Labor Day Weekend Forecast for Boston Area

47 Comments

9:21PM

If you were lucky enough to start your Labor Day Weekend today, as I was, then you enjoyed a great day if you were outside. I spent some time at Hampton Beach NH, where recently the water temperature had dumped from near 70 to the upper 50s, after the passage of Irene. But today, with an onshore wind, the water temperature rebounded somewhat, and though I did not look at the observed temperature, I figure by feel it was back to the lower 60s. It wasn’t a totally sunny day as there were areas of high & middle clouds moving through, but it was very nice.

Another nice day is expected Friday, but cooled by an onshore wind. Some low clouds may be present along the coast to start the day but most of them will burn off rather quickly once the sun comes up.

As for the actual Labor Day Weekend (Saturday-Monday), expect humidity to increase Saturday and Sunday with high pressure off the coast. A frontal system from the northwest will be very slow to  move into the region, reaching western and northern New England Sunday but hanging out there until it finally moves into southeastern New England on Labor Day. That day will bring the greatest chance of showers and storms to the Boston area.

Detailed Boston Area Forecast…

OVERNIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low clouds may form near the coast. Low 53-58. Wind E-NE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny through mid morning with any low clouds dissipating, then mostly sunny late morning on. High from near 70 immediate shoreline to 74-79 inland. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 54-59. Wind S 5-10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. High 80-85. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 60-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. High 80-85. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Low 63-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY – LABOR DAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 75-80. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 59. High 71.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 59. High 73.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 56. High 70.

47 thoughts on “Labor Day Weekend Forecast for Boston Area”

  1. Katia looks to be a big wave producer for us at this time.
    Hoping your forecast for Saturday night holds, looks perfect.

  3. Thanks TK. If that forecasts holds looks like we will not be watching live golf on Monday as the PGA tour moves everything up if showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast.
    Thunderstorm Index at 1 right now since I don’t see anything severe. In a few months that will become the Snow Index.

  4. 0z GFS is much further west on Katia. As the models get a handle on the pattern, I have to wonder how far west this thing could be going. Seems, as of right now, the trofs are projected to have less and less influence on it. Happy Friday all.

  7. I want to see that little more to the east. Big story in the tropics right now is tropical depression 13 which is expected to become Lee and the POTENTIAL for a lot of rain down in Louisiana and Mississppi.

  8. Good morning and thank you TK. Another glorious day on tap. I’m hoping the weather won’t impact everyone’s weekend plans

    Scott are you still in Ireland?? How is/was the trip? I’m ready for snow too:)

  9. I am ready for snow as well but before that I hope we have a wonderful display of fall colors. I am hoping the Farmers’ Almanac is wrong which if you did not see is calling for above normal temps with wet and stormy conditions. They go on to say more mix rain events but in February some potent east coast storms. From the looks of there thinking a lot of inside runners.

  10. Hi Vicki,

    I am home from Ireland, and it was great.
    Very beautiful place, got to see a bunch of castles which were quite interesting.
    Although the weather there was cloudy and cool the whole time, at least no rain was around!
    Only 3 more months till the start of meteorological winter.

  11. Henry Margusity had a very scary scenario…Lee slowly comes towards us, then Katia moves up our coast as a major hurricane and gets absorbed by Lee. We would have tons of rain to say the least. Henry is not forecasting it by any means, just that it “could” happen in theory. I will say, however, that the east coast is going to have to pay close attention to Katia…the OTS scenario is probably now already “off” the table, unfortunately. 🙁

    I guess my BBQ will have to be Sunday or not at all. 🙂

    TK and others…with all the predictions of “early” snows is the thinking pre-Thanksgiving or more like early December??

    1. We need to time to dry out. I wish we could give our rain to the state of Texas who really needs it.
      From what I have seen for the winter it does not look like it is going to be a particularly cold winter for us.
      Brett Anderson on his blog using the Euro Model shows normal temps and below normal precipitation for the winter.

  13. Katia back up to hurricane now with winds of 75mph. The west side of the storm looks to have some shear but the other parts of the storm look healthy and good outflow. I would like to see that northward and stay away from the east coast and Bermuda.

  14. Hi all! Just checking in on Day 2 of a very long weekend.

    I was down at Horn Pond in Woburn this morning as Fox 25 was there doing their final Zip Trip of the summer. I used to work with AJ Burnett so it was nice to get a chance to chat with him. 🙂

    A couple points to make regarding the weather today, and a full blog update will again come later in the day or early this evening:
    1) No big changes to the forecast posted above, based on current thinking. May have to introduce isolated showers into the Sunday forecast for areas well N & W of Boston, but will continue to forecast no rain for the Metro Boston area for Sunday at this time, and leave them in the forecast for Monday (Labor Day).
    2) I am willing to bet that Lee is going to have a much larger impact on the US as a tropical storm/depression than Katia has on the US as a major hurricane (probably nothing more than large swells and some rough surf on the East Coast part of next week). Lee may drop 12 to 24 inches of rain on the mid Gulf Coast area, including New Orleans, during the coming 3 to 4 days. This is bad news for that region. Bad news for any region really, but at the very least, some of the moisture would have been more beneficial had it made it to Texas. That is not in the cards. You know how it goes: Feast or Famine. Proving true in this case anyway. I hope the impact is minimal down there, but I fear they will not be so lucky…

      1. I happened to catch Barry Burbank at noon, who like TK, said no rain locally Sunday (tstorms up north). He went for 88F Sunday and 86F Monday…….It is quite pleasantly cool in Marshfield today, I’m not sure its 65F right now, but the warm sun is out.

  17. Its seems with each run of the models the turn to the north is happening later. At the very least will see some big waves and rip currents on the east coast.

  18. I don’t know about you, but I am nervous at least until we see a solid consensus that
    there will be a turn SOON enough.

    I was watching Jim Cantore on TWC late last evening discussing a possible scenario
    next week where the remains of Lee would be in the middle of the country and a big subtropical High off the East Coast and a Path inbetween to funnel Katia into the
    Mid-Atlantic and/or up the East Coast to New England. He seemed worried.

    Can anyone say with certainty that it will turn off and it will be a miss?

    Too close for my comfort.

  20. Old Salty I agree with you too close for comfort. A few days ago I expected to see the turn to the north sooner not continue to the west as it is forecasted. It will be interesting to see the new track at 5pm today but I don’t think were going to know for sure until the early or middle part of next week.

  22. I was watching Jim Cantore last night but missed the part that you mentioned. It seems to me when tropical systems are weak they take the southern track in the cone of uncertainty so that model may be on to something.

  23. JJ,

    Yes. I think Bryan Norcross was mentioning that before. When Katia weakened due to the shear, it was susceptible to the more Southern course. Funny, though, Katia
    is now forecasted to move more West about 4-5 days out when a Major Hurricane.
    Go Figure.

    Any how, it needs to be watched carefully. FWIW, my wife has a very BAD feeling about KATIA. She’s usually right! Lol

    1. Also of concern is the projected NAO, which is forecasted to trend positive in the next 7 to 10 days. That usually implies a stronger low near Greenland/Iceland or a stronger ridge in the Atlantic or a little bit of both. If the NAO goes positive more because of a stronger ridge, then Katia would have an increased chance of tracking further west.

  24. If Katia become more of a threat to the east and up here in New England the blog is going to light up like a Christmas tree with all the comments that will happen. New track at 5pm today and then again at 11pm so will see what happens but I am certainly not going to write off this storm.

  30. This assures me! Lol From ACCUWEATHER:

    Also complicating the situation will be Katia, which still has a chance to impact the East by late next week. Right now, the most likely outcome for this potential hurricane will be a path between the East coast and Bermuda.

    The consensus of the meteorologists at AccuWeather.com believe the path of Katia may be similar to Hurricane Earl from last year, the center of which never touched U.S. soil.

  35. Have a great Holiday Weekend all! Not sure how much chance I’ll have to stop by.
    Keep thinking OTS on Katia. One good sign is that the intensity forecasts are Down
    quite a bit now, altough overtime, it is still forecasted to become a major hurricane.

  36. Blog has been updated!

    I will be checking in from time to time during the weekend including updates daily.

    Have a great weekend everyone!

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