Tuesday Forecast

53 Comments

7:23AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 14-18)
The pattern that set itself up at the end of last week, high pressure further east offshore and a series of weak troughs making their way through the Northeast, will continue through this period. We will have to watch for shower and thunderstorm development later today, after areas of dense fog burn off to a sky of clouds mixed with sun. I have been concerned about possible strong storms, but I do think it will remain stable enough over most of the region today to prevent this, with most of the heavier activity occurring west of the region. Still looking for a drier interlude later Wednesday and Thursday before the next disturbance arrives during Friday and departs during Saturday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy with areas of dense fog into mid morning, then mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Highs 72-77 coast, 78-83 inland. Wind light S.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 64-70. Wind light S.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. Less humid. Highs 74-80 Cape Cod, 80-86 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 62-68. Wind light W.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-82 coast, 83-88 interior. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers mainly afternoon and evening. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the middle 70s to middle 80s, coolest eastern coast.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, mainly morning. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the lower 70s to lower 80s, coolest coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 19-23)
Another risk of showers August 19 with the next in a series of disturbances, followed by another one about August 21 and possibly August 23. Temperature fairly close to normal during this period.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 23-27)
High pressure backs up and strengthens a little bit off the East Coast, returning more heat and limiting rainfall.

53 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  3. Thanks TK. Regarding September, I could use a lot more than 1 or 2 significant cool shots…about 30 or so, one for each day of the month. 🙂

    1. Other than a very small minority, I think you are not alone, Philip. I haven’t minded – except, between mosquitoes which are flourishing and the wet even when it isn’t raining, not being able to sit out at night. I do feel very badly for those who struggle with this and do not have AC.

      The best thing is that it sure makes a person appreciate the New England seasons.

  8. Thanks TK. How about those dew point values this morning? Widespread 70+ including some 76-77F readings over eastern and southeastern MA. Soup. Although, the atmosphere is actually drying out with PWAT values backing off considerably from recent days, one of the reasons we won’t see widespread storms today.

  9. Tough day on the Cape golfing. Tweet from Ryan Breton. At least you could blame this stickorama with those high dew points if you have a bad round of golf.

    Perhaps the most humid round of golf I’ll ever play in New England — dew point now 76° on #CapeCod

  12. Awaiting a flight back to Boston from San Francisco and have a 2 hour delay thus far for the Boston side. Any concern for the Boston area later? I know TK seemed less concerned about stronger storms.

  14. Quote from TV met at noon: “and that strong heat index on Thursday will help fire off storm chances Friday into Saturday.”

    Huh????

    That one’s up there on the stupid list.

    1. Somebody told me once that the windchill being well below zero could affect a pool pump motor. Mind you it was late January, the pool was closed, and it was covered up with a tarp just to keep the snow off the windings.
      Just how the hell they thought the windchill could affect a motor is beyond my comprehension. Even the real temperature at -20 would do squat.
      Some people have the brains Christ gave a quohog.

      3. Wowwwwww…
        Yes there is a misconception out there that “wind chill” impacts inanimate objects.

  15. First t storm warning north central MA I thought I heard thunder but must have been a truck since nothing looks close enough here

    1. At 1230 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
      Brookfield, or 14 miles west of Worcester, moving northeast at 30
      mph.

      Pea size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will accompany this
      storm. Torrential rainfall with poor visibility also possible.

      Locations impacted include…
      Leominster, Fitchburg, Gardner, Holden, Charlton, Spencer, Leicester,
      Sturbridge, Templeton, Rutland, Sterling, West Boylston, Westminster,
      Barre, Warren, Paxton, North Brookfield, Hubbardston, West Brookfield
      and Brimfield.

  16. Friday is starting to look rather interesting to me from a severe weather perspective. There will be a warm front moving through, and those tend to be the events that produce some surprises. Rapid transition back to full-on tropical air with better shear moving in. Still a lot of details to iron out, but I’ll be watching that one for a storm threat.

    Not thinking it’s due to Thursday’s heat index, though 😉

  17. Both 12z runs of the American models showing some parameters favorable for thunderstorm development on Fri. The NAM as usual way too aggressive with those parameters.

      1. This to me is like in the winter when NAM forecast widespread 12-18 inches of snow and other models calling for 4-8 inches.

    2. Italy has had a lot of problems with shoddy construction. That may have played a role here.

      1. Plutocracy or oligarchy whatever you want to call it. Welcome United States to that world. You keep flowing all the money to the wealthy and believe it will flow back and well…quahogs are smarter

  21. I’m starting to get the weather curse. HRRR kills southern NH and a couple hours and I am heading to RI.

    Friday I have a concert in Mansfield and…

    1. And you “may” get wet…. Sell your tickets and chase.
      Who are you seeing? ahhh Counting Crows. Not too shabby. Enjoy.

      1. No. It wasn’t really worth it. Most of this was just downpours. There were a few strikes here and there but sporadic and under very short lived cell cores. Nearly impossible at traffic time. But there were some nice rainbows visible in certain areas from pics I’ve seen ’round the social media scene this evening. 🙂

  25. New post! This is kind of a cheapo update as I’m short on time this morning. Will expand info in comments later as needed.

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