Saturday Forecast

47 Comments

6:47AM

This is a very quick version as I’m on my way out the door for the Southern New England Weather Conference, a.k.a. geek-out day. 😉

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 20-24)
Warm front gets by the region about dawn and cold front arrives tonight. In between we get a pretty decent Saturday out of the deal. Sunday turns windy and chilly across the region. The next cold front will pass through the region Tuesday. None of these will have a great deal of unsettled weather with them. Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouds most dominant early and late when a rain shower is possible. Sunshine in between. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a rain shower possible early. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain showers mainly morning hours. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a rain shower. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 25-29)
The period starts dry with temperatures near to below normal, then some moderation. Late-period brings that long-watched storm threat, but details still unknown this far in advance.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 30-NOVEMBER 3)
A little more unsettled with another system or 2 to impact the region, but strength and timing will not be known for a while.

47 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    3. The Jan 4th storm last year was 963 mb, with the 4 ft storm surge. That had the water flowing through some streets in parts of Boston during the snowstorm.

      Astronomically high early afternoon high tides are due next Saturday and Sunday.

            1. Just what we DON’T need…October snow.

              Have we learned nothing from 2011?

              Another case: October 1936
              Result: 9.0” (1936-37)

  4. Thank you, TK. I know you will have a great day….hope to see pictures and maybe you can share some discussions with us

  6. Thanks TK
    0z EURO is a run you want to see in December January February March if you love snow. Great snow track but no cold air for storm.

  8. Hmmm

    It seems the Ocean temperature has responded to the “cooler” weather, although it could be just currents and winds. Whatever it is DOWN…

    Current Water temp at Boston Buoy is: 56.48
    Average is “about” 54.42
    Which represents a departure of + 2.06 Degrees.

    https://imgur.com/a/JecA5lE

  9. Hmmm not looking great for a late pm and evening neighborhood Oktoberfest. Rain now….more like wind driven drizzle.

  11. I was looking at those lapse rates Ryan Hanrahan posted as part of his tweet and thinking if this was during summer we have a front coming through to go with those lapse rates could have been looking at a potential severe weather outbreak.

  12. I actually been wondering if this would happen, earlier this week, on my blog I mentioned it to be watched, was thinking most of the activity would have gone well north of the area like VT/NH.

  15. re: potential big N’oreaster near end of month

    Per NWS

    Any
    interaction / phasing unclear, there`s increasing signal of S-stream
    obtaining greater cyclonic curvature within the aforementioned
    H5 trof promoting potentially our first-season Nor`Easter by the
    weekend, more warm-core / maritime-tropical, potential
    significant rains

  16. 12z EURO now out to sea with a very strong area of low pressure for next weekend. Long way to go and were no where near the final outcome.

    1. if the strong low pressure goes further out to sea, watch that disturbance digging southeast from the Lakes go deeper and bring down cooler temps, just another possible variable of many.

  17. From Bernie Rayno
    may get some flakes of snow in NYC and BOS late tonight as trof swings through….would be between 2am and 8am

  18. Turned out to be a lovely afternoon in Sutton for the neighborhood get together. Great group of folks. Sky went from sun to black clouds and a cooler wind but no rain.

  20. Looking on twitter a couple EURO ensembles showing some accumulating snow for parts of SNE with that potential coastal storm. Do not want to see that and a repeat of October 2011 with the tree damage and power outages.

    1. I can’t help but be excited because I know it will do what it will do. But agree. The trees are still full. Even more than they were seven years ago

      I’ll never forget the sound of cracking and crashing branches and the flashes of light and sounds from the arcing in the transformers.

  21. It was the second time in an 8 week period in 2011 I lost power for multiple days. The other was with tropical storm Irene.

  22. Driving around after that October Nor’easter was something to see with all those trees and power lines down. I remember waking up that Friday being under a winter storm watch and a forecast of 6-10 inches of snow I am thinking no way it’s October. Well it happened and my area got a foot of snow as it was snow from start to finish and did not start as rain for a couple hours before the change over as was forecasted.

  23. Don’t agree with Bernie on this one. Too mild surface and aloft until the trough that causes those RAIN showers passes by Boston.

    If we manage to pop any instability stuff tomorrow it could be in the form of rain or mix but that would be isolated at best.

    1. Still 42 here. You make awfully good sense

      Did you have a good day….sorry if you already said. I’m reading up tonight

      1. Yes. It was a great day. 🙂

        Kind of a quiet conference. Fewer people than I have seen.

        I think soon it will need a rejuvenation.

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