Thursday Forecast

32 Comments

7:44AM

CAUTION! VERY ICY GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS THIS MORNING! Untreated surfaces and surfaces that don’t get direct sun will remain icy all day and into Friday as well. Be careful when traveling!

Blizzard of 1978 blog is nearly done and will be posted later today.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)
Quiet and cold today but the icy ground is the big issue. A stretch of unsettled weather arrives during Friday as a warm front approaches. This front gets north of the region Saturday then tries to sink southward Sunday but not sure how far it will go just yet. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-15 interior, 15-20 coast. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 28-35. Wind light W.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of light snow accumulating a coating to 1 inch. Lows 22-28. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light snow or freezing drizzle early, then a chance of light rain. Highs 35-42. Wind light variable becoming S up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Temperatures in the 40s but may fall into the 30s some northern areas.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows from the upper 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)
A couple periods of unsettled weather but no major storms, and on the milder side of normal for temperatures during this period. The very end of the period may turn colder with a snow threat.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)
A bit colder. May have a snow/mix threat early in the period.

32 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  2. Thank you, TK. Hope you were able to get some sleep and are starting to improve

    Two hour school delay in suttonand a few other towns. No way I can get out front door and driveway looks icy.

    We did have some big flakes around 10:15

  6. Thanks TK.
    I see on the 6z GFS that snow threat TK mentioned about a week from today. Hopefully if that happens my flight will be in the air to Florida if that happens which I have high doubts.

  7. Thanks TK !

    Could tell the precip ended as some ice pellets and snow flakes overnight. It resulted in some patches of icy conditions this morning.

  8. Thanks TK. 11″ snow here in Plymouth, NH. I thought we might be able to do a little better, but that was right in line with the forecasts. The ratios weren’t much above 10:1, and that may have been the issue in terms of not getting more snow. Nice storm though.

  9. Looking forward to the blog.

    Chicago forecast models seemed all over the place. But it looks like theyll be the proud recipients of a foot of snow. They are being sacrificed so we dont have to get it.

  10. I like yesterday’s storm because it was a perfect fit for this weather pattern. I’m very happy with how the opening 10 days of the month will verify in comparison with my forecast ideas. A little cooler on average perhaps than I would’ve thought, but we saw the battle between the SE Ridge and the cold, and the ridge got the best of the cold multiple times when it mattered most, with weather systems passing through.

    Part two of my February forecast was a cold/stormy period for mid-month. That has appeared doomed to fail for awhile now. I think this is mainly due to the MJO being excruciatingly slow to move out of phase 7, and also losing amplitude. Without it, the +++NAO is dominating. However, I’m seeing signs that the very positive NAO may start to ease and that the AO may start to fall around 2/15. The weakened MJO should also move towards phase 8 by then. So I think it’s still possible we could get some cold and snow chances in the 2/15-2/25 window, delayed a little from where I initially thought and probably not extremely cold, but with the odds a little better for snow overall than the current pattern.

    Eventually I think we’ll get into a sustained warmer than normal pattern into March, which I’ve also been keen on for awhile.

    1. The MJO, I have found, is the biggest reason for a non-verifying longer range forecast. Pure hell, that index is.

    1. 320 days until Christmas 😉

      I may even watch the Red Sox this year. Although, I said that last year and never managed to.

    3. I might try to get opening day tickets for my sons birthday need to see best way to go about it .

  12. 5 years ago today Blizzard of 2013 began and lasted into the morning hours the next day. I got 30 inches from that storm which is the biggest snowfall from one storm I ever had. My previous biggest snowfall was 24 inches with the blizzard in February 2006 which happened on the 12th. The snow banks were the biggest I have ever seen after one storm. The snow bank at the end of my mom and stepdad’s driveway was taller than me and I remember seeing driving around people snow blowing their street just so they could get out. I also remember during the storm some places getting 6 inches of snow in one hour.

    1. Absolutely phenomenal. It is no secret that Eric is a great favorite of mine. I got a laugh from the one comment. Rather than thanking him, the poster continued to poke at him. Viewers clearly have a problem accepting that they are wrong, yet he accused mets of just that. Ahhh human nature…it does baffle.

      I will share with anyone and everyone I can. Thank you, TK, for posting.

    2. UnFreakinReal!!!!

      Yes, indeed, that is dedication and not too shabby results either.
      I still think his Boston’s #1 on-air Met. Sorry Harvey and Harvey supporters.

  17. I have finally crawled across the finish line with the 1978 blog… Go check it out! If you find any mistakes, let me know. This was written at various times ranging from 3AM to a few minutes ago, in various states of consciousness, etc. – basically whenever I could muster up the energy to get a few lines in. 😉

  18. I’ll still take WCVB over WBZ. Not a fan of any of the Mets on BZ. Just my opinion. I’m sure they’re nice people. Just don’t like the presentation either.
    And yea I like Wankum too. Ive liked him since he was on 56.

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