10:09AM
DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 16-20)
Low pressure brings wet weather into the region during the course of the day today although a few pockets of sleet are possible at the onset of the rain, then colder air arriving from above and from the northwest will attempt to change rain to sleet/snow, most successfully in higher elevations west and north later this evening and moving southeastward thereafter but as precipitation tapers off. Leaving yesterday’s numbers the same for now. Blustery, colder air in control much of Monday and Tuesday as it dries out. Moderating temperatures at midweek and may get wet by the end of December 20 with the next low pressure system from the west.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain increasing from south to north may mix with sleet briefly. Highs 37-43. Wind NE 5-15 MPH interior and 15-25 MPH coast, higher gusts possible especially Cape Cod.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely South Coast and southeastern MA, rain/mix/snow changing to mostly snow elsewhere. Lows 27-35, coldest north and west. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH except 15-30 MPH Cape Cod, higher gusts possible.
MONDAY: Cloudy morning with rain possibly ending as mix southeastern MA and RI with no snow accumulation expected, snow/mix ending after accumulation of a coating to 1 inch elsewhere except 1-2 inches higher elevations central MA to southwestern NH. Partly sunny afternoon with a passing snow shower possible. Highs 35-41. Wind N to NW 15-30 MPH with higher gusts possible.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Windy. Lows from the middle 10s to lower 20s. Highs from the middle 20s to lower 30s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 0s to lower 10s interior, lower to middle 10s coast. Highs in the 30s.
THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Risk of rain late. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 21-25)
Transition from mild and showery to cooler and drying during the course of December 21. Seasonable cold December 22-25 with one or two opportunities for light scattered to general precipitation.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 26-30)
Disturbances bring chances of precipitation around December 26 and December 29 with temperatures near to slightly above normal for this period. This forecast remains low confidence. Hopefully some better clarity will be gained on the 11-15 day period soon.
Thanks TK. Always appreciated.
Thanks!
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK !
http://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=AwrDZxHycRZcXg4AkEFx.9w4;_ylu=X3oDMTEzNDJqMmRrBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMyBHZ0aWQDTlNSUEMwXzEEc2VjA3Ny/RV=2/RE=1545003635/RO=10/RU=http%3a%2f%2fmp1.met.psu.edu%2f~fxg1%2fSAT_US%2fanimwv.html/RK=2/RS=Q7KcmtEOBYJDlwnZMTGPv7Jewc4-
Looking at the intensification of today’s low as it gets east of us, I’m going to guess that if the upper low north of the Great Lakes had either been a bit quicker or a bit further southeast, that we may have had a rain to a sizeable snow event closer to eastern mass ?????
yep
man, I really hope next weekend is not warm and wet, I was planning on going skiing just at wachusett with my dad and brothers.
Hope it works out for you. Mass Bay posted here that he went to Wachusett yesterday and said it was great.
I know I just hope the conditions remain good
I have a bad feeling that warm, wet weekends may become the pattern for awhile. Hope Iβm very wrong.
They won’t. The wet day will be Friday.
Sleeting pretty good in Boston.
Thank you, TK. Happy Sunday morning.
Thanks TK
Latest HRRR showing some pretty good accumulating snow for the overnight into Monday morning for the interior.
mostly rain mow in the city, but still an occasional sleet pellet.
I am mobile now, but have a look at the FV3-GFS. shows SNOW for most of SNE.
Have you seen the 12km nam?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018121612&fh=30
That will be nice if verified
Kuchera snow for that run. Still nice.
http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018121612/045/snku_acc.us_ne.png
Thanks TK.
A number of locations in the mid-Atlantic and Southeast have approached or exceeded their wettest year on record. It’s been impressive, especially so for the mid-Atlantic sites like DC considering the lack of a tropical cyclone impact this year. As of today, models still holding onto the idea of a powerful Lakes Cutter late this week that would bring another soaking to the East Coast. That may trend weaker and further east, but would probably still be mainly a rain event for most.
A series of wet weekends ahead?
A rainy Winter ahead??? Wouldn’t surprise me.
NOT impressed with what I see so far, BUT it’s not Winter
just yet, so we shall see.
Keep those cutters away from us! NO MORE CUTTERS!!!!
That cutter “may” bring the threat of some December Severe Weather. We’ll have to watch it closely.
Nice Christmas Day snow event on the 12z FV3:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018121612&fh=228
Regular GFS does not agree.
That would be back-to-back Christmas miracles. Not a snowballs chance. π
Very nice though! π
Agree. Not a chance! We all would have a better chance to win
Powerball and Megabucks the same week. π π π
It would be nice, though.
In this pattern I would not use the words “not a chance”. π
A little reverse psychology perhaps. π π
Looks more and more like no snow at the coast tonight/tomorrow AM, but
I continue to watch and hope.
HRRR keeps waivering back and forth. IT could be a very close call. Likely no snow in Boston, but it is so close, it “could” happen. We’ll just have to wait and see.
No we are not re-entering a stretch of rainy weekends. Nor will it be a rainy winter.
That system on the 25 is also being shown on the euro…..
They’ll still be all over the place with timing and placement.
oh I know, its just fun to see that there is a chance, heck like WX said above, the Friday system is not locked so how can anything pass that be in lock. I would even say this small system for tonight is not even locked.
We had a special visitor checking out his Sutton route today.
https://imgur.com/a/f3fxtl7
Interesting…Minnesota 41, Miami 17
Run out of miracles, have we? π
Beware though: Steven Ridley now is with Pittsburgh. Watch out! Former Pats RBs have killed us so far. Time to stop this bleeding.
Superbowl hangover for the fins
If the defensive front can’t get pressure on ben, Ben will torch the patriots defense
Real sloppy, seems like Gilmore is the only consistent. New England back.
So it wasn’t that Ben was the issue. The Steelers didn’t actually play an awesome game. We couldn’t freaking score again. Ah well.
12z CFS has virtually no snow for Boston through 768 hours. π
What is your take ?
My take is that it just points to the overall cold/dry winter pattern that I’ve been expecting. A lot of split flow, a lot of northwest flow in the polar jet, and a lack of phasing. When phasing does happen it’s usually in the middle of the country for the occasional Lakes Cutter or offshore with a lot of out-to-sea scenarios.
Wow, that’s 32 days ……
Awesome !!!
Doesn’t mean it’s correct. π
It doesnβt but hoping it is . You know how much I love winter but just like any other season it is what it is .
I do feel though that it will lean that way in the long term.
Lack of snow
Horrific thought: Mathematically, COULD the Patriots miss the playoffs entirely if they lose their remaining games?
They’ll go 1-1 to finish 10-6 and will be in the post season.
But they’ll have to play mostly on the road. I wonder how
they will fare. Great? NOT!
Won’t be able to tell until they take the field for any given game. Past performance means absolutely nothing for future games. We like to think it does – but it does not whatsoever.
You are a true fan….well said
If they canβt beat Buffalo and the Jets at home, they donβt deserve to be in the playoffs…period!
That’s not true at all. If they have a record good enough to make the playoffs, they deserve to be in the playoffs. Any team can win any game on any given day. I assess things in a realistic way, not in a sports radio way. It’s the correct way to do it.
The pats we know and love are dead. Bill was right on Jimmy and now we are set for years of disappointment.
Brady needs to lay down and who ever his replacement is needs to be found over the next 3 years. We only have Bill for so long.
Maybe true..maybe not. But what we really need to do is thank them and make sure win or lose they know we love them still. Otherwise, we are the Boston fans Iβve mentioned more than once.
Brady will need to have someone strong under his wing, sure. But he is still playing at an elite level. Today was a bad game but in Miami he played his heart out and the game was lost because of Bill’s bad play calling.
I agree somewhat. I don’t know if it’s over over, but we know it can’t last forever. I still think they’ll give us a little bit more. We’ll see how it goes.
On a weather related note. 37 degrees and 0.92 rain.
Sleep well
Within the next 10 to 12 years we will see a transition period. This year the patriots will select a QB within the first three rounds, watch for someone like Jimmy G to be selected. This will be a mix of Bill and McDaniel choosing. Brady will have up to 3 more years, as one or two QB’s learn behind him. Then Brady retires, but not totally away from football. He becomes the QB coach π All the while Bill starts giving McDaniel’s more power, even letting him take the reigns at times. Bill then gives McDaniels full control of coaching while Bill remains the Manager and Brady or someone else becomes Offensive coach. π If we loose McDaniels this off season, this hole plan goes to the crapper and we will experience bad times here in New England.
in terms of this year, the patriots will win out the next two games, they can even take the second seed back if the texans loose one game. The patriots could very well have the steelers in the playoffs and that will be at home. I see a few ways that the patriots only play one road game and its not that difficult of a game.
Pats win next 2 home games. Houston loses at Philly, who beat the LA Rams last night and the Pats are the 2 seed with a bye. π
Few inches of snow Christmas Eve, compliments of the Euro. Correct??? probably not, but a chance at least.
https://imgur.com/a/ShppqNU
https://imgur.com/a/V2Gm7y5
That’s the only shot left.
New post!