Wednesday Forecast

47 Comments

7:05AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 18-22)
High pressure moves in today and returns drier air to the region which will last through Thursday before humidity gradually makes a comeback at the end of the week. By late in the weekend, tropical moisture will increase the shower risk, and a low pressure area approaching from the south may aid this. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy early morning with possible showers, especially Cape Cod, then clearing. Less humid. Highs 75-82. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-63. Wind light N.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Wind light variable with coastal sea breezes.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-86, coolest in coastal areas. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. More humid. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to upper 80s, coolest coastal areas.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Humid. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 23-27)
A large scale pattern of ridge West, trough Midwest / Great Lakes, ridge off East Coast means a period of higher humidity and opportunities for showers and thunderstorms on a daily basis. Temperatures will run near to slightly above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 28-AUGUST 1)
A similar pattern should continue through the final days of July and the very beginning of August as well.

47 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  3. Thanks TK.

    Yesterday definitely delivered. Probably the most widespread significant rain event of the summer so far. Severe weather was a little more limited and confined to mostly outside of 495, but that was expected. A couple very nice days on the way then into a much more unsettled pattern. Will be interesting to see how much rain falls in the last 10 days of the month. It’s possible most of the rain may be confined farther inland, but we’ll see.

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Revised rain total as 0.05 inch fell after I posted. JP total yesterday: 2.60 inches

    Last night I thought I heard Eric say that there was a possible tornado in New

    Ashford, ma

    Any confirmation of that??

  5. Good morning and thank you. Lovely morning and agree with 10/10 from Hadi. Perfect July.

    We had 1.77 rain in Sutton yesterday with 2.71 for week. Reports from there say lawn is looking green again. We have had 7.18 in last 31 days. Sutton. Not Humarock.

  7. Tom, Sue and maybe TK and I are going to meet tomorrow evening or late afternoon at the Cask and Flaggon in Marshfield on 139. It’s just off of route 3 Exit 12 139 toward Marshfield……please Tom and Sue, correct me if I’m wrong on directions. We know it is a long ride but if possible we’d all love to have others join us.

  9. Hopefully no home brew tropical developments with the upcoming patern,we have had enough wind damage over the last few years.

    1. My girls and families are going to be in Disney and then one family in Charleston in August. They are hoping there is nothing along the coast. I forget where you are located, Robert. I’m thinking close to the coast if you have had a lot of wind damage.

      1. I have the same concern as well that any tropical system will have no problem slamming into SNE with the upcoming pattern. Our South Coast would likely be the first landmass it encounters. A very scary potential indeed. All we need is ONE.

  11. I read that sun spot activity has been very low, let’s see the correlation for our upcoming winter and of course several other factors are always in play with a weak El Niño.

  12. Climatologically speaking the hottest stretch of weather for Boston
    is 7/16 through 7/23. And out average daily High FALLS BELOW 80 on
    8/15. Check out data for July and August. Once we pass the 1st week of August,
    it is all down hill from there. I always used to say that summer ends between
    8/10 and 8/15. Generally speaking there is a noticeable change, not to say it can’t get hot after that time as it certainly can, just not as often.

    https://imgur.com/a/GynnSrh

    Site for this data:

    https://www.usclimatedata.com/climate/boston/massachusetts/united-states/usma0046

  13. It could be southwest CT, the NYC area, the Jersey coast, maybe as far southwest as the Delmarva Peninsula, but some area is, I think, in for a deluge sometime Sunday. Many inches of rain with a disturbance or tropical low or hybrid low helping to focus a heavy burst of precip into the east coast.

    2. Yup, looks like it dumps most of it’s rain down there and leaves
      a residual amount for us. 😀

  14. The pattern we’re moving into is definitely a classic in terms of sending tropical cyclones towards New England. However, there’s nothing out there to send. We’re still early in the hurricane season, and shouldn’t expect activity to ramp up for another 3-4 weeks. Still looks like a near to below average season in terms of overall activity as well.

    I don’t have a lot of concern about the potential hybrid low either. Looks like it’ll move along quickly and we have no flood issues to worry about outside of the usual urban/poor drainage. Maybe by later next week, if we see repeated episodes of showers/storms, we’ll have to turn our eyes to the river gauges. Again, I suspect the highest rainfall amounts in this coming two week period will be inland.

    1. Euro certainly looks pretty wet.

      I am actually excited about the prospects of the rivers becoming
      high and at least full to the banks. Very selfish reason being that
      certain fish species, Large Mouth Bass, tend to congregate in certain
      areas when the water is high. I know of several of these areas and it
      can be a fishing Bonanza. I caught 16 of these fish in about 1 hour at one
      point with high water.

      So, Bring it on!

      1. Don’t get too excited about a wet pattern. Wetter, in terms of more opportunities for showers/storms, but yesterday was a bit of an anomaly in the overall pattern, including the upcoming pattern.

        For one thing that Atlantic ridge will probably verify a bit stronger and further west, and last a bit longer than currently depicted. A period of rain, like the one that may lead the humidity in early Sunday, will be the exception rather than the rule, which will be daily airmass style showers/storms.

        1. Ok Debbie, thanks. 😀 😀 😀

          Seriously. was looking at the GFS and it looked that the ridge might be settiong up a bit more West.

          Frankly, I’d rather see the rain than a well established
          Bermuda High with HHH weather most of the time.

  15. That low upcoming for early Sunday is actually going to be influenced more by a Great Lakes system than anything “tropical” or “hybrid”. It’s a baby version of a winter storm set-up, actually, minus the cold rain and snow and strong wind (though it may get gusty for a bit).

  16. NWS Boston has released a preliminary statement that an EF0 tornado likely touched down near Ashford, CT yesterday around 4PM. They’ll have a full statement and confirmation in the next few hours. From going back through the radar records around that time, it certainly looks like a brief tornado developed along a “kink” in the line that was moving through.

    1. I heard Ashford last night, but I thought it was MA and not CT.

      Not sure If I have a screen shot of that saved.

      will check it out.

      thanks

    2. Ok, that was the WARNED storm for the Putnam, CT area,
      I looked at the radar and was NOT impressed with the radial velocities
      display at all. Perhaps it was warned late and the radar signature was much better several minutes before I looked. I didn’t look until I saw the warning up already.

  17. I lost count. How many days has Logan been to 90F degrees ? Yesterday it hit 92 if I am not mistaken. I want to say 8 but for all I know, it may be at least 10.

      1. Well, whatever the count is, add at least a few and perhaps more
        for the rest of the city.

  18. Just a repeat from earlier in case it was missed

    Tom, Sue, TK and I are going to meet tomorrow evening at 5:30 at the Cask and Flaggon in Marshfield on 139. It’s just off of route 3 Exit 12 139 toward Marshfield……please Tom and Sue, correct me if I’m wrong on directions. We know it is a long ride but if possible we’d all love to have others join us.

        1. Officer Chesna’s wake is taking place in Hanover later tomorrow afternoon, into the evening.

  20. Seriously a top 1000 day. What a week. You folks on the south shore know how to make people feel welcome.

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