Friday Forecast

50 Comments

7:16AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 30-APRIL 3)
A cold front moves through the region today with showery weather. High pressure builds in Saturday which will be a nice spring day. Another cold front crosses the region Saturday night and early Sunday, starved for moisture, bringing mainly just a wind shift and breezy and slightly cooler weather for Sunday. Unsure of timing early next week but warm front approaches later Monday or Tuesday, and not sure if it pushes through yet so temperatures for the last day of this period are highly uncertain, though weather should be somewhat unsettled.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog this morning. Rain showers likely this morning. Scattered rain showers this afternoon. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to W.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a few additional rain showers early, then partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 43-49. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-56. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of mix/snow southern areas. Lows from the lower to middle 30s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow/mix north and rain south early, chance of rain showers later. Lows from the lower to middle 30s. Highs may range from the 40s northeast to 60s southwest, but highly uncertain.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 4-8)
Strong cold front comes through April 4 with rain showers that may end as snow showers as warm air is replaced by much colder air. Generally fair but chilly for April 5 which is also the Red Sox home opener. Have to watch the April 6-8 period for potential unsettled weather which may include frozen precipitation as well as rain.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 9-13)
The region will likely be near the boundary of warm and cold air meaning additional unsettled weather and changeable temperatures.

50 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Euro beginning to make things look interesting in the period you mentioned,
    4/6-4/8. As of the 0Z run, Keeps most precipitation to the South of our area
    but needs to be watched. Euro also wants to tease us with a touch of snow
    on 4/2.

    1. Ch. 7 has been hinting on that 4/2 snow for the past few days in fact. For now maybe just the South Coast.

  4. Thanks TK !

    I am pleasantly surprised in the slight increase in expected daytime temps Saturday and Sunday !!

  5. 50s with low 50s dew points outside, it feels downright summery !

    And it’s about time !!!!!!! 🙂 🙂 🙂

  6. 12z NAM brings snow area to LI for overnight Sunday into Monday.
    I remember on the first Monday in April 2016 shoveling snow. I am not saying it will happen this time but certainly not unheard of to get accumulating snow in April.

  8. From Taunton overnight Sun into Mon
    ECMWF is pretty bullish on this and there are several EPS members that bring some accumulating snow into SNE. GFS is south but there are a few GEFS members further north. Odds favor most of the precip remaining to the south but can`t discount a further north solution given latest trends.

    1. I’d say the Euro caught their attention, especially considering the
      previous BUSTORAMA snow storm. 😀

      1. I love the way you are so positive about things.
        As I have said many times before, I can’t stand ABSOLUTES.
        There is almost never an absolute situation.

        I’d rather you said: “I honestly don’t think it will snow again”.
        That would be fine as it is an opinion, but saying it is a wrap, meaning no way it snows again, is flat out wrong. That is not an opinion, that is a statement that suggests you know something when you don’t.

  10. I think the Euro is teasing us, but time will tell.

    Tom, I noticed the higher dew points. That makes a big difference in the outside feel. Not to say I love it. But, it’s different from the past month.

    1. My wife is 100% convinced Gronk is GONE! Not saying she is correct, but she has an extraordinarily high correct percentage on her feelings like this. 😀

      1. I also wouldn’t be shocked if Brady retires earlier than planned, not necessarily due to injury, but perhaps team issues, etc.

  17. The trend with each run of the GFS is pushing the snow area a little further north now gets into central CT for overnight Sunday into Monday. By comparison the 12z run of the NAM brings the snow area to LI. Will see what the EURO says.

    1. Showers were in the forecast. Any of them can be briefly heavy as temps / dew points are close together.

  22. Probably adding snow to the forecast for at least southern areas for Monday, and possibly again early Tuesday, and it may jump up 20 to 30 degrees in some places late Tuesday if we can get a warm front through here, which we may, only to fall by the same amount during Wednesday. Looks like a dry/windy/chilly Sox home opener and a chance of snow/mix again late next week. Fun & active weather to follow as we head into April!

  23. IF and I say IF that wintry threat holds late next week the golf course where I golf may not been opening next Friday.

    1. It would depend on the timing. It may be that nothing happens on Friday itself.

      I’m actually most concerned about April 8 this far in advance.

      1. I’ve had April 8, give or take a day, in my head for a while now as the best window for potential snow around here.

        Looks like several opportunities for at least light snow over the next 10-14 days. I bet Boston has not seen its last inch.

        1. Talking to a fellow forecaster last night and the pattern upcoming reminds us both a little bit of April 1996.

            1. Didn’t Boston receive 10″ or so one day in April 1996? That was the winter snowfall 107.6″ (#2 snowiest).

              1. I’d have to check the storm totals, but they had a couple significant ones in April. And yes that was #2 on the snowiest list.

            2. The 1996 pattern is more similar to the one upcoming, however 1982 has a few similarities as well.

  24. A few years ago in 2016 the course opened then we had 4 inches of snow the first Monday of April and it stayed closed for most of that week as the temps were in the 30s two days after we had the snow.

  25. I remember that April 96 having accumulating snow around the 8th with snow falling during the Yankees home opener.

    1. You’re remembering correctly. In my view, the 1995-1996 snow season was the most impressive of my lifetime because of its consistency: Significant snows in December, January, February, March, and even April (2 storms, in fact). The early snows in December and January really stuck around for a long time. I remember Shelby Scott (WBZ TV) reporting on one snowstorm after another, and then when it close to the record for total snow in a season she got excited about the prospect of breaking it. And, Boston did break the record, but then the 2014-2015 season topped it.

      1. My younger brother passed away in November of 1995. He loved storms and weather as much as I do. I have always believed that winter had a lot of guidance from above

  26. With a bit less than an hour to go until sunset, I’d like to wish my family and friends who celebrate a Joyous Pesach.

  27. Good morning.

    Pretty quiet around these parts.

    It is looking increasingly more likely that we will see at least a bit of SNOW
    in SNE come Monday AM.

    The jury is still out on 4/7. Euro Most bullish on a Day time snow event with qpf around .5 inch which would mean perhaps a couple of inches of snow. Still plenty of time on this one.

    And then, it looks active after that. No way to know details and frozen precip may
    still be in the cards after 4/7. Interesting month ahead.

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