Tuesday Forecast

51 Comments

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 1-5)
An upper level low pressure area exits the region from west to east today and opens the door to a westerly flow over the top of a high pressure ridge along the US East Coast and a summer preview mid to late week. By later Thursday and Friday, a cold front will be close enough to the region to introduce the chance of some passing showers and thunderstorms as well. This front should push just south of the region by Saturday but probably remain close enough for at least some lingering cloudiness. Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers midday. Highs 57-63 South Coast, 64-71 elsewhere. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-76 South Coast, 77-85 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of mainly late-day showers and thunderstorms Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s South Coast, upper 70s to middle 80s elsewhere.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s South Coast, upper 70s to middle 80s elsewhere.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 60s to middle 70s, coolest South Coast.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 6-10)
A front will be in the region for much of this period with temperature swings and also the risk of a few episode of wet weather. However there will be stretches of fair weather as well. Timing and details uncertain at this point.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 11-15)
For now continuing with the outlook for a typical springtime up/down temperature pattern with a few episodes of unsettled weather.

51 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK!

    Our first taste of HHH for Thursday/Friday? I hope it doesn’t become too much of a habit this upcoming summer.

  2. Game was great, it rained but didn’t spoil the moment. Saw another grand slam and a photo op with Wally 🙂

    1. I was thinking of you while I watched part of the game and I did catch
      the Xander Grand Slam. I am happy you had such a great time.

    1. Sounds about right. I knew it would not be for Eastern Sections. No way
      this time of year. 😀

  5. Even where the area the SPC has highlighted I have seen so many times in May the line weakens just prior to entering western parts of SNE.

    1. The moment there is marine influence, SEE YA! Most especially this time of
      year when the Water to the South is still too cool. Once that water warms
      up, then the chances extend Eastward. (Unless of course there is more of
      a Westerly component to the wind)

  6. A thunderstorms kryptonite the marine influence. Thunderstorms hate stable air.

  10. 12z NAM still way over done with the severe parameters for eastern areas on Thursday.
    No way this time of year if that wind is coming from the water.

      1. I just think on Thursday your going to see some storms form out west in NY State and as they approach the western areas of SNE there going to weaken and at worst a rumble of thunder a brief heavy downpour.

  11. Looks to me like high temps for the day may underachieve compared to area forecast.

  12. Thanks TK.

    May 1… I’ve not changed my thinking that a top 10 warmest May is likely on the way. Very warm start, possibly somewhat of a pullback week 2, but I think the back half ends up warm as well.

  13. I’ll believe it when I see it. I’m out on Mass ave right now in Cambridge and it damn chilly

    1. Now look what you did. Mother Nature gave you a 57 degree day and because you were not happy with it, she began to cry 🙁

    1. Not surprised at the cloud cover whatsoever.
      Not even surprised at the current temperature levels either.
      That was a really cold pool and it isn’t quite out of here just yet.

      1. I actually haven’t looked at much the last couple days. Just going by broadcast Mets. My bad I guess

        1. It should be more than hot enough tomorrow and beyond with dewpoints well into the 60s Thursday-Friday. Today is the “transition” day with the warm front on the approach.

  17. High temps will occur a bit later than usual in eastern Mass today. Slowly, but surely, milder air is advecting in at 850 mb. These cumulus clouds should go poof later this afternoon, and instead of a high temp occurring at 3 to 4pm, perhaps, it will be more likely at 5 to 6 pm.

  18. 3PM Logan, still only 61, but slowly creeping up. Beats the crap out of
    yesterday’s 48!

  19. Great day today. Summer preview coming Wed through Fri. Thankfully those dew points won’t be in that uncomfortable range.

    1. They should edge just over 60 Thursday and Friday. Not oppressive by normal standards but this early in the season most people will “feel” it.

  21. To what are your thoughts for summer? I think around normal to slightly above normal temperatures. Increases thunderstorm activity and slightly above normal precip.

  22. Nice out today. Looks and feels like spring. It’s the heat that will occur at times over the next 4 months that I do not look forward to, nor does my body. But, hey there are worse things in life.

  23. I would say that no more 50’s for highs and even 60’s will soon become fewer with time except for occasional sea breezes. Morning lows in the 40’s will be gone soon as well.

  24. Thursday bears some potential for severe weather in much of New England. It’s a fairly complex and unclear forecast at this time; could get really technical weighing the pros and cons because there are several of each, but it’ll hopefully be more clear by tomorrow. I wouldn’t be surprised if that marginal risk expands into more of New England, with maybe some slight risk areas added in time from the SPC. Highest chances do look to be in northern and western portions of New England.

  25. WxWatcher I was thinking storms on Thursday would weaken as they approached SNE as we often see in May. I thought the marginal risk from the SPC outlook should have been west of Springfield. Will see what the SPC does tomorrow as first update in very early morning hours and the second around 1:30pm.

  29. JPDave when the SREF starts to highlight an area you pay attention. Past couple years this model has been pretty decent when it comes highlighting areas of potential severe weather.

  30. Matt… Still working on my summer outlook. But my initial feeling is temperature departure of 0 to +2 and precipitation departure of -1 to -2 inches.

  31. WxWatcher and Matt:

    I am losing track of time. Are y’all receiving your degrees this month?

    1. I am, May 19. Can’t believe it’s that close. Very excited for it- thanks for asking 🙂

  32. You’ll wake up to a new post, unless you’re still up then you can see it now. 😉

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