Tuesday Forecast

81 Comments

6:01AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 3-7)
Warm front approaches today but may struggle to move through this evening as little waves of low pressure form on it. This front will cause wet weather in the form of rain, though it may start as some sleet interior areas. The warm air finally wins out for a few hours Wednesday but a cold front charging eastward will bring a band of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms eastward across the region during the afternoon, returning cold air to the region after it passes Wednesday night and Thursday, which will be a bright but blustery day for the Red Sox home opener at Fenway Park. The next system comes along quickly on Friday with a period of mix/rain during the day and a surge of cold air producing a risk of snow showers at night. At the moment we should be between systems Saturday with some clouds and a chill.
TODAY: Thickening overcast. Areas of rain arriving, may start as brief snow and/or sleet especially interior areas. Highs 38-45 occurring late day. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Rain likely in the evening. Chance of drizzle overnight. Temperatures steady 38-45. Wind light E.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog/drizzle early. Rain showers and a risk of a thunderstorm west to east afternoon. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 elsewhere. Wind light variable early, then SW increasing to 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH Cape Cod with higher gusts, shifting to W from west to east last day and evening.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-49. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain/mix day. Chance of rain/snow showers evening. Breezy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 8-12)
Wave of low pressure may produce snow/mix April 8 and a second wave may produce rain/mix April 10. Dry weather later in the period. Temperatures continue to run below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)
A shift of upper level features should put high pressure offshore and allow a warm up, possibly significant, at least for the first half of the period before it cools down later in the period.

81 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  6. Tk…when do you think we see rain in Woburn? They just started roofing today and I am hoping it comes as late as possible. App says around 3pm.

          1. Yeah. Even 5pm would be good. Funny I never pay too much attention to weather this time of year but given my construction I can tell you we haven’t have more then a few days of workable weather until a rain or snow event appears. Between the blocking pattern no one saw coming and now usual Spring weather ha.

  7. This don’t appear to be lining up for any late season snow storms. That is not to
    say there will not be anymore snow in the air, just the way things are looking
    no snow storm per se. The 4/8 system has been on again off again with the latest
    showing an off shore suppressed solution. Today being 4/3, there are still
    several days for that to change. The way things have often changed this season, I wouldn’t write it off just yet.

      1. Thank you. A local photographer and new Sutton friend has asked my daughter to have a photo on display at an upcoming event.

      1. I never had either until we moved here. Now we have a second generation in our bluebird house.

  10. I don’t have blue birds but I have like 10 to 12 Blue Jays which is not suppose to happen lol.

    1. I respect blue jays because they will attack cats if provoked. YouTube has a lot of these videos.

          1. Definitely white I was home & was sitting in the truck it was bouncing off . Tk when is there going to be accumulation of snow this Friday for Boston’ is it

  18. Sorry WW I didn’t see your question until now. My answer would have been any time after 1PM but it’s a moot point now. 😉

  19. Keep in mind when I was talking about the upcoming snow threats I am not necessarily talking about a “big snowstorm”. We will watch the window of time of concern and asses things as we get closer.

  21. I like accumulating snow to rain Friday then a few snow showers Friday night as the cold air returns.

    I like the Saturday night / Sunday morning window for the best chance of snow/mix this weekend.

    I think any storm that occurs early next week will be later Tuesday into Wednesday with rain favored over snow – upper low not in the right place at the right time for frozen.

    Major warm-up possible around April 13-14 with many 70+ and possibly the first 80 of the season somewhere. But as always, keep an eye on things to the north at the surface. Back-door fronts are not often seen by guidance until only a few days before their arrival.

      1. In theory. Those temp sensors are incorrectly calibrated and/or incorrectly placed. And this time I mean more widespread 80+ potential (away from ocean influence obviously).

    2. The end is here I can feel it…and by that, I mean the end of snow…not the end of everything ha.

      1. End times? 😉

        We’ll see about that. Upper pattern for both Friday & Sunday say “not yet”.

        1. Oh I have no doubt we will start off with “well south, no impact” to a daily trend of north and a growing sense of excitement from JPDave ha.

  22. I got the box down that has my first weather observations in it from 1978. At some point I will put up a photo or 2. 😉

    1. Are you in the photos? I have to know – since it’s 1978 – if you are sporting a mullet. Or as it’s also known as…

      1. The Montana Mudflap
      2. The Canadian Passport
      3. The Old 10/90
      4. The Achy Breaky Big Mistakey

      1. In 1978 I pretty much had a Dutch Boy haircut. The closest thing I got to a mullet was 1988 and I do have a photo of that. I’ll see if I can find it. My girfriend at the time is in it too and she has classic 80s hair. Aqua Net.

            1. Dude that is the classic Medford High soccer mullet haha. Ask me how I know ha. Awesome. Love old pics!

              1. I used to go down to Medford when Woburn’s football team would go there to watch them win. Medford could never beat us. 😉

  23. Just for the record, Lawrence, Fitchburg, Boston, Beverly, and possibly Marshfield are all very suspect in their temperature readings. I don’t think any of them are calibrated correctly.

  25. TK – Does April 13-14 signal at least “unofficially” the end of the 2017-18 snow season for Logan? Any late anomolous threats thereafter?

    1. Don’t know yet. Time will tell. You know my “safe date”. And it’s not in April. 😛

      1. May 10. 😉

        And in regards to what you said up there..
        I turned 21 in 1988. You do the math. 😉

            1. That’s the secret to staying young. Funny even though 40 is young these days, when I hit 40 a few years ago I had this sense of mortality (if that makes sense). Sounds cliche I know, but it suddenly hit me I might be at my half life. I’ve been around and seen a lot in those first 40 so I wasn’t expecting to have these feelings. Anyway, it’s not all bad. I can really appreciate the benefits of experience in all facets of work and life now. Not that my teenager wants the benefits of my failures ha. Can’t complain though…I was the same way.

  27. A couple things to watch for during the passage of this dynamic frontal system over the next 24 hours…

    *We’re moving out of the initial problem of interior snow/ice. Never much of an issue there, although parts of central/northern New England could see some additional light snow/icing through tomorrow morning.
    *Tomorrow morning, we see some decent instability move in aloft. We’re lacking much of a trigger to tap it at that time, and even the hi-res guidance isn’t showing much action. However, models often don’t resolve these situations well. It would not surprise me to see some heavy downpours or even a rumble of thunder around early tomorrow morning. Afterwards, we warm into the 50s-60s.
    *Tomorrow evening, the cold front comes through. We get into the warm sector, but we’re lacking the heating needed to produce surface instability. SPC has a severe risk further down the coast but keeps the marginal severe south of our region. The front will likely be proceeded by a band of showers and a few downpours, but nothing severe.
    *In terms of winds and the Wind Advisory from the NWS, the bigger threat there is actually after the frontal passage. We will rapidly mix out behind the front, and winds aloft are strong, 50kts+ at 850mb right through the overnight. We’ll mix up to there. I would expect gusts 40-50mph tomorrow night.

    NWS discussion captures most of these points as well, and I think I’m in pretty good agreement with their thoughts.

  28. Quebec City and vicinity is getting buried with snow this week. First tonight and tomorrow with 30cm – 40cm expected (about 12 to 16 inches). Then a repeat performance on Friday. Lows in the teens most of the week. Spring will eventually come to Quebec, but almost never in April. Basically, their winter runs a 6-month schedule from 1 November to 1 May.

  32. Yes but most of the stuff was north of my location this early morning.

    New post!

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