Monday Forecast

79 Comments

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 23-27)
High pressure sits atop southern New England today providing a great spring day, then slides enough for a breeze but not enough to take away the sun for most of Tuesday, however that breeze will be a cool one along the South Coast, then East Coast by late in the day, while being a mild breeze over the interior. Low pressure will move through the region Wednesday with wet weather as it tracks southwest to northeast, and instability behind it will hold some cloudiness and a chance of showers in the region for at least a portion of Thursday. A cold front will approach late Friday but most of that day should be dry with current timing suggesting the wet weather will be at night. Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 56-62 coast, 63-69 interior. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-43, coolest interior valleys. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Partly cloudy afternoon. Highs 57-63 coast and 64-70 interior but will fall midday and afternoon South Coast and late day East Coast. Wind SW to SE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Periods of rain overnight. Lows 43-49. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with rain likely morning. Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely afternoon. Highs 52-58. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain showers mostly morning. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely at night. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to middle 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 28-MAY 2)
A look at the April 28-29 weekend shows that cold fronts should pass by early Saturday and early Sunday with a cooling trend. Both days should feature some kind of sun/cloud mix but cannot rule out a few rain showers. Mainly fair weather a warming trend expected April 30 into the first couple days of May as a progressive pattern continues.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 3-7)
Early call on this period is continued progression of systems with a warm start with fair weather then a cooling trend and more unsettled with a couple weather systems bringing the threat of wet weather at times.

79 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

    1. Thank you for sharing. I don’t know whether to be happy or sad. We know what it means of course. I liked this wording: “…For the last two millennia, the only people who have been able to understand and adapt to this land are the Inuvialuit, the custodians of the north…..”

      The Custodians of the north.

      Mac’s grand or great grand worked on the Canadian transcontinental RR. Somewhere I have a RR watch he was presented. I guess it is all progress. However, it seems we show less and less respect for the land.

  4. Thanks TK. 25F for a low here in Plymouth, NH. We’re heading for around 65 later. Classic NW flow regime with big diurnal temp swings, although we move out of that flow pattern today as high pressure crests overhead. Nice spring weather.

    6z GFS says we make a run at our first 90 (yes, 90) degree day on 5/4.

  6. Hmmm

    The next 10 days Euro has above average high temps daily. Only one day
    showed near average or a bit below. All the rest were above. Mostly 60s with
    a few low 70s thrown in.

    Have we quietly turned the corner?????? OR is there a surprise or 2 left?

  7. Thanks TK. On our way home today from a week in the UK that featured sunshine and warm temps for a whole week. Was amazing to have that stretch of weather there after a mostly rainy cool Spring and is quite amazing to have that many rain free days together at any time of year! Flowers and trees are out in full force there giving me a preview of allergy season! Looks like a great day in New England today!

    1. New phone early? I thought it was Mid-May? Excellent.
      Let me know when you are settled and I will pass on the
      APP install to you. 😀

  10. North, welcome back. Your week in the UK could not have been better planned. As we change from a rather gloomy, cold pattern this week towards a sunnier and warmer period, the UK is changing from a sunny and warm pattern towards a much cooler and more overcast period. As I have mentioned this `inverted’ relationship between weather in, say, the UK or the Netherlands, and SNE almost always holds up.

    1. It certainly does have an inverse relationship most times. We were hoping the Royal baby was born while we were there but missed it by a few hours! We did see Prince William though last week on Wednesday in a car outside of Kensington Palace though!

  13. Vicki, very interesting to read that Mac’ grandfather worked on the trans-Canadian RR. It’s a trip – Vancouver to Toronto – that’s on my bucket list. Also on my list is Minneapolis to Seattle – by way of Glacier National Park – by train. Also on my list is Sept-Iles to Schefferville by train (runs through Labrador). Also on my list is the trans-Siberian. I’ll stop. As you can tell, I like trains.

    1. Those sound wonderful. Mac and I had planned to drive cross country and up into Canada when we retired. His parents made the trip multiple times using multiple routes after they retired back to the states. I have been thinking lately of taking some of the trips by train. I’d love to see Glacier National Park as well as many other landmarks.

        1. You made me smile.

          I do not know the song and I am a big fan of Gordon Lightfoot. Thank you for sharing.

        2. That is a great song. I have Gord’s Gold I & II which are 2 very nice collections I often play together as an extended best-of collection.

  14. Harbor buoy temp “up to” 45F.

    Every little bit helps during sea breezes or onshore flow in future storms.

  15. I’m encouraged, weather-wise, by what has happened just north of the Canadian Border up to about James Bay.

    It has been about 60F the last few afternoons, including today, causing a decent hit to the snow cover in southern Canada. The more the snow recedes to our north, the less influence that cold source region will have going forward.

  16. According to “ScanMiddleborough” Facebook, three separate major brush fires in progress down here in the South Coast area: Onset, Westport and Rehoboth.

  17. Looks like this low for mid week occludes to our west, so we shouldn’t get too long of an onshore flow ahead of it and maybe get into a mild SW flow behind the occlusion ????

  19. Any possibility of a heat wave that some areas of SNE saw the May 1-3 in 2001 when your talking 2 or 3 potentially very warm days to start May? I was a junior in high school when that happened and was so happy to get out of school those days and come home to the central air in the house.

    1. No. The upper air will not support that kind of heat yet, and the ground moisture likely will not either.

        1. Really? Our lawn is quite damp. We ….that would be the royal we since it was more SIL and daughter…raked yesterday also. I have a tendency to avoid shoes at all cost but it is still cold enough for me to wear socks. I was just out and my socks were wet.

          Our lakes, etc. are very high. Although, I still do not know how much is controlled. The vernal pool, not controlled of course, are also quite high.

          1. The recent rain events were much lighter the further east you go as evidenced by the brush fires on the south shore today. To be fair, my front yard gets full sun all day with no trees but it was a dry as it is in the middle of the summer

        2. It’s very moist here. There are areas, depending on what lies beneath, where the top 1 to 3 inches are very dry, but this is currently the exception not the rule. If we were dry the rest of this week it would become more widespread but Wednesday’s rain will put an end to that. This is something I always had to pay close attention to in agricultural meteorology. The conditions can vary so widely across a rather small growing region.

          1. Water along the banks of the Charles in Waltham are very high and the river runs fast. At least one part of the low lying walk/bike path is covered over with water.

  20. 71 degrees with a light wind. Wunder says NE but it is blowing in my window that faces SSE. 38 DP

  21. NWS 4PM obs put temps ranging from 51 at Block Island to 68 at Fitchburg, though I believe the Fitchburg temp is 1 or 2 degrees too high as it often is for highs.

    1. You failed to mention a miserable 53 at the facata airport. Here we go again.
      66 here, a mere 5 or 6 miles removed from the ice box. 😀

      1. Makes sense since they are surrounded by water. 🙂 Well at least nobody lives there ‘cept a few birds.

  22. I agree with TK about the early May warmth. We’ll have to see exactly what the pattern looks like, but there could be some full on summer heat involved.

    What a beauty again today. 66 here in Plymouth, NH. Dew point of 7, RH around 10%. Good thing there’s not much wind, or fire weather conditions would definitely be elevated.

  24. Horrific news from Toronto. The derangement on the part of mass murderers – whether terrorists or not – is incomprehensible to me. By the way, two of Boston’s sports teams are in the city.

    Cooled down considerably in downtown Boston as the spring sea breeze kicked in. Lovely day, nonetheless.

    A 29 year old man died yesterday during the London marathon. The probable cause is severe heat stroke. It was 74F, which is not especially hot. However, it was the warmest day in London marathon history. For many of the British runners, including this poor man, it proved to be too warm. When I ran in the Quebec City half-marathon several years ago it was unusually warm for that region; around 75F. I was fine with it. But, I noticed that many of the local runners were not, and the medical tents were packed with overheated runners. I think human bodies get accustomed to certain temperature ranges, but have trouble handling what would be considered `extreme’ from their bodies’ perspective.

    1. In 1976, 40% of the Boston Marathon runners DNF but last week 95% finished. It appears that the human body can withstand cold considerably better than extreme heat.

      1976 = 95F
      2018 = 45F

      Not exact temps but probably no more than 2-3 degrees off.

    1. If so the shots will be brief.

      If we get anything long lasting it would be a smaller cool departure by way of a blocking pattern.

  26. South shore residents. Have you seen the right whales off of Humarock? At least I believe they are rights.

    1. My daughter went and saw them yesterday from Rexhame Beach.

      Nice piece on ch 4 news on them as well.

      1. Wow. I’d love to see them. How awesome that your daughter did

        On another topic, the house we rent …according to the owner…lost part of an ocean facing deck and the slider was broken. The new house next door had the roll down window protective shades were blown off and they had serious water damage.

        Owner of house we rent said it was easily the worst he’d seen.

              1. So sorry to hear that. SIL works with a man who is closer to center also. His house was moved about a half inch off foundation. It isn’t an area you expect to have problems.

    1. He won’t last long. I’ve seen it before at that age. Spouse dies and the other one doesn’t make it very long.

      1. I sent think anyone is surprised. He and Barbara said their concern was they’d live more than an hour longer. Macs parents were the same. Childhood sweethearts. They are a true love story for the ages. God bless them both. What an amazing example of a generation pretty much lost

      2. That occurence is quite common among long term married couples following death of a spouse unfortunately. 🙁

  29. Let’s have some happy news. William and Kate have a new baby boy! 🙂

    This now makes Prince Harry sixth in line from the throne. He just can’t seem to get a break, can he? 😉

    1. They’ve seemingly run out of gas. Terrible 3rd period. Not good. I’m not holding out much hope on Wednesday, especially against the kind of team the Leafs are.

        1. A lot of negativity coming from Bruins fans. Disappointing. I never give up on this team. Ever. 50 years and counting.

          I believe in them and that they will win game 7.

          Or if it’s so decided, they may as well just forfeit. 😉

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