Sunday Forecast

18 Comments

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 30-OCTOBER 4)
High pressure remains in control on this final day of September with very nice weather for your Sunday, and then the opening days of October will feature several changes as a frontal boundary wavers back and forth nearby. We will see the front lift north of the region putting us onto the warmer side during Monday into Tuesday, then see it sink southward putting the region on the cooler side Wednesday only to have it go back the other day for the return of the warmer side of things by Thursday. Some unsettled weather will accompany changes. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Highs 67-74. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a few showers. Lows 52-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Possible showers. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Showers possible early. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the middle to upper 60s.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Showers possible early. Lows from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 5-9)
Frontal boundary wavers around the region while high pressure aloft dominates for the first few days of the period with a few shower episodes possible and overall mild weather. High pressure controls surface and aloft with dry weather and above normal temperatures later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 10-14)
Expecting the dominant ridge to weaken and retreat southward allowing a more west to east, stronger jet stream flow, some periodic shower episodes and temperature changes during this period.

18 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Am I first again? šŸ˜‰

    Today is probably the sunniest of all this week.

    Do sun and clouds affect foliage color?

  3. Thanks TK.

    I’m not an expert on upper level climatology, but I’d imagine we’ll be pushing records for 500hPa heights in the Northeast in the 8-10 day period. We’ve had a couple occurrences like that already this year. Whether it translates to record warmth at the surface is TBD, but it certainly means the large scale pattern will support warmth. It’s a more amplified CONUS pattern in general, with an impressive trough in the West as well. Active central US storm track with potential severe weather implications as well.

    This upper level pattern, along with the MJO forecast, also represents a screaming signal for tropical mischief in the western Atlantic by the second week of October. So quiet as the weather in much of the country is now, it may not stay that way with all these possibilities out there.

    1. I generally agree with all that you have stated here. We just need to remain cautious (more than average) with the medium range models for a bit.

  6. After reviewing stuff today, I’ve decided that my discussion above is a piece of crap. A much better one will be in place for Monday’s update, which will hopefully be out quite early in the calendar day.

  7. Now thats better Patriots football, they have a short week and go up against the colts Thursday night but if they keep that defense on the field with Gilmore and JACKSON, the player i thought should be out there over rowe, this defense will be good. I hope Jackson won that spot, he showed he was the better corner. On offense, it was opened up, the addition of Jordan made the other receivers come out. Like always when you let the running backs be by committee much better outcome šŸ™‚ Go Pats 2-2 šŸ™‚

  8. Just made an update to the “about” section of the blog to clarify rules & regulations. Any questions, use the email provided. Thanks!

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