7:28AM
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 8-12)
Today’s the day that our arctic outbreak eases up and you’ll notice it, maybe not first thing this morning as temperatures sit in the upper single digits to teens as of just after sunrise, but they will recover to above freezing throughout the region for the first time in a few days with the help of stronger March sunshine and a southwest breeze. During tonight, low pressure passes harmlessly south of the area. Saturday will be a great day by early March standards with a little bit milder feel due to more sunshine and fairly light wind, however there will be slight exception. This will be one of the first days this year in which the coastline will feel cooler than the interior. It’s not going to be due to a classic sea breeze, as the wind will already be coming onshore due to the center of high pressure being north of the region and the air flow around it, but the effect is the same. But whether you’re at the coast or inland, enjoy Saturday’s weather, because Sunday will be an entirely different kind of day – overcast, starting snowy, and turning rainy. This won’t be a big storm by any means but enough snow may fall to slick up untreated roads during the morning, so use caution if you plan on traveling. As far as snow accumulations, they will be minor, with a coating to 1 inch in general, probably nothing at all on the immediate South Coast / Cape Cod, but possibly up to 2 inches across the higher elevations of interior MA and southern NH with a 3-inch amount not impossible to achieve. Also, do not forget this is the weekend we change the clocks 1 hour ahead (2AM Sunday) to being Daylight Savings Time. The parent low pressure area causing Sunday’s unsettled weather will crank up and head from the Great Lakes across eastern Canada during Monday, which will be a breezy but fairly mild day. This set-up is not nearly as powerful as the one that caused the big wind event not too long ago, even though on the weather map it looks somewhat similar. It is a much weaker set up overall with a far less impressive pressure gradient. By Tuesday, upper level low pressure crosses the region and may help instigate a few snow showers, at least cloudiness, for a time, and otherwise it will be a breezy and colder day than the one just before it. Forecast details begin on the next line…
TODAY: Sunshine, filtered later by some high cloudiness. Highs 33-40. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusting around 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clear overnight. Lows 10-15 interior, 15-20 coast. Wind light S.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 37-44, coolest along the shoreline. Wind light E.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Snow arriving pre-dawn RI/CT/central MA, by dawn eastern MA/southern NH. Lows 25-32. Wind light NE.
SUNDAY: Overcast. Snow changing to rain from south to north during the morning then tapering to rain showers west to east late in the day. Highs 36-43. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows from the lower to middle 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a risk of snow showers early, then sun/cloud mix. Lows from the upper 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 13-17)
High pressure builds along the East Coast enough to provide fair weather and a moderating temperature trend during the middle of next week (March 13-14). March 15 may be quite mild but probably have rain showers as a cold front approaches from the west. The March 16-17 weekend looks colder at this time but mainly dry.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 18-22)
The weather pattern will likely produce colder than average temperatures and may produce a couple of wintry precipitation threats during this period.
Thank you Tk
Thanks TK !
Thank you TK! Happy Friday!
Have already heard customers talking about “the snowstorm” we’re getting this Sunday…..
They must be looking at weather apps.
If they’ve heard just 1 human being out in the weather world, there is no way anyone could come to that conclusion.
🙂 🙂 🙂
Thank you TK.
I am thinking the rain may not reach Wachusett Mt. until mid morning Sunday at the earliest. Hoping to ski 7:30 am- 9:30 or 10 at the least before it switches over.
Hope I am right in my thinking.
will keep my fingers crossed for you, MassBay!
Good morning and thank you TK.
Another pretty Chilly morning for March, but again a beautiful morning.
Happy Friday to all.
Thank you, TK.
This was the most impressive and persistent cold stretch in March that I can remember: 4 consecutive days of below freezing temps is hard to achieve in Boston in March (it’s even fairly unusual in any winter month in Boston). Yet, it happened. This is not to say that any of the low temperatures were extreme. Just consistently cold. Last year and the year before saw cold temps as well, but not 4 day stretches of below freezing.
7 day forecasts from around the dial plus one important infographic: https://i.imgur.com/gATzX8F.jpg
Snowfall forecasts for Sunday: https://i.imgur.com/3C6nlRO.jpg
As far as that “important infographic” no need to remind me. 🙁
Not a fan of daylight savings I take it lol
Thank you, Dr.!
I know the totals are not great, BUT, for this type of event, some of those
are rather bullish amounts. Just saying. 🙂
Channel 7 was saying to expect the amounts to decrease if anything else lol
I agree JpDave !
Why what’s you call on medical . I really need a break I’ve been dealing with weekend storms since presidents weekend.
I’d say less rather than more.
If you look at the NAM, then 1-2 inches, HOWEVER, if
you look at the 3KM NAM, then only a coating at best.
Pick your poison.
Thanks . Unfortunately if the ground gets white I’ll get the call .
Even for a grass coating?
No Philip come on man .
I’m curious in a non argumentative way. Is your reply meant to be hunorous or are you frustrated by the question.
Only asking because I think philips question is just a good clarifying question.
Thanks !
Thank you, kind sir!!
Six years ago today there was huge damage on the south shore. One of the folks on the Humarock FB page posted a video of the ocean up and under the houses (that are raised) with huge waves literally breaking under the houses.
Those futurecast radars by the tv mets have snow beginning in Boston by 7AM. Is the timestamp based on DST or Standard?
Standard.
So that means the snow will arrive Sunday 6 AM DST?
Spring ahead, fall back, thus 12Z which is 7AM standard
is 8AM DST.
Thanks JPD. I knew it was one or the other. 🙁
12Z NAM kuchera snow for Sunday
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019030806/066/snku_acc.us_ne.png
And for the record, snow begins around 12Z OR 8AM NOT 7AM 🙂
And here is a more realistic kuchera snow map courtesy of the 12Z 3KM NAM.
https://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam4km/2019030806/060/snku_acc.us_ne.png
And even during the last 2 cold days, dark surfaces have absorbed a lot of solar radiation.
Tomorrow is supposed to be above freezing, Sat night …. not too cold and this system itself is going against snow.
I get that it might snow briefly Sunday morning in Boston, I just don’t think its going to stick at all on the pavement.
Most of that map showing under an inch me like that . I have a lot to do this weekend I’m all set with overtime .
That makes a big difference 8am vs dawn
12Z GFS Kuchera snow for Sunday
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2019030812/060/snku_acc.us_ne.png
12Z CMC (GDPS) Kuchera snow for Sunday
https://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2019030812/054/snku_acc.us_ne.png
3km 12z NAM Kuchera snow is the best representation of what I expect.
Thought so and it makes more sense. 🙂
But it is New England, so who knows for sure.
Thanks, TK.
Test post
Test failed. Please try again. lol
The story of my life 🙂
I only fail the biggest tests.
Yes, the patience test. 😉
Well, that’s a given. No surprise there.
Euro Norlun on the 18th????????
https://imgur.com/a/FesyVar
12z GFS has snow grazing southeastern MA Cape and Islands on that same day.
Walking down Commonwealth Ave. I saw plenty of cars still totally encased by snow. Even in January that would be remarkable 4 to 5 days post storm. In March, that’s almost unheard of. There’s been some melting today, but comparatively little. Over the coming days the melting will `heat’ up in earnest, but I think beginning next weekend we could be in for some more snows and cold, though not nearly as persistently cold as this week.
Mike Wankum has widespread 1-2” including Boston and a bit southward as well.
ha ha, good luck with that!
He’s using the RPM which according to him has done well this season.
Revolting Putrid Model
In a bit of a plot twist, 18Z Nams are saying what snow???????????
https://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam4km/2019030818/060/snku_acc.us_ne.png
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2019030818/060/snku_acc.us_ne.png
On the other hand, the 18Z RDPS says, sure you can have a little snow
https://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/rdps/2019030818/048/snku_acc.us_ne.png
Latest SREF ensemble average (plumes) shows a whopping 0.4 inch
for Boston.
Awesome I hope even less
Why are all the maps still 1-2 & just saw in the barbershop 1-3
Safe play media forecasts, going with the maximum potential, as it will be easier to downgrade than upgrade after what happened recently.
Got it . You like the number old salty just posted
I still like under 1 inch in the city.
Amendola officially cut from Miami pats better make every effort to get him immediately.
Bennett coming to the patriots for an end rusher. I wonder if he is going to be an improvement over flowers or if we are truly going to miss trey flowers.
It’s not a done deal as Bennett wants big bucks and you know how the Patriots are about that. 😉
Even Brady (GOAT) is on the hometown discount as it is.
Will be updating blog shortly. A bit of a delay getting to it this morning. Had an early-AM errand to do first!
Always at your convenience TK. Enjoy this lovely morning please.
New post!