Sunday Forecast

20 Comments

12:33PM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 22-26)
Once again my observations around social media and out in public confirm that the general public listens and believes the media’s gloom and doom scenarios. Although it feels like a lost cause at times, I will continue to use the style I always do when forecasting and explaining the weather and its expectations. So with this said, we move forward to say that so far the weather is behaving generally as expected and the upper limits of what was possible have not come to pass, which is a good thing, isn’t it? You’d think people would be happy about that instead of being disappointed that wind damage and areas of flash flooding are not taking place in most of the region. So we have our low moving into the northern Mid Atlantic, our wettest weather in eastern portions of southern New England now into the afternoon, then everything transitions to the more scattered to isolated showers set-up, as explained on yesterday’s blog post. There are no changes to that forecast here, and I will still be working on the timing of the greater shower and thunderstorm threat later in the week. In the mean time, onto the details…
TODAY: Mainly cloudy with numerous showers, especially eastern areas, into mid afternoon along with downpours at times, then these become scattered with partial sun developing at times later in the day. Very humid. Highs 74-82. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas where a few gusts to or over 30 MPH are possible.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. Very humid. Lows 68-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered to isolated showers and possible thunderstorms. Very humid. Highs 78-86, coolest South Coast.
TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms mainly late day. Humid. Lows from the middle 60s to lower 70s. Highs from the upper 70s to upper 80s, coolest Cape Cod, warmest interior valleys.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered mainly afternoon showers/thunderstorms. Humid. Lows from the middle 60s to lower 70s. Highs from the upper 70s to upper 80s, coolest South Coast.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 27-31)
The overall large scale pattern, as mentioned previously, will feature a low pressure trough around the Midwest and Great Lakes and high pressure off the US East Coast. As the strength and position of the ridge fluctuates, it will help determine days with higher shower and thunderstorm threats. A higher threat is expected early and again late in the period with driest weather during the July 28-29 weekend. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 1-5)
Not seeing any major pattern shifts during this period as well.

20 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  8. Sun poked out for a bit and then it clouded over again and popped
    a light shower that has passed on through.

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=25&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.2543478260869565&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=421.62393162393164&centery=344.1880341880342&transx=21.62393162393164&transy=104.18803418803418&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=1&lightning=Hide&smooth=0&rand=25538116&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

  9. Still is still stuff out there. Does it hold together? I dunno

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=OKX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=25&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=1&lightning=Hide&smooth=0&rand=25538118&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

    Satellite (look what happens off the Northern Atlantic Coast of Florida)

    http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-02-96-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbars=

    2. There is less support now. We’re getting into the set-up that supports shorter-lived pop-up, rain-out, die-out stuff which will still produce a few localized intense downpours through part of tomorrow before activity diminishes even further through midweek.

      The thing off Florida is just a nice piece of convection firing on a boundary down there. We’re not looking at anything tropical.

      1. Nice, indeed. No, I didn’t suspect a tropical system, just
        thought it was interesting. 😀

  10. Can’t really complain about the day. Other than the little over half inch of rain we had early, it has been rain free. Kids have been out all day.

  12. A brief glance at the NWS-Norton Twitter page reminded me that the hottest day ever in Taunton occured seven years ago today, July 22, 2011 at 103. It is Hartford’s all-time record at 103. It was the second hottest day in my life, with August 2, 1975 number one.

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