2:46PM
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 9-13)
High pressure is bringing a bright but cool day to the region today. A disjointed low pressure system – main system well south, weaker system passing over and north of the region, will bring cloudiness and a minimal precipitation threat Tuesday. Sliver of high pressure brings fair weather Wednesday. A warm front / cold front combo will bring clouds and a risk of some light rain Thursday then clearing for Friday. During Friday that front should be settling just south of the region, setting up an interesting weekend forecast. But first, the details through Friday…
REMAINDER OF TODAY: Sunshine. Temperatures holding in the 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH gusting around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 27-34. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A period or two of light rain possible. Highs 38-45. Wind light SE.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind light S shifting to W.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s except cooler coastal areas.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 14-18)
The position of a frontal boundary means everything regarding the temperature forecast during the weekend of April 14-15. A frontal boundary in northern New England means that much of the region, except where wind comes off the ocean, could exceed 70. However, instinct tells me to lean toward this front struggling to come north and the cooler air winning out. This would do so with mainly fair weather Saturday April 14 but by Sunday April 15 clouds and eventually wet weather may figure into the mix as well. Then the timing of a front from the west has to be considered regarding both temperatures and precipitation threat for Monday April 16, Patriots Day a.k.a. Marathon Monday. Toward the middle of next week, fair weather should be back in place.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 19-23)
Look for a progressive pattern but frequent precipitation threats and temperatures averaging mostly below normal.
Oh found it ha.
Thanks TK. Was wondering if you were ok when i checked for a new post.
Yes. I had to have the account reset this morning but I had to have one of my resident computer geeks do that for me when he was available and by then I wasn’t back to my laptop for an update until a short while ago.
I’m doing great! I’m about to head into Boston to see one Pink in concert!
I’ve taken quite an interest in monitoring the CFS weekly & monthly forecasts of late to try to gauge if this model has any practical use in long range forecasting. It nailed the more persistent cool temperatures but in order to benefit from that information one needs to be able to filter out bad runs, and it has some.
The trend is to keep it to the cooler side of normal through week 3 then warm it to above normal around week 4 or 5 on the weekly forecast.
The monthly forecast has trended toward a warm May / June, seasonably warm July, warm August / September, and trend to colder than normal autumn and early winter.
Will continue to monitor these trends.
i been trying to keep track of it this winter, and it was dead wrong, Said Dry and warm lol
Right. And then it turned around majorly this spring and nailed the persistent cool pattern.
Are we going to see rain on Marathon Monday? Could the rain come after the race?
A soaker all day Monday. 🙁
7 days away. A bit soon to call for an all day rain.
Thank you, TK.
Thank you, TK.
Cold rain on Patriot’s Day would not be good. But, we’ve been fairly lucky in recent years. I guess we were due.
I’m lucky that my business trip will go ahead as planned, as there won’t be a storm tomorrow. I’ll be in Bedminster, NJ (flying to Newark, then taking a taxi/uber to Bedminster). That must be the most British-sounding names around. That and Westminster. I believe Trump has a house there and a golf course?
Just read a disappointing story about a Canadian sports writer who criticized Marc Savard for “disappearing” following his concussions. What an ignoramus writer. Marc Savard suffered a terrible ordeal: concussions, followed by debilitating migraines and and mental illness. His career was cut short. He was one of my favorite players to watch. When I went to Bruins games I’d tell my son to just watch Savard for a few minutes. Keep focused on Savard without looking at where the puck is. Look at how great he is at anticipating the play (ahead of him, or even behind him), where the puck will be, where there’s space. Bergeron has that kind of insight, too. Really a joy to watch.
Too early to be sure, but the Sunday-Monday time frame has a very ugly look to it at this stage. While I continue to think some of us have a real chance of 70s and 80s on Saturday (also not a lock), it’s probable that by Sunday most of us will have been backdoor’ed. That’ll translate to 30s and 40s with light rain/mist. Then by Monday we warm back up but deal with a soaking rain before the front. I don’t see how we avoid that sequence, but perhaps the timing will adjust in our favor for Marathon Monday. We’d need a shift to a faster moving system to have a chance. It’s possible, we’ll see.
Waking up to light snow falling and a coating of snow on the grass.
New post. Didn’t really make any changes at this point. Will re-evaluate again as always.