Sunday Forecast

41 Comments

11:19AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 10-14)
A disturbance passing further south than it looked like it would several days ago makes the difference with the result being a shield of ice crystals about 35,000 feet above the ground over southern MA, CT, & RI, instead of a thick overcast and rain falling to the ground, over the entire area. End result: A beautiful day, but with two negative impacts, the first being prolific pollen production and distribution, and the second being the lack of rain adding to a growing dryness issue. Though the pollen problem will be quite visible for another week or so, the dryness issue will not be so easily seen as trees etc. are in great condition and don’t show signs of stress right away. Should this go on long enough, we will see that start to show up in trees and lawns, etc., as we go into the summer. I’m not quite sure how long the issue will be yet but I am pretty sure we’re in it for at least as long as this blog forecast projects out. But that aside, it is a beautiful weather pattern we are in now and will continue to be in, with the only interruption being a humidity spike and a risk of showers/thunderstorms on Wednesday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly cloudy to sunny. High 68-74 coast, 74-80 inland. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. Lows 50-57. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-75 coast, 75-80 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-62, coolest interior valleys and mildest urban areas. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-80 South Coast, 80-85 elsewhere. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. More humid. Lows from the upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 15-19)
A general west to east flow will dominate. Weak fronts or disturbances about around June 15 and 17 may produce brief shower threats, otherwise dry weather will be dominant overall. Temperatures averaging near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 20-24)
A continuation of the pattern of days 6-10 is expected. Overall pattern is dry to start, but a broader trough will probably send a low pressure system through with unsettled conditions for the June 23-24 weekend. Temperatures variable but averaging near normal overall.

41 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK. I agree with your comments on drought. Basically, we’re heading into one. I’m starting to wonder if there may be some sort of multi-year/decadal signal kicking in here, although I’m not sure what. Seems like we’ve been dealing with more dry periods than normal in the warm season for several years now, especially given a longer term trend for more precipitation, not less. Possibly related to what I continue to believe to be a gradual transition to a -AMO (a transition which may be nearing completion)? Not really sure if there’s even a connection there, just a guess.

      1. It wasn’t in the Dust Bowl Era. And it’s too early to answer for the current situation with any confidence.

        1. As I recall there were many human factors that combined with the drought and led to the dust bowl 😉

          1. There were indeed. They did a number on that land but on a more regional scale but not a global scale. That was the basis of my answer to the question. However this prompts completion of the answer which I left out in my haste to take mom to the battery store. 😉

            1. Battery store? Hmmmm.

              I have a battery stockpile here. You and your mom could have stopped here for tea and a chat. Perhaps, a bit out of the way 🙂

              My comment was more of an addition to your comment as I thought about how weather is cyclical and to be expected. However, without mans abuse…or is it selfishness….all we see/have would typically weather the storms….pun intended.

  3. I hope we are not seeing a repeat of very long term drought like in 2015. I still find it hard to believe it came to that considering record braking snows that winter season.

  4. If I remember the snow that winter that produced the record snowfall was powdery and did absorb into the soil like water laden heavy wet snow would do. I maybe way off base there so anyone feel free to correct me.

    1. Most of that snow did not go through a normal melt/re-freeze process. It just stayed as powder and sublimated back into vapor during a very cold/dry March. We got very little actual “usable” moisture from that snow pack.

      1. Come to think of it, there were very few if any rain events in between snows to help moisten the water table, if that makes any sense. I would also be curious how much time elapsed after the last big snow of that season we received any significant rainfall.

  5. Forgot to mention yesterday.

    Did anyone see Eric Friday night declare that Summer has officially arrived.

      1. Yeah, I get that. But what he clearly meant was Summer weather was here to stay. No more crappy rain/mist with NE winds. 😀

    2. Glad his declaration is the official word now. 😉

      And that does not mean we can’t get marine flow and drizzle/etc. It can happen in July and has. We had several days of that in a stretch in the 1970s when we were up at the cottage at Hampton for a couple weeks. We did a whole lot of visiting shops etc. during those days. But I remember some very nice foggy/misty beach walks with my older brothers and those are great memories. 🙂

  6. Has anyone tried the new Smith and Wollensky restuarant in Wellesley?

    Our SIL is taking us all there today for our daughter’s birthday.

  7. So I hope this weekend’s occurrence of a rain event that once looked like a hit actually missing us to the south finally proves my point that we don’t just miss snow events, but we also miss rain events “out to sea”. 😉

    1. It’s going to be hard for me to remember this particular weekend 6-8 months from now but I do see your point though. 😉

      1. It seems like more snow events do it because so much more attention is paid to that particular detail. “Out to sea” has become a term so often used for winter events the collective idea has become it’s far more applicable to such events. But it’s also true that synoptic storm systems are going to track south of New England more often in the colder months than at other times of the year anyway.

        1. Now that you mention “out to sea” I don’t recall any tv met using that term for this weekend system but if the exact same scenario occurs 6 months from now, that term would certainly be used over and over.

          1. Exactly my point.

            I always look at weather events as weather events. The atmosphere isn’t really “thinking” and saying “Hah! I’ll make them miss all their snowstorms but not the rain ones!” .. We tend to miss storms passing south of us when we have a cold/dry pattern with a lot of west or northwest flow aloft. And that is often when it is cold enough into the Mid Atlantic to produce snow there. So this gives the perception (partially accurately) that we miss more snow than rain with such events, but it’s just one aspect of many that go into this observation as a whole.

  8. Hopefully for us snow lovers we won’t be hearing out to sea too often or inside runner next winter.

  9. Good afternoon, amigos de WHW…
    Hope everyone is well today…

    ChiSox take the series from the BoSox.

    72 degrees now under milky skies which we’ve had all day today.
    A far cry from 10 years ago today when it hit 101 degrees culminating a four-day, early season heat wave with highs of 93, 96, 99 and 101.

    Taunton has only hit 100 or hotter 14 times since records started being keep in the city in 1893.
    Here’s the data from my research:

    Maximum High Temperature
    103º, July 22, 2011 (Hottest temperature ever recorded at KBOX)

    100º or higher days:

    100º, July 20, 2013
    102º, July 6, 2010
    101º, June 10, 2008
    101º, August 2, 2006
    100º, August 14, 2002
    100º, July 4, 2002
    100º, July 3, 2002
    101º, August 9, 2001
    100º, July 11, 1993
    100º, July 22, 1991
    102º, August 2, 1975 (Hottest temperature ever recorded at Taunton Water Works)
    100º, July 4, 1949
    101º, August 10, 1949

    Maximum Low Temperature
    78º, July 31, 1917

    1. *started being kept. Proofread before you hit send, teach. Practice what you preach!

    2. Oh my. I had forgotten about that.

      Hi, Captain. Miss seeing you here more often but happy to see you now

      1. Hi back, Vicki…
        Thanks for your words!
        I am still here busy as we finish the school year and get into summer. 12 more days!
        One week into summer school vacation and they’ll start running ads for Back-to-School sales!!!!

        1. Haha..yes they will and also how happy parents are to get kids back to school. I never understood that. Vacations with my kids home were never long enough. All three of mine feel the same.

  10. Let’s take a trip to Africa. Where humans been altering the climate and weather for a very very very long time. If you look at the villages you see many are surrounded by forest. If you look, you see these villages also do annual burns prior to the dry season in the villages. In turn these forests provides protection from Savannah wild fires, food and increased precipitation. When villages are abandoned the Savannah takes the land back. Just taking it out of the dust bowl…… 😉

Comments are closed.