Sunday Forecast

58 Comments

6:45AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 27-31)
The summer portion of the holiday weekend is but a memory as the marine air has overtaken the region and will keep its hold through Monday, although you will notice an easing of the chill as Memorial Day goes on. Before that, today is the coolest and most damp time with a low overcast, areas of fog and drizzle, and a little rain for parts of the region as a disturbances passes just to the south of the region. The improvement that starts later Monday will progress quickly by early Tuesday and that day as well as the final 2 days of May at midweek will be spectacular late spring days. Forecast details…
TODAY: Overcast. Patchy fog and drizzle. Occasional showers favoring CT, RI, southeastern MA. Highs 53-60. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Patchy fog and drizzle. Lows 51-58. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Overcast with patchy fog and drizzle morning. Partial clearing afternoon. Highs 62-68 coast, 68-75 interior by late day. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Complete clearing. Lows 53-59. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-76 Cape Cod, 77-84 elsewhere. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 40s interior valleys to upper 50s urban centers. Highs from the middle 70s to middle 80s, coolest coastal areas.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s, coolest coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 1-5)
June 1 is likely a warm day but an approaching frontal boundary from the northwest and a disturbance from the southwest that carries some tropical moisture, there will be an increasing shower and thunderstorm threat by later in the day which will carry into early June 2 too before a drier interlude, but a bit of a block in the atmosphere will turn winds onshore and June 3 may end up cool and somewhat damp, before drier air from the north wins the battle and pushes it all to the south later in the period. This continues, however, to be a fairly low confidence forecast with so many factors in play, so adjustments will be made as needed.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 6-10)
A couple periods of unsettled weather expected. Temperatures near to below normal.

58 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

      1. Well with a landfall on the Mid Gulf Coast while moving north, it doesn’t have much choice. 🙂

        This type of system is not really that unusual. Most of the pre-season or very early season systems are of Gulf origin. The open Atlantic is going to get off to a very slow start this season and we’ll probably end up with fewer than average storms.

          1. Ironically the pattern makes the East Coast more vulnerable while the storm #’s are down. But the East Coast vulnerability won’t show up for a little while yet.

  2. Thank you, TK. I enjoy sitting out for coffee and being surrounded by wind, listening to the birds. I’m guessing the pool water just might not have warmed overnight 😉

  3. AccuWeather Triva Quiz.

    Male names were introduced into hurricane names in 1979. the first name was …

    A. Barry
    B. Bill
    C. Bob
    D. Bret

    Answer later today.

  4. I am going to go with C Bob. They use the same names every six years unless the name is retired then is replaced. If you do the math 6 years from 1979 is 1985 and another six years from 1985 is 1991.

    1. I didn’t know that fact Jimmy. I was actually going to guess D as soon as I read the question. You’re probably correct. 🙂

  5. Interesting JJ. Thank you and thank you also Longshot

    I’ll be the contrarian I am and go with B, Bill….my father in laws name. We shared a love for weather.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Pretty crappy day…but we can take a bad day or 2 with all of the great weather
    we have had this month.

  7. Thanks.

    I love the cool weather. I’d be happy with a range b/w 24 and 74 degrees all year.

    Love your quizzes, Longshot. I choose A. Crazy enough to think maybe I remember it.

    🙂

    1. I also love this weather. I was trying to decide which season I’d choose if I had to chose one. It ended up being between fall and winter, with spring and summer tossed in.

      1. Yesterday and today to me are the epitome of late spring in this area. But I will say as much as I loved the very warm air yesterday it was nice when helping my friend finish packing and moving stuff from one location to another to feel that temp drop post cold front. 😉

        1. I bet that I am going to have to kick on the heat briefly when I get home from work. Some “kickoff ” to summer. 😉

        2. Fully understood. Daughter and SIL spent about 8 hours doing the garden beds yesterday. They finished them this morning and I think appreciated the lack of the heat

    1. I actually am heading to the beach later. Hampton late afternoon into tonight. 🙂

      1. All MA beaches are officially open today. Good luck getting your toes in, let alone the rest of your body. 🙂

  9. I briefly met a couple from Florida who was helping their daughter move out of her dorm and they were mentioning how cold it is today and I said that our falls are actually warmer than our springs. Not sure if I was correct but some years it seems that way.

    1. I’ve said it a million times but I’ll repeat it here…
      Autumn IS warmer than spring, and always has been. I still cannot figure out for the life of me why hardly anybody seems to understand that. Numbers don’t lie. 😉

      1. Good to know that my statement was indeed correct. I got the feeling though that it didn’t make sense to them. Oh well. 🙂

      2. Seems like common sense. Each takes a bit to shake the previous season. I think, though, that fall tends to highlight the season shift more.

      3. AMEN.

        When i was a little kid I asked my Mom Why it was colder
        in Spring when the sun angle was the same as it was in the fall.
        (yes, at a young age I understood the seasons and the sun angle,
        But I did not understand why the temps were different)

        My Mom actually explained to be very well why.

        She explain that in Spring, there is still cold and Snow in
        Canada to our North and thus it is not as warm.
        In autumn, there is not snow in Canada and it is warmer (or at least much less)
        and thus it is warmer here. That was the jist of it. Close enough.

        Pretty basic, if you ask me.

  10. I for one love this type of weather when doing yard work. Also a lot of wooley caterpillers. They all have a very wide band in the middle.

    1. Legend (or folklore) says wide band = mild winter. Well, one piece of evidence suggests this. We likely end up in a moderate El Nino for winter 2018-2019.

  11. As long as there are 2-3 good snowstorms next winter I will be happy. I am hoping TK’s winter outlook when its released in November calls for a couple good size snowstorms.

  12. Around this time of year, we see displays of the average date for the first 90-degree day in various locations. How is this calculated? For instance, today is day 147 of the year. If a location hit 90 degrees today for the first time of the calendar year, would 147 get added to the list of numbers over which the average is taken?

    What happens if there is no such day in the year? If that year is just left out, then it is kind of an odd average, really “the average first 90-degree day for years in which there is at least one 90-degree day.” The average first 100-degree day would seem even stranger.

    1. All averages are taken over 30 year periods and then it gets adjusted, I believe each decade. Doesn’t change it much. I worked with the state climatologist for a long time and got to see this process.

  15. Looking at the video when I was flipping through the channels and seeing it I thought this can’t be happening again there. The video similar to what took place in August 2016. Stalled frontal boundary and showers and storms coming over the same area.

    1. We seem to be having a once in XXX years events. Might be a good idea to start paying attention

      1. Its all part of climate change though some will say other wise, I have the data and the sources to back it up.

    2. We can’t accurately put “once in x number of years” on events like that. You technically could have something like that 5 times in 10 years and then not for 150 years, or vice versa, regardless of cause.

      1. Absolutely. However, the once in x storms are more frequent. It could well be that in 20 years they will stop for 150 years. I just dont think we should wait to find out. Clean up our mess. It’s a win win.

  18. Wishing all peace on this day of remembering those who gave their all to make freedom possible. God Bless you all…past, present and future. God Bless your families.

    1. Indeed, Vicki, you point out the real meaning of Memorial Day. It’s not barbecue’s and car sales (I wish they wouldn’t call it a Memorial Day sales event, so crass, in my view). It’s remembering the fallen.

      1. I sure agree with you, Joshua. It was disheartening seeing all of the Memorial Day sales in my email inbox this morning.

  20. Happy memorial day, BBQ, beach and the sports that go with it, pool season and unofficial start of Summer 🙂 Also celebrate those who fought for our ability to enjoy our way of life. We also have to celebrate these same people who fought for the rich men wars who dodged the drafts. This is probably one of the most disrespectful things this country has done, in which they allowed the rich to pay themselves out of the draft while people who did not want to go but where to poor to do so couldn’t. These people we need to have a special shout out. I feel strong about this. This was my grandfather, of course he hunted, but he never wanted to kill a person because they had a different belief or was force to fight just like most of the soldiers. Luckily the USA pulled out before he was sent over, but he did get the call and was about to get on the ship.

  21. Updating now… Might take just a bit. I was at Memorial Day ceremonies this morning.

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