Tuesday Forecast

77 Comments

7:39AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)
Low pressure passes southeast of New England today and tonight and a trough connecting it to a weaker system passing north of the region will bring cloudiness and patches of very light precipitation to the region today. A sliver of high pressure will bring fair weather Wednesday. A warm front / cold front combo will bring clouds and a risk of some light rain Thursday then clearing for Friday. The computer models want to bring that front back to the north during Friday and put much of southern New England on the warm side through Saturday, but I am nervous about going for this scenario and will continue to lean to the cooler side at least for northern and eastern areas for now.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. A period or two of light snow/mix/rain possible. Highs 38-45. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind light S shifting to W.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 33-39. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Highs 47-54. Wind light SE.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s except cooler coastal areas. Low confidence temperature forecast.
SATURDAY: partly cloudy. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s coast, middle 50s to lower 60s interior. Very low confidence temperature forecast.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)
Expecting to be on the cool side of that front April 15 with wetter weather developing. The front may try to push north of the region April 16 (Patriots Day / Marathon Monday) so will have to watch for a jump in temperature possible at that time and also for an area of showers ahead of a cold front from the west. Much cooler and mostly dry or a few rain/snow showers around the middle of the period then a slight moderation as a low pressure trough transitions eastward across the region.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)
Look for a progressive pattern but frequent precipitation threats and temperatures averaging mostly below normal.

77 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  4. Wow what a morning. Gray, ground frozen, can see my breath..has a look and smell like a late November fall day. If it wasn’t for the birds chirping I would believe it!

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    YAWN………………………………………………………….

  7. Thanks TK.

    Another snowy April morning here in Coventry, CT…third now in the first 10 days of April. Not sticking to the roads but everything else is coated. Just measured 0.8″ on the back deck. 33 degrees.

  13. Saw a few flurries earlier …. so glad, it had been so long since seeing snow and how I had missed it so !!!!

  15. Now mostly rain here at the office in Manchester CT with a few flakes mixed in. There was no accumulation here when I arrived. The 500′ elevation change makes a big difference this time of year. Miserable day indeed.

    1. Would like to see that warm front a bit further north of SNE. It doesn’t take much for those back door fronts to dominate especially this early in spring.

      1. Indeed. The 0z Euro does get us into the 60’s and 70’s on Friday but after that looks nothing like the GFS and drags the front south of us over the weekend with 40’s and 50’s Saturday then 30’s on Sunday with snowshowers in the air.

  20. Getting hammered with people asking me why it’s snowing (again this is Burlington). I know it wasn’t called for on the few news sites I follow.

  21. Snow depth at the Mount Mansfield stake in VT is still 88″ as of this morning. No end to the ski season in sight anytime soon.

    1. Wow! Sounds like skiing until at least Mother’s Day as long as 70 temps don’t make it up there.

    2. Absolutely awesome news for the ski areas. My brother skied Sunapee last weekend. At that point they were going to close on the 16th, but perhaps they will extend that. It is much further south of course.

  22. Vermont is having some of the best skiing they have had in a couple of years. I did not go to Stowe this year because of dam vail jacking up the day passes. They want you to buy that epic pass, but there is nothing epic about it if you live in the East. Most of their MTNS are out west. Now the IKON pass and max pass is much better for your buck. Vail sucks in my opinion.

  23. 12z Euro still looks decent for Friday with 60’s and some low 70’s in SNE but its not backing down on the weekend. Mostly 40’s/low 50’s on Saturday and 30’s on Sunday with mixed precip. And nothing remotely spring-like temp-wise for next week either.

  24. Mark here is Ryan’s tweet about 12z EURO. Pretty wild!
    The Euro has 78F on Saturday followed by freezing rain and sleet Sunday night. One of the most impressive backdoor fronts I can remember.

    1. I still think the most impressive back-door cold front I have ever witnessed was on April 17 2002. 93 to 57 here in TEN minutes.

      2. I remember one worse that that, at least in my mind.

        It was sometime in the mid 1960s and I was still in High School.
        It was Mid-late April and We were out on the field for baseball practice and the temperature was in the lower 90s and WHAM that freakin back door came through and dropped the temperature into the 40s!!! Talk about a cool down. I froze my ass off as we completed practice.

        Btw, this wasn’t right on the coast as it was out in Millis, some 21 miles SW of the City and the water.

    2. Interesting. I am seeing 60’s/70’s for Friday but not Saturday on the Eurowx.com service. Perhaps I read it wrong. Regardless, it’s a massive temp drop and Sunday would be brutal if it verified.

    1. Lovely. I see we’re in for one our BRUTAL SPRINGS where it won’t warm up
      until the 4th of July and YES I have seen that before*()!@#!*(@#*(!@(#&!(*@&#*(!&@*(#&!(*@#&(*!@&(#*&!(*@#&*(!@&#*(!&@(*#&!*(@#&(*!&@#*(&!(@*#&*(!@&#(*!&@*(#&!*(@&#*(!&@#*&!(*@#&*(!@&#(*

      1. It wont be that bad, but I bet you its at least mid May before we see anything that resembles spring around here. I said 2 weeks ago climo will have to do this year. No pattern change to get us out of this.
        I always hold out hope April will bring something good, but it almost always disappoints.

        1. At least at this point we’re just looking into May. I don’t think this pattern makes it to meteorological summer.

          I have had to do a re-evaluation of long range after things went astray recently, but I don’t see this going on all the way through.

    2. I’m sure that will verify verbatim. If it showed sunny and 75, I’m sure it would be completely wrong.

      1. It probably won’t verify exactly like that but it just shows the tendency for the atmosphere to transition into that after we break out of the current pattern.

  26. A know there are some folks looking at models are judging the frontal positions by where the precipitation is depicted, especially for Saturday. They really need to pay attention to the surface winds.

    I’m going to guess now that Boston may start mild Saturday morning but probably is near 40 before the day is over, and in the upper 30s to lower 40s most of Sunday.

    1. Sure looks that way. 😀 BRUTAL!!! Just BRUTAL!!!

      We are supposed to be going out to dinner Saturday evening. Sounds
      delightful! NOT!!!!!!!!

  27. According to Eric, record cold for Sunday. I think I saw a 30F for Boston for the afternoon, NOT the overnight!

    Or did I misread Eric’s graphics??

  28. Next week looks pretty brutal too.
    I think we can write this month off. People are going to start reaching for ropes and trying to find exhaust pipes.

    1. 15-20 more years and I’m out. Hopefully sooner if a transfer opportunity comes up. I don’t need Florida but Virginia or NC would do.

      2. We’re thinking of going to Wilmington, NC.
        I have some property down there on the intercostal. I have another 13 years then we’re outa here.

      3. You’ll have some interesting weather there too. VA and even parts of NC will be getting a lot more snow in the next 15 to 30 years thanks to the solar cycle & PDO dominant phase. You also get threats from tropical systems, a ton of severe weather, and when it does snow a couple inches everything shuts down. 🙂 Also the HHH makes New England’s look lame. 🙂

        1. That humidity is unlike any I’ve ever felt. It’s why we are going to the Outer Banks in April.

          I just want to camp south of 30N from December to March and in the Carolinas April and half of May.

          Then, live in New England Memorial Day weekend through to Christmas.

  29. Oh, that cold from Canadian high to the north and the 41F ocean go through you worse than a 15F arctic blast in January. I’m thankful to have the upcoming opportunity to miss that.

  30. All the pharma used to be in Jersey. In the early 90’s, the genome was sequenced and a ton of biotech startups sprang up around here. Scientist from MIT and Harvard started a bunch. Lots of venture capital. So big pharma moved outa jersey and came up here. This was before the internet, video conferencing and the tools we have now became available
    You can’t swing a dead cat in Cambridge without hitting a biotech or pharma company. There’s lots of turnover though. I’ve been lucky and have been at the same place for 17 years. One thing that keeps me and a lot of people here is that if you get laid off, a job down the street is easy to find.
    I think in another 20 years you’ll see a lot of this move out of here. RDU is a coming spot for pharma. Not huge yet, but it’s coming. Cheaper cost of living, rent for office and lab space is cheap, and the weather beats New England hands down. The average cost of lab space in Boston/Cambridge is around $50 per sq foot. RDU averages around $20 per sq foot. San Fran still has some biotech, but it’s getting tougher and tougher to recruit out there, housing and the cost of living is sky high. Going to be the same here pretty soon. Much easier to recruit fresh PhDs and skilled workers to areas with a cheaper cost of living and better living conditions/weather. The idea 25 years ago was that it would be easier to recruit biology graduates in this area. That’s changed a lot. People’s lifestyle now doesn’t include bundling up like it’s the dead of winter in April when about 500 miles south it’s real spring by the end of March

    1. And yet from the time I was a youngun, Massachusetts continues to be on el for best states in the country. We shall see. But I’ve heard your words many times before.

  32. You look at congressional seats for population shifts. The northeast has steadily lost seats. The southern states have gained. It’s not an accident. Massachusetts had 16 seats at its height. It’s down to 9. That’s not to say that the state doesn’t have a lot to offer, but the high cost of living and yes, the climate, have a definite down side for a lot of people. And, not as many kids who go to school here stay.

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