Thursday Forecast

29 Comments

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 27-OCTOBER 1)
Drying out today as a small area of high pressure moves in. The front that went by last night with thunderstorms sits just offshore, however, and a wave of low pressure will ripple up along it Friday bringing cloudiness back and a threat of a couple periods of light rain. But the timing looks good for a great weekend with only a cold front passing by Saturday night with no precipitation associated with it, dividing a mild Saturday from a cooler Sunday. A warm front will pass by Monday bringing milder air for the start of the new month.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Increasing sun. Less humid. Highs 65-72. Wind N 5-15 MPH becoming NE.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 52-58. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. A couple periods of light rain possible. Highs 61-67. Wind NE 5-15 MPH becoming N.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Slow clearing. Lows 46-53. Wind light N becoming W.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 66-73. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Lows from the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 2-6)
A boundary will be back and forth over the region and we should be on the warm side October 2 and 4, the cooler side the other days. The greatest threat of wet weather during transitions is late October 2 and early October 5.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 7-11)
A cool start, then milder, a shower threat following and then a return to cooler at the end of the period.

29 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  6. Tweet from meteorologist Michael Ventrice
    Just heard word that ECMWF will soon be providing 6Z and 18Z cycles (in addition to the 0/12Z runs). This will be hourly data from 0 to 90 hours and 3-hourly data from 93 to 144 hours for 00/06/12/18Z runs. Good news to start the day!

  7. Twitter will be have more opportunities to go bonkers with those additional EURO runs coming soon when there showing a major Nor’easter with widespread 1-2 feet.

  8. We should set an over under number on that one for the winter season and then at the winter look back on it. I remember last winter there was a 12z run showing a widespread 24-36 inches of snow with pockets of 40 inches for a Nor’easter that blew up twitter. The EURO was showing this a week in advance and it never materialized.

    1. Yes, I do remember that. I like not having to wait so long for the runs.
      Now we can see the 6Z run in the morning and then the 12Z run in the afternoon.
      I hit the LIKE BUTTON!!

  11. Tweet from meteorologist John Homenuk on additional EURO runs
    Here are the details many folks were looking for this morning. 06z and 18z ECMWF and EPS (!) data will be available commercially starting October 1st. A big change for the meteorological community, which has had only two ECMWF model runs per day for almost two decades.

  12. Perhaps it is just I, but I was out and about at lunch and I have to say
    that it felt pretty warm out there. Beautiful, but warm.
    My office feels toasty. No I am NOT sick.

  13. I have had it with Vail resorts buying out New England Ski resorts, Mount Sunapee now under Vail. You all know how mad I was about Stowe, this makes me mad as well.

  14. This day in weather history in 1985 Hurricane Gloria makes landfall as a category 1 hurricane in CT. This is the last hurricane to make landfall in CT.

    1. And the second to last hurricane to make landfall in New England.

      I hate the phrase “we’re overdue” but we are.

      1. That’s what I am afraid of (overdue). It’s a miracle that we didn’t get one with that persistent Bermuda high pattern that plagued us much of this past summer.

  15. Count me in the minority (there are a few others) who sees very little good in adding 6z/18z ECMWF runs. If you believe, as I do, that information overload is crippling the meteorology industry, then this is another step backwards. Why do we need a global model- any global model- running every 6 hours? Does the global pattern change that much, that quickly? We have mesoscale guidance for a reason. Don’t get me wrong, I’ll look too, but I don’t think it’s going to be much help.

    1. It’s especially no help when “forecasts” change with every run.

      “Yeah but the guidance says….”

    1. I’ll give the story credit for mentioning that there are 1 or 2 of these per year, on average, and they are not something we’ve never seen.

  18. I guess our one school, one book school picture will be in the gym this morning, instead of outside. Darn rain !! 🙂 🙂

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