/948900407224520704
BRING IT ON!!!
Charlie Hole Sighted! π π π
https://imgur.com/a/XrRxP
It’ll give him the day to plant some grass and prune hibiscus.
π
Just like I said. looks like the areas between 128 and 495 is going to have charlie hole issues.
It’s so funny that we have essentially trademarked that phrase. NWS might want to start using that in their discussions. Or at least TK should!!
I think it is hilarious and even more so how it came to be. π
No!
Thank you TK. Exceptional discussion
Started in Sutton around 4:15. Moderate snow now. Rough guess 1/2 inch. Wind on light to step above light side. Both Son and one SIL headed into work.
Let them be safe. Going to be nasty out there.
Thanks JPD. Son has no choice and may get stuck for an extra shift since others may not make it in later. I believe SIL will try to head back here before 9:00. He has a strong work ethic so it is difficult for him to remain home.
Visibility just dropped here. Down to about 1/2 mile in MODERATE SNOW. π
Tweet from weatheroptics
Our coastal storm has officially undergone bombogenesis. Its pressure has dropped 24 millibars in only 7 hours–And it is still strengthening!
π
Snow starting to pick up in Wrentham as the more solid snow shield moves in. Also some ocean enhancement. Leading heavy band continues pushing NW.
18 in Sterling right now. Snow coming down moderately.
vis back up to about 3/4 mile in really good light snow.
Temp got to 36 and has dropped to 35.6.
Raining here π
A bit ominous that it’s already fairly windy.
8 AM wind at Logan
Wind: from the North at 25.3 gusting to 31.1 MPH (22 gusting to 27 KT)
Visibility: 1.25 miles in Light Snow
It’s a very warm 38 here in the southwestern side of Lakeville. Been raining pretty good for an hour or so. Started out as a light snow at about 6 which has since been washed away. Wind started picking up like someone flipped a switch. It was really weird.
Snowing at a pretty good clip here in South Weymouth (at work) right now and the wind is starting to pick up too.
Raining at 53 and 123.
Yuck and you’re not that far down there. That’s just East of
the Hanover Mall, correct?
Just north from the mall by a half a mile I guess. I think the coastal front is just north of me by a couple of football fields and sinking south easy. Weather underground shows my station and 5 degree drop a short distance away.
Will be snowing there soon. π
I feel like there will be two major bands One along and west of I495 and then one along the coastal front.
Wind gusting to 50 mph on Nantucket.
Last hour at harbor buoy
7 031
7:10 031
7:20. 028
7:30. 026
7:40. 027
7:50. 026
The coastal front, I believe, will only start to sink SE from here on out.
10 minute averages already showing a 5 degree backing to the wind.
Yup, a slow and steady collapsing of the coastal front.
Where it is now raining, it WILL be snowing.
Agreed.
Bad to start with rain, only going to make the surfaces more slippery and the weight on the trees heavier when it freezes solid.
Yes, that’s a killer. Don’t like that at all.
35.4
The Charlie hole just filled in.
No, that’s his pool cover that caught the wind and the radar bounced over it. Opening day for swimming.
(Couldn’t resist)
ROTFLMAO
π π π π
hahahahahahahaha
Just checked in at home too (West Hingham)…snowing there too.
35.1
http://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrBT8BFIU5aE0sAqC1x.9w4;_ylu=X3oDMTByOHZyb21tBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg–/RV=2/RE=1515098565/RO=10/RU=http%3a%2f%2fwww.ndbc.noaa.gov%2fstation_page.php%3fstation%3d44013/RK=2/RS=XvgO8fn8RMs108lcOf6wL2TSvQU-
A buoy south of eastern Long Island. It’s wind is increasing rapidly.
Sustained over 40 kts, gusting over 55 kts.
Darn, wrong one.
Storm has dropped 43 mb so far nearly double bombogenesis. Wow. Check out goes 16. Absolutely gorgeous.
There you are. Welcome aboard the SNOW TRAIN!
My barometer is down 19mb since 7 last night
I didn’t check last night, but my barometer is now ready 997 mb
I’m at 1008.
996 here now and DROPPING
I hope the Merrimack valley doesn’t get shadowed between heavy bands as it tends to do that sometimes. Let get those heavy bands into NE mass!
First inch in the books. Heavy snow.
All out snow blitz about to descend upon the city. π
Watching those heavier snow bands coming in from Long Sound pushing east towards my area.
Visible satellite shot of our storm.
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/948904047817478144
Looks very much like the blizzard of 78 did.
A little over an inch in Sutton at 8:40. Daughter corrected me on wind. She said there have been some stronger gusts. She did point out that I tend to not think it is windy unless the house shakes.
I fall into that category too Vicki. Wind doesnβt impress me until I can hear it howl from inside and it shakes the house and rattled the windows
hahaha!!! Let’s hope for a little rattle!
Storm officialy at 964, double bombogenesis confirmed. Amazing.
Changing to snow now. 34.9
Itβs raining steadily here now at 36 the temperature is down now 3 degrees from say an hour ago.
Storm is near perfection. Could go down as the most powerful winter cyclone. Impressive stuff.
I just heard on the news that officials are asking Scituate residents to voluntarily evacuate.
My guess is that includes Humarock. Not good for those houses down there….especially on the narrow stretch where we stay.
40 DBZ echos are now showing all along the South Shore.
That would be some mighty intense snow.
Not here
Well those echos could be very heavy rain or
a heavy mix.
Anyone seeing sleet? Sleet could make those echos.
Iβm actually wondering if Pembroke doesnβt start getting into heavy snow till after noon time now
10, maybe 10:30 is my guess.
Moderate snow here in South Weymouth….still a wet snow here
WxWatcher, I don’t know about you but it is coming down pretty good now.
Here as well. We’re in the solid stuff now after a brief Charlie hole issue.
Snowing good now in Sharon too after getting a piece of that hole too
Goes visible satellite loop. This will get better as the day wears on….
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=newengland-02-24-1
And water vapor loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html
Blizzard Warnings now up for three counties in CT. I am not surprised the way that wind is gusting and the blowing and drifting of the snow I could certainly see blizzard criteria verifying.
Thunder snow being reported in southeastern parts of CT!
Storm definitely producing lightning and I am not surprised in the slightest.
https://imgur.com/a/of4SH
75 mph wind gust in Wellfleet and 76 on Nantucket. Hurricane force winds. Wow
π π
Holy s**t
Guess hurricane winds canβt be gusts but I think we all understand the point.
The morning facebook post from NWS has 76 as a max gust at Nantucket for the entire storm, I believe.
Some serious bands about to pivot up through Boston. Game on.
Just saw that on the lightning map JJ, lightning strikes reported near Norwich CT. That’s the wall of very heavy snow that is about to pivot in.
So far so good in the Merrimack Valley, in Pelham, NH, we have been in a heavy band for a while. I agree with Kane sometimes we end up in the shadow of the coastal front (heavy bands).
Ch 5 in brant rock Tom .
Thanks, SSK. Just turned it on to watch.
Thanks. With WHW, I hardly watch tv for the weather anymore.
Hmmm, TK has remained pretty quiet. He must be manning the weather station.
last post he made said he is going to rest.
He got trampled last night trying to get bread at the local food store. Poor guy π
He might be behind where I use to live but hopefully he will chime in soon.
Current map with temps and Wind Gusts
https://imgur.com/a/D3KXa
JPD and Mark. I’ve been texting your links to my just 9 year old granddaughter. She is the weather enthusiast and is just studying weather in school.
Awesome!!
Nice Vicki!
Thank you both for the links. The visual of the storm from above and the lightning map are especially great.
Been to Whole Foods and back already, definitely a good day to stay home and off the roads! Deteriorating quickly. Had an oil delivery late yesterday, but there was a a small leak in the fill pipe outside the house so they didn’t fill the tank… we had a new tank installed in August so its all new, but now that company has to come fix it today, so we can oil by the weekend… The cold weather must have shrunk the pipe seal I guess. Never easy!
Whoa !!
Wasn’t expecting this 040 at Boston harbor buoy. 9am update
This means coastal front stopped at least for now. I fact it has moved NW a bit.
As the heavy bands approaching boston and into the north shorr, they seem to have backed off and retreat
I wonder why that happens
geology π
Explain? It’s not like we have the same shadow like Springfield. Whats the actually cause
Kane, they kind of act the same because it is rising and falling air. Out in Springfield it is geographic, the air is sinking as it comes down into the CT valley. Air also sinks just west of rising air caused by a coastal front which are different direction winds causing air to rise. What goes up must come down, so the air coming down causes snow drought.
Winds at 2PM from 12Z NAM
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2018010412&time=INSTANT&var=GUSTM&hour=007
12Z NAM snow Kuchera
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2018010412&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036
https://merrimackvalleyweather.wordpress.com/2018/01/04/4313/
I think more people in eastern Mass will see blizzard conditions that some may think. based on current observations especially when you get into one of the bands.
Kane, haterain I agree, My dad says its the snow eater and is what I am worried about. Can not tell you how many times up around 495 there is 17 inches and areas just around I95 there was 15. and then here in Billerica there is 6 inches. ( just an example)
Heavy snow and 31.3
There ya go and you actually didn’t miss much at all.
thank goodness
Dumping and puking.
Pouring rain here.
Indeed it is Tom. I canβt help but wonder Tom is this blizzard coming here
It will. We’ll have some heavy precipitation still left when we end up on the other side of the coastal boundary.
True, we may not get 10+, but a flash freeze topped by 4-8 inches with howling NW winds and we’ll have blizzard conditions later on.
I believe it Iβm just like ok letβs get it going
The ocean requests patience, LOL …..
Check out Dave Epstein on Twitter. He just posted a map of the snow line on the south shore. Not far from you in Marshfield.
file:///C:/Users/dhinchliffe/Pictures/Dave%20Epstein2%20(@growingwisdom)%20_%20Twitter.html
Sorry, that did not work
12 KM NAM 10:1 snow. This is up Way up
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2018010412/namconus_asnow_neus_6.png
trying to figure out banding. split that green area right up the middle π
There are dp depressions (i.e.), nobody is showing relative humidities of 100%, especially Boston points north and west, so I’d think that would ‘eat’ up some of the heaviest precipitation to evaporation as it moves to the northwest ?????
that to,
Charlie hole jis north of boston. Right in my town. Go figure
From NWS Taunton
Intense snow band underway across eastern LI northward into this band. New 12z NAM show intense upward motion with up to 60 eastern CT at 9 AM. Few flashes of lightning being detected in ubar/sec across eastern CT with less lift extending northeast toward Boston at 15z. NAM pivots this band northwest into central CT /including Hartford area/ extending northeast into central and northeastern MA by 18z. Given most of this lift occurs in the snow growth region expecting very heavy snow, isolated thundersnow and high snow ratios. Will continue to review latest satellite, radar and mesoscale guid but may have to increase snow totals across CT into central MA.
and thats what I was worried about π
All snow in Taunton.
Mesoscale discussion indicting potential for 3 inches per hour coming up.
Here it is for those who would like to read it.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0005.html
For a change of pace, how about a nice live Winter view of Niagara Falls.
https://www.earthcam.com/canada/niagarafalls/thefalls/?cam=niagarafalls2
Looks like central mass might be the jackpot in this one.
I think Boston does well. I suspect Boston will close in on 20 inches.
We shall see. IF it falls short at 13 or 14 inches, so be it. Not too shabby.
YUCK YUCK and YUCK
this is why I like that rain line just hitting Boston.
Here it is.
https://imgur.com/gallery/sOGIv
Thanks !
This is what I got
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0005.html
I meant this
Zoinks! You’ve taken a wrong turn.
4.4 earthquake by Berkeley Cali. this is on a fault line of constant surveillance for the big one.
They are overdue
Why I would never live on the west coast lol
Yep got a text from my brother about that. He was awoken out of bed by it. A very unsettling feeling Iβm sure.
Barely snowing where I am in Woburn…must be a dry slot or lull. Was able to get out for a bit.
Tweet from Ryan Hanrahan with 3km NAM
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/948921899916103681
Interesting that QPF isnβt lining up with heaviest snows on the NAM.
I don’t get that.
He posted 3km QPF vs regular NAM.
Been snowing for the past 45-50 minutes and we received 1-1/2β in Hanover, Ma.
Been snowing since 7AM and we don’t have 1 1/2 inches yet. Maybe an inch.
Measurements are going to be nearly impossible with the wind and fluffy snow.
Same here. Just measured my first inch about a half hour ago
Birtds are out on the bird feeder, and maybe a quarter of an inch of snow.
Birds already ate all of the feed that I put out yesterday afternoon.
Just about to venture into the storm to give them breakfast!
Now I will feel guilty all day if I don’t feed mine. π
We have a bunch of bluebirds. I didn’t realize they do not migrate.
False alarm. Snow had blown into the feeder making it look like it was empty. It was full. They’re going to have to work at it this morning if they want to eat!
Snowing quite hard where I am.
snowflake there, snowflake there, big whoop. Radar is lying, as i think alot of it is being eaten up by the dry air which was another concern of mine.
Come South or SoutEast 20 miles and see if you can say the same. π
It’s a complete different story where I am.
Yeah I am in Woburn and it’s just spitting snow. On my way back 20 minutes ago it was almost like it stopped snowing. More to come I know but right now it’s a heavy coating.
Dumping here in Westwood
Some frozen precipitation starting to work itβs way in here in Pembroke.
AS in SLEET or BIG OLE WET SNOW FLAKES?
Snow now oldsalty
Some of the updated snow maps and one from weather wisdom:
https://i.imgur.com/u0NKrxW.jpg
Thank you. They are ALL pretty much in agreement, give or take a tad.
5″ already as measured by the unofficial snow stick stuck in the ground in the backyard.
West side of Taunton
The snow has been very heavy just west of the R/S line, and Taunton has been right in that zone for a while now.
Snowing now .
Some very heavy snow about to expand into the I95 corridor.
Yup, some lightning being reported around Providence
Near whiteout at times in Wrentham. Good stuff. Next 3-5 hours will be the heaviest for most. Coastal front being a little stubborn in collapsing southeast, but it will get there.
It’s still pouring here in Lakeville. Wind is cranking though. Temp down about .5 degrees to 37.5.
The pouring rain on top of the small amount of compressed snow we had in our neighborhood has turned it into a sheet of ice.
2.5″ here
Impressive snowfall rates with these heavy bands
https://twitter.com/weatheroptics/status/948929223049216000
Pounding snow here in very heavy snow in Coventry, CT. 4″ so far. Visibility way down.
Itβs been snowing less than 15 minutes and already getting covered fast and snow is drastically picking up in intensity.
Blizzard Warnings expanded into northern Bristol County and eastern Rhode Island.
27.5 degrees. Dropped a half of a degree in the couple of minutes.
Birds found their breakfast.
Agree with that expansion. We have actually climbed 2 degrees this am to 27.0 since I got up.
Mark you look to be in the jackpot area.
I wonder if that giant dry slot will move ashore once the center gets up closer to the BM
I wouldn’t doubt it. Anything to screw us over,
Its not modeled to, but u never know
So far, I am truly NOT impressed by the snow. VERY VERY ROUTINE so far.
Sure it has been snowing, but it made it to Moderate at best, mostly a good light
snow. NEVER HEAVY. I am still waiting.
Perhaps 1 1/2 inches so far. I am not going out to measure that little snow. π
Come down this way Dave!
Now seeing 50 dbz echos down around New Bedford. Could just be the rain/snow line?
That’s where the heaviest snows are right now, just west of the R/S line. Taunton reporting over 5″ now
I’m just north of NB and it all of a sudden started snowing like crazy.
Winds are really picking up. Just had a big gust rattle the fireplace doors.
The heavy stuff wasnβt forecasted to move in until 11 or so. Patience people. I donβt see a dry slot moving in many places, it should stay offshore.
Holy crap !!
010 at buoy, 6F drop
Tom you in it now
No, but its imminent.
Tom put on 5 as they are constantly do live interviews from a yard in Brantrock they just had Tavares & the school superintendent on . The reporter from 5 is new and grew up in marshfield
Wow
JpDave, good echos over u now, should be coming down borderline heavy
Heavy now for sure.
Visibility low here also. Can barely see three houses down street. I measured 3 even about 15 minutes ago. Flag across the street still waving but not out straight.
Yup, NOW We’re cooking in the City. Vis under 1/2 mile close to 1/4 mile.
Good stuff, but not as intense as the burst Christmas morning. π
Winds 18MPH with highest gust 26.
visibility down to about 3/4 of a mile.
still light snow
Same. I know we are close.
Funny I look out my front door and it’s barely snowing at all…when I look out my back door it’s like a blizzard ha. I think the back has more wind.
I over look a marsh so I get that alot actually, the Back of the house usually has more snow on it as the east/North wind blows right on in from it.
2 inches in good old Chelmsford, Ma!
Itβs been snowing moderate/heavy in Quincy for the last hour or so. No idea of how much.
Co-worker in Coventry, RI (SW of Providence) emailed me that he just had thunder snow.
Itβs wild here in Wrentham, Iβm sure North could vouch for it as well. Easily snowing 2β/hr.
Been like that in Sharon too for the past hour or so.
Agree. It is piling up quick.
12z NAM way up on qpf from 6z for what it’s worth
I noticed. I don’t think it is all CF.
Just look at what radar. It’s about as good as you can ask for. Take a picture and put it over the fireplace.
Ok, here….
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
With the dry snow, those dark greens is the BOMB.
Hey is that why they call it
BOMBOGENISIS?
There’s a band “plume” starting to blossom again out here. Hope it holds!
GOOD GRIEF!!!
OK, NOW it is a SNOW BLITZ here. Can barely see anything. Vis way down
Under 1/4 mile. I would venture 1/8 at least if not 1/16. It is REALLY coming
down and I am a difficult person to please when it comes to snow rates.
I Hit the LIKE button 100 times!
“Probably” about 3 inches here so far. I will venture out after lunch
and see what’s up.
π
Thunder snow being reported in Rhode Island
I think I just heard thunder. Thought it was a snow plow. Looked out. Nope.
Are the BOMB
Turned to snow. Silver dollar flakes. Big temp drop
much more gusty around here. steady light snow, no real accumulation to speak up maybe a half inch now.
The radar that was shown above the regular green is rather light maybe boarderline moderate. Blue is probably the snowflake there, snowflake there kind of thing. It is more gusy though around here.
Matt when do you think it will end in our area? Hoping to clean up tonight.
6.5″ here now…
Temp down to 26.6
Saw photos of Middleborough about an hour ago. Rain in downtown and snow at the rotary near 495.
Middleborough is the second largest town in term of area in the state, second to Plymouth.
Another 2-1/2β in the last hour for a total of 4β.
Temp down to 29.5
Wow !!
Pounding snow now. Roads covered.
Boylston Street not to believed. Just a snow tunnel.
Oh I believe, being on a few miles away.
Visibility here in JP is about 400 feet.
Gusting to 41 mph at the airport. Strongest winds expected say around 2PM is
or around there give or take.
Down to 29 here now heavy , blowing snow with conditions drastically worsened
π π π
I haven’t attempted a measurement yet, it’ll be a challenge with drifting but will certainly have a number later today. We must have at least 6 though, possibly more.
We’re at “about” 4 inches. Tough to tell from in the house, but that’s a
decent estimate for now.
Just measured 5 inches of snow. The snow is coming down sideways.
Gfs snow numbers are DAFT. Totally LOONEY.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2018010412&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048
I think that shows 9″ or so for Woburn…
Much stronger winds, blowing and light/moderate snow falling making visibilities less than a half mile to whiteout conditions occasionally.
Winds around 18- 20mph with gusts around 32 according to my outdoor weather station.
All snow in Kingston. Turned over about 10 minutes ago
A Yellow blob on radar has bee parked over Boston. Pretty cool.
Been snowing a minimum of 2-3 inches per hour for about an hour and a half. That heavy snow band that has moved into the I95 corridor has been pounding me in Westwood.
The wind is NOT picking up at Nantucket. What does that mean?
Just temporary, OR has the storm reach peak?
I see a subtle lightening of the snow from the 495 area Westwood???
Not sure what that means. Has our Bomb taken a sudden Easward turn or
Wobble? Or something just temporary?
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
Reinforcing heavy echoes forming by MV and Nantucket. Plus, western edge impressive extending back to jersey coast.
I was just going to mention that.
We may have a lull of lighter snow for a while.
we shall see.
Harbor buoy air temp stabilized at 33F. Would like to see it lower. That’s the air temp blowing right into marshfield. S+++++ and its dark. Going to pile up wet snow real fast.
Your note made me notice the 12.8′ wave height at the buoy.
10:15 to 11:21 we picked up three inches and are an even 6.
SIL got home from Wellesley in better time than on a regular day.
Wow … glad SIL home safely
Thank you, Tom. His wife was fit to be tied when he was not leaving.
Yes good news he is home. I have all of my team, working from home today.
Huge clap of Thunder.
Thank you for confirming as I heard as well.
Again I thought I hear thunder.
Whiteout and its dark.
Snow accumulating RAPIDLY here.
This is nuts, has to be falling at a rate of 3″ per hour.
I wish that was up here. getting light snow but lots of wind and the birds are out so you know its not that bad out.
Yeah it’s funny. With the wind the roofs are all clear…almost no snow on deck or grill cover. Might be an easier cleanup than I figured.
I don’t think there’s going to be a lull from Boston to Plymouth area. This intensity likely til about 3pm. This is verifying that mesoscale discussion from a few hrs ago.
Visibility still about 400 feet here. To use Hadi’s term, absolutely PUKING SNOW.
Winds just not going up as expected. This may well underachieve in the wind
department. Nothing even remotely impressive here. Only gusting to 41
at Nantucket.
Storm center is still 220 miles south. Winds will pick up.
Now I see a sudden push Westward of the Darker Green echos that contain
the heavier snow.
Just as suddenly it pushed EAST!
Pretty much all of eastern mass enveloped in this heavy band now
Now I see a gust to 50 at Nantucket. Perhaps the strongest winds
are approaching???
Gusts to 53 reported at Chatham and Plymouth
We’ll have to go some to have true blizzard conditions verified. It may still.
The dreaded Charlie hole has set up shop over CT. Snowing lightly here, looks like I am going to get shafted here with this storm. Maybe 6″ so far but hard to measure.
The heavy outer snow band has shifted all the way west and parked itself along the NYS line….its almost to the Hudson Valley. NYC has been getting pounded.
Sorry about that.
It’s only noon
Gust to 54 at P-Town
Snow stick reading 10.5″ as we approach noon. Of course, doesn’t account for drifting.
Temps fluctuating…back up a tick to 28.4…
Where are you?
West side of Taunton
Was just outside while the oil tank guy installed a new fill piece outside the house, and man it was wild out there! Heaviest snow I’ve seen in a while…. I’m sure part of it is just the wind and swirling but its certainly coming down with a fury!
Any reports of ice damage on the coast?
Major flooding?
I believe I read that the state National Guard has been deployed to the coast to help.
Daughter said that three were 3-4 foot piles of ice off the coast of Brant Rock in a photo on FB. That will do considerable damage even without waves I would think.
Visibility has lightened up a bit here. Now I can see perhaps 800 feet. π
JpDave
Storm not hooking east. Mesoscale banding is occurring as the storms continues to strengthen. You’ll experience times of heavy snow combined with times of light/moderate snows. If it has lightened up, it will become heavy soon as more echoes pivot in from the southeast π
I heard thunder twice and saw a flash of lightning earlier.
Back and forth rain to snow still exit 3 rt 3 in plymouth
Highest totals I have seen so far on the spotter reports – 8″ Providence area and Taunton. Could easily end up with 16-20″ in this jackpot area over RI/SE MA
Someone sees 20
My temp continues to rise to 28.4 now. Is yours also WxWatcher?
Temp in Taunton has risen 2 degrees, too…
I’m not WxW….I suspect you figured that out π
I am at 25 but do not know if it has risen. I’ll keep an eye also.
It will as the storm makes its closest pass but not to the point where precip issues occur in your area. Watch for a serious temperature drop behind the departing L.
My weather station says 24.2, that is up a couple degrees from earlier though. May be due to a decrease in precip intensity and/or a modest warm push from the approaching low.
Many more hours to go
https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php
I have to laugh a little bit. Sitting here at work listening to WBZ and the Accuweather met was talking up the storm and just got through saying that in some areas the snow was falling at the rate of 2-3 inches an hour. Then he said “the good news is that will all end shortly….around 5pm”…LOL…let’s see even 4 hours at 2 inches an hour….well I’ll leave it up to everyone to do the math.
At 11:54 storm surge was already preliminarily 2.5 feet.
At Boston.
We’re approaching half-way point.
Westwood back in very heavy snow.
I am sorry, but the snow is lightening up all over, well at least the radar echos
are getting weaker. I think the storm has stopped intensifying. We are past
it’s best precipitation production. It has long since Occluded.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=box&loop=yes
Banding. You’ll still see periods of very heavy snow. Just may not occur continuously which was never anticipated. My area has been under most heavy snow over the past couple hours.
Disagree. Our heavy snow is done.
Light to moderate the rest of the way.
We’ll see π
You can also see a nice band over the islands approaching northwestward. Let’s hope it holds up!
That one was impressive an hour ago and it has
FIZZLED.
Agree. It peaked
Not here itβs a blizzard!! Folks getting stranded in marshfield in the rising water
The real Charlie hole is opening up SW of the city
That will quickly be replaced with the impressive band moving in from the southeast.
Slowed down to not quite one inch in the last hour. At just under 7 inches in Sutton.
Temp steady at 25 and wind gusting into 30s
Measurement is in a protected area that is not showing signs of drifting.
The snow shield is starting to fragment. That was expected, and one reason we wonβt see 20+ totals. The low is still deepening a little, but this goes back to the idea of βmaxing outβ too far south. Precip intensity more a function of deepening rate than actual depth.
And that makes sense. Thanks
We’ve been talking about that. I feel the forecast above should be mostly ok but you know someone will come in higher. π
Agree, itβs all going as expected here. NYC area getting a surprise though. Leading heavy band made it all the way out there and looks like thatβs the βpivot pointβ.
Now We are getting ordinary run of the mill storm snow. Nothing to get
excited about. Now it will accumulate 1/2 to 1 inch per hour instead of 2-3 inches
per hour.
So with about 4 hours left of accumulating snow, thatβs not that much additional
You’re not done.
Don’t count that band over southeast mass out.
Big Yellow Blob. Losing visibility on Boylston Street again.
https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ma/boston/box/
Radar keeps fading off and on.
Working at the moment.
4 inches here in Billerica
Still puking snow here in South Weymouth…very rough estimate between 8 and 10 inches right now. Here are some South Shore reports with time indicated:
Milton 8.5 inches @ 11:35
Walpole 6.8 inches @ 11:27
Rockland 8.5 inches @ 11:57
Puking here as well.
Maybe JP Dave and I have different conditions but itβs still near whiteout here.
I am just more demanding and very difficult to please.
Marshfield & Duxbury roads being flooded out . It is extremely heavy wet snow down here.
uh oh…..temp is down a degree to 24 but that is noisy snow I’m hearing on the window. Almost a bit of sleet feel to it. How can that be?
I’m having trouble with Wunder also
Pretty intense in downtown Boston. Not 2-3 inches an hour, but surely 1 inch an hour.
About 3 hours ago I did my morning jog in light to moderate snow. It was beautiful outside but not impressive. For the past few hours it’s been a different story as the snow has really piled up. I never expected more than 10-12 inches in Boston and still don’t. But, a foot is nothing to sneeze at, especially given the polar freeze that follows. Tomorrow it’ll really look and feel like the tundra (say, Baffin Island) in Boston.
Must be around 2 inches per hour here.
Nope, 1 maybe
Power outages continue to climb. 3,672 without power at the moment.
http://mema.mapsonline.net/phone.html
7,237 without power 25 minutes after my last update.
Oh boy – thank you Your Highness.
Even I am not hoping for power loss for anyone. Way too scary with temps coming tomorrow.
13,700. Almost doubled from past post.
17,938.
That band has indeed moved in from the southeast and is causing near white out conditions again over the I-95 belt. We have 10 inches so far and still piling up. Another band is forming to the southeast of this one and will be pivoting northwestward after a brief decrease in snow intensity following the current band. While I concur that the widespread area of heavy snow has waned temporarily over eastern Massachusetts, to react at a snap shot of the radar and count out additional bands of heavy snow is not prudent.
Snow has gotten a little lighter here…maybe down to somewhere between moderated and heavy and that is shown on my wundermap but it looks like the heavier stuff is about to move back in.
Will be leave here around 2:30….Should be a fun 5 mile commute
Woburn has definitely enjoyed this last band and another one is about to move in.
Drive safely Keith.
Be safe.
My oldest just went out for a ride…..don’t even ask me how I feel about that. But she said roads are not bad around here at all. You had the early rain though which might make it really nasty
I am in Woburn. Are any of these bands up this way or no? Thanks!
As the storm approaches, heavy snow bands are now pivoting from the east south east and eventually from due east. Plenty of impressive bands to go.
Boston has 5 inches so far.
Who measured that? Tubby the tuba? and he didn’t bend over.
It’s more than 5 inches.
Tide issue in Boston
[BREAKING] #Boston tide observation on its way to being the HIGHEST EVER RECORDED since 1921; record 4.82′ MHHW (or 15.1′ MLLW) back w/ the #blizzard of ’78; presently at 4.718′ (or 14.99′) which is the second highest tide ever on record
All I know its absolutely pounding here.
Same. I have to be approaching a foot from the last time I measured.
General question…how do they get official measurements when it’s this windy? An average of areas? Its been snowing here all day but my deck is clear due to the wind. Obviously we probably have 4-6″ by now but looking out you just don’t see it.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/coop/reference/Snow_Measurement_Guidelines.pdf
Still coming down decent but not with as much intensity, are we done with the heavy stuff now.
Nope.
Another NWS tweet
We’re getting inundated w/ coastal flood reports all along the E coast of MA at this hour, some of the worst in recent history being observed in #Boston; stay away from the coastline and do not drive through flooded roads #CoastalFlooding
Just heard that the neighborhood around the beach areas in North Weymouth are flooding…something we don’t normally see.
There is some history making flooding going on in some areas
5.25″ so far here
Folks in eastern MA. If the snow lets up momentarily. Do not let your guard down. It does not mean the storm is over. Contrarily, several bands of heavy snow still to come.
Pembroke arod
Hull is totally bonkers now according to reports Iβm seeing. This is nantasket beach (no audio, got the vid from a private fb group): https://youtu.be/ut4t-S77_u4
Evacuation in process parts of Marshfield. I have scanner on and reports of chest deep water. Officers requested wet suits
Yikes
Quick question: My daughter just asked me if this is a nor’easter. Yes or no? (I have no idea, not from these parts originally. I told her it was a “bomb cyclone”)
Yes
Thanks!
For those of you who are interested (especially those of us on the South Shore). You can listen to police and fire scanners live. Just follow the instructions.
http://www.patriotledger.com/scanner
We are without power. Marsh of south river to my north should hold back the surge from our neighborhood.
Best of luck. Stay safe and dry.
Tom brantrock and green harbor getting hit hard .
6.5 at Logan as of 1 PM. On the lower side from what I have here. Closing in on 10 inches.
I am about to head out for round 1 of clean up.
I will say one thing about the radar echos. The intensity is down. No denying that, however, snow rates are still decent like 1 inch per hour or so. The snow
seems to have smaller flakes that probably are not picked up as well on radar.
While out, I will attempt a measurement. Good luck with that. π
Perhaps I will amend my thoughts on intensity after being out, but looking out
the window, run of the mill.
That’s too bad JpDave. Have fun!
Found this video on Instagram from Marshfield… why would you drive through this??
https://instagram.com/p/BdiSWsJByNL/
I asked myself the same question. A woman and two children were trapped in their car. I’m listening to another report of someone trapped with a child on the scanner Keith gave link to.
His car won’t start in the morning, I suspect.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=box&loop=yes
Large band about to take over all of eastern Massachusetts with an inch or two an hour.
Pivot point remains around NYC. Until that shifts eastward, moderate to heavy snow will hang tough eastern sections.
11β reported in Hanover.
Flooding in North Weymouth.
Quincy Ave Flooded by shipyard per Braintree PD.
Smiths Beach Braintree: 2β of water on road.
To me it seems this is going admit as expected based on the forecasts from mid yesterday on. No?
BTW anyone still want to question us mets that forecast a front loaded winter? π
About… not admit. I cant edit the comments on this account.
Agree it’s going as expected and yup your winter front-end forecast falling into place.
Tk is the heaviest done in pembroke
Pembroke is about to enter a lull in intensity but I doubt that it becomes completely spared by another heavy band or two between now and this evening. Certainly, the worst may be over in your area.
From mid-yesterday? Yes. From a couple days ago? No way π
Flooding at the Aquarium T Stop and along Atlantic Ave. No idea what is going on.
Flooding in Plymouth on Water Street…. ironically.
Terrible situation unfolding along the coast….
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/948980318807252998
Oh dear heavens. Scituate scanner just said harbormaster fell off of his board near Mill Wharf restaurant.
Officially 6.5″ at Logan so far.
More to your liking JPD? π
No That’s pure BULL SHIT. I just measured 1 Foot and I took a ton of
measurements.
We gotta have at least a foot here in Sharon. My firepit on the patio has disappeared.
11 inches in Hanover, Rockland. I would say around the same here in South Weymouth
Two areas of snow that I think will overachieve:
1) Certainly a band over western Massachusetts, western Connecticut down to NYC where the pivot point is
2) Possibly a second band over the I95 belt and the south shore
Still very impressive snowfall rates. Just measured 13 inches in Westwood and still dumping. Not sure how accurate that is but tried to find an area without drifting.
It appears the forecasted snow fall amounts will over achieve in some areas.
Agreed
Western edge of precipitation field over eastern NY state has not yet moved eastward. Until that happens, several more hours of snow.
Itβs done by dinner time arod . Itβs moving fast
I might be having a guy come over to snowblow…hate to ask this but what’s a good cleanup time? Seem like 7-8pm?
Arod I am in the band now that you mentioned in western CT. I didn’t think the heavy snow band was going to make it to the NY boarder. I measured 8 inches but tough to get an accurate measurement with all the blowing and drifting of the snow.
Terrible pics coming out of some of the coastal areas of MA NH and ME.
When all is set and done, your area would have overachieved π
14.5″ here in Taunton
Still around 29 degrees…
Taunton Municipal Lighting Plant (TMLP), which provides power to the city and five other local communities and villages, is reporting no outages anywhere.
Middleborough Gas and Electric has a couple of streets out.
Both are great, local power companies!
So far, so good down here.
I’m listening to scanner using link provided by Keith. I have just Marshfield and Scituate selected. There is one rescue after another.
The harbormaster who fell off of his boat I believe was rescued and is on way to hospital.
I’m not sure that I heard the tides predicted to be this high. However, I am far removed and there may have been warnings of this in the coastal areas.
Iβm listening as well . Didnβt hear that but Marshfield is on constant., brantrock is under water and housed that normally donβt flood are flooded .
I just came in. Took a ton of measurements. We have a foot here in JP
and I think Hadi would concur.
I also confirmed Hadi’s earlier statement of 2 inches per hour.
I cleaned my walk and then did the drive and car. Came back to the walk 1/2
hour later (or less not more) and there was a fresh full inch of snow!
π
Logan’s wind around to NW to NNW. Temperature Crash coming soon.
In the meantime up to 29
Pressure here has fallen to 976 MB. This morning when I posted it was 997 Mb.
imgaine if it actually gets down to what some of the models were showing
Its already at 951 which is what most models predicted
Yup, all were from 949 to 955. I’d say 951 fits right in there, no?
I feel like the whole system has slowed and will overachieve in many an area.
Should be wrapping up in all areas soon as this thing is hauling
Soon as in several hours
Agree!!!
Done by 5-6 tops I believe .
The worse of it is winding down
Not on Boylston Street yet. It is really snowing.
10.8 inches here. Temp up to 28 and wind into high 20s.
Scituate police reporting tide receded about 2 feet. Good news.
She’s starting to pivot now which is why it might appear as thought its snowing its forward movement
snowing = slowing
imgaine if we had blocking area of high pressure to the north….
As of the models right now for what they are worth. they are showing 5+ more inches of snow for the region.
It’s now 3PM. Do you know where your snow is?
Looks to be breaking up
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
I wonder if those bands in central and western MA are going to rotate east
Not breaking up in Back Bay. I am wondering if bands will rotate back somehow.
Really getting the shaft here in eastern CT as the dry slot set up over us with the heavier bands further east and west. Snow rate has been light now for three hours plus. Hoping that western band pivots back through here before breaking up and ending.
Nearly impossible to measure with the winds but have between 8-10″ on the front steps and only 4-5″ on the back deck where everything has been blown off like crazy. Going out soon to clean up and will try to take more accurate measurements
We have about foot of snow on top of an inch of water in my driveway. It’s very not-fun to move.
Hard to tell with drifts. Opened garage and there was probably 14-15″ up against the door.
Major flooding in Hampton NH
Also pete bouchard. I just got so much more respect for him. He literally spelled it out for people on air, and I could tell he was not saying something from the proctor.
He said we are comparing Apples to oranges with this storm , sandy and Blizzard of 78.
He said what took the Blizzard of 78 ,5 tide cycles, this one did it in 1. He said this is due to a mix of factors and to expect more of this in the coming decade as the waters off the coast rise due to the warming climate/melting ice. He also said that its causing all this coastal erosion with all the new tech we have compared to then that needs to be considered.
Maybe we shouldn’t build so close to the ocean either. That rarely gets talked about. Maybe that idea should get some equal time.
$$$$$$$$
Hey now don’t be bringing logic into this ha.
Thats a whole other thing Retrac, don’t get this environmental scientist started lol. Its not like the coast is a bunch of sand/mud and water… that combo is great for building…… Not to mention seawalls eventually make things worse π
I apologize for continuing on a semi political rant but to chime in – thank goodness some of the priciest real estate in Boston isnβt – say – built on land full? And I am honestly dumbfounded by all of the investment money going into the Seaport?? And/or all waterfront. Thatβs literally having cash to burn – or shall we say cash to sink??
Sorry – land fill! Amidst my impassioned rant I neglected to check for typos!
Apparently, I read in rant mode because it all made sense to me π
I absolutely agree. The landfill makes me shake my head. But that was then. The seaport with what we know if rising waters, especially along the NE coast, is completely irresponsible.
Exactly!!
A great start would be to control what we can control. Build away but don’t bitch when there’s wave action in your house. And this is coming from someone who made a lot of money building. (And lost plenty too!) π
I will go to my grave never accepting that we can control or influence weather in any way. I may be obnoxious from time to time but I’m not arrogant enough to think we can.
I think that once a house goes to the ocean it should not be replaced. I also think you can say do not build in tornado alley or California or Texas or Florida or along any coast east or west.
Powers back as is heavy snow.
Seeing lots of photos of water with descriptions like worst since 78, worst in a long time.
Some of that water will refreeze in place before it can return to ocean.
I’m guessing a lot of the south shore coastal towns will have no school tomorrow to recover. I’m not sure busses could fully get to where they need to go.
Yes indeed Tom snow & wind has picked back up but Tom do you think the snow is done soon say 5
Tough to say, perhaps a majority of the meaningful stuff, but I can see it not ending til 8 or 9
Glad your power is back.
I’m impressed that they got your power back. Great news Tom
Now down to 975 mb here and the temperature is beginning to fall.
dropped 1 to 28
Has not let up much here all day
10″ as of 3PM in Holden
Thanks for confirming that JRW. I’ve been calling numbers into NWS but having an awful time measuring which usually isn’t a problem on my board. I had that same amount at that time.
Perhaps the flooding exceeded things today because the 951 mb low literally had a mound of water under its low pressure that added onto the storm surge and the astronomical tide.
and higher sea levels π
Yes and add to that it was moving rather quickly pushing that mound of
water along.
It really picked up for a time this afternoon got around 10 inches. Got some really good wind, Gusts were in the 40s for a time.
John, in response to your comment above, as of 2:30 I memtioned several more hours so I think we agree when you are guessing dinner time.
Relax
Huh?
Frankie Goes to Hollywood π
Right now I see the western edge backing out of NY, a dry slot in CT, and the outer cape showing nothing. Outside of that it is snowing everywhere else. I think TK mentioned that snow would erode from 5 PM-8 PM west to east with lingering bands. Looks about right to me.
Still snowing decently here, adding to the accumulation.
I suspect we’ll come in somewhere North of 15 inches here, perhaps approaching 18.
It is definitely snowing in Back Bay.
Wow
Pressure down to 974 mb here.
Just got home…took about a half hour to go 5 miles. Slow going. Winds are really picking up again here. Still heavy snow falling in Hingham. Best guess is 12-14 inches at this point. Will measure later.
Glad you are home safely
Thank you Vicki!
Are kids sledding at the golf course or are parents being smart and staying home?
So far staying home…Tomorrow will be another thing especially if Hingham calls school off.
comment # 500
The whole blob is pin wheeling around Boston.
Governor speaking at 5:30 with an update on the states storm response. Will he recommend a state of emergency? Time will tell. (He wonβt.)
I would think he will recommend a state of emergency along the coast. Cannot see why elsewhere though.
Just measured a wide average of 13.5β in Wrentham. Not an easy measurement. If trying to get a good measurement, youβll want to take a wide average including both high and low spots. Also bear in mind thereβs still about 2β on the ground from all the way back on Christmas.
Back edge is moving east rapidly. I also noticed the dark echos are shrinking in eastern mass.
Video from Hull. Maybe we need an evening update post lol:
https://www.reddit.com/r/boston/comments/7o5a2n/storm_surge_in_hull/?utm_content=comments&utm_medium=hot&utm_source=reddit&utm_name=boston
That’s insane. Haven’t seen that since 78.
Awful. Mac and stayed at that hotel several times in winter. NWS folks stay there often during these storms.
Thank you
Still pounding here in JP. Where I previously shoveled is BURIED again.
We make 1 1/2 feet here.
For this storm I hit the LIKE BUTTON. Too bad about the flooding though. I have seen some footage it is horrific.
Surface map
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Temperature has been rising here in Quincy for the past hour or so. Went from -2.4 to -1.9 C (we went metric a couple of years ago). The temp trend arrow which was pointing up is now level. I’m watching for the arrival of the next round of Arctic air.
I was thinking of going out and shoveling, but the wind is howling and the snow is still falling as well as blowing. It looks ugly. And it might be as effective as raking leaves in a gale…
I can’t wait to see the LOONEY TUNES final Snow total for Logan.
They’ll probably come in with 7.9 inches or some such foolishness. π π π
Maybe Tubby can bend over this time for the measurement.
Iβm kind of tubby-ish myself in this weather!
Did I hear thunder again???
Holly Crap, look at this video from Scituate
https://www.nbcboston.com/on-air/as-seen-on/WEB-Scituate-Flooding_NECN-468059493.html
My daughter and I were just watching ch 4 for the first time today. She saw a classmate being interviewed who had been rescued, in Brant Rock, by the national guard.
Wow!!
I have chills. Awful
I can’t tell where that is. Maybe by the lighthouse? Tom??
Pictures we are getting from Humarock shows the same. All but the area that is higher on the southern tip is under water. And the dunes supporting the higher area have to be seeing erosion.
What in heavens name happens to these houses when we get the freeze following this.
Brant rock video was coming down into the village. The church built from stones was on the right. You could look into the village and see the former Arthur and pats in the back right distance.
I’ve heard today that waves have been a lot bigger in other storms. With this one, it’s like the ocean level at 1pm reached higher than the seawall and the water poured over it, much like an overflowing tub would pour out onto a floor. That’s kind of unsettling.
Awful.
We have about 5″ of cement here.
I’m disappointed in myself for not anticipating the seriousness of the coastal flooding. That’s my learning moment from the storm. If we get another sub 960 winter cyclone, assume a more tropical like surge, where a mound of water literally travels under the storm track and surge exceeds expectation.
According to Barry, 40s next week.
NWS has snow showers Mon-Tue, then cold again.
Which pattern will take hold?
Split the difference. I think that we’ll have seen the coldest this winter has to offer by the time the weekend is over. However, that does not mean it won’t get cold. Just not crazy cold anymore. I think we see 30s during the day next week with some melting and mostly 20s at night (normal for this time of year). In terms of snow I’m sure we’ll have more even as temperatures moderate and edge towards normal values. Even if we thaw out in a couple of weeks and a southeast ridge takes hold, dips in the jetstream will occur and colder temperatures and snow will happen, just not as anomalously cold as it’s been.
GFS backed off with intense cold Wed/Thurs with today’s 12Z run, time will tell.
I would be curious as to what temps on 1/13 around 8:15 pm. π
Hmm – is something going on then? Perhaps in an open stadium?
Snow finally showing signs of degradation. I suspect another hour or two of light to occasionally moderate snow before the western edge pushes through. At that time, most of eastern Massachusetts may briefly experience one last hoorah of moderate to heavy snow before it all winds down by 8 pm in most locations.
This was a terrific storm in terms of snowfall rates/amounts and horrific in terms of coastal flooding. I feel very badly about those folks who reside along the shoreline. I just measured 17 inches of snow after playing football outside with my son with an additional inch or two additional still anticipated.
Thanks arod. I think I have a similar total. I will be out after dinner for clean up round #2 and will take extensive measurements. Looking outside it’s looking very close
to 18 inches. This was a BIGGIE.
Agreed. Nice little storm. Glad you didn’t give up on it. Hopefully it’s not the last one during this front loaded winter.
The wind is really starting to scream inland now OS. Glad to hear someone got near the 18″ mark. I was bouncing that around with Hadi last night. I’m guessing we’ll be somewhere around a foot.
Top snowfall report so far is 17 from Lincoln. Most all the others are 15 or under. Those are correct. These are hard storms to measure, but I have a lot of experience doing this as I started as a young child. We have around 13 in Woburn with 1 or 2 to go.
That makes sense to me. (Lincoln)
They had a nice band setup early up that way if I remember correctly.
Measured just under 11 inches in Back Bay about 30 minutes ago. My measurement could be off but it’s an average of 3 measurements. I do think Jamaica Plain and Roslindale have more snow than Back Bay.
I’m about to clean off my car before everything freezes and becomes harder to move.
I like Charlie Baker. In fact, I wish there were more politicians like him around. But, I think he should have already declared an SOE for coastal communities. He may do so later today, but symbolically it would have been better had he done it earlier. There’s real devastation in certain locales, and SOE is a trigger, I believe, for federal funds to help support the rebuilding efforts.
I am not sure it would matter. National guard is already helping. I think baker is awesome. We need many more who can work across the aisle. Was it jrw or jwr…..I’m bad with initials …who explained very well why no state of emergency last night.
And I never saw the tides forecast to be this bad so that may play part of it
Significant flooding was expected so this is no surprise. I just don’t think a lot of people put together the timing of high tide and the height of it with the wind direction and speed. Our coasts are actually more vulnerable with northerly winds much of the time because many of the most flood prone regions are north-facing shores. Many automatically think it has to be east wind. Nope.
The big difference between this and 1978 however is that those tides were even higher and we had FOUR successive high tide cycles with flooding equal to or worse than today’s, over a wider area, along with significantly more snow added to the water for slush-flooding.
I did know significant was expected. Historic not so much. Pete said the same otherwise. That this did in one what 78 did in five. I did not see anyone even hint at that.
It’s pretty difficult to call historic flooding in advance. That would be the reason. It wasn’t actually expected in 1978 either. This is the case with events that have a low frequency of occurrence.
78 had major structural damage such as total loss ( washed away ) this did not .
I got around 12. there is about 20 inches on the ground in total from previous storms.
Tk do you think the band in central mass will rotate back to our area ( Reading, woburn). It looks like the band is moving SE instead of East
Yes but it will be weakening as it does that.
39 MB drop at my house in less than 24 hours. At 988 now. That might be the bottom.
Front-loaded winter notwithstanding, we have plenty of time for more snow chances; at least another 90 days in my book. Sadly for some, winter doesn’t end in Boston and vicinity in a cut-and-dried way. Once a more normal pattern takes shape we will begin the oscillating trend towards spring, which will mean a frequent roller coaster ride with ups and downs, rain and snow, teasers and downers.
You are correct, but the pattern will be less supportive of such events not long from now.
That is good news.
Band just dropped two and a bit more inches here bringing to 13.5.
I think my deck sitting nights will be on hold for a bit
https://i.imgur.com/wAtUA76.jpg
I think you should do it anyway and take a memorable photo. π
You never know π
Still dumping here. It’s not 3 inches an hour, but it’s still a good accumulating rate
of at least 1 inch an hour, perhaps 1 1/2 to 2 inches per hour.
Still think this is a run of the mill winter storm? π
Itβs still hanging on here with the snow but getting lighter . The wind is whipping it around . If I took a guess maybe 10 or so inches as of now .
Hell no, not when you sum it all up. At times it was run of the mill, at other times it was white out.
I am going to measure soon, but I guarantee you we are
very close to a full 18 inches here. There is a SHITLOAD of snow out there. I’ll snap a few photos and post. π
Cold and wind through the weekend, then some what warming up into the 30s low 40s just to go back into a cold period again, or does it stay marginally cool in the 30s/low 40s…
And to think, once upon a time I didn’t buy this event. π
Was it still the trailing short wave just faster?
I clung to the fact that it was going to be “too cold to snow”. A wall of shame for me.
Sometimes we just have to tip our cap to Mother Nature. Sheβs gonna do what she wants. Just out of curiosity, weβre there signs of this and just missed or was it just one of those things. You werenβt the only one, other Mets missed too.
There was always potential as far back as I could see. But I was looking at previous model error and went with the idea it would over develop the first wave and miss the second one. Turns out its development of the first wave (today’s storm), was correct (not taking into account the exact track – obviously that adjusts with different runs until we are almost to the event).
Still think you do an outstanding job and you always apply meteorology and don’t hug the models! Thanks again for everyone’s contribution. It really is a great place to come together and discuss our thoughts, etc.
Absolutely
Hey brother- I didnβt buy it either. Not surprised by intensity, wind, or subsequent cold. The westward extent of significant snow very much surprised me. Good lessons here as always. Snow still not quite the 30-36β of the 1/3 00z NAM…
I knew people that bought that NAM run and went on their “play weatherman” pages to warn everyone.
Yeah, snow was NOT the biggest impact of this one.
Looks like about 13 in North Reading. Still coming down fairly hard, so I expect an inch or so more. Our superintendent is struggling on making the call tomorrow regarding school/no school. Many communities nearby are closed, but they are mostly cities or larger towns.
Vicki, I agree with you on Baker. I voted for him twice, and I’ll vote for him again. I also don’t claim to know all the ins and outs regarding SOEs. But, I think that when they assess the damage tomorrow in coastal communities it’s going to be very significant and beyond what insurance will reimburse.
I’m shocked at the moment. He has been remarkably responsive when addressing needs of the state and has stood for his constituents when we are faced with what is happening in Washington. Not this time.
I am dumbfounded. Can someone please explain why there is not a SOE at the coast? He barely mentioned it. First thing he has done that I do not agree with but to me it is a major mistake.
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Taunton MA
513 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
…ONLY ONE STATION REPORTED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TODAY IN SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND…
The National Weather Service in Taunton has reviewed the
observations from the winter storm that affected our region today.
We have determined that the only official reporting site that met
blizzard criteria was Block Island, RI (BID).
The definition of a blizzard is that falling and/or blowing snow
reduces visibility to below 1/4 mile along with sustained winds or
winds that frequently gust to 35 mph or more, and that these are
the predominant reported conditions for 3 consecutive hours.
When reviewing whether a particular observation location had
blizzard conditions, we counted visibilities equal to 1/4 mile since
that is often quite low for an automated visibility sensor to detect.
At Block Island, blizzard conditions occurred between 830 AM and
1205 PM. In that 3 hour and 35 minute period, there were only a few
short gaps in which there was a brief lull in the winds, totaling
18 minutes. Blizzard conditions were predominant.
Six stations had near-blizzard criteria, but fell short either
because of too many lull periods, or because of the length of time.
These near-blizzard sites included Boston, MA (BOS),
Worcester, MA (ORH), Plymouth, MA (PYM), Providence, RI (PVD),
Newport, RI (UUU), and North Smithfield, RI (SFZ).
Interesting. And I am not surprised. Other than at the coast it seemed like a good old fashioned New England snow storm
That’s about right. We had a very high astronomical tide and the wind direction and timing was perfectly bad.
Baker explained but it took a media question for him to address it
This one will be mentioned up there with all the biggies. β78, Perfect Storm, February β13 and others. Snow amounts not historic, but the intensity of the storm certainly was, as was the flooding.
General forecast assessment… not great. Problem: our days 5-7 synoptic scale forecasts are so much better than our days 2-3 mesoscale forecasts. Weβve known for a number of days this storm would be out there. Credit the global models for that. That it would come as far west as it did was hard to see until about Tuesday. Also think the messaging was insufficient on the coastal concerns. Beyond the actual numbers exceeding forecasts (not by that much), we absolutely have to find a better way to qualitatively communicate such concerns. That was the issue. We needed highly visible messaging that said βplan for water rescues, widespread impassable roads, etcβ. My 10-15β snow range verified well for most, though more towards the high end with a few overs. But I never wouldβve forecast that even 48 hours ago. Wind forecasts were good, no surprises there. Was actually a little underwhelmed in that department. All in all, a memorable storm.
Agree on getting coastal impact out there.
I so so so agree on coastal issues. A swing and a miss on that
FWIW no SOE in Maine either
Keith (or anyone on the south shore) – do you know anyone that does snow removal in hingham? Tweaked my back earlier and am dreading hurting it more and wouldn’t mind paying someone to do it instead.
I don’t off the top of my head. Are you just looking to have the driveway plowed or full removal?
Anything would be good at this point. Anything that lessens the work. Might just suck it up i don’t know.
On a synoptic level, this event is very similar to one on January 4, 1989.
Do we still get to call this the “Dolly” storm? π
Nah, there were a few centers and they were much closer together.
Darn! Oh well. π
TK – Any early, early thoughts on 1/13 weatherwise?
I haven’t looked at much but I’m watching for a possible complex winter weather event around that weekend. The pattern may support it.
Thanks TK!
Hard to believe that Logan hit 30F considering the very strong due north wind.
The warm air wrapped all the way around the storm. It’s common in intense cyclones.
Snow report of over 20 inches at Chelsea? Guess someone measured a snow drift. π
Wait till the ham operator in framingham reports. He may have 25
Wow that was a heck of a storm. I measured several spots coming in a little over 17 inches. Could it be off by an inch or so sure but man I am sore from the snow blower.
I totally agree. It took two rounds and about three hours to move the 16″ inches of snow!
I feel like I went 15 rounds with the heavyweight champ!
The snowfall was heavier and thicker than I thought. The auger in the snow blower kept getting jammed up with the mashed potatoes!
Our snow blower is not working well enough. Son in law shoveled. Not huge driveway but big enough. Holds 6 cars and maybe a bit more. He said very heavy. Did it in two rounds.
Looks as if your school district made the right call for two days off. Gave parents time to plan. Some districts out here say it is cold and not snow. Makes a ton of sense to me.
The old snowfall record at Logan today was 7.9″ in 1994.
Logan at 13.2.
Measured just under 12 inches in Back Bay – again did 3 separate measurements. Judging from the snowbanks it would be appear to be more than a foot. But, there has been a lot of blowing and drifting.
It’s interesting that just before and during storms like these squirrels do not come out of their nests. Birds, on the other hand, do venture out just prior to storms like these. Early this morning I did not see any squirrels on my run around the Esplanade Park, and it wasn’t even snowing that hard. I did see several birds. I wonder whether squirrels discuss snow totals and storm surges in their cozy confines. For all we know each nest may be equipped with a state-of-the-art weather station, lazy-boy chair, and hammock.
The reports I have seen support 12-15 around the city.
For all we know, those darn squirrels could be in their secret lairs pushing the buttons and pulling the levers that control the Weather Machine!
I love this Joshua. Just makes me chuckle. Thanks,
For all we know we might be some other beingβs squirrels π
Sorry – meant beingsβ!
Didnβt mean to go religious-undertones π
Just returned from my clean up. That was one of the most challenging cleanups I can remember. Pounding moderate snow with plunging temperatures and gusty winds made for a difficult couple of hours. I measured in 10 different places with an average of 19 inches of snow in Westwood. When all is set and done around 9 o’clock we’ll be closing in on 20 inches. Wow!
I agree, 3 hour cleanup, wind howling, blowing every shovelful, brutal. In Andover, maybe 14, but really hard to tell.
That sounds about right. Dedham came in with 19β
I just finished the last of the cleanup Iβm going to do until morning. Lots of drifting, but near as I can tell based on other storms, how the snow piles up, and areas that arenβt susceptible to drifting, and having lived here 10 years, I think I have around 14-15β.
Sounds right. I was conservative at 13
Cement
What a difference 5-10 miles can make. Light and fluffy for most part here.
Keith it poured here this morning
I know…pretty wild. Not a drop of rain here or in South Weymouth…wild.
And Iβm betting over a foot here
Around 16-18 here I would say…not very scientific on my part
Another thing as well the wind also compacted it down .
Still snowing here in Hingham…mostly light but sometimes at moderate levels. Wind is really howling. Feeling cruddy so I’ll hunker down for the night and go out early and shovel.
Maybe it is because we spent so much time in SC, but I can’t stop laughing
Caption: South Carolina has dispatched its snow plow
https://i.imgur.com/dJZfNc1.jpg
π
Itβs Katy!!!
Darn. I don’t know who Katy is. Cars?? π
Nope – Katy is the little βsnow plow that couldβ in a childrensβ book by the author of βThe Little House.β Itβs called βKaty and the Big Snow.β A must read for any snow lover with little kids in their life! You would love it for grandkids Vicki!
https://books.google.com/books/about/Katy_and_the_Big_Snow_Lap_Board_Book.html?id=cylPngEACAAJ&hl=en
Ohhhh I know that book. I will definitely order it. Thank you.
Fantastic book!! My boys love it.
I can’t stop laughing either.
I’m trying to figure out which country in (southern?) Europe that picture was taken.
You think Europe? It says South Carolina on door. It would be even more fitting if it were Europe
Hmmm looking at license plates and you may be very correct
Just got done most of the cleanup with son and wife. The old Ariens is a monster and plowed through the 4 foot piles at end of driveway. Now tomorrow need to do path out back for dog, path for oil delivery and front walk. Lot of snow here in North Reading. Hard to measure, but looks like 14+ inches. Good thing this storm was a fast mover or it would have been a disaster.
Well the 00z runs will be short at least one sounding. π
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/949053559231975427
Oh, forgot to mention — no school in North Reading tomorrow. Given the amount of snow, the wind and the cold snap heading in, definitely the right call.
https://scontent.fbed1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/26220139_10156973092634278_6201663088092932641_n.jpg?oh=ffb96d51ec1f896d7e4338554389670a&oe=5AF1145B
Most of you will get this…
Love it!!
This makes even me love Bombogenesis!!!
π π
Just finished cleanup. Thank god for snowblowers but I agree one of the more difficult ones with the wind howling and temps dropping. It was near impossible to measure but I got an average of 17.3β
I just shovelled in West Newton and that was a lot of snow and serious drifting. I do not measure, but that was, in my view 14-18″
Ended up measuring an average of 10″ on the ground here in Coventry, CT. Had a two foot snow drift in front of the garage tapering to 6″ by the end of the driveway. Side of the garage was blown nearly bare. Very tough measurement.
I would have never guessed that the jackpot totals in CT would have been in the western half of the state where most towns received a foot or more. It’s all about where the bands set up. We were caught in an area of lighter snow in between the heavier bands most of the afternoon here.
Schools here and in most towns throughout CT are closed again tomorrow due to the brutal cold, high winds, and blowing snow. That’s 4 days to make up now at the end of the year already after the two we lost in the fall to that powerful coastal storm.
Mama Mia..I ordered three Katy books.,..one for each set of grands. Mike Mulligan was my brothers favorite book of all time. I have given it to each grand in his memory. Funny how you keep touching on memories π
LOVE this!! I was going to secretly get your address from TK and send you one from Amazon but youβre all over it!
Thanks as always for making this group an even better – and sunnier – one. You guys make Winter so much more enjoyable for us who were formerly less than enthusiastic about bombogenesis!
Bernie Rayno recap of the storm
https://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/bombogenesis-what-when-right-and-what-went-wrong/bjeg11zde6sqmprzooe_2skgyaxkukxb
ESPN is releasing story first light tomorrow regarding patriots power struggle between B.B., RK & TB12 . Also how TB12 went to kraft demanding Jimmy G be traded .
Good grief. It is a shame we cannot just enjoy the years with the best team in years without the drama. And really? ESPN? Now, there is a source I can trust.
It’s already well-known that ESPN hates that team and wants them brought down. I don’t care what team it is, and it’s not just because it’s the Patriots. ESPN should be ASHAMED.
I sure do agree.
One last check in. Been busy all evening. I didn’t have to go into the office, but
I sure as hell worked a whole day.
In any case completed clean up # 2 and hope final.
Made a ton of measurements.
Best figure I could come up with was 15.5 inches and I am very comfortable with
that figure. I thought that it was going to be higher, but hey, it is what it is.
Nice storm. The flooding was terrible. I couldn’t believe some of that stuff.
Onto Cleveland….errr I mean onto the next storm If/When it comes.
Cleaned it all up and had some fun out there with brothers and some of the old gang thats back during break. Had a good old neighborhood snowball fight. Shovels allowed π
Yikes! You guys threw shovels at each other???
Just kidding! I get a little slap happy when it stops snowing again!
0z Euro is a disaster late next week with two days of heavy rain. Gfs and the CMC advertising cutters as well. Still a week off so hopefully time for this to shift east.
Expect those to change drastically.
Here are reported totals. Some look a little suspect. Be careful … watch the time of the measurement.
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS
Thanks Longshot. Looking this over, I would say that the
15.5 I measured here in JP seems right in line.
Plenty of Wind Chill Warnings up.
Final at Logan = 13.4″
***Subject to JPD’s further review π
Much better. The reports coming in yesterday seemed way too low.
I believe Logan reports data every 6 hours.
Here are a couple of photos I snapped last night. Please note I am a horrific
photographer so I just tried to get some representative shots.
https://imgur.com/a/zaYza
New post!