Wednesday Forecast

37 Comments

1:52AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 9-13)
A few adjustments to the forecast for this period. First, high pressure remains in control today with again the coast being cooler, typical for springtime. Last week, medium range guidance showed the potential for a low pressure area impacting the East Coast around May 9. Turns out this model forecast was somewhat correct, as an area of low pressure offshore, moving northward, will be close enough to drag an area of rain through Nantucket and the outer part of Cape Cod tonight, but it will be quickly gone by early Thursday as a cold front approaches the region from the west. This front will cross Thursday night when a shower risk exists. Our quickly changing weather continues with high pressure building in Friday or a nice day. Things are starting to come into focus a little more for the weekend. It looks like the front that went through Thursday night, sitting just to the south through Friday, will come back as a warm front Saturday, preceded by a period of rain, then pushing north enough to allow some milder and more humid air in, but this won’t last either, as the front quickly pushes back to the south with another period of wet weather early Sunday, but high pressure should then push the front further south and move in for a nicer finish to Mother’s Day. Forecast details…
TODAY: Foggy start across southern RI and southeastern MA, and portions of northeastern MA and coastal NH, otherwise mostly sunny. Highs 58-66 coastal areas, 67-74 interior areas. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain outer Cape Cod and Nantucket. Lows 48-55. Wind light variable except N 10-20 MPH Cape Cod and Nantucket.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Highs 60-68 coast, 68-76 elsewhere. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 50-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-70. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing late.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, favoring morning and midday. Becoming humid. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with morning showers. Clearing afternoon. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 14-18)
High pressure sinks to the south for fair and warmer weather May 14-15 before a stretch of unsettled weather arrives during the middle to end of the period with a front in the vicinity.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 19-23)
Leaning away from the omega block idea for now but we do have to watch for more unsettled weather anyway with high pressure in Canada and a frontal boundary near or south of the region for at least a portion of this period.

37 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  4. Thank you, TK.

    Any chance of rain in Sutton before Saturday am? I need to get fertilizer watered in and am on phone conferences or at doctor appointments all week so getting irrigation system started is one thing I’d like to remove from my to do list.

  5. Thanks TK. It’s been interesting to watch the models toy around with that little system tonight. They still don’t seem locked in on it. It’s possible the whole thing could stay offshore, but at worst just a graze for the outer Cape and Islands. Kind of an ugly looking weekend forecast also.

    In the meantime… prepare for another day of reaching the high end of or exceeding the temperature forecasts, away from the coast.

    1. Was just downtown on Boylston Street.
      I have to say that this morning is a 10+ on the JP scale.
      Fantastic day!!!

    1. I’m at 72 in JP already.

      Interested to see what the facata airport comes in with today.
      Yesterday they had a pathetic high of 56. What a joke! It was 74 at my
      house some 5-6 miles away.

    1. Yup, May 9,10 1977. I remember that very very well.
      Crap loads of Nature’s Pruning during that event. Trees and limbs were
      snapping all over the place due to the weight of the wet snow on fully
      foliated trees.

  13. So 1PM at Logan it was 55 while at Norwood it was 76.
    71 at my house in JP.
    Go Figure.

  14. 3PM Logan: 55
    3PM Norwood: 78
    3Pm Blue Hill: 74
    3:15OM JP: 71
    Ponder that one for a bit.

    Station 44013 (LLNR 420) – BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA Image indicating link to RSS feed of recent meteorological observations for station 44013
    Boston Approach Lighted Buoy BF NOAA 44013

    Water Temperature: 49.5

    1. Btw, it still DISGUSTS me that our weather records are kept at Logan.
      It’s PATHETIC!@*#&*&!@*(#&*(!^@#&*^!@&*#^&*!@^#&!@*#!*@&
      It’s a spit of land sticking out into the water. Sure provides representative
      data for the whole city. NOT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
      My wife was even bitching about this today.
      Should be kept at the Boston Common. Makes so much sense it will NEVER
      happen.

      Yes, yes, yes. I know the reasons why. Still makes ZERO sense to me!!!

      I’ll bitch about this until they lay me to rest.

      1. Lol, it wouldn’t be a true spring day without our daily Logan bitch fest comment from Dave 🙂

  15. A reask since I think it got lost in the other comments. Any chance of rain in this area tomorrow or Friday night?

  19. Refreshingly cool in Boston. I’ll take it. We’ll have enough hot and sweaty days ahead.

    Couple of sports notes:

    It is a travesty that Brad Stevens did not get votes for coach of the year.

    The Yankees are a juggernaut. My pet peeve, however, is the way baseball sets up the playoffs. Suppose the season were to end now. The Red Sox would be in a 1 game playoff against another wild card team with a much worse record. Anything can happen in a 1 game playoff. Yet, the winner of the putrid AL Central (so a team with a .500’ish record) gets to play in a best of 5 playoff. That is patently unfair. Get rid of divisions. Top 5 teams from each league make it to the playoffs. Teams 4 and 5 in each league play the 1 game playoff to decide who plays as a 4 seed against Team 1 in a best of 5. Teams 2 and 3 play in a best of 5.

  20. New post! Don’t bother much with anything beyond day 5. I’m in about as low confidence a forecast mode as I can be beyond that.

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