Friday Forecast

90 Comments

6:48AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 25-29)
High pressure to the south will bring a summery feeling westerly air flow into the region today into Saturday before a back-door cold front puts a quick end to the summer preview by Saturday night and for the remainder of the Memorial Day Weekend, delivering much cooler air, especially for Sunday which will also turn out wet for parts of the region a wave of low pressure moves along the front just to the south. Conditions improve slightly for the holiday itself as that low moves away and drier air works in behind it, though still on the cool side of the front. High pressure returns Tuesday which will be fair and warmer. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82 immediate South Coast and Cape Cod, 83-90 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 59-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 75-82 South Coast, 83-90 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding over north to south. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. A sharp temperature drop sometime in the evening. Lows by morning 54-60. Wind shifting to N then NE 5-15 MPH but higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Overcast wit areas of fog and drizzle. Periods of rain, favoring southern areas. Temperatures steady 54-60 or may even fall slightly. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 30-JUNE 3)
A weak front may pass by later May 30 or early May 31 but may only bring clouds and an isolated shower, otherwise fair weather will dominate through June 1 followed by the risk of showers and thunderstorms around the weekend of June 2-3. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 4-8)
Temperatures turn cooler and a couple disturbances, including moisture from the south, may impact the region with wetter weather at times.

90 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  2. SAK alerted me to this. Haven’t looked at FV3 in a few days…

    From NWS: “FV3 has a bug that has resulted in anomalously high ocean temperatures, especially near-shore (100+F). We’re hoping to get the fix running in the parallel tomorrow.”

    Oops.

    1. That will change a few things :;

      I saw that they don’t expect the FV3 to move from parallel to production until late 2019. Is that what you’ve seen too.

  3. Thanks TK.

    Today may actually be the slightly warmer day in this 2 day sequence. Drier air and fewer clouds than tomorrow should get many places into the upper 80s-near 90. A few places could see back-to-back 90s. Definitely not going to be an official heat wave though. Sunday will be an eastern New England springtime classic 😉

  4. Thanks TK !

    Just observing that the sky looks really hazy, but the horizon visibility isn’t what would match the sky look (ie, the horizontal visibility looks fairly good)

    It was quite the red sunrise this morning. I suspect our area has a smoke plume above.

    I wonder if that might hold the high temps close to the projections, instead of the usual 1 to 3F overperformance against expectation ?????

    1. That’s possible. Definitely hazy out there, and air quality alert is up in Rhode Island. Been a pretty stagnant air mass for a few days.

    1. That is one awesome satellite image!

      Looks like our private little patch of sky debris.

      1. It’s on the NHC site under satellite pictures.

        All their pictures are now GOES 16.

        I’ve been using it for regular weather systems.

        The hurricane loops this summer will be breathe-taking.

        1. NHC
          Data and tools (drop down box)
          Satellite imagery (check out the many satellite region shots available)

  10. Welcome to the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season; Sub-tropical storm “Alberto” has formed in the far northwest Caribbean Sea. A few days ahead of the official seasonal start date of June 1, but that date should really be closer to May 15 anyway. Nothing unusual about this. Alberto could pose a significant rain/flood risk to portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast.

  11. TK – Could the volcano activity in Hawaii effect our climate long term like Mount St. Helens in 1980? IIRC we here in SNE anyway didn’t get much snowfall that following winter. I don’t remember overall temps though.

  13. With volcanoes, you need big ash producers, not big lava producers (like Kilauea) to affect the global climate. And you need colossal ash plumes which extend well into the stratosphere. Even the 2010 Iceland volcano, which was of the ash-producing variety, had a negligible impact on climate. It’s quite rare to get one big enough to actually register in the global climate record. Return period for that is probably on the order of 25-50 years or so.

  14. Still skiing and riding at Killington today on Superstar! Live webcam….

    http://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/golf-course

    Lots of people on the trail skiing in short sleeves today and they still have continuous top to bottom skiing though the areas near the top and bottom of the lift are now bare and requires skiers to walk on and walk off with their skis. They are charging $29 for lift tickets.

    They are making tomorrow their last day of the season so they are going to fall 6 days short of making it to June 1st again. Still impressive though given how warm a May this has been. I know when I was up there last in mid March at the end of the week where they had picked up 4 feet of fresh snow, they had still been burying Superstar in man made snow while the snowstorm was in progress. The “snow dunes” created were higher than the lift in many spots!

  15. 1PM, Logan 85
    Norwood 88

    90? I dunno, may fall short. We’ll see what the 2PM obs are, then we have 1-3 hours
    more of heating.

    1. Logan 86 at 2PM. 4 degrees is a lot of ground to cover in the next hour or 2 or 3 at the most.

  16. For late May, the EURO is producing close to or just below a sub 990 mb system in the Gulf. Whether it would be extra tropical transitioning to tropical or a hybrid ….. I’ve seen the EURO insist that other past systems wouldn’t develop much and it has been correct. But, it seems pretty consistent now on a pressure that could be equivalent to a strong tropical storm or weak Cat 1 Hurricane.

  18. Red Sox designate Hanley Ramirez for Assignment.

    Here is a part of a piece from WEEI:

    But it’s clear the Red Sox made the right baseball choice –– for now and the future. Ramirez hit .163/.200/.300 this month, bringing his OPS down to .708. That ranks 30th among 44 first basemen with at least 100 plate appearances.

    With 195 plate appearances under his belt, Ramirez was well on his way to reaching the necessary 497 trips to the plate he needed for his $22 million option to vest. That means the Red Sox, who are right up against the luxury tax this season, would have had no significant financial wiggle room entering 2019. That’s bad news for a team that needs to come up with $300 million to re-sign Mookie Betts, never mind potentially keep Chris Sale and/or Craig Kimbrel.

    Mitch Moreland is better than Ramirez in all facets of the game right now. The veteran is slashing hitting .311/.390/.612 in 25 starts. Numbers like those warranted more playing time. Moreland is also a much better defender than Ramirez.

    1. I am quite a bit older than Hanley 😀 😀 😀
      And I am telling you at this age I could hit better than he has been hitting
      lately. 😀 D:D Of course not, but you get the point. He has been sucking big time!!!

  20. 87 at Logan as of 4PM. Although it “could” still sneak higher, that should about do it for today. High temp 87 or 88.

    1. If they can get the wind to veer 10 more degrees they may get to 88 or 89 but it has to be in the next 2 hours.

  21. ‘Round social media today already seeing people moan about how bad the beach weather will be on Sunday. Ok. So they suddenly expect mid summer conditions when it is not even June yet. When did the collective common sense of the population vanish? 😛

    One of these years, maybe…or maybe not, they will realize that beach weather is much more climate-favored for LABOR DAY weekend and not MEMORIAL DAY weekend. 😛

    1. Right on target. In fact, Eric made a similar comment last night
      about Labor Day typically having a much higher change of nice beach
      weather than Memorial Day.

      Memorial Day just does NOT cut it around these parts for beach weather
      and anyone who thinks it should or expects it should is out of the
      freakin mind OR they just moved here from MARS!!!

    2. You just need to realize people understand that and they still understand the weather here. However people’s lifestyles have changed over the last 15-20 years. New England’s suck climate isn’t too conducive to the general populations like of outside, and warmer weather activities than previous generations. People like warm weather over cold and would like more than 6 to 8 weeks of real summer weather.
      That’s why the day after I retire I am putting this god forsaken climo in my rear view.

      1. And I respect the opinion and the fact you want to leave here. It’s not that I have an issue with people disliking a certain kind of weather, just as I like all kinds of weather. My issue is people somehow being put off by something that’s been this way for thousands of years as it applies to their plans. You plan for what IS, not what you WISH is. 😉

        1. And I thank god everyday I’m not. I’m a southern man, and always will be. I hate almost everything about this part of the world.

          1. Yup we know that. I sure don’t, only some certain weather conditions in the Spring and as much as I bitch about it, I really do roll with it.

            1. Main 3 things I don’t care for is the climate, too many trees and not enough open spaces (prefer the plains), and too many people packed into small spaces. I grew up on a farm of 5000 acres and 8 miles from town of 1200.
              The main reason I hate snow, besides the obvious, is it makes me claustrophobic. Between the snow and the trees it makes me feel pinned in.

  24. TK – While I do agree with you regarding Memorial Day, my mindset still expects mid-summer temps just like July 4th and Labor Day. Maybe one of these Memorial Day weekends there will be mid-summer temps all 3 days on a fluke. 😉

    I do believe though that the vast majority of the nation usually has great weather on this holiday weekend on a fairly regular basis. Yet again, we in NE are in the “cold corner”.

    1. We are not always in the cold corner. Today, we are not the cold corner. Yesterday and today could have very well happened Sunday and Monday. We constrict ourselves too much with something called a calendar, but that’s our own doing. I don’t know why anybody would “expect” mid summer weather when it’s barely late spring. Yes it can happen, but it’s not favored. Today, for example, is a fairly rare day compared to most May 25th’s. Just the facts. 🙂

      1. We are warmer than Atlanta area again today and have been surprisingly often in the past couple of months. They have also had a good amount of rain. Friend in SC was bemoaning their weather lately as were friends in FL. Although I sure appreciate liming a certain section of the county…we can’t all live in one area asftwd all….it is not really always greener 😉

  25. Dan Roache gave another Celtics stat. The team that leads after the 1st quarter has won the game. I would be curious though as to who will win if there is a tie. 😉

      1. What I do find interesting though, is that during the regular season the Celtics made a nice living off of coming back from huge deficits and winning, sometimes by a decent margin but in the playoffs, not even close.

  26. Ok it’s not often that I call out a TV met but I’m going to do it, with all due respect, right now. I won’t name him, but he works for Ch 25. Here are my issues with the weathercast I saw…

    1) “It’ll feel more like spring” … Well, it is spring. It was used in the context to make one think it will feel less like summer than it should. Incorrect way to put it.

    2) Futurecast showed precipitation in south central Maine when it showed the frontal surface boundary in northern MA. He basically said it can’t be, because the precipitation should be where the boundary is. What he’s failing to realize here is that a back door cold front is often very shallow at first and almost works a little more like a reverse warm front. The precipitation is often well north of the boundary when it’s advancing rapidly south. It takes time for that air to rise sufficiently enough to form showers (or t-storms). This is also going to be accomplished above a thicker part of the cool air mass rather than the leading edge which may only be a couple hundred feet and not enough to kick the warm and humid air upward enough.

    And at the risk of sounding like a nit-picker, the news anchor just pronounced the amusement park in southern NH as “ca-NO-bee”. Ouch. 😛

    1. I fully understand your comment. If you don’t mind, I focused on the last part. When we first started dating rather than being friends, Mac told me he took his parents to ca….NO…bee NH. It wasn’t until we went away for a weekend to sun-APP NH that I figured what he meant. Thanks for the memory. We never passes the sign but I teased him

      1. I am not familiar with the anchor. She’s good but I think she’s new to the area and hasn’t learned all the local pronunciations yet. 🙂

          1. Absolutely. I wasn’t annoyed really, just an “ouch” moment…

            You know how it is…

            Hay-vril .. Haver-Hill (Haverhill)
            Quinzee .. Quin-sea (Quincy)
            Wostah .. Wor-cess-ter (Worcester)
            Woobin .. Whoa-burn (Woburn)

            I could go on, but you know them all. 😉

  27. Thank you, TK.

    Oh my, it’s hard to adjust to heat and it’s only the 25th of May. Not complaining because I do like seasonal change. There aren’t many places in the world where the seasons are so distinct and real. It’s what I love about New England. Apparently parts of North Korea and also Northern Japan have similar weather, with a brilliant autumn, cold winter, iffy spring, and hot summer. And no, I’m not kidding.

    In case any of you missed it this video is worth watching. It’s raw wildlife from Washington State.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-us-canada-44250472/fox-catches-rabbit-then-eagle-swoops-in

  28. T.K., when you mentioned the other day people talking about a cool or rainy day as if it had been cool and rainy for weeks, I was struck by the thought that a single day IS an etertiny on social media. In the course of 24 hours one can see from dozens of websites, blogs, tweets, Facebook etc that it’s been “the coldest, rainiest, most miserable” spring in recorded history. The “freezing cold” Sunday and Memorial Day Monday has been hyped for 10 days anyway. By the time that forecasted time arrives it almost doesn’t matter what happens outside – people have looked at their infomation sources of choice so many times on their smartphones that whatever they’ve been following is their reality.
    I’ve owned a retail establishment for decades. Most customers nowadays ( especially those under 35 or so it seems ) can’t even look up from their device long enough to mumble a few words…..

    1. You have good points. I have friends who see a lightning bolt from a cloud and think it will be a thunderstorm that lasts all day, covering the entire northeast.

      But I think we tend to forget that we…the o,see generation.. were not much different. I’ve been watching Leave it to Beaver with my five year old grand. I put this on FB just tonight

      A few episodes ago, Ward cracked down on the boys who spent weekends at the movie theater. He said they never play outside any more and he would see going forward that they get out and play.

      Tonight’s episode has the TV broken. It is the weekend. No one can fix it. Ward gives boys Tom Sawyer to read and explains how much fun he had before TV. He hopes they can be kids just like he was a kid instead of depending on television

        1. I should add that when he heard TV, my grandson asked if that meant they had no service 😉

    2. Oh the words you speak (or type) are so very true.

      What’s funny is while Sunday will certainly be a much chillier day than Saturday, Monday’s temperatures probably get right back to near seasonable levels with some clearing. For a time of year when the average high temp is in the upper 60s at Boston, to have a 3 day weekend with a high temp about 20 degrees above that one day, 10 degrees below that another day, and probably a few degrees above it on the 3rd day .. not all that bad. And it’s not going to be a washed out weekend. Remote shower risk Saturday, maybe some drizzle and an episode of showers part of Sunday, and rain-free Monday. We’ve had a lot worse.

      1. But the question is…have things changed. Or are we just aware because we are more connected

          1. Definitely. I recall people staying “in” back in the day. I do think the majority is not represented on social media. And there is little question every generation thinks the one that follows just is not as good as it was. But instant gratification is certainty demanded

  29. Many years ago Willard Scott of the Today Show shouted a happy 100th birthday to a woman from “Leo-minster”. I will never forget it as that was probably a good 35 years ago. 😀

    When WBZ-TV was an NBC affiliate.

  30. Celtics led 25-20 after 1 quarter but now trail 54-43 at half.

    See you Sunday! Might have known it was too good to be true. 😉

  32. I laugh when people hate a season, or seasons but they do nothing in those seasons. I do something every season of the year. Of course my favorite is Summer and Winter which are almost similar followed by fall then spring. Only reason why I do not like spring is not due to the weather but due to allergies. I am not going to lie this spring has been rather wet and cool even though it really hasn’t been. usually the pool is open around May 1st, we put the chemicals in it that first week, then put the solar cover over it to warm up the water and within a week or so, the pool temperature is in the upper 60s/ low 70s. So we are in it by mid may.

  33. side note, never knew that Lebron was a Umass Boston alumni. Most of the school did not know this lol.

  34. Not saying that any generation is better or worse than any other – just different. I remember my father being absolutely incredulous when the Sony Walkman came out that anyone would walk around in public with headphones on! I still remember the blue and orange foam covers on the ear pieces……..

    1. Haha. I remember that. And I knew you were not saying that. I just think we often forget things have not changed all that much. I recall my parents asking me to put my transistor radio down and look around me more. Access to everything at all times doesn’t help. Lack of safety for kids to just go out and play seems the worst problem though.

      1. Outdoors and offline! Key to a healthy state of mind! 🙂 🙂 🙂

        Agree about kids needing to just play.

        1. It is sad that safety limits playing. Even in the very early years of grade school, my brother and I would be out for the day with other neighborhood kids. When we were not watching that new dangled tv that is ;). We’d go off to fish at little spy pond and wander through woods. Well after dark as a teen, I’d walk with friends halfway to their house and then walk back alone. I’m wonder if the world we have created has led to our kids being plugged in more than the actual devices/technology.

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