Tuesday Forecast

68 Comments

7:10AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 10-14)
We are now at the start of the middle of the middle of Meteorological Summer, which is a fancy way of saying July 10. But regardless of how you say it, the weather is pretty easy to describe today and can be done so with 2 words: sunny, hot. This weather will be achieved as high pressure sinks to the south of the region, but it’s really only a one-day blast of heat with a bit humidity thrown in, as a cold front dropping down from northern New England will put a quick end do it as it goes by the region tonight. The front is not accompanied by a tremendous amount of storm support, so not looking for any widespread rain/storms, however a few showers and thunderstorms will pop up along the front this afternoon to the north of this area, and some will stray into southern New England this evening and early tonight. High pressure builds in from eastern Canada with cooler air for Wednesday and Thursday. However clouds and a shower threat may linger over the South Coast and Cape Cod through midday Wednesday. In additional, there may be just enough lift from a sea breeze boundary to pop a shower just back from the eastern coastal areas Thursday afternoon, otherwise dry weather is expected during midweek. Forecast Hurricane Chris will pass out to sea to the southeast of New England after all, but will create some increased seas and coastal surf in the area later this week. High pressure sinks to the south but maintains control late in the week, when it will heat up a little more, though the high humidity will be kept at bay. Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny through afternoon then increasing clouds north to south evening. More humid. Highs 83-88 South Coast and Cape Cod, 88-95 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms from north to south. Humid early, then drying. Lows 62-68. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy with isolated showers South Coast through midday then clearing. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs 73-78 eastern coastal areas and Cape Cod, 78-83 elsewhere. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior low lying locations. Lows 53-58 interior lowlands, 58-63 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of an isolated shower southeastern NH and eastern MA in the afternoon. Highs 75-80 coast, 80-85 interior. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs in the 80s.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the lower 80s to around 90, coolest coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 15-19)
Warmer to hot, a bit more humid, but dry weather July 15-16. Showers/thunderstorms July 17 with high humidity leading to a cooling and drying trend by the middle of next week as another trough drops out of Canada.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 20-24)
The pattern we’re currently in and expected to be in for the coming 10 days may repeat in a weaker fashion here as high pressure tries to build off the Atlantic Coast. Low confidence forecast at this time.

68 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  3. Thank you, TK

    Wind has been SW and howling here. It is a bit weaker from W this morning. Temp was up to 86 here and 91 Sutton yesterday. Both had low 60 DP

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Nice breeze last night cooled the house right down and it never got all that hot
    in the house yesterday. Even watched TV in the living room sans ac last night.

    Today? Well, probably a different story. We shall see how bad it gets. At least the day is starting with a lower DP than last week, woke up to DP of 61 at home this morning.

  7. Thanks TK
    SPC Outlook for today
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

    This is minor compared to what happened on this date in 1989. This was my first weather memory at five years old when a tornado outbreak happened in the northeast. One of those tornadoes hit my area. The tornado came through just before 5pm that day took the tree out in the front yard but thankfully landed in the yard. It was an F1 tornado. The strongest tornado of the outbreak happened in Hamden CT around 5:30pm. This tornado was rated an F4. The tornado damage in CT that day was something which started in the northwest hills down to my area and in Hamden.

    1. Did you actually see the tornado?

      I witnessed the Brookline, MA tornado of August 9, 1972 1:30 pm.
      I was at a very safe distance and was it ever cool looking.

    2. I would say that TK is not quite as bullish as the SPC, no?

      The front is not accompanied by a tremendous amount of storm support, so not looking for any widespread rain/storms, however a few showers and thunderstorms will pop up along the front this afternoon to the north of this area, and some will stray into southern New England this evening and early tonight.

  8. I did not see the tornado but saw the aftermath. When I turned 30 back in 2014 and my mom did a scrapbook of my life and she put in the picture of the tree landing in the yard from the tornado. I never remember hearing a story that someone actually saw the tornado that day. I do remember hearing stories of a pea green sky just before the tornado hit. As I said in my earlier post the tornado damage is in CT was something and I wouldn’t be surprised if it was the greatest swath of tornado damage in the history of CT.

    1. AWESOME!!!

      I wish oh do I wish I had access to this type of technology while growing up!!
      WOW! WOW! and double WOW! An incredible image, indeed.

      We reside on an unbelievable planet and I do hope we can stem the tide
      such that we don’t RUIN IT!

      I wonder how many other beautiful habitable planets there are in our galaxy?
      the universe? If so, and I presume there are many, wish I had a chance to
      see them. If ever, it is many many years in the future, assuming we don’t destroy this planet first.

      1. JPD I wish I did as well. Even more I wish my father in law had it. Even though he sailed by the stars, he loved following any type of weather

    2. Tom,
      Did you bring a lap top with you? I don’t imagine you posted that
      from your Iphone? Or did you?

      1. Yes, with my phone.

        I got this from the national hurricane center.

        Satellite images (Drop down box up top)

        I think it’s under Atlantic coast.

        Geocolor

        Image. (Loop takes too long for my phone)

        2. Thank, found it. I have it saved at home with favorites
          and I can get at it here in the office.

          just tried on my phone and I got it.

          Thanks

  12. Twitter if it existed on this date back in 1989 would have been lighting up big time especially with that sounding which Ryan posted. To me this is the benchmark severe weather event for the northeast.

  13. Now back on that date there was not storm prediction center when this tornado outbreak occurred. I always wondered had the SPC been around then would we have seen a high risk placed in the northeast that day with all the ingredients in place.

  15. Looking at the tv mets futurecasts, it could be quite NOISY around midnight here in eastern sections.

      1. Well, you know how accurate those futurecast radars are. Sometimes they are spot on, other times precip goes POOF or in a totally different location. 😉

  16. Regarding those rescued boys, I bet a movie will be made at some point in the future. 🙂

    So glad to hear about a success, and not a tragedy in the news for a change! 😀

  17. It is nice to see the news lead off with a good story like that instead of the usual negative.

    1. It sure is. And I’m hoping they remember to honor the life of the seal who died trying to rescue them. He is an angel called home

        1. I did too until I was reminded. I think because the relief was so great that it overshadowed everything.

  18. Logan is 93 with dew point 55 and that dp is the lowest around.
    Most are 60 or 61. I had 60 at my house.

  19. 91 Sutton with 61 DP. 87 Humarock with 56 DP and a lovely west wind that stays steady around 10 mph

    1. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

      INIT 10/1500Z 33.1N 73.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
      12H 11/0000Z 33.9N 71.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
      24H 11/1200Z 35.6N 69.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
      36H 12/0000Z 38.4N 65.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
      48H 12/1200Z 42.0N 60.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
      72H 13/1200Z 48.1N 49.3W 50 KT 60 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
      96H 14/1200Z 52.0N 31.9W 35 KT 40 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
      120H 15/1200Z 54.0N 18.0W 35 KT 40 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

    2. Water warmer than normal north, cooler to the south, plus near Gulf Stream, so no surprise.

  22. I don’t know if it was a glitch or not, but on the MesoWest site, a little bit ago
    it showed Logan at 97 degrees. Now showing 93. I wonder if the sensor picked
    up a blast of a nearby jet engine????? 😀 😀 😀

      1. Seriously??? I was making a joke and I was 1/2 correct. 😀 😀
        Pretty funny actually.

        Let’s petition to MOVE that sucker!

  24. A little piece of energy may fire off a few boomers in eastern MA, coastal NH, and RI, after 10PM. Even a risk 1 or 2 of those cells are strong. But still generally isolated, as mentioned above.

  26. A couple severe storms across the border in VT & NH late today. These themselves probably don’t survive but they are indicative of some of the energy that may kick stuff off closer to Boston area later. A lot of altocumulus castellanus in the sky this afternoon. Pretty unstable at mid levels. Note the lack of lower clouds though. So far the convection is fairly elevated.

  27. how much of that activity do people think will make it to the NH/Maine Coast. It looks rather cool over to the northwest.

    1. Not much initially. Just have to watch that one impulse that comes by a bit later.

  28. Good cloud day today.

    Several hours this afternoon, towering cumulus kept developing along the northern horizon, but mostly moved west to east.

    About 5pm, cirrus blowoff darkened to our west, followed by mammatus clouds in the thicker mid-level clouds.

    Finally, the main cumulus cloud appeared in the west southwest sky and was
    clearly dying. No thunder/lightning remained and just a rain shaft or 2 remained. Sure put on a good show initially with the anvil and mammatus clouds.

  29. Sutton from 90 to 79 in about an 90 minutes. Still 83 Humarock. But solid clouds to north and only a few clouds to south

    1. Best support is currently in northeastern MA and along the NH Seacoast. That is where we will see stuff the next hour. Probably more showers than anything.

  32. The impulse delivered from Cambridge to Boston and points south overnight. Very very nice lightning show indeed.

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