Wednesday Forecast

74 Comments

7:31AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 25-29)
A little more tweaking in a forecast that overall isn’t going to change much at all. Today we’re in the same state as yesterday but the ridge in the Atlantic will be nudging back to the east and allowing a weak cold front to the west to get closer later today and then pass through tomorrow, but only isolated shower activity will take place during the day and evening today, however any may be briefly very heavy. Much of our rain threat will come through between midnight and dawn Thursday morning as a wave of low pressure comes up along and just ahead of the front, which will then be sapped of some of its energy so the shower and thunderstorm risk during the day Thursday, though present, will not be that high. Very slightly drier air arrives Friday but it will probably be one of the warmer days, compensating a bit and having the net overall impact as the days before it. Another front whistles through the region Saturday morning with a brief shower threat and then the balance of the weekend will be quite nice, though again only marginally drier in terms of humidity. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers and possible thunderstorms, any of which may produce heavy downpours. Humid. Highs 78-87, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers and possible thunderstorms increase from southwest to northeast especially late night. Humid. Lows 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers early, then partly sunny with scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 76-83. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming W.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Less humid. Lows 63-70. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Less humid. Highs 78-83 South Coast, 83-88 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers early. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s, coolest coast.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s, coolest coast.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 30-AUGUST 3)
Overall pattern to remain configured with a trough centered Midwest and Great Lakes and ridge off the East Coast with a fairly humid pattern and a few shower and thunderstorm opportunities. Ridge will be expanding more westward and it may turn hotter as August begins.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 4-8)
Same overall pattern continues… May start rather hot then ease after that with more shower/storm chances as the ridge nudges back to the east.

74 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Not any reflection on your forecast, but YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCKK!
    😀

    Like walking through water the last few days. DISGUSTING.

    We were supposed to go down to Harwich to see vacationing friends and have
    dinner at Buca’s Tuscan Roadhouse. No Can do. This weather makes the Mrs.
    too sick to do anything.

    How about some nice dry 70s and 80s. Yeah, that’s the ticket. Appears not
    for some time yet.

    1. I agree JPD, and Mrs. OS has been on my mind. Honestly don’t understand how people actually enjoy this weather. But, to each his own.

      1. Thank you. She is hanging in the best she can, but feels
        miserable. We have 3 rooms with window ACs, but one still has
        to move within the other rooms. The back and forth is rough on
        the body.

        1. Reading comments, I think we must be lucky to have had the strong breeze all week. It has been in the mid teens. The city has always seems hotter to me. The term “close” really applies because to me cities feel close even in winter. Sadly, I don’t think even a breeze, if there is one in JP, would help Mrs. OS. So sorry to hear, JPD.

  7. Thank you! This weather does not bother us. We are from Florida but have lived in multiple locations across America. The humidity does make things sticky. In all the places I’ve lived I think Texas has truly 4 seasons. Especially northern Texas. From being an outsider we think there are 4 seasons in Massachusetts but winter is 6 months long. Nov-Apr, spring is May-June, summer is July-Aug, Autumn is Sept-Oct.

    I have always enjoyed the weather. This blog hits the spot.

  8. Thanks TK

    For some reason we have a nice breeze along the Pike in W Newton. A nice morning here on the porch. I guess we are fortunate.

    1. We have one in Sutton also. It jumped over 80 (hot 😉 ) but the breeze is lovely. Here, at least, it has been quite lovely. The breeze has been moving the close air! It feels like summer!

    1. You mean that for whatever reason it has felt comfortable to you and that
      is a good thing. But trust me, it is and has been HUMID at Hampton Beach,.

      1. We had the same for two weeks. Humidity for sure but the breeze was nature’s air conditioning. It was perfect.

  10. This is the benefit of the air coming off of the tropical Atlantic, combined with a ventilating breeze ….. for some, it can be rather comfortable. It’s not the more common 93F, dp of 70F which feels brutal.

    The reason I’m making this post is because there is not a dp below 70F and yet a fair amount of posts this morning are saying it isn’t too bad, which I completely understand. I suppose this is similar to the ‘comfortable trade winds’ in Hawaii, even though dps are usually in that 65F to 70F range.

    The next westward movement of the Bermuda high early next week, because of its location and orientation, may feature warmer temps than this go around.

    1. Excellent comment. If I’d just read yours before I posted, it would have saved everyone several other posts from me!!

  11. Showers are beginning to pop inside 495.
    Slug of rain is moving up from the SW south of Long Island.
    Will it get here or go poof?

    1. I’m not sure, but I think there’s some hope for rain overnight, which is good
      for far SE Mass, which largely missed out on last week’s rain. My lawn is parched !!

      1. NO DOUBT over night. I think there is a chance of rain later
        this PM or certainly into the evening. We shall see.

        1. We had showers this am. We have had several sun showers (some quite heavy although short-lived) each day this week.

    1. With both girls and families heading for Disney in a few weeks – one family driving so they can stop in Charleston on the return trip – I am really keeping my fingers crossed for no tropical development during August.

  14. Thank you, TK.

    Humidity. I can’t wait to say good riddance. It takes me several minutes to put on my socks, and another several to take them off at the end of the day. That’s how sticky it is. My cat’s sprawled out on the floor wondering why she was given a coat of fur (of course, that fur serves her well during the cold winter nights).

    This beautifully written song by Paul Simon (April Come She Will – sung by Garfunkel) contains a line on the changes that will occur in August and September:

    April come she will
    When streams are ripe and swelled with rain
    May she will stay
    Resting in my arms again
    June she’ll change her tune
    In restless walks she’ll prowl the night
    July she will fly
    And give no warning to her flight
    August die she must
    The autumn winds blow chilly and cold
    September I remember
    A love once new has now grown old

  15. Not sure who these folks are or how I managed to be following them on FB but they just posted this…

    Wx1box – National Weather Service Boston/Norton Amateur Radio Skywarn Group
    14 mins ·

    Plainfield, MA: 2.07″ of rain 1.23 ” in the last hour.

  17. Well, we are getting scattered pop-up variety showers, but hardly any of them
    have lightning (so far). BUT that slug that was to our SouthWest, clearly went poof in the night. Wait a minute, it is day time. Well it went poof in the day.

    1. In your humble opinion JPD, what are the chances of storms in the Kingston area in the 5-7 pm timeframe? My boys are attending a football camp run by the high school coach and he is on the fence about canceling.

      1. I am no TK, but in my humble opinion, you will probably be
        fine, However, in this environment, cannot rule out a pop-up
        shower.

        So far all have been virtually devoid of lightning. I see
        one strike near Hingham or so not long ago. So, most likely should it shower it would be without lightning, but even
        that cannot be ruled out.

        Kind of a definitive response, isn’t it? 😀 Sorry.
        Kind of hard to say.

        IF it were I, I’d go and not worry about it, but then things
        like this don’t worry me. When the tornado word get mentioned, then I worry. Not for routine stuff.

        1. LOL…it is a perfect response. We are calling it a “red flag” day where we ask parents to stick close by. This way we are covered and everyone stays safe. Many thanks for your input sir.

          1. Wow – that is a truly wise choice. I hope they get the night in. I know two young men who are really looking forward to it….one has more determination than most adults 🙂 ….the other with a quieter determination.

            1. We got it in with just a few raindrops. Those two young men worked their tails off tonight and impressed the high school coaches. 🙂

              1. Yay. And I am anything but surprised. In addition to loving the sport, They fly with an angel on their shoulder.

  18. We have been having short bursts of torrential downpours. They may last 5 minutes tops. Several have managed to accumulate 0.16 They are not enough for the kids to come in from outside. They just stay in the pool. Parents apparently were taking cover.

    2. Why did I hear this a while back? honestly, this is not news to me.
      I saw it somewhere before.

  22. btw, that shower that roared on through here at the office, dropped a very quick
    0.21 inch at the old homestead in JP.

    2. Just got an email from a person I ordered from on ebay. She said they are having horrible flooding and she can’t get to the post office. I asked where she is but have not heard back. I would assume down PA way.

  24. Funny how there’s no buzz about the “spin-up” threat tonight when that threat is every bit as high as it was the other day when it received so much media hype 😉

    Tonight’s setup may actually be a tad better. Risk is still very low as usual, but it’s just interesting to see how some of these low risk events receive so much more attention than others.

  25. Copley Square was very breezy just now. Nice, actually. But, when you veered left onto a side street it felt soupy again. A micro `climate’ of sorts. I think Copley Square is more windy due to vortices and wind tunnels created by the John Hancock. It’s often a swirling wind with updraft. Looks like mini `tornadoes’ as debris swirls around.

      1. Every time I walk near that building I think of those windows. It’s remarkable no-one got hurt.

        1. Yes it is. Company I worked for then had a conference at Copley plaza with a thousand clients attending from around the world. A few clients go to experienced if first hand

    2. However me and my wife have heard they fought that building back in the day to be built? Because of wind.

      1. I don’t remember them fighting it but I’m old and seem to often remember parts. I seem to recall they were as surprised as anyone.

        Maybe others here have a better memory.

  30. Good morning…

    Wwhopping 0.13 inch of rain overnight. Yep flood watch was certainly warranted.
    Yep, by cracky. Sure was.

  31. Upton, MA was almost certainly hit by a tornado last night. Radar appeared to confirm it with a debris signature. Hopefully everyone there is okay, not seeing any injury reports so far, thankfully.

      1. I’ve had a couple friends over the years from Upton, neither still live there.

  32. The reason the spin up threat was not really talked about in media was because the catch-phrases of the event were “torrential rain” and “flash flooding”.

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