Monday Forecast

41 Comments

12:14PM

Memorial Day 2018. Pause. Remember them, so their sacrifice will not be in vain.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 28-JUNE 1)
I know everybody wants great weather on the long weekend and we got some early, and the holiday weekend will end fairly nicely if you are patient today, as dry air works down from the northwest and eventually gets rid of the low level moisture and marine air that is in place. This sets up 3 fabulous days Tuesday through Thursday as high pressure takes control. When we get to the first day of the new month on Friday, many forecast have been pessimistic but I feel that high pressure will hang on enough for a fairly nice late spring / early summer (first day of meteorological summer) day, although the shower threat will present itself as the first of the tropical moisture arrives from the south, indirectly associated with Alberto, the remains of which will have already passed well to our west and will become an ingredient in a broad low pressure area that will impact this area just beyond this time period. We’ll get to that, but first, forecast details for the next 5…
TODAY: Low overcast, areas of fog/drizzle through midday. Slowly breaking clouds and eventual clearing remainder of the day. Highs 60-66 coast, 67-74 interior, occurring late in the day. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy early then clear. Patchy fog mainly valley, swamp, bog, and pond areas. Lows 53-60. Wind calm.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77 Cape Cod and any north-facing shores, 78-86 elsewhere. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-58. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 67-75, coolest coast. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the lower to middle 70s coast, upper 70s to lower 80s inland.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs in the 70s coast, lower 80s inland.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 2-6)
A temporary blocking pattern takes moisture west and southwest of the region and consolidates it into a low pressure area over the region June 2 which will be unsettled, but this should be pushed to the south with a drying trend during mid period before wet weather tries to return late in the period. Temperatures below normal overall during this period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 7-11)
An unsettled and cooler than normal start to the period followed by fair and more seasonable weather.

41 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  3. Thank you, TK.

    Just returned from the Sutton parade. I managed to see the start from the center and then get to the end just in time for the remembrances at the high school. For a small town, it was probably one of the most moving Memorial Day celebrations I remember.

      1. That’s for sure. Belmont was a small town back in my day but not a small farming town.

        There was no pomp and circumstance, just sincere appreciation

        And the folks made this old lady smile when everyone knew to stand quietly after the anthem and not applaud. Little things sometimes make the biggest impression.

        1. Here in Woburn we are very focused on the proper type of ceremony. I have been to parades in nearby towns that I won’t mention that have treated Memorial Day as a showcase for funny floats and a party atmosphere. I love a fun parade as much as anybody but this is not the day for it. Woburn does their fun for the big Halloween Parade. Our Memorial Day & Veterans Day parades / ceremonies are appropriate and accurate for the days they represent.

          1. That is awesome, TK. Sutton does the same. Music and speeches brought tears several times. It is a wonderful reminder of the thousands who have given their all.

            1. Good to know that some towns continue the tradition as I believe Boston does as well. Too bad though that other towns have made a joke of it, albeit perhaps well-meaning.

  4. Answer to yesterday’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    Male names were introduced into hurricane names in 1979. The first name was …

    A. Barry
    B. Bill
    C. Bob
    D. Bret

    The answer is C, Bob.

    1. Barry’s first appearance was in 1983 and was a tropical storm that crossed Florida (Melbourne landfall 45 MPH) on August 25 then reached Matamoros Mexico as a CAT 1 hurricane on August 28.

      Bret’s first appearance was in 1981 and made landfall as a tropical storm on July 1 on the Maryland coast.

      Bill appeared on the list in 1997 as the replacement for retired 1991 Hurricane Bob.

          1. And now I suddenly want a roast beef sandwich from Bill & Bob’s in Woburn, but I’m grilling some burgers later. 😉

      1. Or we can go in reverse ….might get Vicki that way. But they tend to spell it wrong 😉

  6. Are there solar flares or any fun things that interfere with tv signals? Both charter and fios have been having blocking issues for a couple of days.

    1. Yes. Some really intersesting temperatures in the US today. Lot of extreme heat in the eastern 2/3rds, except for New England which is among the coldest spots in the CONUS, with SNE especially dragging.

    2. Beat the record for the date but only by 2. However well short of the record for the month of 106. Both of those records were set in 1934. The 1930s was one of the hottest decades the US has ever seen.

  8. What many folks are not taking into account when automatically labeling the flood event that just occurred in Ellicot City as strictly a climate change event is that there are 6 streams that merge into one river that flows RIGHT THROUGH THE TOWN. It was only a matter of time for a flood like that one (again). There have been events for decades dating back that have produced more rainfall than that did. Oh yes, and the topography? They are surrounded by hills.

    But is it unprecedented for that location? Alas, it is not. Let’s take a look back to exactly 150 years ago in 1868. Read on: https://twitter.com/cary_mock/status/1001178936238268416

    I guess this makes it a 1 in 150 year event. 😉

    But wait, there’s MORE… The 1868 event was actually worse, in terms of water level. Look… https://twitter.com/wxmeddler/status/1000846652733870080

    1. Twice in two years and then back to 1868 ….I’m thinking I missed something in between

      1. Pinpoint location, prone to massive flooding of a big rain event occurs right over or upstream of them. Coincidence, even having it happen 2 times in 2 years. I have to get my colleague to post here. He has so many facts that will put things into perspective for everybody.

        Weather occurrences are weird. Like Codell Kansas being hit by tornadoes on May 20 1916, May 20 1917, and May 20 1918. Or Tinker AFB in Oklahoma being hit by F3 tornadoes 5 days apart, March 20 & 25 in 1948.

      2. And this is NOT an argument for or against climate change. My problem is arbitrarily putting labels on things we don’t have enough evidence to label. And I don’t mean by you personally. It’s an ongoing issue that is rampant not just in weather, but in news overall.

        I think you already know my viewpoint on that subject so no need to type it here. 🙂

        1. I don’t believe in coincidence. However, I also do not attribute it to anything. I’d rather not wait to see it these once in an x number of years keep occurring as they have been. I know you and I agree……just clean up our mess

          1. And I was serious in thinking I missed something. I’m way too focused on the meaning of today

  9. Have to say memorial day activities here in Billerica is a mix. It’s more about the music. Most parades are for advertisement for the town. Groups pay to be in it.

  10. To add to what I said up there…

    There ARE incidents of cloudbursts with that much precipitation or even more in between the 1868 event and the recent events. Some of them are clustered, some of them are spread out. That is how weather works folks. Weather events don’t line up in a nice and neat fashion so that “500 year events” happen once every 500 years. It just doesn’t work that way.

    This is the point I am trying to make here.

    This event was this bad because of what I said above. The location. 6 streams feeding one river. All of them filled up over capacity at once and fed into a channel, off of hills. NO WONDER it was that bad. Physics at work. Amazing.

  11. Hope everybody enjoyed their weekend the best possible. Mine was interesting. Got a lot done. Still helping everyone move. I was at Hampton last night and apparently the dealership put a well-used battery in my car because it was dead just like that, out of the blue. But AAA was there in 15 minutes for a quick jump, was able to make it back no problem, took car right to mechanic which it was going to tomorrow for oil change anyway. Battery is covered so will be reimbursed for that. And luckily was off today so didn’t need car. Sometimes troubles are not that bad when you give it a certain perspective.

    Weather… No changes in thinking from the blog post after glancing at latest stuff. 3 great days upcoming to end May. Friday probably won’t be that bad either – I’m heading to the beach that day. Weekend? Maybe a different story. If you want dry weather root for the Canadian high pressure area. You’d have to settle for it being quite cool though. Our hope is to push everything to the south. But WxW and I did mention a switch to below normal temps for a spell or 2 in June, and it’s going to happen at least for several days early in the month. We’ll see how things shake out after that.

    I’m heading out to help a friend finish moving stuff to her new condo. You’ll next hear from me with tomorrow’s blog post. Night all.

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