Wednesday Forecast

38 Comments

7:00AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 11-15)
A bit of a natural light show in the early morning hours over much of the region, and a bit more than just a light show if you were from about Boston’s Metro West to the city and southward as some thunderstorms did indeed develop and took their time moving through. This was in response to the impulse of energy moving through the region, mentioned in yesterday’s comments section. It took its time moving through too, prolonging the show somewhat. But now the front is through and other than a few lingering showers early today in southeastern areas, drier and cooler air moves in but on a northeast breeze so it will feel especially cool near the coast, especially east and north facing shores. High pressure dominates the region through the end of this week, cresting overhead and allowing for sea breezes on Thursday. These will trigger some clouds and perhaps an isolated shower in an otherwise dry day. Expect a warming trend as high pressure sinks to the south Friday through the weekend. Still leaving the shower threat out of the forecast for the coming weekend. Forecast details…
TODAY: Variably cloudy with isolated showers southeastern MA and southern RI through late morning followed by clearing. Mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs 73-78 eastern coastal areas and Cape Cod, 78-83 elsewhere. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior low lying locations. Lows 52-57 interior lowlands, 56-62 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of an isolated shower southeastern NH and eastern MA in the afternoon. Highs 75-80 coast, 80-85 interior. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 56-64. Wind light S to SW.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-83 South Coast, 83-88 elsewhere. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the lower 80s to around 90, coolest coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 16-20)
Dry and very warm to hot July 16. A front will push through the region with higher humidity and a shower/thunderstorm threat July 17 into July 18 before slightly cooler and drier air arrives by July 19 but may be short lived as warm air tries to make a come back by the end of the period, possibly with some unsettled weather during the process.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 21-25)
A little uncertainty on the exact evolution of the pattern as we will see the pattern of ridge western US, broad trough eastern Canada to Great Lakes and New England trying to hold on while high pressure also tries to build off the US East Coast. Best way to describe resulting weather would be changeable, warm and humid overall, and a few opportunities for showers and thunderstorms. Will fine-tune going forward.

38 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thank you, TK. Great read. Truly appreciate your time and expertise

    Thunder and lightning rolled by here around 1:30. Most was in distance but lightning was awesome. And this morning….can you say ahhhhhhhhhh

  2. Thanks TK!

    Those futurecast radars yesterday were spot on with the overnight/early morning storms. A noisy night indeed. Woke me up twice. Told you so, JPD! 😀

  3. Regarding the boys soccer team, I heard that the weakest were brought out last. I was under the impression that the weaker ones would be first. Anyway, as long as all were brought out safely, that’s what matters. 🙂

  5. Thanks TK. I was driving home from the Cape last evening after a couple really nice beach days down there. I also noticed the tremendous amount of altocumulus castellanus which you mentioned on the last blog. One of my favorite cloud types, and definitely one of the best “harbinger clouds” there is. Seeing that many of those guys on a day like yesterday is a pretty good indication of impending storm activity.

  6. 0.41 inch over night in 2 installments.
    around 1 am and then 2-2:30 am or so.

    ok Philip, you win this one.

    1. Thanks Tom. Every time I see that GOES16 image it takes my breath away.
      I am truly amazed at that, not to mention the awesome shot of Chris.

      Last night, Eric stated that Chris was the Strongest storm named Chris since
      they began naming them. (he said there have been 6 of them)

      Is this the strongest July Hurricane at 105 mph? Ah, that is the question. Likely not.

  8. For the first 1/3rd of July, Logan has …..

    5 out of 10 days at 90F + (7 out of 10 for many inland locations)

    and a +5.5F temperature anomaly.

  9. Honestly, I never heard thunder last night. My wife woke me to have me shut the windows and she said there was lots of thunder. I sleep with a CPAP machine, so
    and I am out dead when I sleep. It would take something spectacular to wake me.
    I did see one flash of lightning, but never heard the thunder from it.

    It was welcome rain and came at a perfect time.

  10. Tom mentioned the very warm start to July… the next week looks closer to “normal”, though likely still above average. It’s been a hot month so far for sure. Things do look more unsettled as we head towards the end of the month. The large scale pattern is definitely going to change with the broad trough developing in the Great Lakes region, as opposed to the all-encompassing ridging of the past week or two. The ensembles are starting to indicate a considerably heightened risk of above normal rainfall towards the end of July. They’ve been pretty good in forecasting below normal rainfall for most of this summer. Going forward beyond this next dry stretch, I’d expect more shower/t-storm chances and consistently higher humidity as we get squeezed between the trough to the west and building ridge to the east, similar to TK’s thinking.

    1. Great news . Heading up to Hampton beach 7/21 to 7/28 . Last year we had the worst weather week up there in years . Im just hoping it’s warm beach weather this time & mostly dry it’s tough to rent a place for a week to go to the beach daily & you can’t go .

      1. That was the second week we were at Humarock. Oddly, I don’t recall the weather but my oldest was here that week and she said the same.

  12. I got a laugh out of this poem on twitter from Meteorologist John Homenuk
    The GFS is trash
    When will they ever fix it
    Every single storm
    It finds a way to miss it
    Just go look at the Euro
    and save yourself the time
    The GFS is lost
    It changes on a dime
    They increase the resolution
    But it just gets worse
    That I have to even use it
    Is nothing but a curse

  13. Cloudy and chilly here on Scusset Beach near the Cape Cod Canal. But still better than a day in the office!

    1. Agree Sue. Kids are headed to Plymouth. I’m taking the day to sit and read. Hope you have a blast

  15. Came in from lunch a while ago.

    BEAUTIFUL DAY!!!!

    Temp was 78-79 with a pretty stiff EAST wind that felt very refreshing.

    The house is still somewhat warm as the past several nights it cooled as follows:

    Monday AM 71
    Tuesday AM 73
    TODAY AM 78 Yesterday it got to 86 in the house.

  19. For those of you who watch Jeopardy! 3 day champion from Stoughton, MA. Will see if he wins for a 4th time tomorrow.

    1. Mac and I watched for decades. I have not watched much I will try to watch tomorrow if I’m not out. Thank you

  20. I have watched Jeopardy and Wheel of Fortune all my life. In fact I went to see Wheel of Fortune twice when they taped shows in NYC. I would have loved to gone see Jeopardy when they were taping their college Championship at Yale in 2002 but I was going to college then.

    1. I remember you saying you saw wheel. That would be amazing. My kids watched jeopardy from the time they were little with Mac and me. My son enjoyed it the most. It has been a bit hard for me to watch alone but I’ve started watching more lately. I didn’t set tomorrow night to record in case I’m out. I appreciate your mentioning it JJ

  21. Your welcome Vicki.
    The only time I have seen retrac comment on the blog is during the winter.

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