Sunday Forecast

32 Comments

8:15AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 23-27)
As autumn gets underway we’ll feel it as some cool air has settled into the region and will be reinforced even further for Monday. But more changes are on the way as the warm and humid air which had been pushed to the south makes a comeback Tuesday and Wednesday, first giving a batch of rain during Tuesday as a warm front move through, then showers and possible thunderstorms Wednesday when we’re in the warmest sector of the air mass and still ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will slog its way through the region by early Thursday which may start wet then dry out somewhat. Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudiest South Coast, more sun north but still limited at times. Highs 63-69. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, a few gusts up to 25 MPH possible.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 48-55. E to SE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain midday and afternoon. Highs 60-68. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers early. Lows from the lower to middle 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 28-OCTOBER 2)
Another disturbance may bring a few showers or a period of rain September 28 before dry and pleasant weather arrives for the September 29-30 weekend to end the month, however it may start mild and end quite cool. Look for a quick warm-up and mainly fair weather to start October, but a shower threat may arrive by October 2 as another front approaches.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 3-7)
Looking for a wet weather threat possibly lingering early in the period followed by a transition to drier and cooler weather.

32 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  2. Then I guess this makes me 2nd. 😉

    According to Barry:

    1. 1-2” rain Tuesday
    2. Fall foliage will be late again this year

    1. Only some areas will be late by up to 10 days. Some will be close and others will “stress-skip”. Highly variable due to complex reaction, interaction, and post reaction regionally and related to past drought, recent heat and wetness, and infestation and infection patterns.

        1. Same. There was a late-season flare of tarspot and I have noticed now when trees get that they drop leaves immediately. Part of the adjustment. It’s far less than previous years. The trees are making adjustments. Nature at work.

          1. Actually, I have been noticing spot color here in Boston for a couple weeks now. My own neighborhood of Dorchester as well. I have been wondering if it was going to be a bit early, if anything.

  4. Thanks TK
    Latest SREF showing slight tornado risk for interior SNE Wed. SREF targeting VT and parts of NH with the best shot of this happening.
    SPC already putting a 15% chance for severe weather for most of SNE on Wed.

  5. Your right especially our part of the country this does not happen often where the SPC highlights our area in the 15% severe weather risk in days 4-8 outlook. The first time I remember the SPC doing this here in SNE was prior to June 1, 2011 Springfield tornado. SPC in the discussion mentioning one of those low CAPE high shear environments for Wed. SREF model highlighting interior parts of SNE for possible tornado risk.

  8. For the record…
    The latest named storm system is NOT tropical. Nice way to distort climatology. NHC should be ashamed.

    1. Hope not as I just took down one. Because of Wednesday’s possibilities, left
      2 installed until after Wed. :d

  10. NWS does not seem overly impressed with Wed Set up:

    As the warm front moves through Tue night, temps will remain
    steady or slowly rise as showers continue. Instability increases
    with the milder, more humid air. K indices in the lower 30s and
    surface based LIs drop to -1 to -2. So have also mentioned
    isolated thunder ahead of an approaching cold front later Wed,
    pushing through Wed night. Temps will rise to the 70s ahead of
    the front during Wed, which will help enhance any convection.

    1. Sad. I will say this. He has talent, but I’m not one to anoint him to `great’ status with such a limited resume. Furthermore, he’s clearly injury-prone. This is not the first time he’s suffered a bad injury on what looked like a harmless play.

  14. Just got back from Crawford Notch and the Willey House. The leaves up there are in the process of changing from dark green to lighter green and or yellow. Still not a lot of color so I would label it low for now. I think Columbus Day Weekend will be colorful but not peak color. The weekend after might be a good show.

    2. With the conditions as they are, that will likely be the coast. 3rd week of October peak in much of southern New England, with a few trees waiting until the 4th week.

  15. Thank you, TK.

    If anyone is in the mood for winter, see link below. This video from Yakutsk, Russia, was taken on the 2nd of February. Temperature that day was a crisp -48C or -54F. The Russians are tough people. I’ve always admired their resilience. Not fond of their morbidness, but hey if it’s -54F outside you probably become a little morbid.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pReyPGHw4sQ

    1. Pretty awesome. That stuff fascinates me. I love how it can be so brutally cold at a particular location on earth while just hundreds of miles away from there it can be brutally hot and humid at the same time. An example of the uneven heating of the planet which leads to weather, or earth’s continuous attempt to attain an isothermal and isobaric status.

  16. Well that stunk for a patriots team, they are now 1-2 with the dolphins in complete control of first place in the AFC east. Notes on the patriots offense and defense. 1. James white is by far the best of the running backs, i really do not understand why they do not feed him the ball, he is very good. Michel is rather unreliable especially in the pass. Burkhead might be ahead of michel in my opinion. The patriots receivers they had out there today can not win one on one battles. They def can not beat double coverage. Thus Gronk is double to triple covered. Hogan needs other players to be distracted like most 3/4 receivers. Do not blame the o-line in this game despite it looking rather bad, it was because of how long Brady had to hold onto the ball waiting for one of his weapons to get open. Next week look for Josh Gordon to help open the field, and take some of the pressure off the Gronk. We will see a more typical offense, and we will see the typical patriots offense juggernaut in week 5 when Jules comes back. Patriots defense, the line backers can not cover the running backs out of the backfield. Secondary was not the greatest but it showed why Rowe should never be allowed on the field, there were big plays but most of the big plays were in the middle of the field and running games, One big play but that was not Gilmore’s fault. they missed chung and flowers massively on that defense, watch next weeks defense especially if they come back and Rowe stays out. (which everyone knows I am hoping for)

    1. I bet Gronk is kicking himself now that he refused the trade to the Lions..D’OH!!! 😉

      It was getting scary that the Patriots had no first downs almost until halftime.

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