Friday Forecast

270 Comments

9:53AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 2-6)
Again a lot of repeating here. Bermuda High, etc etc, you get it by now. Today will be like yesterday, very warm and humid, chance of passing storms later but favoring areas west and north of Boston. The axis may end up a little further northwest than it was able to get yesterday but we’ll see if this holds, because outflow boundaries from storms can “recreate” where things happen. Still expecting a front to cross the region Saturday and an additional wave of low pressure on it may make things a little more interesting in terms of where and when storms occur and how severe they may end up. More on this in the comments below and on the next update. Slightly less humid but hotter air arrives Sunday into Monday but by Tuesday the ridge slides to the east a bit and a new trough approaches from the west with a greater risk for showers/storms again. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 83-92, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 67-74. Wind light SW.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms likely, favoring afternoon and evening. Humid. Highs 78-87, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with showers likely early, then gradual clearing but areas of fog. Humid. Lows 63-70. Wind light variable.
SUNDAY: Areas of fog early, otherwise mostly sunny. Slightly less humid. Highs 82-87 coast, 87-92 interior. Wind light variable with light sea breezes.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 60s to lower 70s. Highs from the middle 80s to lower 90s.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. More humid. Chance of afternoon or evening showers and thunderstorms. Lows from the middle to upper 60s. Highs in the 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 8-12)
Opportunities for showers and thunderstorms with warmth and high humidity as a ridge is offshore, though further east, and a trough is anchored to the west of New England. In August, this is a warm, muggy, and somewhat showery pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 13-17)
Atlantic ridge comes back west and mid August heat and humidity and a daily risk for isolated to scattered showers/t-storms seems to be what we’ll experience.

270 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

      1. Ohhhh so I did. And another friend’s birthday is today as well. A very popular day!

        Enjoy fishing!

    2. Thanks again, Vicki. I am out “fishing” for a real good chocolate cake from decent bakery. I mean a moist, dark chocolate cake w/a frosting not too sweet. Have tried many bakeries – don’t want to go to Boston. Tried last year, too. May have to settle for a choc. chip muffin from Muffin House in Natick which (at least when it was in Wayland) had loads of choc. chips.

  7. Thanks a lot and as always, TK…

    A very happy and special birthday, Rilyn Mac, Marjie, JP Dave and TB12!
    Enjoy!!!

    Seems like a raining line of brief downpours from the RI border, over the Taunton radar, Brockton and to Duxbury/Marshfield coast. The NWS is about two miles to the south where I live. It has gotten dark and sunny here for the past 90 minutes, but no rain.

  9. Vicki:
    About a month ago, you wondered what time of day the earliest 90 degree was recorded at Logan. I searched the cellar and found my notes from August 2, 1975. I had recorded the hourly temps from the hottest day ever in Massachusetts. According to my notes and WBZ radio, it was 88 at 9 am, 89 at 10 am, 95 at 11 am, 98 at noon, 101 at 1 pm at WBZ on Soldier’s Field Road. The only Logan temps that I have recorded on that day are 100 at 2:30 and 102 (official high) at 3:10.

    I scanned my list and here it is in my 15-year old chickenscratching:

    https://imgur.com/a/Yx9BDd6

    At 58, my handwriting isn’t much better! 🙂

      1. It is, Tom, thanks. Hope yours has been fun and restful. I refuse to use the sch*** word until the moment they take me kicking and screaming to my first professional day on August 28!!!

        1. I hear you !!

          Some camping, lots of beach and driving the kids to their summer activities or friends. Relaxingly busy !

  10. Happy Birthday JpDave, Margie and Rilyn Mac !

    It’s pretty much cloudy and temps are still in the mid 80s. I think the humidity feels even higher today.

  11. Happy Birthday to all those who are celebrating one today!

    Saturday’s threat is different from yesterday’s and today’s. Saturday’s will be a front and developing wave on it. The activity will form and move in from west southwest to east northeast and will be more widespread than the previous days’ activity.

    I do think there is a severe threat, but I don’t think it’s all that high. Will refine this going forward as always.

  12. Re: August 2, 1975
    In addition to some of the hottest temperatures ever recorded in southern New England history, the dew points were also some of the highest.
    On August 1, 1975, the high temp at Green Airport was 95 with a record dew point of 80!!! That is a heat index of 115!!!
    On August 2, the temperature hit 104 in Warwick with a dew point of 77 which works out to 122 on the heat index scale!!!
    At New Bedford’s DPW building on Williams St., where the all-time state record was recorded and set, it was 107 and, with a dew point of 77, that would have made the heat index 126 degrees!!!!!

    1. Thank you! I wanted to talk about this yesterday but I wasn’t home all day. 😉 And you just reminded me I wanted to pass this info along elsewhere too. I’m gonna have to make you an honorary WHW admin for the day. 😉

    2. With those temps, the dps that occurred with them are nuts !! Hard to get THAT hot with that much moisture in the air, but it did !

      1. This is an example of what I mean by not just arbitrarily assigning climate change on the large scale to a really hot day or a really humid day, or a combo. When things come together, things like this happen. It happened then. It happens now. It happened before then. And it will happen again.

        We may face a long term issue here for sure, but as far as individual events, we need to let them be what they are while we look at the larger picture overall.

        1. Perfect example, TK. I think that is why it is important to look at the big picture. Those who accept that the climate is warming and those who deny that it is warming will tend to point to individual events to make a their point. If you look at the big picture where every single year of this century has set a new record for the warmest year, it is impossible to deny that our planet it warming.

          1. Really? I’ve been up since 5:30. I do not do early morning any more. So I’m not even sure I’m upright. Did you know that people are out and about at 6:00 am? What boggles my mind is the folks who walk and run two or three wide and don’t move out of the way of the cars. Don’t they know everyone driving is still asleep???

  16. for those with facebook, are you having trouble getting on?? when I go to facebook it goes to a white screen.

  18. HRR and 3KM NAm did a piss-poor job concerning today’s convection.
    Ie what is going on now! Some juicy storms out there!!

  19. I find it interesting that a Bermuda high can sit in place for months but a Canadian high can’t stay for much more than a couple days, if at all. Our “cool Canadian friends” have clearly abandoned us this summer. 🙁

    Europe is hot as well, so I am curious as to where the cool spots are in this hemisphere…besides at the North Pole. 😉

  21. Vicki…Did you see my post/answer to you above about morning temps on August 2, 1975? I tried to answer a question you posed about a month ago.

    2. Oh my gosh I absolutely love that. I find it amazing and exciting that you have the handwritten accounts from your youth.

      I’ve said before that was the day my family helped a friend and her family move into housing at Dartmouth. She was youngest female professor to be hired by Dartmouth at the time. We had no idea of temp but sure knew it was hot.

  22. Just had my trusty MyRadar notify me we are in a warned thunderstorm area. This app is the cats meow.

  23. First Severe Thunderstorm Warning of the day up for southeastern Worcester County until 1:30pm today

  24. In addition a special weather statement for a thunderstorm for some of the suburbs near Boston with a non severe storm currently producing winds in excess of 30mph and torrential rain.

  25. I just checked my AccuRite rain gauge and it shows 0.36 with no rain.
    Just realized that the rain gauge is being used by a steady stream of birds as a holding spot waiting to get into my cascading fountain birdbath. They knocked the cover off the gauge and they have been sitting on the “see-saw” inside the gauge that is used to calculate the rain.

    Too funny!!! 🙂

  26. It appears to have fallen apart. I wondered if other cell that went thru a bit ago would kill it

  27. Storm heading toward boston. Just approaching Dedham now.
    Will it squeak South? Usually squeaks by to the North like last nights.

    Last night NOT A DROP HERE!!

    Today? Well, it’s up in the air. 😀

  28. Vicki,

    could you provide some details on that radar app? How much$$$ and Where?
    I have some birthday gifts that I would like to put to good use. 😀

    1. My pleasure. It is really chump change. I think the app – I got MyRadarPro – was 2.99 and then made several in-app purchases. I doubt the entire amount was more than $20 but I made them spaced apart as I learned about the app so I do not recall exact price. Emily cautioned it does not move easily with you, but I’m always in Sutton so it didn’t matter to me. Let me see if I can find what she told me on FB.

      https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/myradar-pro-weather-radar/id325683306?mt=8

      1. This is what Emily said. I tend to use multiple apps so that covers the problem. MyRadar is the app. It gives me notifications. I have that and WeatherBug to alert me if the other fails to gather my GPS. The problem with them is if you go from one location to another, you may be alerted to a storm, but it would read for the town you just left. It is important to open the app with each new location- that’s me having the GPS on only when in use so it doesn’t eat at my data. still the MyRadar app will say if there’s a risk of storms in that day. Love it!

  29. Happy Birthday Marjie and JP Dave. Has TB12 invited you to his mansion for a little avocado ice cream? I’m guessing that’s his birthday dessert. DQ’s been eliminated from his diet.

    Ran 7 miles in the heat and humidity. Yes, I’m a masochist of sorts. All I can say is don’t do what I did. I checked my BP after running and it was very low, as low as it’s ever been. Heart rate was high, and it’s normally low. I’ve noticed that this summer my BP (which is normally quite high) has been low. Checked with my sister who is a doc at the VA, and she said that low BP is typical in this humidity, especially if you exercise strenuously and as you age.

    Kudos to Tim Kelley for presenting weather in a fun way. I love his “big picture” perspective. Seeing a map of North America extending all the way up to places I long to be right now, like St. John’s, Goose Bay, Hudson Bay, Nuuk, and Kimmirut, is not only interesting it also tells many weather stories. For example, I did not know that in northern Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan they’ve been under a `cold’ high in recent days that had their maximum temps in the 50s (very October-like for them). Kelley explained why that high wouldn’t impact us, as it has a strong low to contend with just to its east. Last week Kelley also explained to the viewer why the Cape can get so foggy, even in the middle of summer, and why baseball games in the CC league sometimes have to be postponed due to fog.

    1. Thank Joshua. TB12’s mansion is right down the street from me. 😀
      He sometimes visits JP Licks in JP or at least did in the past.

    2. When you think of who has played in the CC baseball summer league, I’ve got to get down there to see a few games sometime.

      2. It’s picked up some. Couple nice cracks of thunder. Raining, but
        NOT down poring. 0.07 so far.

        1. Worst of it is slipping to the South. Waiting for it to build
          Northward???

          Looks good on radar, but what is here isn’t so impressive.

          Dropped 0.10 inch so far. I’ll take it. 😀

  31. It’s warm aloft. Hard to get hail (which we managed briefly with the first severe cell). It’s also hard to get a lot of lightning in this atmosphere. When it happens it’s short-lived.

    Activity in the areas it is now should begin to diminish in the next 2 hours and the new axis will be further northwest.

    I’ll be heading toward Hampton Beach starting at 3PM.

  32. According to radar, I’mm in the middle of it. NOT IMPRESSED in the slightest.
    0.17 inch as the rain tapers off.

    1. This is about what was expected. Again a product of pure tropical atmosphere. Mostly what you get are brief moderate to heavy showers.

      1. Yup, but no gully washer that’s for sure.
        Had a fair amount of lightning.

        Shot the DP up to 75 for a pure YUCKORAMA!!!!!!!!!

  34. Tom, I absolutely love Cape Cod League baseball and have since the early 1970s. Many great players have spent summers playing on Cape Cod.

    Below is a list from 2015 that has all the MLB players who played at least one season on the Cape. It’s astounding how many played on Cape Cod: From Nomar to Mo Vaughn to Carlton Fisk and many, many others.

    http://capecodbaseball.org.ismmedia.com/ISM3/std-content/repos/Top/2012website/archives/Current%20Year/All_Time_MLB_CCBL_Alumni.pdf

    1. Wow, thanks !

      I’m not too far down the list and have seen Kris Bryant of the Cubs, Will Clark (back in 83) of the SF Giants …..

        1. Indeed. It’s amazing.

          I have such fond memories of going to games at Eldredge Park in Orleans, sitting on the first base side knoll.

  36. I have a complaint….
    The Weather Underground NEXRAD radar is too far behind.
    The 2 radar apps I have on my phone Radar Scope and My Radar
    are much more current.

  37. Rained with a rumble or two of thunder in downtown Boston. Nothing out of the ordinary. Sunshine’s already returned. We can do with some more rain. The ducks in the Public Garden appear to be enjoying it.

    The migrant birds are sort of biding their time at this point. You seem them loafing around on the ground aimlessly, perhaps with empty nest syndrome. They’re also mentally checking off their to-do list (1. fly to Boston; 2. find a mate; 3. build a nest or timeshare with another bird; 4. raise a family; 5. check WHW to find out when it’s going to cool off before flying to Mexico)

  39. Hmmm might catch part of a follow up cell. Here’s hoping….

    At least last one cooled us down to 84.

  42. Ok, next we should see the stuff that was around diminish, and the axis setup much further NW and leave the vast majority of southeastern New England storm free into tonight.

    Heading north now!

  43. Down here in Sarasota 90°77° dp.Have to go in the gulf for a swim every half hour. Storms building to the south moving up the sea breeze boundaries.

  45. Thanks for all the birthday wishes. We got some heavy showers earlier but then sun came out and has been out ever since.

    Never got that invite to TB12′ mansion. 🙁 Oh, well! Didn’t get that chocolate cake either. Settled for a big plate of vanilla ice cream w/lots of chocolate sauce.

  46. Tornado warning just north of concord NH. My brother is in Bow but I think it’s above that also

    1. My sister in law says coverage up there on TV is nonstop. At least two thunder warned cells in that area.

  47. There were two cella headed for Bow NH area. One was going south to north and the other west to east. They darn near ran into each other but the W/E cell seems to be pushing the other east. This is fascinating.

  48. I find it fascinating that here in North Reading, almost all of the bad weather or even just plain old rain has completely missed us in the past week to 10 days

    1. Saw that. Emily was just streaming live on FB from Durham tornado warned storm but left the area. She has a natural sense. Very talented woman.

  52. Happy Birthday to all who are celebrating today!

    Heading into Boston from Harvard soon for the Sox/Yankees game – hoping we can let that scary storm line pass first!

    1. I am no one so don’t bank on this. Looks to be traveling south to northeast but Harvard is close so I’m pushing it away from you from here

  53. From NWS re: tomorrow

    2) Isolated Severe Weather Potential Saturday:

    Numerous showers/embedded thunderstorms along with considerable
    cloudiness will limit the severe weather potential on Saturday.
    We may certainly luck out and escape Saturday without any severe
    weather. However…there are some parameters in place that have
    a least a low risk for isolated severe weather. These include an
    impressive low level jet of 25 to 35 knots…coupled with 70+
    dewpoints and guidance hinting at the potential for a meso-low
    working across the region. When ever an environment exists like
    this overhead…there is at least a low risk for isolated severe
    weather including the risk for an isolated tornado especially
    near the triple point of any meso-low where helicity is
    enhanced. So while the overall severe weather threat is low…a
    very localized high impact severe weather event can not be
    ruled out including straight line wind damage/isolated tornado.

    1. I feel like 70% of the Massachusetts population is inside of 495. I don’t know this. Only been told this. Maybe someone can fill me in?

      1. Could well be. A traffic jam in Sutton is three cars in a row. I can drive from my house 10miles on back roads most any time of day and see maybe four cars. Or if it’s a good day, I see a tractor of the best day and I’ll see horses pulling a wagon. Have I said how much I not only love but needed this town

        https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1dIirPpxJoY

          1. Living pretty much worldwide, Mac might have had some adjustment. Although the many great golf courses would have helped a lot. Growing up In a small town , I was never meant for framingham although love my wonderful memories there. Adjustment was easy 🙂

  57. It’s early, but the Yankees have to pick themselves off the mat. They’re in danger of not only losing the division race in August, but also losing a playoff spot. Seattle and Oakland are good teams that may challenge NY. The Yankees don’t have Judge or Sanchez for a while, have an iffy rotation at best (unbalanced with a terrific bullpen but not enough starting depth – blame that on Cashman), and have an inadequate manager in Boone (he should go back to the TV booth). I really feel the Yankees last year were a better and more resilient team. They also had a better manager in Girardi.

  58. Eric had a Moderate Risk for Tornadoes tomorrow.
    I have Never seen that since they have been doing that.

    1. He’s been on a bit of an overdoing things kick lately.

      SAK presented him with some valid data to show he was using bad stations and he wasn’t very nice back.

    1. JJ, you out there? You best keep an eye on this one as it moves toward
      your area. Rotation “appears” to be tightening a bit.

      1. I was going to head out this morning, but now will wait
        until this afternoon sometime. Will be monitoring radar
        all morning.

        1. Awesome !

          I posted that philly radar above because I was wondering if that shows the meso low ….. that tail of storms just offshore of NJ, I wonder if they are headed to far southeast Mass ??

          Also, lots of individual cells developing quickly around Long Island.

  62. 7Am NWS discussion of Severe potential, low risk, but there.

    Strong/Severe Storms:

    While flooding will be the main concern today, there is the
    potential for a few strong to severe storms this morning lingering
    into the afternoon. As of 4 AM, things are a bit quiet as the true
    deep layer moisture remains to our west. As our shortwaves approach
    the region, a meso-low will ride up along the eastern seaboard. Per
    latest MSAS plot, the low appears to be down the PA/NJ border. Model
    guidance continues to prog this low to move up into the region this
    morning and into the afternoon. Depending on the exact track of the
    low, could be enough to destabilize the environment Cape values are
    limited due to the amount of clouds around this morning. This
    destabilization as well as increasing LLJ around 20-30 kts could be
    enough for strong wind gusts. As always, within this tropical
    environment cannot rule out the potential for a quick spin-up esp
    with a surface boundary around, dewpoints over 70 and helicity
    values over 100 units. Agree with SPCs marginal and 2% tor risk for
    today, so please keep an eye to the sky. The risk is low, but still
    cannot rule it out.

  63. Good Morning everyone.
    I am under a flash flood warning until 11:30am today! It is raining to beat that band right now.

  65. Ryan Hanrahan tweeted this last night.
    While very unlikely we will have to watch this weak low moving into the state tomorrow. This time of year shallow rotating storms can form just east of the low and produce localized severe weather. We’ll keep you posted.

  66. As Tom posted previously, there is sunshine in Eastern Ma.
    The temp is up to 78 here with dp 72. I believe we are cooking up some
    CAPE big time. What will happen when that meso low approaches???

    I don’t have a good feeling.

    That cell by Danbury, CT has exhibited weak/broad rotation for some time now, but
    has not tightened up. Clearly something to watch.

  67. As we talk about many times having the sun out is not a good thing on day like today as that sunshine further destabilizes the atmosphere and could makes storms stronger.

  69. Cell by Danbury, CT seems to be weakening and a strong cell near
    Waterbury seems to be taking over. I believe that one now needs to
    be watched.

  70. If we go back to the tweet from Ryan Hanrahan watch areas east of the low for shallow rotating storms which could produce localized severe weather.

  71. Lot of rotating elements in the convection already this morning. Fingers crossed we luck out but everyone should be weather aware today, especially south of the Pike.

  72. At the very least heavy rainfall is expected. Hopefully that is all and there won’t be severe weather to go with it.

  77. In all honesty, I fully expected stronger echoes from those radar displays.
    Perhaps it changes as it moves Eastward, but count me as not impressed at the moment.

    1. With the amount of tornadoes or warnings indicating a real chance lately, I’m fine with being ho hum. A regular old thunderstorm seems a rarity of late

      Did you say you got the MyRadar pro? I did not get a morning warning to expect severe weather in my area today.

          1. Ahhh. I had to repurchase (no charge) the pro pack for my iPad. I guess it does not cross install.

          1. Yeah just got an EAS watching TV for some reason even though I’m in Northern Worcester county. It’s for SE. Take caution Vicki.

  81. I don’t have a TV down here so can’t see reports. If it appears to head to Sutton please let me know if you are watching

    1. Vicki,

      Storm is head directly for sutton. Sutton is smack in the middle of the warning cone. be safe.

  82. Great job JpDave !!

    I’m concerned we’ll be seeing more rotating storms in southeast areas as the day progresses.

  84. Take care Vicki!!

    Meanwhile here just south of the city it’s Shield’s Up! Looks like a break right in the middle of the line moving east…will Boston again be a swing and a miss (gratuitous baseball reference) with this line?

    1. Actually as I take a look at the Wundermap Radar it looks like the break may be more on a line of Boston north….hmmm.

  85. Webster fire just toned out for a partial building collapse at MetroPCS store w/woman in vehicle trapped.

  87. Be safe in the warned area!!!

    I will update the blog soon but following the storm at the moment.

  88. Webster getting hit hard, multiple fire calls incoming to dispatch there. Power lines down at Friendly’s.

  94. our daughter just got an alert to take cover in Hopkinton, which appears
    to be in the general path should it hold together. I am hoping this thing dissipates shortly!!

  95. I think our rotation is weakening or stopping altogether.
    Hopefully this threat is waning. Will it pick up again? Could be. Can’t let guard down.

  97. Everyone in the warned area should be underground if possible. Was out for a little bit and catching up now. Storm is still capable of producing a tornado though the rotation has weakened a bit. Extremely impressive storm.

  99. Actually looks to be getting tighter again around East Sutton according to Michael Page on NECN. Depot St.

  100. That bears our JPDs comment it jumped north. Had it not moved north I think we would have been in the path. Thank you to our guardian angel. 🙂

  101. Something is up with this system. I fear it will drop a more intense tornado
    at any moment. This is really something else.

  102. Rotation in that storm has just about dissipated entirely now. Still early in the day, the threat is not necessarily over for the entire region but has likely passed for now with that storm.

      1. Thank God. I don’t even know if we had thunder. We can’t hear anything down here. My station may be offline as I can’t access charts.

  103. I’m watching the ch 5 radar and besides the small circulation itself, it also looks like it has a larger, very healthy circulation.

    1. Yes, and that is my concern. Something could pop at almost any time
      and later it could affect the Boston Area.

      Will continue to watch.

  105. Most of the severe weather looks to stay south of the Pike, With just some heavy rain showers up my way.

  106. Back upstairs. No idea if we had thunder although would be surprised if not. We have had 1.45 rain according to my station. And still raining hard. Kids were great.

    1. Were they scared or excited?
      Pretty scary if you ask me, especially seeing what happened just a few
      miles away in Webster.

      1. They were a bit keyed up but so were the adults. My son in law dug a tent teepee thing out and they played in that. I think they were more keyed up once the threat passed. It took a while for them to settle

        Daughter said when they returned here (thanks to your warning) the horse around the corner who is very docile was running like crazy.

        BTW if I mention old salty….every one of my kids listens.

  107. I cannot thank you ALL enough for everything you posted both here and on FB. We had no idea what was happening because we could not see or hear. You guys were like a lifeline. This is one heck of a family.

      1. Thank you, Mama. I think it was my fault. Somewhere here I said I’d be happy if everything fell apart today since there are so many tornado warnings lately. I’d say Eric might have had a point with his moderate comment.

  108. No thunder or lightning that I’ve seen or heard thus far. Looking like garden variety heavy showers?

    1. I’d have traded places a bit ago. But be careful,what you wish for. It sure backfired for me 🙂 🙂 🙂

  110. Do these early day storms lessen the chance of severe weather later today or should we still expect possibly severe storms this afternoon/evening?

    1. Thank you for asking. My son in law needs to head to franklin for a job but wants to make sure it is wise to do so

      1. https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrJ7FbbxGVbxU0AOyBx.9w4;_ylu=X3oDMTByNXQ0NThjBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwM1BHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg–/RV=2/RE=1533424988/RO=10/RU=https%3a%2f%2fwww.wunderground.com%2fweather-radar%2funited-states%2fny%2fnew-york-city%2fokx%2f/RK=2/RS=iOR5q8W8lXyC5CNRO_stwtfcB0c-

        This hang back area of showers/storms needs to move ENE across areas of southeast Mass and that’s an area susceptible to more rotating storms. Should be south of the areas affected this morning.

  111. Glad you’re safe Vicki, and so far not seeing any reports of injuries. Plenty of damage out there though. A banner year for tornadoes in SNE.

    1. Thank you WxW. I think there were a lot of people reading here that you and everyone shared info besides just me. I shared the link with everyone knowing you’d all focus on this area as well as the others.

      1. Vicki, I don’t have a smartphone – just a desktop. Had to shut it down, even if there was not much if any lightning. We were in the northern extreme of possibility so we were just preparing in case we had to get in bathroom. I got both surprised and scared when they mentioned Sutton. Thank God you and your family are safe!

    1. Yep and thank you. I was waiting for you to Bring the tea…..or other beverage. I think this might have qualified for an early morning Bloody Mary

  113. Ok, we’re about through round 1.

    We are not done today.

    I’ll be updating the regular blog post shortly.

  122. Question. Do you crack windows a bit in tornado area? I had heard this years ago but seem to recall TK saying it is a wives tale. It was said it kept house from exploding with pressure drop outside

    2. Correct, cracking does absolutely nothing, besides letting rain in and possibly delaying escape to a safe area during an actual event.

  123. So, I am most curious, where is round # 2 coming from?

    My best guess is, this rain area is about through and when it is, there will be partial sunshine and scattered T-storms will develop this PM.

  124. A gentleman on the Sutton site asked what PWS I have. JPD is there a newer model you would recommend than what we have? I sure do love mine.

  125. I am about to OPEN the windows again!

    Rain just about stopped. .76 inch here.

    One good thing. Rain cooled temp down to 72.

  126. Cracking windows for a tornado does ZERO to help. In fact, in addition to letting rain in if the wind is strong, it can also help strong winds destroy your house as it provides an entry point for wind which can lead to a chain reaction that eventually removes the windows, and then the roof. This is a more extreme case, but the chance is less if you leave the windows closed. The whole idea of houses “exploding” due to rapid pressure drop is a myth, and believe me, it’s highly more likely that the wind that precedes you somehow getting to the center of a tornado would likely significantly damage or destroy your house before the pressure drop, even if that part was true.

    1. Thank you TK I did reverence your blog on the Sutton site and explained I’d ask the question here. Much appreciated.

    2. Also, think of it this way, if the pressure drop is that significant, then the attendant winds will be quite strong, meaning there is a good chance of storm debris being blown into the windows/doors, etc. Natural “cracking”!

  129. From the SPC

    …Southeast New England this afternoon…
    A midlevel trough is moving eastward from NY to western New England
    as of midday, with a plume of tropical moisture and ascent to its
    east across southeast New England. There is some enhancement to
    low-midlevel flow per the VWPs from OKX and BOX, but low-level shear
    is not particularly strong. Given the moist profiles and weak
    buoyancy, there will continue to be a threat for weakly rotating
    storms within the larger rain area, with an attendant threat for a
    brief/weak tornado or damaging gusts.

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.gif?1533403445657

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1630_torn.gif?1533403442577

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