Tuesday Forecast

41 Comments

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 27-31)
Only making a few timing adjustments in this update, but largely the same forecast. High pressure hangs on today, warm front approaches Wednesday, cold front a bit faster now expected to move through earlier on Friday, versus the later timing I had on the previous forecast. High pressure builds in for the final day of March on Saturday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind light N.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-38. Wind light SE.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Spotty light rain morning and midday which may fall as sleet and/or freezing rain interior locations for a brief time. Highs 40-48. Wind light SE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 35-43 evening, may rise overnight. Wind light S.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of late-day rain showers. Highs 47-54, coolest South Coast. Wind light SW.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely through early afternoon. Late-day clearing. Lows from the lower to middle 40s. Highs in the 50s except upper 40s South Coast.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 1-5)
A weak front may come through dry April 1. The pattern thereafter will be fast-flow but we’ll be near a boundary between cold air with surface high pressure in Canada, and milder air to the south which will be unsettled for at least a portion of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 6-10)
A progressive flow but with a tendency to have surface high pressure in Canada sets up the potential for unsettled weather and below normal temperatures overall during this period.

41 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  2. I am going to call it again… we are done with significant snow events until November. Lol

    3. So now when we are shoveling sometime April, and someone will be, we can blame you? šŸ˜‰

  7. There is a WHW email. I’ll post it on next blog and also edit the blog specs. Can’t do it until I’m at my laptop later.

    1. Sent an email to the Hotmail account posted in the About section. Did not see it the 1st time I looked.

  14. Thank you, TK.

    Some mets (eg, Ryan Hanrahan) are calling the cold weather that is expected the first week of April “unusual.” You guessed it, I have a problem with that. We’ve had cold weather the first week of April for 3 straight years (in 2015, 2016, and 2017). I would agree with the assessment that it is unusual to have cold weather the first week of April for 4 years in a row. But, it is not unusual in the northeast – and especially New England – to have cold weather the first week of April of a given year.

    1. It’s no more unusual than having 3 wet Mays in a row, for example. They are stretching it. It’s the media thing at work again. Everything has to somehow be unusual so people are interested, tune in, listen, read, click.

      We had snow in May 1977, late April 1987, and May 2002. Now while it’s true that having snow April 28 or later is extremely rare, it happened 3 times. It could have been 3 years in a row that it happened. That’s how weather works. Wait long enough, and something you hardly ever see will occur. But that wait long enough does not always mean starting right now. It was time for a string of cold Marches and early Aprils. We may start a string of warm ones next year, or in 10 years, or not again in our lifetime. I guess we’ll see…..or not.

  15. A warning for model watchers. Beyond day 3 we are going to observe a lot of timing and positioning issues for a while, so don’t hang on model runs that much.

      1. I follow the CFS’s long range forecasts at least every other day to pick out the trends on that particular model, and more importantly to gauge the ability to model the atmosphere at that range. I keep track of the performance of the model over the long term.

        As far as picking out a specific panel, such as this, it’s for fun, and in no way to be considering hyping an event. I don’t do that. I think people know that about me by now. šŸ™‚

        1. We do. I just knew you wouldn’t be able to let the joke hang around without addressing it. lol

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